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Champions League · League Stage · Matchday 8

Momentum

PSVFCB
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
League Stage
Round
8

Venue

Stadium
Philips Stadion, Eindhoven
Capacity
36,500
Surface
grass
Attendance
35,000

Teams

Coaches
Peter Bosz · Vincent Kompany
Position
22 · 2
Formation
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

João Pedro Silva Pinheiro

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
0.9° (feels 0.9°)
Wind
0.9
Humidity
93%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Arsenal 8800 23419 24 WWWWW
2 FC Bayern München 8701 22814 21 WLWWW
3 Liverpool 8602 20812 18 WLWWW
4 Tottenham Hotspur 8521 17710 17 WLWWW
5 FC Barcelona 8512 22148 16 DLWWW
6 Chelsea 8512 17107 16 DWLWW
7 Sporting CP 8512 17116 16 DWLWW
8 Manchester City 8512 1596 16 WLWLW
9 Real Madrid 8503 21129 15 LWLWL
10 Inter 8503 1578 15 WLLLW
11 Paris Saint Germain 8422 211110 14 LWDLD
12 Newcastle United 8422 17710 14 WLDWD
13 Juventus 8341 14104 13 DWWWD
14 Atlético de Madrid 8413 17152 13 WWWDL
15 Atalanta 8413 10100 13 WWWLL
16 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8332 1314-1 12 WWDLW
17 Borussia Dortmund 8323 19172 11 LWDLL
18 Olympiacos F.C. 8323 1014-4 11 DLWWW
19 Club Brugge 8314 1517-2 10 DLLWW
20 Galatasaray 8314 911-2 10 WLLDL
21 Monaco 8242 814-6 10 WDWLD
22 Qarabağ 8314 1321-8 10 DLLWL
23 Bodø / Glimt 8233 1415-1 9 LLDWW
24 Benfica 8305 1012-2 9 LWWLW
25 Olympique Marseille 8305 1114-3 9 LWWLL
26 Pafos FC 8233 811-3 9 WDLLW
27 Union Saint-Gilloise 8305 817-9 9 LWLLW
28 PSV 8224 16160 8 DWLLL
29 Athletic Club 8224 914-5 8 LDDWL
30 Napoli 8224 915-6 8 DWLDL
31 FC København 8224 1221-9 8 LWWDL
32 Ajax 8206 821-13 6 LLWWL
33 Eintracht Frankfurt 8116 1021-11 4 DLLLL
34 Slavia Praha 8035 519-14 3 LDLLL
35 Villarreal 8017 518-13 1 LLLLL
36 Kairat 8017 722-15 1 LLLLL
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

PSV

WWWLD 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 11 GA 8 · xG 7.96–5.38 · xPts 8.44

  • D H NAC Breda 2–2 xG 1.64–1.17 NLD E
  • L A Newcastle United 0–3 xG 0.4–1.46 UEFA CL
  • W A Fortuna Sittard 2–1 xG 2.11–0.46 NLD E
  • W H Excelsior 5–1 xG 2.22–0.6 NLD E
  • W A FC Utrecht 2–1 xG 1.59–1.7 NLD E

FC Bayern München

WWWWL 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 19 GA 5 · xG 13.14–5.74 · xPts 10.98

  • L H FC Augsburg 1–2 xG 2.0–1.33 GER BI
  • W H Union Saint-Gilloise 2–0 xG 3.42–0.65 UEFA CL
  • W A RB Leipzig 5–1 xG 3.88–2.25 GER BI
  • W A FC Köln 3–1 xG 1.5–0.6 GER BI
  • W H VfL Wolfsburg 8–1 xG 2.33–0.92 GER BI

All meetings · 3 matches since 2016

PSV 00 draws3 FC Bayern München

Goals 3–8 · 3.67 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 3 matches

PSV 00 draws3 FC Bayern München

Goals 3–8 · 3.67 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 3 matches

PSV 00 draws3 FC Bayern München

Goals 3–8 · 3.67 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • L PSV 1–2 FC Bayern München UEFA CL · League Stage
  • L PSV 1–2 FC Bayern München UEFA CL · Group Stage
  • L FC Bayern München 4–1 PSV UEFA CL · Group Stage
MetricPSV all · 8PSV at home · 4FC Bayern München all · 14FC Bayern München away · 7
Results
Matches8147
Points per game1.002.432.14
W / D / L2 / 2 / 411 / 1 / 25 / 0 / 2
Goals for / match2.003.073.14
Goals against / match2.001.431.86
Clean sheets0%14%0%
Failed to score12%0%0%
Both teams scored88%86%100%
Over 2.575%86%100%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.432.502.33
xG against / match1.761.391.63
xG difference-0.331.120.69
Finishing vs xG0.570.570.82
xPts / match1.131.961.73
Points vs xPts-0.130.470.41
Game state
Scored first25%71%86%
PPG when scoring first1.502.702.50
PPG when conceding first0.831.750.00
Came back from behind43%60%0%
Leads held67%92%83%
Minutes leading17%48%51%
Minutes level40%33%36%
Minutes trailing43%19%13%
First goal (min)543226
First goal conceded (min)304858
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half75%51%41%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%50%62%
Late goals for (76'+)1.000.430.14
Late goals against0.380.290.43
Style
Possession52%61%56%
Shots10.818.416.4
On target3.98.18.4
Shot conversion19%17%19%
Shots inside box62%71%75%
Big chances created3.35.05.4
Corners5.05.45.3
xG from set plays26%28%26%
Goals from headers6%7%4%
Pressure index11.020.416.4
Dominant minutes48.561.751.4
Pass accuracy84%88%86%
Fouls10.310.29.7
Cards2.752.142.14

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

PSV

0–15'22
16–30'03
31–45'23
46–60'23
61–75'22
76–90'83

FC Bayern München

0–15'62
16–30'74
31–45'84
46–60'73
61–75'93
76–90'64

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

PSV · 7 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.66) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.23

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.667
Early press (0-15, level)+0.067
Late push (76+, level)-0.192

Game state

When ahead+0.576
When level+0.787
When behind+0.335
10 min after conceding+0.457
10 min after scoring+1.237

Situations

At home+0.604
Away+0.723
4+ days rest+0.606

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.112
v mid-tier opponents+0.933
v bottom-tier opponents+0.882
As favourite+0.726

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.327
Conceded when ahead-0.386
Conceded late (76+)-0.466

Congested vs rested +0.35 · Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level -0.44

FC Bayern München · 5 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.86) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.32

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.865
Early press (0-15, level)+0.905

Game state

When ahead+0.894
When level+0.855
10 min after conceding+0.432
10 min after scoring+1.324

Situations

At home+0.693
Away+1.052
4+ days rest+0.784

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.612
v bottom-tier opponents+0.972
As favourite+0.865

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.445
Conceded when ahead-0.474
Conceded late (76+)-0.774

Congested vs rested +0.33 · Ahead vs level +0.04

PSV

Current: unbeaten 13 · wins 1 · scoring 23 · conceding 11

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 50%1.02.02.251.451.59
4-4-24 50%1.02.01.751.411.93

FC Bayern München

Current: unbeaten 9 · wins 3 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-114 100%2.433.071.432.51.39

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

4.75Home 20% P 20%4.5Draw 21% P 21%1.61Away 59% P 59%

Double Chance

2.5PSV or Draw 19% P 20%1.18PSV or Bayern Munich 40% P 39%1.14Draw or Bayern Munich 41% P 41%

Draw No Bet

4.331 22%1.22 78%

Both Teams To Score

1.44Yes 65% P 67%2.62No 35% P 33%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.36Over 70% P 70%3.2Under 30% P 30%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 33%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

3.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 17.5–20% · away 57.5–60% · 326 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home20%19%15%-3.2
Draw21%23%21%-1.4
Away59%59%63%+4.6

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 59%

Both teams to score · yes 65–67.5% · 319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes67%66%66%+0.4

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 70–72.5% · 478 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.570%71%70%-1.3

João Pedro Silva Pinheiro

Career
234 matches · 12 seasons
Cards / match
4.91 (4.7 yellow · 0.12 red)
Fouls / match
27.5 · 5.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.34
Cards to home side
51%

Style in Champions League (5-year window · 18 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.284.4+0.0355
Fouls / match20.422.7-1.32
Fouls per card5.05.2-0.51 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.060.32-2.270
Time added5.56.5-1.0813
First card
36' on average
Card timing
13% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.25

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-24 40 350 18'6
2026-01-20 40 260 72'4
2026-01-17 91 230 5'9
2025-12-22 20 200 63'3
2025-12-09 50 200 28'6
2025-11-25 20 120 60'3
2025-11-09 50 281 49'6
2025-11-04 30 220 45'7
2025-11-01 71 230 43'7
2025-10-24 71 301 5'7