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Champions League · League Stage · Matchday 3

Momentum

Real MadridJuventus
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
League Stage
Round
3

Venue

Stadium
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid
Capacity
84,744
Surface
grass
Attendance
76,521

Teams

Coaches
Xabi Alonso · Igor Tudor
Position
5 · 25
Formation
4-3-3 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Slavko Vinčić

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
18.8° (feels 18.3°)
Wind
6.1
Humidity
61%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Arsenal 8800 23419 24 WWWWW
2 FC Bayern München 8701 22814 21 WLWWW
3 Liverpool 8602 20812 18 WLWWW
4 Tottenham Hotspur 8521 17710 17 WLWWW
5 FC Barcelona 8512 22148 16 DLWWW
6 Chelsea 8512 17107 16 DWLWW
7 Sporting CP 8512 17116 16 DWLWW
8 Manchester City 8512 1596 16 WLWLW
9 Real Madrid 8503 21129 15 LWLWL
10 Inter 8503 1578 15 WLLLW
11 Paris Saint Germain 8422 211110 14 LWDLD
12 Newcastle United 8422 17710 14 WLDWD
13 Juventus 8341 14104 13 DWWWD
14 Atlético de Madrid 8413 17152 13 WWWDL
15 Atalanta 8413 10100 13 WWWLL
16 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8332 1314-1 12 WWDLW
17 Borussia Dortmund 8323 19172 11 LWDLL
18 Olympiacos F.C. 8323 1014-4 11 DLWWW
19 Club Brugge 8314 1517-2 10 DLLWW
20 Galatasaray 8314 911-2 10 WLLDL
21 Monaco 8242 814-6 10 WDWLD
22 Qarabağ 8314 1321-8 10 DLLWL
23 Bodø / Glimt 8233 1415-1 9 LLDWW
24 Benfica 8305 1012-2 9 LWWLW
25 Olympique Marseille 8305 1114-3 9 LWWLL
26 Pafos FC 8233 811-3 9 WDLLW
27 Union Saint-Gilloise 8305 817-9 9 LWLLW
28 PSV 8224 16160 8 DWLLL
29 Athletic Club 8224 914-5 8 LDDWL
30 Napoli 8224 915-6 8 DWLDL
31 FC København 8224 1221-9 8 LWWDL
32 Ajax 8206 821-13 6 LLWWL
33 Eintracht Frankfurt 8116 1021-11 4 DLLLL
34 Slavia Praha 8035 519-14 3 LDLLL
35 Villarreal 8017 518-13 1 LLLLL
36 Kairat 8017 722-15 1 LLLLL
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Real Madrid

WLWWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 15 GA 7 · xG 11.71–5.36 · xPts 10.29

  • W A Getafe 1–0 xG 1.72–0.54 ESP PL
  • W H Villarreal 3–1 xG 3.1–0.86 ESP PL
  • W A Kairat 5–0 xG 3.03–0.42 UEFA CL
  • L A Atlético de Madrid 2–5 xG 0.58–2.1 ESP PL
  • W A Levante 4–1 xG 3.28–1.44 ESP PL

Juventus

DDDDL 0W 4D 1L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 4 GA 6 · xG 5.91–8.05 · xPts 5.47

  • L A Como 0–2 xG 1.17–1.33 ITA SA
  • D H AC Milan 0–0 xG 1.08–1.96 ITA SA
  • D A Villarreal 2–2 xG 1.46–2.12 UEFA CL
  • D H Atalanta 1–1 xG 1.73–1.06 ITA SA
  • D A Hellas Verona 1–1 xG 0.45–1.57 ITA SA

All meetings · 14 matches since 2003

Real Madrid 62 draws6 Juventus

Goals 20–20 · 2.86 per match · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 64%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Real Madrid 42 draws4 Juventus

Goals 16–14 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Real Madrid 31 draws1 Juventus

Goals 10–5 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Real Madrid 1–0 Juventus UEFA CL · League Stage
  • L Real Madrid 1–3 Juventus UEFA CL · Quarter-finals · leg 2/2
  • W Juventus 0–3 Real Madrid UEFA CL · Quarter-finals · leg 1/2
  • W Juventus 1–4 Real Madrid neutral UEFA CL · Final
  • D Real Madrid 1–1 Juventus neutral UEFA CL · Semi-finals · leg 2/2
  • L Juventus 2–1 Real Madrid UEFA CL · Semi-finals · leg 1/2
  • D Juventus 2–2 Real Madrid UEFA CL · Group Stage
  • W Real Madrid 2–1 Juventus neutral UEFA CL · Group Stage
  • L Real Madrid 0–2 Juventus UEFA CL · Group Stage
  • L Juventus 2–1 Real Madrid UEFA CL · Group Stage
MetricReal Madrid all · 14Real Madrid at home · 7Juventus all · 10Juventus away · 5
Results
Matches147105
Points per game1.932.141.601.00
W / D / L9 / 0 / 55 / 0 / 24 / 4 / 21 / 2 / 2
Goals for / match2.362.291.901.40
Goals against / match1.431.001.702.00
Clean sheets29%29%30%20%
Failed to score7%0%20%40%
Both teams scored64%71%60%60%
Over 2.579%86%50%60%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.102.391.841.44
xG against / match1.741.681.682.08
xG difference0.360.710.16-0.64
Finishing vs xG0.26-0.100.06-0.04
xPts / match1.571.741.440.99
Points vs xPts0.360.400.160.01
Game state
Scored first64%57%30%0%
PPG when scoring first2.002.253.00
PPG when conceding first1.802.001.001.00
Came back from behind38%50%67%50%
Leads held75%83%67%33%
Minutes leading37%34%24%18%
Minutes level47%50%58%57%
Minutes trailing15%16%18%26%
First goal (min)29334638
First goal conceded (min)34374129
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half48%50%79%71%
Goals conceded in 2nd half45%29%73%70%
Late goals for (76'+)0.430.430.400.20
Late goals against0.290.000.600.60
Style
Possession54%51%48%44%
Shots17.420.416.312.2
On target6.97.36.15.4
Shot conversion14%11%12%12%
Shots inside box67%69%69%77%
Big chances created3.93.73.42.4
Corners5.76.95.94.6
xG from set plays26%28%24%7%
Goals from headers9%0%16%14%
Pressure index14.613.211.56.3
Dominant minutes54.452.746.529.0
Pass accuracy87%88%84%82%
Fouls10.811.615.818.2
Cards3.001.712.302.80

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Real Madrid

0–15'23
16–30'131
31–45'27
46–60'73
61–75'32
76–90'64

Juventus

0–15'02
16–30'12
31–45'30
46–60'54
61–75'63
76–90'44

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Real Madrid · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.47) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.02

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.477
Early press (0-15, level)+0.317
Late push (76+, level)+0.733

Game state

When ahead+0.346
When level+0.677
10 min after conceding-0.016
10 min after scoring+1.026

Situations

At home+0.244
Away+0.703
4+ days rest+0.456

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.693
v bottom-tier opponents+0.702
As favourite+0.477

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.107
Conceded when ahead+0.056
Conceded late (76+)-0.496

Congested vs rested +0.16 · Ahead vs level -0.33 · Behind vs level -1.19

Juventus · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.27) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.64

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.275
Early press (0-15, level)-0.165
Late push (76+, level)+1.292
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.212

Game state

When ahead+0.423
When level+0.215
When behind+0.142
10 min after conceding-0.112
10 min after scoring+0.645

Situations

At home+0.163
Away+0.402
4+ days rest+0.275

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.152
As favourite+0.275

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.285
Conceded when ahead-0.343
Conceded late (76+)-0.494

Ahead vs level +0.20 · Behind vs level -0.07

Real Madrid

Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 3 · scoring 3 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-4-27 50%1.711.861.431.851.91
4-3-33 21%2.03.01.672.471.87
4-2-3-13 21%3.03.671.332.891.01
4-1-4-11 7%0.00.01.00.342.34

Juventus

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-17 70%1.431.711.431.721.53
4-3-32 20%1.52.53.52.632.27
4-2-3-11 10%3.02.00.01.131.52

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.44Home 66% P 67%5.25Draw 18% P 19%5.75Away 16% P 14%

Double Chance

1.14Real Madrid or Draw 41% P 43%1.16Real Madrid or Juventus 41% P 41%2.62Draw or Juventus 18% P 16%

Draw No Bet

1.181 79%4.52 21%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56% P 59%2.1No 44% P 41%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.44Over 66% P 65%2.75Under 34% P 35%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.629 - 11 33%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 65–67.5% · away 12.5–15% · 566 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home67%66%69%+3.3
Draw19%20%20%-0.7
Away14%14%11%-2.7

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 58%

Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes59%59%60%+1.5

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.565%64%63%-0.4

Slavko Vinčić

Career
95 matches · 16 seasons
Cards / match
4.21 (4.06 yellow · 0.06 red)
Fouls / match
24.3 · 5.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.16
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Champions League (5-year window · 41 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.124.4-0.2248
Fouls / match24.522.7+1.33
Fouls per card6.15.2+0.67 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.32-1.553
Time added6.56.5+0.1555
First card
35' on average
Card timing
18% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.29

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-30 20 171 14'8
2025-08-27 61 310 30'11
2025-04-29 40 300 10'6
2025-04-16 40 260 28'8
2025-03-11 70 370 8'5
2025-02-19 · Juventus 40 340 53'9
2025-01-29 40 170 43'10
2025-01-21 40 280 49'8
2024-12-10 20 170 25'4
2024-11-05 · Real Madrid 60 201 21'10