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Champions League · League Stage · Matchday 8

Momentum

PSGNEW
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
League Stage
Round
8

Venue

Stadium
Parc des Princes, Paris
Capacity
48,583
Surface
grass
Attendance
47,637

Teams

Coaches
Luis Enrique · Eddie Howe
Position
6 · 7
Formation
4-3-3 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Slavko Vinčić

Weather

Conditions
fog
Temperature
3.8° (feels 2.5°)
Wind
1.5
Humidity
96%

Where to watch · 358

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Arsenal 8800 23419 24 WWWWW
2 FC Bayern München 8701 22814 21 WLWWW
3 Liverpool 8602 20812 18 WLWWW
4 Tottenham Hotspur 8521 17710 17 WLWWW
5 FC Barcelona 8512 22148 16 DLWWW
6 Chelsea 8512 17107 16 DWLWW
7 Sporting CP 8512 17116 16 DWLWW
8 Manchester City 8512 1596 16 WLWLW
9 Real Madrid 8503 21129 15 LWLWL
10 Inter 8503 1578 15 WLLLW
11 Paris Saint Germain 8422 211110 14 LWDLD
12 Newcastle United 8422 17710 14 WLDWD
13 Juventus 8341 14104 13 DWWWD
14 Atlético de Madrid 8413 17152 13 WWWDL
15 Atalanta 8413 10100 13 WWWLL
16 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8332 1314-1 12 WWDLW
17 Borussia Dortmund 8323 19172 11 LWDLL
18 Olympiacos F.C. 8323 1014-4 11 DLWWW
19 Club Brugge 8314 1517-2 10 DLLWW
20 Galatasaray 8314 911-2 10 WLLDL
21 Monaco 8242 814-6 10 WDWLD
22 Qarabağ 8314 1321-8 10 DLLWL
23 Bodø / Glimt 8233 1415-1 9 LLDWW
24 Benfica 8305 1012-2 9 LWWLW
25 Olympique Marseille 8305 1114-3 9 LWWLL
26 Pafos FC 8233 811-3 9 WDLLW
27 Union Saint-Gilloise 8305 817-9 9 LWLLW
28 PSV 8224 16160 8 DWLLL
29 Athletic Club 8224 914-5 8 LDDWL
30 Napoli 8224 915-6 8 DWLDL
31 FC København 8224 1221-9 8 LWWDL
32 Ajax 8206 821-13 6 LLWWL
33 Eintracht Frankfurt 8116 1021-11 4 DLLLL
34 Slavia Praha 8035 519-14 3 LDLLL
35 Villarreal 8017 518-13 1 LLLLL
36 Kairat 8017 722-15 1 LLLLL
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Paris Saint Germain

WWWLW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 10 GA 5 · xG 7.67–3.86 · xPts 9.57

  • W A Auxerre 1–0 xG 1.49–0.51 FRA L1
  • L A Sporting CP 1–2 xG 1.75–0.8 UEFA CL
  • W H LOSC Lille 3–0 xG 1.13–0.86 FRA L1
  • W H Paris 2–1 xG 1.74–1.01 FRA L1
  • W A Metz 3–2 xG 1.55–0.69 FRA L1

Newcastle United

WDDWL 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 10 GA 8 · xG 10.73–6.34 · xPts 9.68

  • L H Aston Villa 0–2 xG 1.57–1.16 UK PL
  • W H PSV 3–0 xG 1.46–0.4 UEFA CL
  • D A Wolverhampton Wanderers 0–0 xG 1.16–0.41 UK PL
  • D H AFC Bournemouth 3–3 won on pens None–None xG 3.74–2.34 UK FA Cup
  • W H Leeds United 4–3 xG 2.81–2.04 UK PL

All meetings · 3 matches since 2023

Paris Saint Germain 02 draws1 Newcastle United

Goals 3–6 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 33%

Last 10 · 3 matches

Paris Saint Germain 02 draws1 Newcastle United

Goals 3–6 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 33%

Last 5 · 3 matches

Paris Saint Germain 02 draws1 Newcastle United

Goals 3–6 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 33%

Recent meetings

  • D Paris Saint Germain 1–1 Newcastle United UEFA CL · League Stage
  • D Paris Saint Germain 1–1 Newcastle United UEFA CL · Group Stage
  • L Newcastle United 4–1 Paris Saint Germain UEFA CL · Group Stage
MetricParis Saint Germain all · 17Paris Saint Germain at home · 9Newcastle United all · 12Newcastle United away · 6
Results
Matches179126
Points per game2.062.001.751.33
W / D / L10 / 5 / 25 / 3 / 16 / 3 / 32 / 2 / 2
Goals for / match2.652.892.422.67
Goals against / match1.351.671.502.17
Clean sheets29%22%33%17%
Failed to score6%0%0%0%
Both teams scored71%78%67%83%
Over 2.565%67%75%83%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.942.112.002.36
xG against / match1.251.121.511.97
xG difference0.700.990.490.40
Finishing vs xG0.700.770.420.30
xPts / match1.791.961.651.56
Points vs xPts0.270.040.10-0.23
Game state
Scored first47%44%67%50%
PPG when scoring first2.502.502.382.00
PPG when conceding first1.751.600.500.67
Came back from behind75%80%40%50%
Leads held77%71%67%50%
Minutes leading42%43%48%40%
Minutes level42%36%32%27%
Minutes trailing16%21%20%33%
First goal (min)33333123
First goal conceded (min)34264125
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half56%62%41%31%
Goals conceded in 2nd half44%40%72%62%
Late goals for (76'+)0.470.440.330.17
Late goals against0.180.110.170.17
Style
Possession64%66%49%46%
Shots18.818.714.114.3
On target6.97.16.67.2
Shot conversion14%16%17%19%
Shots inside box60%61%79%83%
Big chances created3.63.84.04.5
Corners5.95.75.54.2
xG from set plays28%34%43%48%
Goals from headers4%4%21%19%
Pressure index23.626.413.512.8
Dominant minutes67.276.852.845.8
Pass accuracy88%90%81%82%
Fouls9.29.410.39.7
Cards1.061.001.501.83

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Paris Saint Germain

0–15'83
16–30'24
31–45'106
46–60'73
61–75'104
76–90'83

Newcastle United

0–15'83
16–30'31
31–45'61
46–60'38
61–75'53
76–90'42

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Paris Saint Germain · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.47) · stands out: when behind +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.475
Early press (0-15, level)+0.635
Late push (76+, level)-0.252
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.203

Game state

When ahead+0.283
When level+0.405
When behind+0.673
10 min after conceding+0.143
10 min after scoring+0.665

Situations

At home+0.582
Away+0.433
4+ days rest+0.475

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.232
v mid-tier opponents+0.472
As favourite+0.475

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.325
Conceded when ahead-0.223
Conceded late (76+)-0.424

Ahead vs level -0.12 · Behind vs level +0.26

Newcastle United · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.19) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.28

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.194
Early press (0-15, level)+0.074
Late push (76+, level)-0.142

Game state

When ahead-0.342
When level-0.014
When behind-0.222
10 min after conceding-0.283
10 min after scoring-0.063

Situations

At home-0.372
Away+0.062
4+ days rest-0.194

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.372
Evenly matched+0.062

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.244
Conceded when ahead+0.442
Conceded late (76+)-0.133

Ahead vs level -0.33 · Behind vs level -0.21

Paris Saint Germain

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 36 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-317 100%2.062.651.351.941.25

Newcastle United

Current: winless 2 · scoring 4 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-39 75%1.892.331.561.881.41
3-4-2-12 17%0.51.01.51.362.4
4-2-3-11 8%3.06.01.04.390.58

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.57Home 60% P 61%4.75Draw 20% P 20%4.75Away 20% P 19%

Double Chance

1.18PSG or Draw 40% P 41%1.18PSG or Newcastle 40% P 40%2.3Draw or Newcastle 20% P 19%

Draw No Bet

1.251 75%3.752 25%

Both Teams To Score

1.44Yes 65% P 64%2.62No 35% P 36%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.4Over 68% P 68%3.0Under 32% P 32%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%7.0Over 14 13%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50% P 46%1.83Under 50% P 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 60–62.5% · away 17.5–20% · 138 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home61%61%65%+4.3
Draw20%21%18%-2.8
Away19%18%17%-1.5

In those fixtures: 3.5 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 70%

Both teams to score · yes 62.5–65% · 687 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes64%64%64%+0.4

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 67.5–70% · 626 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.568%69%69%+0.6

Slavko Vinčić

Career
95 matches · 16 seasons
Cards / match
4.21 (4.06 yellow · 0.06 red)
Fouls / match
24.3 · 5.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.16
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Champions League (5-year window · 41 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.124.4-0.2248
Fouls / match24.522.7+1.33
Fouls per card6.15.2+0.67 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.32-1.553
Time added6.56.5+0.1555
First card
35' on average
Card timing
18% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.29

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-21 10 200 48'5
2025-12-10 30 320 52'9
2025-11-25 31 300 32'5
2025-10-22 10 280 61'6
2025-09-30 20 171 14'8
2025-08-27 61 310 30'11
2025-04-29 · Paris Saint Germain 40 300 10'6
2025-04-16 40 260 28'8
2025-03-11 70 370 8'5
2025-02-19 40 340 53'9