Rating 6.72 · G+A 3 + 2 (36% of team goals) · 87% of minutes
Champions League · League Stage · Matchday 2
Momentum
– KairatReal Madrid –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Kairat | at home | Stat | league | away | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43.6 #66 | – | Ball possession | 49.6 | – | 53.6 #23 |
| 10.9 #47 | – | Shots total | 11.6 | – | 17.4 #6 |
| 3.4 #66 | – | Shots on target | 4.3 | – | 6.9 #6 |
| 3.9 #56 | – | Corners | 4.5 | – | 5.7 #17 |
| 12.5 #26 | – | Fouls | 12.0 | – | 10.8 #53 |
| 1.1 #57 | – | Offsides | 1.5 | – | 1.1 #60 |
| 14.1 #38 | – | Tackles | 15.0 | – | 15.0 #30 |
| 88.2 #66 | – | Attacks | 99.1 | – | 95.0 #48 |
| 39.5 #74 | – | Dangerous attacks | 52.8 | – | 48.3 #49 |
| 259.3 #48 | – | Passes | 408.2 | – | 510.8 #12 |
| 2.7 #9 | – | Yellowcards | 2.1 | – | 2.1 #27 |
| 0.1 #33 | – | Redcards | 0.2 | – | 0.3 #8 |
| 0.7 #55 | – | Assists | 1.1 | – | 1.9 #5 |
| – #62 | – | Btts | 48.7 | – | – #18 |
| – #22 | – | Cleansheet | 24.6 | – | – #33 |
| – #24 | – | Draw | 20.2 | – | – #57 |
| 0.6 #49 | – | Expected goals | 1.3 | – | 2.1 #5 |
| 0.3 #25 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.2 | – | 0.3 #26 |
| – #33 | – | Failed to score | 34.1 | – | – #70 |
| 0.9 #63 | 0.9 | Goals | 1.3 | 2.4 | 2.4 #6 |
| 1.6 #37 | 1.2 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.4 #52 |
| 0.2 #42 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.3 #22 |
| 7.5 #39 | – | Interceptions | 8.2 | – | 8.8 #26 |
| – #16 | – | Lost | 47.0 | – | – #58 |
| 0.1 #36 | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | 0.3 #13 |
| 6.6 #47 | – | Rating | 6.6 | – | 7.0 #3 |
| 2.9 #40 | – | Shots blocked | 2.9 | – | 4.7 #9 |
| 3.4 #49 | – | Shots insidebox | 7.8 | – | 11.7 #7 |
| 5.5 #30 | – | Shots off target | 5.3 | – | 5.8 #25 |
| 3.7 #38 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.2 | – | 5.7 #6 |
| – #61 | – | Win | 32.9 | – | – #5 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 82.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 281 of 281
- Goals / match
- 3.18 (home 1.87 · away 1.31)
- Home / draw / away
- 50% · 19% · 31%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 52% · 59%
- Cards / match
- 4.2 (reds 0.15)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Kairat · 2025/2026 · Champions League
Rating 6.59 · G+A 0 + 1 (7% of team goals) · 86% of minutes
Rating 6.59 · G+A 0 + 2 (14% of team goals) · 82% of minutes
Real Madrid · 2025/2026 · Champions League
Rating 8.06 (100th pct) · G+A 15 + 1 (48% of team goals) · 72% of minutes
Rating 7.26 (91th pct) · G+A 5 + 5 (30% of team goals) · 93% of minutes
Rating 7.27 (95th pct) · G+A 3 + 4 (21% of team goals) · 92% of minutes
Absences
Kairat
- injury João Paulo attacker · Cruciate Ligament Tear · 70 missed
- injury Élder Santana attacker · Cruciate Ligament Tear · 53 missed · until 2026-04-04
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- League Stage
- Round
- 2
Venue
- Stadium
- Astana Arena, Astana
- Capacity
- 7,000
- Surface
- artificial turf
- Attendance
- 22,788
Teams
- Coaches
- Rafael Urazbakhtin · Xabi Alonso
- Position
- 33 · 13
- Formation
- 4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Marco Guida
Weather
- Conditions
- sky is clear
- Temperature
- 5.5° (feels 2.4°)
- Wind
- 5.0
- Humidity
- 30%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal |
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 4 | 19 | 24 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  FC Bayern München |
8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 21 | WLWWW |
| 3 |  Liverpool |
8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 18 | WLWWW |
| 4 |  Tottenham Hotspur |
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 17 | WLWWW |
| 5 |  FC Barcelona |
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 16 | DLWWW |
| 6 |  Chelsea |
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 16 | DWLWW |
| 7 |  Sporting CP |
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 16 | DWLWW |
| 8 |  Manchester City |
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 16 | WLWLW |
| 9 |  Real Madrid |
8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 15 | LWLWL |
| 10 |  Inter |
8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 15 | WLLLW |
| 11 |  Paris Saint Germain |
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 14 | LWDLD |
| 12 |  Newcastle United |
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 14 | WLDWD |
| 13 |  Juventus |
8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 13 | DWWWD |
| 14 |  Atlético de Madrid |
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 13 | WWWDL |
| 15 |  Atalanta |
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 13 | WWWLL |
| 16 |  Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 12 | WWDLW |
| 17 |  Borussia Dortmund |
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 11 | LWDLL |
| 18 |  Olympiacos F.C. |
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 11 | DLWWW |
| 19 |  Club Brugge |
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 10 | DLLWW |
| 20 |  Galatasaray |
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 | WLLDL |
| 21 |  Monaco |
8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 10 | WDWLD |
| 22 |  Qarabağ |
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 | DLLWL |
| 23 |  Bodø / Glimt |
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 9 | LLDWW |
| 24 |  Benfica |
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 9 | LWWLW |
| 25 |  Olympique Marseille |
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 9 | LWWLL |
| 26 |  Pafos FC |
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 9 | WDLLW |
| 27 |  Union Saint-Gilloise |
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 9 | LWLLW |
| 28 |  PSV |
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 8 | DWLLL |
| 29 |  Athletic Club |
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 8 | LDDWL |
| 30 |  Napoli |
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 8 | DWLDL |
| 31 |  FC København |
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 8 | LWWDL |
| 32 |  Ajax |
8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 6 | LLWWL |
| 33 |  Eintracht Frankfurt |
8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 4 | DLLLL |
| 34 |  Slavia Praha |
8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 19 | -14 | 3 | LDLLL |
| 35 |  Villarreal |
8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 1 | LLLLL |
| 36 |  Kairat |
8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 22 | -15 | 1 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 12 | WLWWW |
| 2 | Tottenham Hotspur |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 12 | WLWWW |
| 3 | Arsenal |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 12 | WWWWW |
| 4 | Chelsea |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 12 | DWLWW |
| 5 | Sporting CP |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 12 | DWLWW |
| 6 | FC Barcelona |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 9 | DLWWW |
| 7 | Newcastle United |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 9 | WLDWD |
| 8 | Atlético de Madrid |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 9 | WWWDL |
| 9 | Real Madrid |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 9 | LWLWL |
| 10 | Liverpool |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 9 | WLWWW |
| 11 | Manchester City |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 | WLWLW |
| 12 | Juventus |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 8 | DWWWD |
| 13 | Paris Saint Germain |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 7 | LWDLD |
| 14 | Borussia Dortmund |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 7 | LWDLL |
| 15 | Club Brugge |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 7 | DLLWW |
| 16 | Napoli |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 | DWLDL |
| 17 | Galatasaray |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 | WLLDL |
| 18 | Qarabağ |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 7 | DLLWL |
| 19 | Atalanta |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 | WWWLL |
| 20 | Pafos FC |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | WDLLW |
| 21 | Benfica |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 6 | LWWLW |
| 22 | Inter |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 | WLLLW |
| 23 | Olympique Marseille |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 | LWWLL |
| 24 | Monaco |
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | WDWLD |
| 25 | Olympiacos F.C. |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 | DLWWW |
| 26 | FC København |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 5 | LWWDL |
| 27 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 5 | WWDLW |
| 28 | Bodø / Glimt |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4 | LLDWW |
| 29 | Athletic Club |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 4 | LDDWL |
| 30 | PSV |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 3 | DWLLL |
| 31 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 | DLLLL |
| 32 | Union Saint-Gilloise |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 3 | LWLLW |
| 33 | Slavia Praha |
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 2 | LDLLL |
| 34 | Villarreal |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 1 | LLLLL |
| 35 | Kairat |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 1 | LLLLL |
| 36 | Ajax |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 0 | LLWWL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 12 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Inter |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 9 | WLLLW |
| 3 | Liverpool |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 9 | WLWWW |
| 4 | FC Bayern München |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 9 | WLWWW |
| 5 | Paris Saint Germain |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 7 | LWDLD |
| 6 | Manchester City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 | WLWLW |
| 7 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 | WWDLW |
| 8 | FC Barcelona |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 7 | DLWWW |
| 9 | Real Madrid |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 6 | LWLWL |
| 10 | Union Saint-Gilloise |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 | LWLLW |
| 11 | Atalanta |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 6 | WWWLL |
| 12 | Ajax |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 6 | LLWWL |
| 13 | Olympiacos F.C. |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 6 | DLWWW |
| 14 | Newcastle United |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 5 | WLDWD |
| 15 | Tottenham Hotspur |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 5 | WLWWW |
| 16 | PSV |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 | DWLLL |
| 17 | Juventus |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 5 | DWWWD |
| 18 | Bodø / Glimt |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 | LLDWW |
| 19 | Chelsea |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 4 | DWLWW |
| 20 | Sporting CP |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 4 | DWLWW |
| 21 | Borussia Dortmund |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 4 | LWDLL |
| 22 | Atlético de Madrid |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 | WWWDL |
| 23 | Athletic Club |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4 | LDDWL |
| 24 | Monaco |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 4 | WDWLD |
| 25 | Olympique Marseille |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 3 | LWWLL |
| 26 | Galatasaray |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | WLLDL |
| 27 | Benfica |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 | LWWLW |
| 28 | Club Brugge |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 3 | DLLWW |
| 29 | FC København |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 3 | LWWDL |
| 30 | Qarabağ |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 3 | DLLWL |
| 31 | Pafos FC |
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 2 | WDLLW |
| 32 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 1 | DLLLL |
| 33 | Napoli |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 1 | DWLDL |
| 34 | Slavia Praha |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 1 | LDLLL |
| 35 | Kairat |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 0 | LLLLL |
| 36 | Villarreal |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 | -9 | 0 | LLLLL |
- 8th Finals
- Play-off
Kairat
WLDDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 2 GA 5 · xG 3.25–6.36 · xPts 3.85
- L
A
Sporting CP
1–4
xG 0.82–3.47
UEFA CL
- D
H
Celtic
0–0 won on pens None–None
xG 0.71–0.9
UEFA CL - D
A
Celtic
0–0
xG 0.64–0.68
UEFA CL
- L
A
Slovan Bratislava
0–1 won on pens None–None
xG 1.08–1.32
UEFA CL - W
H
Slovan Bratislava
1–0
UEFA CL
DWLWWLDDL 3W 3D 3L · 12 pts (1.33 ppg) · GF 8 GA 8 · xG 3.25–6.36 · xPts 3.85
- L
A
Sporting CP
1–4
xG 0.82–3.47
UEFA CL
- D
H
Celtic
0–0 won on pens None–None
xG 0.71–0.9
UEFA CL
- D
A
Celtic
0–0
xG 0.64–0.68
UEFA CL
- L
A
Slovan Bratislava
0–1 won on pens None–None
xG 1.08–1.32
UEFA CL
- W
H
Slovan Bratislava
1–0
UEFA CL
- W
H
KuPS
3–0
UEFA CL - L
A
KuPS
0–2
UEFA CL
- W
H
Olimpija
2–0
UEFA CL - D
A
Olimpija
1–1
UEFA CL
Real Madrid
WWWWL 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 12 GA 8 · xG 11.84–8.59 · xPts 8.36
- L
A
Atlético de Madrid
2–5
xG 0.58–2.1
ESP PL
- W
A
Levante
4–1
xG 3.28–1.44
ESP PL - W
H
Espanyol
2–0
xG 1.74–1.15
ESP PL - W
H
Olympique Marseille
2–1
xG 3.99–1.12
UEFA CL
- W
A
Real Sociedad
2–1
xG 2.25–2.78
ESP PL
WWWWWWWL 7W 0D 1L · 21 pts (2.62 ppg) · GF 18 GA 9 · xG 18.13–10.48 · xPts 15.28
- L
A
Atlético de Madrid
2–5
xG 0.58–2.1
ESP PL
- W
A
Levante
4–1
xG 3.28–1.44
ESP PL
- W
H
Espanyol
2–0
xG 1.74–1.15
ESP PL
- W
H
Olympique Marseille
2–1
xG 3.99–1.12
UEFA CL
- W
A
Real Sociedad
2–1
xG 2.25–2.78
ESP PL
- W
H
Mallorca
2–1
xG 1.78–0.92
ESP PL - W
A
Real Oviedo
3–0
xG 2.6–0.56
ESP PL - W
H
Osasuna
1–0
xG 1.91–0.42
ESP PL
All meetings · 1 match since 2025
Goals 0–5 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 100%
Last 10 · 1 match
Goals 0–5 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 100%
Last 5 · 1 match
Goals 0–5 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 100%
Recent meetings
- L Kairat 0–5 Real Madrid UEFA CL · League Stage
| Metric | Kairat all · 16 | Kairat at home · 8 | Real Madrid all · 14 | Real Madrid away · 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 16 | 8 | 14 | 7 |
| Points per game | 0.81 | 1.38 | 1.93 | 1.71 |
| W / D / L | 3 / 4 / 9 | 3 / 2 / 3 | 9 / 0 / 5 | 4 / 0 / 3 |
| Goals for / match | 0.88 | 0.88 | 2.36 | 2.43 |
| Goals against / match | 1.63 | 1.25 | 1.43 | 1.86 |
| Clean sheets | 38% | 62% | 29% | 29% |
| Failed to score | 44% | 50% | 7% | 14% |
| Both teams scored | 38% | 12% | 64% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 38% | 79% | 71% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.80 | 0.70 | 2.10 | 1.81 |
| xG against / match | 2.22 | 1.88 | 1.74 | 1.80 |
| xG difference | -1.41 | -1.18 | 0.36 | 0.00 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.17 | -0.50 | 0.26 | 0.62 |
| xPts / match | 0.67 | 0.74 | 1.57 | 1.40 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.40 | -0.34 | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 25% | 38% | 64% | 71% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.50 | 3.00 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.80 | 1.50 |
| Came back from behind | 0% | 0% | 38% | 25% |
| Leads held | 75% | 100% | 75% | 67% |
| Minutes leading | 12% | 22% | 37% | 41% |
| Minutes level | 56% | 59% | 47% | 45% |
| Minutes trailing | 33% | 19% | 15% | 14% |
| First goal (min) | 54 | 48 | 29 | 25 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 39 | 43 | 34 | 30 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 57% | 29% | 48% | 47% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 62% | 70% | 45% | 54% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.38 | 0.25 | 0.43 | 0.43 |
| Late goals against | 0.19 | 0.38 | 0.29 | 0.57 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 44% | 48% | 54% | 57% |
| Shots | 10.9 | 13.0 | 17.4 | 14.4 |
| On target | 3.4 | 3.8 | 6.9 | 6.6 |
| Shot conversion | 8% | 7% | 14% | 17% |
| Shots inside box | 48% | 45% | 67% | 64% |
| Big chances created | 1.0 | 0.2 | 3.9 | 4.1 |
| Corners | 3.9 | 4.9 | 5.7 | 4.6 |
| xG from set plays | 23% | 19% | 26% | 22% |
| Goals from headers | 29% | 0% | 9% | 19% |
| Pressure index | 11.1 | 10.8 | 14.6 | 15.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 29.2 | 40.5 | 54.4 | 56.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 74% | 75% | 87% | 87% |
| Fouls | 12.5 | 11.5 | 10.8 | 10.0 |
| Cards | 2.56 | 2.62 | 3.00 | 4.29 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Kairat
0–15'32
16–30'13
31–45'25
46–60'23
61–75'010
76–90'63
Real Madrid
0–15'23
16–30'131
31–45'27
46–60'73
61–75'32
76–90'64
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Kairat · 7 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.15) · stands out: at home +0.30
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.157
Early press (0-15, level)+0.167
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.042
Game state
When ahead-0.053
When level+0.177
When behind+0.214
10 min after conceding+0.075
10 min after scoring-0.113
Situations
Against ten men+0.093
At home+0.304
Away-0.033
4+ days rest+0.157
Opposition
As favourite+0.142
Evenly matched+0.182
As underdog+0.143
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.167
Conceded when ahead-0.333
Conceded late (76+)-0.395
Ahead vs level -0.23 · Behind vs level +0.04
Real Madrid · 7 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.48) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.02
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.487
Early press (0-15, level)+0.317
Late push (76+, level)+0.733
Game state
When ahead+0.346
When level+0.677
10 min after conceding-0.016
10 min after scoring+1.026
Situations
At home+0.244
Away+0.703
4+ days rest+0.456
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.693
v bottom-tier opponents+0.702
As favourite+0.487
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.107
Conceded when ahead+0.056
Conceded late (76+)-0.496
Congested vs rested +0.16 · Ahead vs level -0.33 · Behind vs level -1.19
Kairat
Current: winless 3 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 8 50% | 0.38 | 0.63 | 1.75 | 0.75 | 2.01 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 25% | 1.0 | 0.75 | 1.0 | 1.08 | 1.32 |
| 4-3-2-1 | 2 12% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | – | – |
| 3-4-3 | 1 6% | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.32 | 3.97 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 6% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 0.42 | 3.03 |
Real Madrid
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 3 · scoring 3 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 7 50% | 1.71 | 1.86 | 1.43 | 1.85 | 1.91 |
| 4-3-3 | 3 21% | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.67 | 2.47 | 1.87 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 3 21% | 3.0 | 3.67 | 1.33 | 2.89 | 1.01 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 7% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.34 | 2.34 |
| Metric | Kairat all · 10 | Kairat at home · 10 | Real Madrid all · 10 | Real Madrid away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 0.90 | 1.10 | 2.70 | 1.60 |
| W / D / L | 3 / 0 / 7 | 3 / 2 / 5 | 9 / 0 / 1 | 5 / 1 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 0.80 | 0.50 | 2.60 | 1.50 |
| Goals against / match | 1.70 | 1.50 | 0.90 | 1.40 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 40% | 30% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 50% | 60% | 10% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 20% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 40% | 70% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.85 | 0.81 | 2.47 | 1.95 |
| xG against / match | 2.31 | 1.70 | 1.10 | 1.41 |
| xG difference | -1.46 | -0.89 | 1.37 | 0.54 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.25 | -0.64 | 0.13 | -0.45 |
| xPts / match | 0.64 | 0.91 | 2.16 | 1.68 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.64 | -0.58 | 0.54 | -0.08 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 30% | 30% | 90% | 70% |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.29 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Came back from behind | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Leads held | 100% | 100% | 100% | 71% |
| Minutes leading | 13% | 10% | 59% | 38% |
| Minutes level | 40% | 58% | 40% | 47% |
| Minutes trailing | 47% | 32% | 1% | 15% |
| First goal (min) | 56 | 73 | 21 | 29 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 34 | 39 | 57 | 46 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 75% | 80% | 38% | 40% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 35% | 53% | 67% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 51% | 51% | 56% | 53% |
| Shots | 11.0 | 14.1 | 18.4 | 15.0 |
| On target | 4.1 | 4.6 | 7.4 | 5.3 |
| Shot conversion | 7% | 4% | 14% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 59% | 51% | 72% | 76% |
| Big chances created | 1.0 | 0.5 | 4.3 | 3.3 |
| Corners | 4.8 | 5.3 | 6.1 | 5.9 |
| xG from set plays | 37% | 28% | 19% | 24% |
| Goals from headers | 33% | 0% | 4% | 15% |
| Pressure index | 10.6 | 13.1 | 18.4 | 15.2 |
| Dominant minutes | 44.3 | 51.5 | 61.8 | 54.9 |
| Pass accuracy | 77% | 77% | 90% | 88% |
| Fouls | 11.5 | 12.4 | 8.8 | 10.5 |
| Cards | 2.10 | 2.00 | 1.30 | 3.20 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Kairat
0–15'15
16–30'01
31–45'15
46–60'01
61–75'13
76–90'52
Real Madrid
0–15'50
16–30'61
31–45'52
46–60'21
61–75'11
76–90'74
Kairat
Current: winless 3 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 7 70% | 1.29 | 0.86 | 1.14 | 0.62 | 1.69 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.32 | 3.97 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.06 | 2.52 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | – | – |
Real Madrid
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 3 · scoring 3 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 60% | 2.5 | 2.83 | 1.0 | 2.72 | 0.99 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 20% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 0.99 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 20% | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 2.57 | 1.55 |
| Metric | Kairat all · 14 | Kairat at home · 8 | Real Madrid all · 54 | Real Madrid away · 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 14 | 8 | 54 | 27 |
| Points per game | 0.71 | 0.88 | 2.15 | 1.81 |
| W / D / L | 3 / 1 / 10 | 2 / 1 / 5 | 37 / 5 / 12 | 15 / 4 / 8 |
| Goals for / match | 0.79 | 0.50 | 2.20 | 1.81 |
| Goals against / match | 1.93 | 1.88 | 1.09 | 1.30 |
| Clean sheets | 21% | 25% | 32% | 33% |
| Failed to score | 50% | 62% | 11% | 15% |
| Both teams scored | 36% | 25% | 59% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 50% | 63% | 56% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.89 | 0.83 | 2.08 | 1.81 |
| xG against / match | 2.37 | 1.86 | 1.30 | 1.34 |
| xG difference | -1.48 | -1.03 | 0.78 | 0.47 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.22 | -0.63 | 0.13 | 0.00 |
| xPts / match | 0.66 | 0.86 | 1.83 | 1.66 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.55 | -0.66 | 0.32 | 0.16 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 21% | 25% | 72% | 63% |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.67 | 2.53 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.79 | 0.56 |
| Came back from behind | 0% | 0% | 29% | 27% |
| Leads held | 100% | 100% | 86% | 79% |
| Minutes leading | 9% | 13% | 43% | 34% |
| Minutes level | 44% | 46% | 46% | 51% |
| Minutes trailing | 47% | 40% | 12% | 15% |
| First goal (min) | 59 | 68 | 34 | 38 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 33 | 39 | 48 | 43 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 82% | 75% | 53% | 55% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 48% | 53% | 58% | 57% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.50 | 0.38 | 0.50 | 0.48 |
| Late goals against | 0.29 | 0.50 | 0.30 | 0.41 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 49% | 52% | 57% | 58% |
| Shots | 11.6 | 14.0 | 17.5 | 15.7 |
| On target | 3.9 | 4.4 | 6.8 | 5.8 |
| Shot conversion | 7% | 4% | 13% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 52% | 51% | 66% | 66% |
| Big chances created | 1.1 | 0.6 | 3.6 | 3.2 |
| Corners | 4.3 | 5.0 | 6.2 | 5.9 |
| xG from set plays | 25% | 22% | 29% | 24% |
| Goals from headers | 33% | 0% | 10% | 13% |
| Pressure index | 9.8 | 13.2 | 20.2 | 19.7 |
| Dominant minutes | 39.8 | 51.0 | 60.9 | 60.3 |
| Pass accuracy | 77% | 79% | 89% | 88% |
| Fouls | 11.3 | 11.6 | 10.1 | 10.2 |
| Cards | 2.21 | 2.13 | 2.24 | 2.48 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Kairat
0–15'15
16–30'03
31–45'16
46–60'13
61–75'16
76–90'74
Real Madrid
0–15'115
16–30'284
31–45'1716
46–60'229
61–75'149
76–90'2716
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Kairat · 14 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.11) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.36
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.1114
Early press (0-15, level)-0.0314
Late push (76+, level)+0.782
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.366
Game state
When ahead-0.053
When level-0.0514
When behind-0.1810
10 min after conceding-0.2311
10 min after scoring-0.306
Situations
Against ten men+0.144
At home+0.018
Away-0.266
4+ days rest-0.1114
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.522
As favourite+0.142
Evenly matched+0.193
As underdog-0.269
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.4214
Conceded when ahead-0.333
Conceded late (76+)+0.3610
Ahead vs level -0.00 · Behind vs level -0.13
Real Madrid · 54 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.48) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.78
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.4854
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2354
Late push (76+, level)+0.5216
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.1511
Game state
When ahead+0.4843
When level+0.4954
When behind+0.4717
10 min after conceding+0.4236
10 min after scoring+0.7847
Situations
With ten men+0.375
Against ten men+0.137
At home+0.3827
Away+0.5827
3 days rest or fewer+0.3416
4+ days rest+0.5438
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0915
v mid-tier opponents+0.5519
v bottom-tier opponents+0.598
As favourite+0.5844
Evenly matched+0.205
As underdog-0.065
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.1854
Conceded when ahead-0.1743
Conceded late (76+)-0.3244
Congested vs rested -0.20 · Ahead vs level -0.00 · Behind vs level -0.02
Kairat
Current: winless 3 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 71% | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.86 | 1.97 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 7% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 0.42 | 3.03 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 7% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | – | – |
| 5-3-2 | 1 7% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.06 | 2.52 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 7% | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.32 | 3.97 |
Real Madrid
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 3 · scoring 3 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 25 46% | 2.12 | 2.12 | 1.16 | 1.79 | 1.39 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 14 26% | 2.0 | 2.29 | 1.29 | 2.15 | 1.05 |
| 4-3-3 | 10 18% | 2.5 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 2.49 | 1.28 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 4% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1.88 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 3.28 | 1.44 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
26.0Home 4% P 4%12.0Draw 8% P 7%1.07Away 88% P 90%
Double Chance
9.0Kairat Almaty or Draw 5% P 6%1.05Kairat Almaty or Real Madrid 46% P 46%1.01Draw or Real Madrid 48% P 48%
Draw No Bet
17.01 6%1.022 94%
Both Teams To Score
2.0Yes 47% P 42%1.75No 53% P 58%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.25Over 76% P 73%4.0Under 24% P 27%
Total Corners
9.0Under 6 10%3.16 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%
Number of Cards
2.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%
3.52.2Over 42% P 41%1.61Under 58% P 59%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 0–10% · away 80–90% · 217 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4% | 6% | 7% | +1.4 |
| Draw | 7% | 11% | 10% | -1.6 |
| Away | 90% | 83% | 83% | +0.2 |
In those fixtures: 3.5 goals a game · BTTS 45% · over 2.5 66%
Both teams to score · yes 40–42.5% · 664 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42% | 41% | 41% | -0.7 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 72.5–75% · 217 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 73% | 73% | 74% | +0.3 |
Marco Guida
- Career
- 277 matches · 18 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.94 (4.73 yellow · 0.14 red)
- Fouls / match
- 23.6 · 4.1 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.37
- Cards to home side
- 47%
Style in Champions League (5-year window · 19 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.53 | 4.4 | -1.12 | 10 |
| Fouls / match | 22.1 | 22.7 | -0.27 | |
| Fouls per card | 6.2 | 5.2 | +0.85 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.42 | 0.32 | +0.66 | 74 |
| Time added | 6.3 | 6.5 | -0.10 | 45 |
- First card
- 32' on average
- Card timing
- 20% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 55% (league 47%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.0
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-18 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 5' | 10 |
| 2025-08-29 | 4 | 0 | 29 | 2 | 6' | 6 |
| 2025-08-21 | 5 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 4' | 5 |
| 2025-08-12 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 33' | 6 |
| 2024-12-22 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 73' | 6 |
| 2024-12-15 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 22' | 6 |
| 2024-12-12 | 4 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 45' | 7 |
| 2024-12-02 | 5 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 53' | 5 |
| 2024-11-04 | 7 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 27' | 7 |
| 2024-10-27 | 4 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 52' | 5 |