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Champions League · League Stage · Matchday 8

Momentum

NapoliChelsea
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
League Stage
Round
8

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Napoli
Capacity
54,726
Surface
grass
Attendance
46,513

Teams

Coaches
Antonio Conte · Liam Rosenior
Position
25 · 8
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Clément Turpin

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
12.5° (feels 10.4°)
Wind
3.6
Humidity
24%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Arsenal 8800 23419 24 WWWWW
2 FC Bayern München 8701 22814 21 WLWWW
3 Liverpool 8602 20812 18 WLWWW
4 Tottenham Hotspur 8521 17710 17 WLWWW
5 FC Barcelona 8512 22148 16 DLWWW
6 Chelsea 8512 17107 16 DWLWW
7 Sporting CP 8512 17116 16 DWLWW
8 Manchester City 8512 1596 16 WLWLW
9 Real Madrid 8503 21129 15 LWLWL
10 Inter 8503 1578 15 WLLLW
11 Paris Saint Germain 8422 211110 14 LWDLD
12 Newcastle United 8422 17710 14 WLDWD
13 Juventus 8341 14104 13 DWWWD
14 Atlético de Madrid 8413 17152 13 WWWDL
15 Atalanta 8413 10100 13 WWWLL
16 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8332 1314-1 12 WWDLW
17 Borussia Dortmund 8323 19172 11 LWDLL
18 Olympiacos F.C. 8323 1014-4 11 DLWWW
19 Club Brugge 8314 1517-2 10 DLLWW
20 Galatasaray 8314 911-2 10 WLLDL
21 Monaco 8242 814-6 10 WDWLD
22 Qarabağ 8314 1321-8 10 DLLWL
23 Bodø / Glimt 8233 1415-1 9 LLDWW
24 Benfica 8305 1012-2 9 LWWLW
25 Olympique Marseille 8305 1114-3 9 LWWLL
26 Pafos FC 8233 811-3 9 WDLLW
27 Union Saint-Gilloise 8305 817-9 9 LWLLW
28 PSV 8224 16160 8 DWLLL
29 Athletic Club 8224 914-5 8 LDDWL
30 Napoli 8224 915-6 8 DWLDL
31 FC København 8224 1221-9 8 LWWDL
32 Ajax 8206 821-13 6 LLWWL
33 Eintracht Frankfurt 8116 1021-11 4 DLLLL
34 Slavia Praha 8035 519-14 3 LDLLL
35 Villarreal 8017 518-13 1 LLLLL
36 Kairat 8017 722-15 1 LLLLL
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Napoli

DDWDL 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 4 GA 6 · xG 5.47–6.24 · xPts 6.27

  • L A Juventus 0–3 xG 0.61–1.3 ITA SA
  • D A FC København 1–1 xG 1.63–1.75 UEFA CL
  • W H Sassuolo 1–0 xG 0.64–1.27 ITA SA
  • D H Parma 0–0 xG 1.51–0.34 ITA SA
  • D A Inter 2–2 xG 1.08–1.58 ITA SA

Chelsea

LWWWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 12 GA 4 · xG 12.56–5.96 · xPts 10.47

  • W A Crystal Palace 3–1 xG 2.31–1.75 UK PL
  • W H Pafos FC 1–0 xG 2.16–0.21 UEFA CL
  • W H Brentford 2–0 xG 1.58–1.46 UK PL
  • W A Charlton Athletic 5–1 xG 4.1–1.11 UK FA Cup
  • L A Fulham 1–2 xG 2.41–1.43 UK PL

All meetings · 3 matches since 2012

Napoli 10 draws2 Chelsea

Goals 6–8 · 4.67 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 3 matches

Napoli 10 draws2 Chelsea

Goals 6–8 · 4.67 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 3 matches

Napoli 10 draws2 Chelsea

Goals 6–8 · 4.67 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • L Napoli 2–3 Chelsea UEFA CL · League Stage
  • L Chelsea 4–1 Napoli aet UEFA CL · Round of 16 · leg 2/2
  • W Napoli 3–1 Chelsea neutral UEFA CL · Round of 16 · leg 1/2
MetricNapoli all · 8Napoli at home · 4Chelsea all · 10Chelsea away · 5
Results
Matches8105
Points per game1.001.600.80
W / D / L2 / 2 / 45 / 1 / 41 / 1 / 3
Goals for / match1.131.901.80
Goals against / match1.881.802.80
Clean sheets25%30%0%
Failed to score38%10%0%
Both teams scored50%60%100%
Over 2.538%80%100%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.361.731.32
xG against / match1.631.211.59
xG difference-0.260.53-0.27
Finishing vs xG-0.240.170.48
xPts / match1.201.661.22
Points vs xPts-0.20-0.06-0.42
Game state
Scored first50%70%60%
PPG when scoring first1.752.291.33
PPG when conceding first0.000.000.00
Came back from behind0%33%40%
Leads held40%71%33%
Minutes leading16%32%14%
Minutes level59%41%50%
Minutes trailing25%27%35%
First goal (min)412923
First goal conceded (min)442729
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half44%42%44%
Goals conceded in 2nd half73%39%43%
Late goals for (76'+)0.250.200.20
Late goals against0.500.300.60
Style
Possession52%55%50%
Shots11.813.911.0
On target3.65.64.2
Shot conversion10%14%16%
Shots inside box71%63%64%
Big chances created2.02.52.2
Corners6.16.13.8
xG from set plays39%33%29%
Goals from headers56%5%0%
Pressure index15.922.111.1
Dominant minutes52.361.343.2
Pass accuracy86%88%87%
Fouls13.812.212.4
Cards1.751.701.20

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Napoli

0–15'00
16–30'02
31–45'52
46–60'03
61–75'24
76–90'24

Chelsea

0–15'03
16–30'93
31–45'25
46–60'41
61–75'23
76–90'23

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Napoli · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.01) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.82

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.015
Early press (0-15, level)-0.105
Late push (76+, level)+0.352
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.443

Game state

When ahead+0.473
When level-0.055
When behind-0.253
10 min after conceding-0.473
10 min after scoring+0.824

Situations

At home+0.023
Away-0.062
4+ days rest-0.015

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.322
As favourite+0.442
As underdog-0.432

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.305
Conceded when ahead+0.263
Conceded late (76+)-0.115

Ahead vs level +0.52 · Behind vs level -0.20

Chelsea · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.09) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.33

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.095
Early press (0-15, level)+0.185
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.342

Game state

When ahead+0.074
When level-0.045
When behind+0.323
10 min after conceding-0.335
10 min after scoring+0.324

Situations

At home-0.002
Away+0.163
4+ days rest+0.095

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.064
As favourite+0.153

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.215
Conceded when ahead+0.354
Conceded late (76+)-0.335

Ahead vs level +0.11 · Behind vs level +0.36

Napoli

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-14 50%1.01.251.51.711.53
4-1-4-12 25%1.51.01.50.461.75
4-3-31 12%1.00.00.02.140.44
4-4-1-11 12%0.02.06.01.02.97

Chelsea

Current: winless 3 · conceding 10

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-19 90%1.441.561.891.491.22
4-3-31 10%3.05.01.03.941.05

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.3h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.4Home 28% P 27%3.6Draw 26% P 27%2.05Away 46% P 46%

Double Chance

1.72Napoli or Draw 27% P 27%1.28Napoli or Chelsea 37% P 36%1.3Draw or Chelsea 36% P 36%

Draw No Bet

2.51 38%1.52 62%

Both Teams To Score

1.7Yes 55% P 56%2.05No 45% P 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 52%2.0Under 47% P 48%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

4.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 25–27.5% · away 45–47.5% · 466 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home27%26%26%-0.3
Draw27%28%28%+0.2
Away46%46%46%+0.1

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 51%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes56%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.552%51%51%-0.1

Clément Turpin

Career
414 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
3.74 (3.47 yellow · 0.21 red)
Fouls / match
21.9 · 5.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.38
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Champions League (5-year window · 35 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.744.4-0.8023
Fouls / match22.622.7+0.08
Fouls per card6.45.2+0.99 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.490.32+1.1987
Time added6.46.5+0.0248
First card
39' on average
Card timing
13% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
Cards to home side
55% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.18

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-24 20 250 19'6
2026-01-03 30 241 4'6
2025-12-10 60 311 11'7
2025-11-29 41 230 12'9
2025-11-04 20 160 63'6
2025-11-02 11 250 8'9
2025-10-29 50 211 45'7
2025-10-17 30 201 56'8
2025-10-04 15 10
2025-09-30 80 261 36'13