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Champions League · League Stage · Matchday 5

Momentum

OLYReal Madrid
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
League Stage
Round
5

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki, Piraeus
Capacity
33,334
Surface
grass
Attendance
32,325

Teams

Coaches
Mendilibar · Xabi Alonso
Position
33 · 5
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Michael Oliver

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
19.6° (feels 19.6°)
Wind
8.5
Humidity
75%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Arsenal 8800 23419 24 WWWWW
2 FC Bayern München 8701 22814 21 WLWWW
3 Liverpool 8602 20812 18 WLWWW
4 Tottenham Hotspur 8521 17710 17 WLWWW
5 FC Barcelona 8512 22148 16 DLWWW
6 Chelsea 8512 17107 16 DWLWW
7 Sporting CP 8512 17116 16 DWLWW
8 Manchester City 8512 1596 16 WLWLW
9 Real Madrid 8503 21129 15 LWLWL
10 Inter 8503 1578 15 WLLLW
11 Paris Saint Germain 8422 211110 14 LWDLD
12 Newcastle United 8422 17710 14 WLDWD
13 Juventus 8341 14104 13 DWWWD
14 Atlético de Madrid 8413 17152 13 WWWDL
15 Atalanta 8413 10100 13 WWWLL
16 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8332 1314-1 12 WWDLW
17 Borussia Dortmund 8323 19172 11 LWDLL
18 Olympiacos F.C. 8323 1014-4 11 DLWWW
19 Club Brugge 8314 1517-2 10 DLLWW
20 Galatasaray 8314 911-2 10 WLLDL
21 Monaco 8242 814-6 10 WDWLD
22 Qarabağ 8314 1321-8 10 DLLWL
23 Bodø / Glimt 8233 1415-1 9 LLDWW
24 Benfica 8305 1012-2 9 LWWLW
25 Olympique Marseille 8305 1114-3 9 LWWLL
26 Pafos FC 8233 811-3 9 WDLLW
27 Union Saint-Gilloise 8305 817-9 9 LWLLW
28 PSV 8224 16160 8 DWLLL
29 Athletic Club 8224 914-5 8 LDDWL
30 Napoli 8224 915-6 8 DWLDL
31 FC København 8224 1221-9 8 LWWDL
32 Ajax 8206 821-13 6 LLWWL
33 Eintracht Frankfurt 8116 1021-11 4 DLLLL
34 Slavia Praha 8035 519-14 3 LDLLL
35 Villarreal 8017 518-13 1 LLLLL
36 Kairat 8017 722-15 1 LLLLL
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Olympiacos F.C.

DLLD 0W 2D 2L · 2 pts (0.5 ppg) · GF 2 GA 9 · xG 4.53–6.43 · xPts 5.02

  • D H PSV 1–1 xG 1.08–0.57 UEFA CL
  • L A FC Barcelona 1–6 xG 1.11–2.98 UEFA CL
  • L A Arsenal 0–2 xG 0.86–2.63 UEFA CL
  • D H Pafos FC 0–0 xG 1.48–0.24 UEFA CL

Real Madrid

WWLDD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 8 GA 4 · xG 11.66–7.12 · xPts 8.96

  • D A Elche 2–2 xG 3.66–1.41 ESP PL
  • D A Rayo Vallecano 0–0 xG 1.08–1.38 ESP PL
  • L A Liverpool 0–1 xG 0.34–2.34 UEFA CL
  • W H Valencia 4–0 xG 3.12–0.58 ESP PL
  • W H FC Barcelona 2–1 xG 3.46–1.42 ESP PL

All meetings · 5 matches since 2005

Olympiacos F.C. 11 draws3 Real Madrid

Goals 8–11 · 3.8 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Last 10 · 5 matches

Olympiacos F.C. 11 draws3 Real Madrid

Goals 8–11 · 3.8 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Olympiacos F.C. 11 draws3 Real Madrid

Goals 8–11 · 3.8 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • L Olympiacos F.C. 3–4 Real Madrid UEFA CL · League Stage
  • D Olympiacos F.C. 0–0 Real Madrid UEFA CL · Group Stage
  • L Real Madrid 4–2 Olympiacos F.C. neutral UEFA CL · Group Stage
  • W Olympiacos F.C. 2–1 Real Madrid UEFA CL · Group stage
  • L Real Madrid 2–1 Olympiacos F.C. UEFA CL · Group stage
MetricOlympiacos F.C. all · 10Olympiacos F.C. at home · 5Real Madrid all · 14Real Madrid away · 7
Results
Matches105147
Points per game1.201.001.931.71
W / D / L3 / 3 / 41 / 2 / 29 / 0 / 54 / 0 / 3
Goals for / match1.001.202.362.43
Goals against / match1.601.401.431.86
Clean sheets40%40%29%29%
Failed to score40%40%7%14%
Both teams scored40%40%64%57%
Over 2.530%20%79%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.051.132.101.81
xG against / match1.471.261.741.80
xG difference-0.42-0.130.360.00
Finishing vs xG-0.050.070.260.62
xPts / match1.171.351.571.40
Points vs xPts0.03-0.350.360.31
Game state
Scored first50%60%64%71%
PPG when scoring first2.001.332.001.80
PPG when conceding first0.000.001.801.50
Came back from behind0%0%38%25%
Leads held60%33%75%67%
Minutes leading24%39%37%41%
Minutes level47%40%47%45%
Minutes trailing29%21%15%14%
First goal (min)3492925
First goal conceded (min)43573430
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half60%33%48%47%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%57%45%54%
Late goals for (76'+)0.200.200.430.43
Late goals against0.400.200.290.57
Style
Possession43%44%54%57%
Shots12.614.617.414.4
On target3.53.66.96.6
Shot conversion8%8%14%17%
Shots inside box57%56%67%64%
Big chances created1.92.23.94.1
Corners4.44.05.74.6
xG from set plays28%24%26%22%
Goals from headers40%50%9%19%
Pressure index12.612.214.615.9
Dominant minutes45.546.054.456.1
Pass accuracy76%76%87%87%
Fouls11.110.810.810.0
Cards2.001.603.004.29

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Olympiacos F.C.

0–15'22
16–30'13
31–45'11
46–60'32
61–75'14
76–90'24

Real Madrid

0–15'23
16–30'131
31–45'27
46–60'73
61–75'32
76–90'64

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Olympiacos F.C. · 2 matches

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.152
Early press (0-15, level)-0.242
Late push (76+, level)-0.142

Game state

When ahead+0.252
When level+0.152
10 min after conceding-0.452
10 min after scoring+0.882

Situations

4+ days rest+0.152

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.092
Conceded when ahead+0.052
Conceded late (76+)-0.412

Ahead vs level +0.10 · Behind vs level -0.18

Real Madrid · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.48) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.02

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.487
Early press (0-15, level)+0.317
Late push (76+, level)+0.733

Game state

When ahead+0.346
When level+0.677
10 min after conceding-0.016
10 min after scoring+1.026

Situations

At home+0.244
Away+0.703
4+ days rest+0.456

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.693
v bottom-tier opponents+0.702
As favourite+0.487

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.107
Conceded when ahead+0.056
Conceded late (76+)-0.496

Congested vs rested +0.16 · Ahead vs level -0.33 · Behind vs level -1.19

Olympiacos F.C.

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-110 100%1.21.01.61.051.47

Real Madrid

Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 3 · scoring 3 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-4-27 50%1.711.861.431.851.91
4-3-33 21%2.03.01.672.471.87
4-2-3-13 21%3.03.671.332.891.01
4-1-4-11 7%0.00.01.00.342.34

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

4.33Home 22% P 20%4.5Draw 21% P 21%1.65Away 57% P 59%

Double Chance

2.2Olympiacos or Draw 21% P 21%1.18Olympiacos or Real Madrid 40% P 39%1.2Draw or Real Madrid 39% P 40%

Draw No Bet

3.41 28%1.32 72%

Both Teams To Score

1.5Yes 62% P 64%2.5No 38% P 36%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.44Over 66% P 65%2.75Under 34% P 35%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 33%3.612 - 14 24%6.5Over 14 13%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 20–25% · away 55–60% · 275 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home20%21%19%-1.8
Draw21%23%24%+1.5
Away59%56%57%+0.3

In those fixtures: 3.3 goals a game · BTTS 61% · over 2.5 63%

Both teams to score · yes 62.5–65% · 687 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes64%64%64%+0.4

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 65–67.5% · 870 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.565%66%69%+3.2

Michael Oliver

Career
622 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
3.53 (3.38 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
20.9 · 4.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.29
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Champions League (5-year window · 36 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.724.4+0.7074
Fouls / match23.222.7+0.49
Fouls per card4.95.2-0.64 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.220.32-0.9413
Time added5.66.5-0.9616
First card
34' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.21

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-23 40 260 32'7
2025-11-01 10 170 73'5
2025-10-26 50 240 40'9
2025-10-22 20 170 51'11
2025-10-19 20 220 52'12
2025-10-01 60 260 32'6
2025-09-27 40 250 12'7
2025-09-20 50 240 43'12
2025-09-17 30 320 17'6
2025-09-14 41 181 16'8