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Champions League · League Stage · Matchday 7

Momentum

GalatasarayATM
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
League Stage
Round
7

Venue

Stadium
Rams Park, İstanbul
Capacity
53,978
Surface
grass
Attendance
48,443

Teams

Coaches
Okan Buruk · D. Simeone
Position
18 · 10
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2

Referee

Istvan Kovacs

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
6.4° (feels 3.2°)
Wind
4.6
Humidity
70%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Arsenal 8800 23419 24 WWWWW
2 FC Bayern München 8701 22814 21 WLWWW
3 Liverpool 8602 20812 18 WLWWW
4 Tottenham Hotspur 8521 17710 17 WLWWW
5 FC Barcelona 8512 22148 16 DLWWW
6 Chelsea 8512 17107 16 DWLWW
7 Sporting CP 8512 17116 16 DWLWW
8 Manchester City 8512 1596 16 WLWLW
9 Real Madrid 8503 21129 15 LWLWL
10 Inter 8503 1578 15 WLLLW
11 Paris Saint Germain 8422 211110 14 LWDLD
12 Newcastle United 8422 17710 14 WLDWD
13 Juventus 8341 14104 13 DWWWD
14 Atlético de Madrid 8413 17152 13 WWWDL
15 Atalanta 8413 10100 13 WWWLL
16 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8332 1314-1 12 WWDLW
17 Borussia Dortmund 8323 19172 11 LWDLL
18 Olympiacos F.C. 8323 1014-4 11 DLWWW
19 Club Brugge 8314 1517-2 10 DLLWW
20 Galatasaray 8314 911-2 10 WLLDL
21 Monaco 8242 814-6 10 WDWLD
22 Qarabağ 8314 1321-8 10 DLLWL
23 Bodø / Glimt 8233 1415-1 9 LLDWW
24 Benfica 8305 1012-2 9 LWWLW
25 Olympique Marseille 8305 1114-3 9 LWWLL
26 Pafos FC 8233 811-3 9 WDLLW
27 Union Saint-Gilloise 8305 817-9 9 LWLLW
28 PSV 8224 16160 8 DWLLL
29 Athletic Club 8224 914-5 8 LDDWL
30 Napoli 8224 915-6 8 DWLDL
31 FC København 8224 1221-9 8 LWWDL
32 Ajax 8206 821-13 6 LLWWL
33 Eintracht Frankfurt 8116 1021-11 4 DLLLL
34 Slavia Praha 8035 519-14 3 LDLLL
35 Villarreal 8017 518-13 1 LLLLL
36 Kairat 8017 722-15 1 LLLLL
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Galatasaray

WWWLL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 7 GA 3 · xG 10.96–11.43 · xPts 7.37

  • L A Monaco 0–1 xG 1.74–5.52 UEFA CL
  • L H Union Saint-Gilloise 0–1 xG 1.41–1.97 UEFA CL
  • W A Ajax 3–0 xG 2.91–0.79 UEFA CL
  • W H Bodø / Glimt 3–1 xG 3.47–1.44 UEFA CL
  • W H Liverpool 1–0 xG 1.42–1.71 UEFA CL

Atlético de Madrid

WWWDW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 10 GA 4 · xG 6.34–7.12 · xPts 6.44

  • W H Deportivo Alavés 1–0 xG 1.82–0.87 ESP PL
  • D A Real Sociedad 1–1 xG 0.9–1.86 ESP PL
  • W A Girona 3–0 xG 0.91–0.81 ESP PL
  • W H Valencia 2–1 xG 1.09–1.2 ESP PL
  • W A PSV 3–2 xG 1.63–2.39 UEFA CL

All meetings · 5 matches since 2010

Galatasaray 02 draws3 Atlético de Madrid

Goals 3–8 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 20%

Last 10 · 5 matches

Galatasaray 02 draws3 Atlético de Madrid

Goals 3–8 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 20%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Galatasaray 02 draws3 Atlético de Madrid

Goals 3–8 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • D Galatasaray 1–1 Atlético de Madrid UEFA CL · League Stage
  • L Atlético de Madrid 2–0 Galatasaray neutral UEFA CL · Group Stage
  • L Galatasaray 0–2 Atlético de Madrid UEFA CL · Group Stage
  • L Galatasaray 1–2 Atlético de Madrid UEFA EL · 16th Finals · leg 2/2
  • D Atlético de Madrid 1–1 Galatasaray neutral UEFA EL · 16th Finals · leg 2/2
MetricGalatasaray all · 12Galatasaray at home · 6Atlético de Madrid all · 16Atlético de Madrid away · 8
Results
Matches126168
Points per game1.332.171.501.00
W / D / L5 / 1 / 64 / 1 / 17 / 3 / 62 / 2 / 4
Goals for / match1.421.832.191.63
Goals against / match1.670.831.752.13
Clean sheets25%33%6%12%
Failed to score33%17%12%25%
Both teams scored42%50%81%62%
Over 2.550%33%75%62%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.571.881.821.31
xG against / match2.171.401.842.05
xG difference-0.600.48-0.02-0.74
Finishing vs xG-0.15-0.050.360.32
xPts / match1.181.571.361.01
Points vs xPts0.160.590.14-0.01
Game state
Scored first50%67%56%38%
PPG when scoring first2.503.002.221.67
PPG when conceding first0.170.500.570.60
Came back from behind25%67%25%20%
Leads held83%100%70%50%
Minutes leading30%51%35%22%
Minutes level37%37%41%47%
Minutes trailing32%12%24%31%
First goal (min)29122631
First goal conceded (min)37383731
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half53%46%49%54%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%40%57%65%
Late goals for (76'+)0.330.170.440.25
Late goals against0.080.000.380.50
Style
Possession50%48%49%47%
Shots13.015.214.312.0
On target5.15.55.44.3
Shot conversion11%12%15%14%
Shots inside box66%68%68%65%
Big chances created2.94.02.81.9
Corners4.05.05.34.8
xG from set plays36%40%28%30%
Goals from headers12%10%21%25%
Pressure index9.110.014.310.3
Dominant minutes40.336.346.139.3
Pass accuracy82%80%84%84%
Fouls11.310.210.911.4
Cards2.083.001.752.75

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Galatasaray

0–15'42
16–30'23
31–45'15
46–60'43
61–75'26
76–90'21

Atlético de Madrid

0–15'84
16–30'24
31–45'84
46–60'67
61–75'43
76–90'76

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Galatasaray

No pressure profile yet.

Atlético de Madrid · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.38) · stands out: v mid-tier opponents +0.61

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.387
Early press (0-15, level)+0.477
Late push (76+, level)+1.242
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.403

Game state

When ahead+0.436
When level+0.357
When behind+0.363
10 min after conceding-0.144
10 min after scoring+0.576

Situations

At home+0.573
Away+0.234
4+ days rest+0.226

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.614
As favourite+0.415

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.237
Conceded when ahead-0.266
Conceded late (76+)-0.486

Congested vs rested +1.46 · Ahead vs level +0.08 · Behind vs level +0.01

Galatasaray

Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-110 83%1.31.41.81.42.27
4-4-21 8%3.03.01.03.471.44
4-3-31 8%0.00.01.01.411.97

Atlético de Madrid

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-4-214 88%1.432.141.711.771.81
4-1-4-11 6%3.02.01.01.431.59
4-3-31 6%1.03.03.02.942.5

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.2Home 30% P 29%3.75Draw 26% P 27%2.15Away 45% P 44%

Double Chance

1.66Galatasaray or Draw 28% P 28%1.25Galatasaray or Atletico Madrid 37% P 36%1.36Draw or Atletico Madrid 34% P 35%

Draw No Bet

2.251 41%1.572 59%

Both Teams To Score

1.53Yes 61% P 62%2.37No 39% P 38%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.61Over 59% P 58%2.3Under 41% P 42%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.16 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%
4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 27.5–30% · away 42.5–45% · 505 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home29%29%23%-5.8
Draw27%28%27%-0.3
Away44%44%50%+6.1

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 57%

Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes62%61%62%+0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.558%59%60%+0.8

Istvan Kovacs

Career
89 matches · 17 seasons
Cards / match
5.37 (5.07 yellow · 0.12 red)
Fouls / match
24.4 · 4.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.33
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Champions League (5-year window · 37 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.244.4+1.4994
Fouls / match24.222.7+1.11
Fouls per card4.75.2-0.84 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.320.32-0.1252
Time added6.66.5+0.2761
First card
36' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 42% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.3

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-11 50 191 45'5
2025-11-04 50 270 23'7
2025-10-01 40 260 6'8
2025-09-17 61 290 15'10
2025-08-27 10 401 85'6
2025-08-12 40 320 11'9
2025-05-31 50 200 56'3
2025-04-10 31 181 13'15
2025-03-11 20 200 46'6
2025-02-19 30 180 28'4