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Champions League · League Stage · Matchday 1

Momentum

MCINapoli
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
League Stage
Round
1

Venue

Stadium
Etihad Stadium, Manchester
Capacity
52,900
Surface
grass
Attendance
49,531

Teams

Coaches
Pep Guardiola · Antonio Conte
Position
25 · 26
Formation
4-1-4-1 · 4-1-4-1

Referee

Felix Zwayer

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
19.2° (feels 19.3°)
Wind
6.7
Humidity
79%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Arsenal 8800 23419 24 WWWWW
2 FC Bayern München 8701 22814 21 WLWWW
3 Liverpool 8602 20812 18 WLWWW
4 Tottenham Hotspur 8521 17710 17 WLWWW
5 FC Barcelona 8512 22148 16 DLWWW
6 Chelsea 8512 17107 16 DWLWW
7 Sporting CP 8512 17116 16 DWLWW
8 Manchester City 8512 1596 16 WLWLW
9 Real Madrid 8503 21129 15 LWLWL
10 Inter 8503 1578 15 WLLLW
11 Paris Saint Germain 8422 211110 14 LWDLD
12 Newcastle United 8422 17710 14 WLDWD
13 Juventus 8341 14104 13 DWWWD
14 Atlético de Madrid 8413 17152 13 WWWDL
15 Atalanta 8413 10100 13 WWWLL
16 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8332 1314-1 12 WWDLW
17 Borussia Dortmund 8323 19172 11 LWDLL
18 Olympiacos F.C. 8323 1014-4 11 DLWWW
19 Club Brugge 8314 1517-2 10 DLLWW
20 Galatasaray 8314 911-2 10 WLLDL
21 Monaco 8242 814-6 10 WDWLD
22 Qarabağ 8314 1321-8 10 DLLWL
23 Bodø / Glimt 8233 1415-1 9 LLDWW
24 Benfica 8305 1012-2 9 LWWLW
25 Olympique Marseille 8305 1114-3 9 LWWLL
26 Pafos FC 8233 811-3 9 WDLLW
27 Union Saint-Gilloise 8305 817-9 9 LWLLW
28 PSV 8224 16160 8 DWLLL
29 Athletic Club 8224 914-5 8 LDDWL
30 Napoli 8224 915-6 8 DWLDL
31 FC København 8224 1221-9 8 LWWDL
32 Ajax 8206 821-13 6 LLWWL
33 Eintracht Frankfurt 8116 1021-11 4 DLLLL
34 Slavia Praha 8035 519-14 3 LDLLL
35 Villarreal 8017 518-13 1 LLLLL
36 Kairat 8017 722-15 1 LLLLL
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Manchester City

WWLLW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 10 GA 4 · xG 10.11–7.16 · xPts 8.67

  • W H Manchester United 3–0 xG 1.95–1.29 UK PL
  • L A Brighton & Hove Albion 1–2 xG 2.14–2.08 UK PL
  • L H Tottenham Hotspur 0–2 xG 1.16–1.24 UK PL
  • W A Wolverhampton Wanderers 4–0 xG 1.94–0.89 UK PL
  • W A Fulham 2–0 xG 2.93–1.67 UK PL

Napoli

WWWW 4W 0D 0L · 12 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 8 GA 1 · xG 9.36–3.32 · xPts 9.19

  • W A Fiorentina 3–1 xG 3.0–2.18 ITA SA
  • W H Cagliari 1–0 xG 1.95–0.46 ITA SA
  • W A Sassuolo 2–0 xG 1.59–0.53 ITA SA
  • W H Cagliari 2–0 xG 2.82–0.15 ITA SA

All meetings · 5 matches since 2011

Manchester City 31 draws1 Napoli

Goals 10–6 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Last 10 · 5 matches

Manchester City 31 draws1 Napoli

Goals 10–6 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Manchester City 31 draws1 Napoli

Goals 10–6 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Manchester City 2–0 Napoli UEFA CL · League Stage
  • W Napoli 2–4 Manchester City UEFA CL · Group Stage
  • W Manchester City 2–1 Napoli neutral UEFA CL · Group Stage
  • L Napoli 2–1 Manchester City neutral UEFA CL · Group Stage
  • D Manchester City 1–1 Napoli neutral UEFA CL · Group Stage
MetricManchester City all · 10Manchester City at home · 5Napoli all · 8Napoli away · 4
Results
Matches1058
Points per game1.601.801.00
W / D / L5 / 1 / 43 / 0 / 22 / 2 / 4
Goals for / match1.601.801.13
Goals against / match1.401.001.88
Clean sheets30%40%25%
Failed to score20%20%38%
Both teams scored50%40%50%
Over 2.560%40%38%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.731.911.36
xG against / match1.341.041.63
xG difference0.380.87-0.26
Finishing vs xG-0.13-0.11-0.24
xPts / match1.652.001.20
Points vs xPts-0.05-0.20-0.20
Game state
Scored first50%60%50%
PPG when scoring first2.603.001.75
PPG when conceding first0.600.000.00
Came back from behind20%0%0%
Leads held83%100%40%
Minutes leading39%40%16%
Minutes level35%40%59%
Minutes trailing26%19%25%
First goal (min)323241
First goal conceded (min)293944
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half31%44%44%
Goals conceded in 2nd half36%60%73%
Late goals for (76'+)0.100.200.25
Late goals against0.200.200.50
Style
Possession59%55%52%
Shots15.618.411.8
On target6.97.83.6
Shot conversion10%10%10%
Shots inside box70%68%71%
Big chances created3.13.02.0
Corners6.37.06.1
xG from set plays23%19%39%
Goals from headers19%11%56%
Pressure index23.626.015.9
Dominant minutes69.067.652.3
Pass accuracy90%90%86%
Fouls9.96.413.8
Cards2.100.801.75

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Manchester City

0–15'20
16–30'48
31–45'51
46–60'32
61–75'11
76–90'12

Napoli

0–15'00
16–30'02
31–45'52
46–60'03
61–75'24
76–90'24

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Manchester City · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.41) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.60

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.415
Early press (0-15, level)+0.025

Game state

When ahead+0.395
When level+0.535
10 min after conceding-0.042
10 min after scoring+0.605

Situations

At home+0.222
Away+0.543
4+ days rest+0.314

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.443
v mid-tier opponents+0.362
As favourite+0.444

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.385
Conceded when ahead-0.435
Conceded late (76+)-0.525

Congested vs rested +0.49 · Ahead vs level -0.14 · Behind vs level -0.43

Napoli · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.01) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.82

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.015
Early press (0-15, level)-0.105
Late push (76+, level)+0.352
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.433

Game state

When ahead+0.473
When level-0.055
When behind-0.253
10 min after conceding-0.473
10 min after scoring+0.824

Situations

At home+0.023
Away-0.062
4+ days rest-0.015

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.322
As favourite+0.442
As underdog-0.432

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.305
Conceded when ahead+0.263
Conceded late (76+)-0.115

Ahead vs level +0.52 · Behind vs level -0.20

Manchester City

Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 5 · scoring 18 · clean sheets 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-1-4-14 40%2.52.50.751.71.16
4-3-33 30%1.01.02.01.931.28
4-2-3-12 20%1.51.51.01.911.5
4-1-3-21 10%0.00.03.00.831.95

Napoli

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-14 50%1.01.251.51.711.53
4-1-4-12 25%1.51.01.50.461.75
4-3-31 12%1.00.00.02.140.44
4-4-1-11 12%0.02.06.01.02.97

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.65Home 57% P 60%4.0Draw 24% P 23%5.0Away 19% P 17%

Double Chance

1.16Man City or Draw 40% P 42%1.22Man City or Napoli 38% P 39%2.2Draw or Napoli 21% P 20%

Draw No Bet

1.251 75%3.752 25%

Both Teams To Score

1.75Yes 53% P 56%2.0No 47% P 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 58%2.1Under 45% P 42%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 60–62.5% · away 15–17.5% · 649 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home60%61%62%+0.4
Draw23%23%23%+0.7
Away17%16%15%-1.1

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 58%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes56%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.558%59%60%+0.8

Felix Zwayer

Career
349 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
4.57 (4.39 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
21.0 · 4.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.29
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Champions League (5-year window · 28 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.434.4+1.7897
Fouls / match20.122.7-1.52
Fouls per card3.75.2-2.01 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.50.32+1.3090
Time added7.26.5+1.0184
First card
27' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 29% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.07

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-13 51 140 21'13
2025-08-27 21 100 3'4
2025-08-23 90 321 37'18
2025-05-21 70 320 35'10
2025-05-17 14 4
2025-05-07 60 221 18'7
2025-05-03 40 150 50'9
2025-04-19 50 230 51'10
2025-04-10 60 302 35'6
2025-04-05 10 140 65'7