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Champions League · League Stage · Matchday 5

Momentum

NapoliQarabağ
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
League Stage
Round
5

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Napoli
Capacity
54,726
Surface
grass
Attendance
32,019

Teams

Coaches
Antonio Conte · Qurban Qurbanov
Position
25 · 15
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Szymon Marciniak

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
12.2° (feels 11.9°)
Wind
2.1
Humidity
94%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Arsenal 8800 23419 24 WWWWW
2 FC Bayern München 8701 22814 21 WLWWW
3 Liverpool 8602 20812 18 WLWWW
4 Tottenham Hotspur 8521 17710 17 WLWWW
5 FC Barcelona 8512 22148 16 DLWWW
6 Chelsea 8512 17107 16 DWLWW
7 Sporting CP 8512 17116 16 DWLWW
8 Manchester City 8512 1596 16 WLWLW
9 Real Madrid 8503 21129 15 LWLWL
10 Inter 8503 1578 15 WLLLW
11 Paris Saint Germain 8422 211110 14 LWDLD
12 Newcastle United 8422 17710 14 WLDWD
13 Juventus 8341 14104 13 DWWWD
14 Atlético de Madrid 8413 17152 13 WWWDL
15 Atalanta 8413 10100 13 WWWLL
16 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8332 1314-1 12 WWDLW
17 Borussia Dortmund 8323 19172 11 LWDLL
18 Olympiacos F.C. 8323 1014-4 11 DLWWW
19 Club Brugge 8314 1517-2 10 DLLWW
20 Galatasaray 8314 911-2 10 WLLDL
21 Monaco 8242 814-6 10 WDWLD
22 Qarabağ 8314 1321-8 10 DLLWL
23 Bodø / Glimt 8233 1415-1 9 LLDWW
24 Benfica 8305 1012-2 9 LWWLW
25 Olympique Marseille 8305 1114-3 9 LWWLL
26 Pafos FC 8233 811-3 9 WDLLW
27 Union Saint-Gilloise 8305 817-9 9 LWLLW
28 PSV 8224 16160 8 DWLLL
29 Athletic Club 8224 914-5 8 LDDWL
30 Napoli 8224 915-6 8 DWLDL
31 FC København 8224 1221-9 8 LWWDL
32 Ajax 8206 821-13 6 LLWWL
33 Eintracht Frankfurt 8116 1021-11 4 DLLLL
34 Slavia Praha 8035 519-14 3 LDLLL
35 Villarreal 8017 518-13 1 LLLLL
36 Kairat 8017 722-15 1 LLLLL
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Napoli

WDDLW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 4 GA 3 · xG 5.89–4.83 · xPts 7.17

  • W H Atalanta 3–1 xG 1.84–0.97 ITA SA
  • L A Bologna 0–2 xG 0.22–0.93 ITA SA
  • D H Eintracht Frankfurt 0–0 xG 2.14–0.44 UEFA CL
  • D H Como 0–0 xG 0.67–1.27 ITA SA
  • W A Lecce 1–0 xG 1.02–1.22 ITA SA

Qarabağ

LWWLD 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 10 GA 10 · xG 6.16–9.39 · xPts 5.24

  • D H Chelsea 2–2 xG 1.55–1.5 UEFA CL
  • L A Athletic Club 1–3 xG 0.51–2.53 UEFA CL
  • W H FC København 2–0 xG 1.28–1.36 UEFA CL
  • W A Benfica 3–2 xG 1.57–1.19 UEFA CL
  • L H Ferencvárosi 2–3 xG 1.25–2.81 UEFA CL

All meetings · 1 match since 2025

Napoli 10 draws0 Qarabağ

Goals 2–0 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Last 10 · 1 match

Napoli 10 draws0 Qarabağ

Goals 2–0 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Last 5 · 1 match

Napoli 10 draws0 Qarabağ

Goals 2–0 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Recent meetings

  • W Napoli 2–0 Qarabağ UEFA CL · League Stage
MetricNapoli all · 8Napoli at home · 4Qarabağ all · 16Qarabağ away · 8
Results
Matches8168
Points per game1.001.561.50
W / D / L2 / 2 / 48 / 1 / 74 / 0 / 4
Goals for / match1.131.941.63
Goals against / match1.882.192.13
Clean sheets25%25%25%
Failed to score38%12%25%
Both teams scored50%62%50%
Over 2.538%75%75%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.361.140.92
xG against / match1.632.472.73
xG difference-0.26-1.33-1.81
Finishing vs xG-0.240.610.58
xPts / match1.200.880.71
Points vs xPts-0.200.200.29
Game state
Scored first50%44%38%
PPG when scoring first1.752.142.00
PPG when conceding first0.001.111.20
Came back from behind0%42%33%
Leads held40%67%80%
Minutes leading16%34%30%
Minutes level59%38%33%
Minutes trailing25%28%37%
First goal (min)412627
First goal conceded (min)442126
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half44%48%69%
Goals conceded in 2nd half73%49%53%
Late goals for (76'+)0.250.440.50
Late goals against0.500.440.25
Style
Possession52%49%46%
Shots11.811.811.9
On target3.64.64.9
Shot conversion10%16%14%
Shots inside box71%60%63%
Big chances created2.02.11.7
Corners6.14.44.0
xG from set plays39%24%31%
Goals from headers56%0%0%
Pressure index15.912.38.2
Dominant minutes52.344.638.0
Pass accuracy86%82%80%
Fouls13.89.08.9
Cards1.751.311.38

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Napoli

0–15'00
16–30'02
31–45'52
46–60'03
61–75'24
76–90'24

Qarabağ

0–15'49
16–30'74
31–45'55
46–60'75
61–75'15
76–90'77

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Napoli · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.01) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.82

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.015
Early press (0-15, level)-0.105
Late push (76+, level)+0.352
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.433

Game state

When ahead+0.473
When level-0.055
When behind-0.253
10 min after conceding-0.473
10 min after scoring+0.824

Situations

At home+0.023
Away-0.062
4+ days rest-0.015

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.322
As favourite+0.442
As underdog-0.432

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.305
Conceded when ahead+0.263
Conceded late (76+)-0.115

Ahead vs level +0.52 · Behind vs level -0.20

Qarabağ · 8 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.05) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.25

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.058
Early press (0-15, level)+0.218
Late push (76+, level)-0.253

Game state

When ahead-0.065
When level+0.108
10 min after conceding-0.242
10 min after scoring+0.005

Situations

At home-0.044
Away+0.144
4+ days rest+0.058

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.402
As favourite+0.174
Evenly matched-0.172
As underdog+0.042

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.078
Conceded when ahead-0.035
Conceded late (76+)-0.057

Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level +0.04

Napoli

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-14 50%1.01.251.51.711.53
4-1-4-12 25%1.51.01.50.461.75
4-4-1-11 12%0.02.06.01.02.97
4-3-31 12%1.00.00.02.140.44

Qarabağ

Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-114 88%1.571.862.291.092.46
3-4-2-11 6%0.02.03.01.692.57
4-3-31 6%3.03.00.0

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.16Home 81% P 81%7.0Draw 13% P 13%17.0Away 6% P 6%

Double Chance

1.02Napoli or Draw 47% P 47%1.1Napoli or FK Qarabag 44% P 44%5.0Draw or FK Qarabag 10% P 10%

Draw No Bet

1.031 94%15.02 6%

Both Teams To Score

2.2Yes 42% P 43%1.61No 58% P 57%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.5Over 64% P 64%2.62Under 36% P 36%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.52.0Over 46% P 42%1.72Under 54% P 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 80–82.5% · away 5–7.5% · 442 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home81%81%83%+1.6
Draw13%13%11%-1.8
Away6%6%6%+0.2

In those fixtures: 3.3 goals a game · BTTS 45% · over 2.5 65%

Both teams to score · yes 42.5–45% · 1,287 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes43%44%48%+4.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.564%64%63%-0.4

Szymon Marciniak

Career
105 matches · 16 seasons
Cards / match
4.71 (4.42 yellow · 0.12 red)
Fouls / match
24.1 · 4.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.47
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Champions League (5-year window · 39 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.14.4-0.2545
Fouls / match24.422.7+1.24
Fouls per card5.95.2+0.50 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.410.32+0.5868
Time added5.96.5-0.5923
First card
35' on average
Card timing
12% in first 30' · 44% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.3

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-05 30 280 15'6
2025-10-21 20 230 17'4
2025-10-01 30 290 43'5
2025-08-26 30 250 44'4
2025-08-12 30 260 7'9
2025-05-06 70 241 36'9
2025-04-10 30 290 62'3
2025-03-12 80 271 39'4
2025-02-18 61 210 22'6
2025-01-30 50 220 6'7