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Champions League · League Stage · Matchday 3

Momentum

PSVNapoli
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
League Stage
Round
3

Venue

Stadium
Philips Stadion, Eindhoven
Capacity
36,500
Surface
grass
Attendance
34,700

Teams

Coaches
Peter Bosz · Antonio Conte
Position
27 · 19
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-1-1

Referee

Daniel Siebert

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
12.3° (feels 11.8°)
Wind
8.7
Humidity
83%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Arsenal 8800 23419 24 WWWWW
2 FC Bayern München 8701 22814 21 WLWWW
3 Liverpool 8602 20812 18 WLWWW
4 Tottenham Hotspur 8521 17710 17 WLWWW
5 FC Barcelona 8512 22148 16 DLWWW
6 Chelsea 8512 17107 16 DWLWW
7 Sporting CP 8512 17116 16 DWLWW
8 Manchester City 8512 1596 16 WLWLW
9 Real Madrid 8503 21129 15 LWLWL
10 Inter 8503 1578 15 WLLLW
11 Paris Saint Germain 8422 211110 14 LWDLD
12 Newcastle United 8422 17710 14 WLDWD
13 Juventus 8341 14104 13 DWWWD
14 Atlético de Madrid 8413 17152 13 WWWDL
15 Atalanta 8413 10100 13 WWWLL
16 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8332 1314-1 12 WWDLW
17 Borussia Dortmund 8323 19172 11 LWDLL
18 Olympiacos F.C. 8323 1014-4 11 DLWWW
19 Club Brugge 8314 1517-2 10 DLLWW
20 Galatasaray 8314 911-2 10 WLLDL
21 Monaco 8242 814-6 10 WDWLD
22 Qarabağ 8314 1321-8 10 DLLWL
23 Bodø / Glimt 8233 1415-1 9 LLDWW
24 Benfica 8305 1012-2 9 LWWLW
25 Olympique Marseille 8305 1114-3 9 LWWLL
26 Pafos FC 8233 811-3 9 WDLLW
27 Union Saint-Gilloise 8305 817-9 9 LWLLW
28 PSV 8224 16160 8 DWLLL
29 Athletic Club 8224 914-5 8 LDDWL
30 Napoli 8224 915-6 8 DWLDL
31 FC København 8224 1221-9 8 LWWDL
32 Ajax 8206 821-13 6 LLWWL
33 Eintracht Frankfurt 8116 1021-11 4 DLLLL
34 Slavia Praha 8035 519-14 3 LDLLL
35 Villarreal 8017 518-13 1 LLLLL
36 Kairat 8017 722-15 1 LLLLL
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

PSV

DWDWW 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 11 GA 5 · xG 11.01–5.93 · xPts 9.52

  • W H Go Ahead Eagles 2–1 xG 3.68–0.52 NLD E
  • W A PEC Zwolle 4–0 xG 1.96–0.19 NLD E
  • D A Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–1 xG 0.71–1.41 UEFA CL
  • W A Excelsior 2–1 xG 2.18–1.73 NLD E
  • D H Ajax 2–2 xG 2.49–2.08 NLD E

Napoli

WLWWL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 8 GA 7 · xG 8.93–7.33 · xPts 7.87

  • L A Torino 0–1 xG 2.09–1.68 ITA SA
  • W H Genoa 2–1 xG 1.7–0.61 ITA SA
  • W H Sporting CP 2–1 xG 0.75–1.44 UEFA CL
  • L A AC Milan 1–2 xG 2.85–1.0 ITA SA
  • W H Pisa 3–2 xG 1.54–2.61 ITA SA

All meetings · 3 matches since 2012

PSV 30 draws0 Napoli

Goals 12–3 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 3 matches

PSV 30 draws0 Napoli

Goals 12–3 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 3 matches

PSV 30 draws0 Napoli

Goals 12–3 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • W PSV 6–2 Napoli UEFA CL · League Stage
  • W Napoli 1–3 PSV neutral UEFA EL · Group stage
  • W PSV 3–0 Napoli UEFA EL · Group stage
MetricPSV all · 8PSV at home · 4Napoli all · 8Napoli away · 4
Results
Matches88
Points per game1.001.00
W / D / L2 / 2 / 42 / 2 / 4
Goals for / match2.001.13
Goals against / match2.001.88
Clean sheets0%25%
Failed to score12%38%
Both teams scored88%50%
Over 2.575%38%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.431.36
xG against / match1.761.63
xG difference-0.33-0.26
Finishing vs xG0.57-0.24
xPts / match1.131.20
Points vs xPts-0.13-0.20
Game state
Scored first25%50%
PPG when scoring first1.501.75
PPG when conceding first0.830.00
Came back from behind43%0%
Leads held67%40%
Minutes leading17%16%
Minutes level40%59%
Minutes trailing43%25%
First goal (min)5441
First goal conceded (min)3044
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half75%44%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%73%
Late goals for (76'+)1.000.25
Late goals against0.380.50
Style
Possession52%52%
Shots10.811.8
On target3.93.6
Shot conversion19%10%
Shots inside box62%71%
Big chances created3.32.0
Corners5.06.1
xG from set plays26%39%
Goals from headers6%56%
Pressure index11.015.9
Dominant minutes48.552.3
Pass accuracy84%86%
Fouls10.313.8
Cards2.751.75

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

PSV

0–15'22
16–30'03
31–45'23
46–60'23
61–75'22
76–90'83

Napoli

0–15'00
16–30'02
31–45'52
46–60'03
61–75'24
76–90'24

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

PSV · 7 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.66) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.23

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.667
Early press (0-15, level)+0.077
Late push (76+, level)-0.192

Game state

When ahead+0.566
When level+0.787
When behind+0.335
10 min after conceding+0.467
10 min after scoring+1.237

Situations

At home+0.604
Away+0.723
4+ days rest+0.616

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.122
v mid-tier opponents+0.933
v bottom-tier opponents+0.882
As favourite+0.726

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.327
Conceded when ahead-0.386
Conceded late (76+)-0.466

Congested vs rested +0.34 · Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level -0.44

Napoli · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.01) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.82

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.015
Early press (0-15, level)-0.105
Late push (76+, level)+0.352
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.433

Game state

When ahead+0.473
When level-0.055
When behind-0.253
10 min after conceding-0.473
10 min after scoring+0.824

Situations

At home+0.023
Away-0.062
4+ days rest-0.015

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.322
As favourite+0.442
As underdog-0.432

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.305
Conceded when ahead+0.263
Conceded late (76+)-0.115

Ahead vs level +0.52 · Behind vs level -0.20

PSV

Current: unbeaten 13 · wins 1 · scoring 23 · conceding 11

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-4-24 50%1.02.01.751.411.93
4-2-3-14 50%1.02.02.251.451.59

Napoli

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-14 50%1.01.251.51.711.53
4-1-4-12 25%1.51.01.50.461.75
4-4-1-11 12%0.02.06.01.02.97
4-3-31 12%1.00.00.02.140.44

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.2Home 30% P 30%3.5Draw 27% P 28%2.2Away 43% P 43%

Double Chance

1.66PSV or Draw 28% P 29%1.28PSV or Napoli 37% P 36%1.36Draw or Napoli 35% P 36%

Draw No Bet

2.251 41%1.572 59%

Both Teams To Score

1.53Yes 61% P 62%2.37No 39% P 38%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 57% P 58%2.2Under 43% P 42%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.8Over 51%1.9Under 49%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 27.5–30% · away 42.5–45% · 505 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home30%29%23%-5.8
Draw28%28%27%-0.3
Away43%44%50%+6.1

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 57%

Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes62%61%62%+0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.558%59%60%+0.8

Daniel Siebert

Career
74 matches · 4 seasons
Cards / match
4.8 (4.61 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
22.7 · 4.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.24
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Champions League (5-year window · 19 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.214.4+1.4490
Fouls / match22.522.7+0.04
Fouls per card4.35.2-1.31 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.260.32-0.6129
Time added6.96.5+0.6474
First card
33' on average
Card timing
18% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-04 30 220 14'7
2025-09-30 91 270 34'8
2025-09-21 10 190 5'8
2025-09-13 11 211 90'11
2025-08-23 40 260 37'14
2025-08-20 81 340 22'5
2025-08-14 101 330 28'6
2025-05-17 10 180 33'13
2025-05-08 70 270 25'4
2025-05-04 30 260 27'6