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Champions League · League Stage · Matchday 6

Momentum

USGOM
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
League Stage
Round
6

Venue

Stadium
Lotto Park, Brussels · neutral
Capacity
21,500
Surface
grass
Attendance
16,214

Teams

Coaches
David Hubert · Roberto De Zerbi
Position
25 · 21
Formation
3-1-4-2 · 3-4-1-2

Referee

João Pedro Silva Pinheiro

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
14.0° (feels 13.3°)
Wind
8.2
Humidity
73%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Arsenal 8800 23419 24 WWWWW
2 FC Bayern München 8701 22814 21 WLWWW
3 Liverpool 8602 20812 18 WLWWW
4 Tottenham Hotspur 8521 17710 17 WLWWW
5 FC Barcelona 8512 22148 16 DLWWW
6 Chelsea 8512 17107 16 DWLWW
7 Sporting CP 8512 17116 16 DWLWW
8 Manchester City 8512 1596 16 WLWLW
9 Real Madrid 8503 21129 15 LWLWL
10 Inter 8503 1578 15 WLLLW
11 Paris Saint Germain 8422 211110 14 LWDLD
12 Newcastle United 8422 17710 14 WLDWD
13 Juventus 8341 14104 13 DWWWD
14 Atlético de Madrid 8413 17152 13 WWWDL
15 Atalanta 8413 10100 13 WWWLL
16 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8332 1314-1 12 WWDLW
17 Borussia Dortmund 8323 19172 11 LWDLL
18 Olympiacos F.C. 8323 1014-4 11 DLWWW
19 Club Brugge 8314 1517-2 10 DLLWW
20 Galatasaray 8314 911-2 10 WLLDL
21 Monaco 8242 814-6 10 WDWLD
22 Qarabağ 8314 1321-8 10 DLLWL
23 Bodø / Glimt 8233 1415-1 9 LLDWW
24 Benfica 8305 1012-2 9 LWWLW
25 Olympique Marseille 8305 1114-3 9 LWWLL
26 Pafos FC 8233 811-3 9 WDLLW
27 Union Saint-Gilloise 8305 817-9 9 LWLLW
28 PSV 8224 16160 8 DWLLL
29 Athletic Club 8224 914-5 8 LDDWL
30 Napoli 8224 915-6 8 DWLDL
31 FC København 8224 1221-9 8 LWWDL
32 Ajax 8206 821-13 6 LLWWL
33 Eintracht Frankfurt 8116 1021-11 4 DLLLL
34 Slavia Praha 8035 519-14 3 LDLLL
35 Villarreal 8017 518-13 1 LLLLL
36 Kairat 8017 722-15 1 LLLLL
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Union Saint-Gilloise

WLLLW 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 5 GA 12 · xG 8.56–13.91 · xPts 4.94

  • W A Galatasaray 1–0 xG 1.97–1.41 UEFA CL
  • L A Atlético de Madrid 1–3 xG 1.51–2.8 UEFA CL
  • L H Inter 0–4 xG 1.25–4.36 UEFA CL
  • L H Newcastle United 0–4 xG 0.99–3.46 UEFA CL
  • W A PSV 3–1 xG 2.83–1.89 UEFA CL

Olympique Marseille

WWWDL 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 12 GA 5 · xG 9.0–4.07 · xPts 9.72

  • L A LOSC Lille 0–1 xG 0.6–0.46 FRA L1
  • D H Toulouse 2–2 xG 1.35–0.6 FRA L1
  • W H Newcastle United 2–1 xG 1.72–1.55 UEFA CL
  • W A Nice 5–1 xG 2.29–1.15 FRA L1
  • W H Brest 3–0 xG 3.05–0.32 FRA L1

All meetings · 1 match since 2025

Union Saint-Gilloise 00 draws1 Olympique Marseille

Goals 2–3 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 1 match

Union Saint-Gilloise 00 draws1 Olympique Marseille

Goals 2–3 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 1 match

Union Saint-Gilloise 00 draws1 Olympique Marseille

Goals 2–3 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • L Union Saint-Gilloise 2–3 Olympique Marseille neutral UEFA CL · League Stage
MetricUnion Saint-Gilloise all · 8Union Saint-Gilloise at home · 4Olympique Marseille all · 8Olympique Marseille away · 4
Results
Matches88
Points per game1.131.13
W / D / L3 / 0 / 53 / 0 / 5
Goals for / match1.001.38
Goals against / match2.131.75
Clean sheets25%12%
Failed to score38%38%
Both teams scored38%50%
Over 2.562%88%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.351.12
xG against / match2.501.56
xG difference-1.15-0.44
Finishing vs xG-0.350.25
xPts / match0.881.16
Points vs xPts0.24-0.04
Game state
Scored first50%38%
PPG when scoring first2.251.00
PPG when conceding first0.001.20
Came back from behind0%29%
Leads held75%60%
Minutes leading20%32%
Minutes level44%40%
Minutes trailing36%27%
First goal (min)4421
First goal conceded (min)4235
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half62%36%
Goals conceded in 2nd half59%57%
Late goals for (76'+)0.250.00
Late goals against0.500.63
Style
Possession35%55%
Shots11.913.8
On target4.95.4
Shot conversion8%10%
Shots inside box69%54%
Big chances created1.81.8
Corners3.35.3
xG from set plays38%13%
Goals from headers12%0%
Pressure index5.79.5
Dominant minutes26.541.6
Pass accuracy78%87%
Fouls12.112.3
Cards2.132.63

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Union Saint-Gilloise

0–15'21
16–30'01
31–45'15
46–60'14
61–75'22
76–90'24

Olympique Marseille

0–15'44
16–30'21
31–45'11
46–60'40
61–75'03
76–90'05

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Union Saint-Gilloise · 2 matches

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.272
Early press (0-15, level)+0.312

Game state

When level+0.312
10 min after scoring+0.082

Situations

Away+0.272
4+ days rest+0.272

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.152

Ahead vs level -0.22 · Behind vs level +0.14

Olympique Marseille · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.56

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.105
Early press (0-15, level)+0.435
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.064

Game state

When level+0.245
When behind-0.024
10 min after conceding-0.104
10 min after scoring+0.563

Situations

At home+0.282
Away-0.033
4+ days rest+0.105

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.173
As favourite+0.282
As underdog-0.172

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.065
Conceded late (76+)-0.325

Ahead vs level -0.19 · Behind vs level -0.27

Union Saint-Gilloise

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-1-23 38%2.01.331.671.932.25
3-4-2-12 25%0.00.03.00.953.89
5-4-11 12%3.01.00.00.881.16
3-1-4-21 12%0.02.03.00.751.54
3-5-1-11 12%0.01.03.01.512.8

Olympique Marseille

Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 50%1.51.751.51.251.89
3-4-1-21 12%3.03.02.01.540.75
4-4-21 12%0.00.03.00.91.56
3-4-2-11 12%0.01.02.00.691.15
5-4-11 12%0.00.01.00.811.44

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.0Home 32% P 32%3.5Draw 27% P 27%2.3Away 41% P 41%

Double Chance

1.57Union Saint Gilloise or Draw 30% P 30%1.28Union Saint Gilloise or Marseille 36% P 36%1.36Draw or Marseille 34% P 34%

Draw No Bet

2.11 44%1.662 56%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56% P 58%2.1No 44% P 42%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 53%2.0Under 47% P 47%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

4.51.83Over 50% P 49%1.83Under 50% P 51%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 30–32.5% · away 40–42.5% · 560 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home32%31%31%-0.2
Draw27%28%24%-4.2
Away41%41%46%+4.4

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 54%

Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes58%59%60%+1.5

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.553%54%54%+0.8

João Pedro Silva Pinheiro

Career
234 matches · 12 seasons
Cards / match
4.91 (4.7 yellow · 0.12 red)
Fouls / match
27.5 · 5.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.34
Cards to home side
51%

Style in Champions League (5-year window · 18 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.284.4+0.0355
Fouls / match20.422.7-1.32
Fouls per card5.05.2-0.51 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.060.32-2.270
Time added5.56.5-1.0813
First card
36' on average
Card timing
13% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.25

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-25 20 120 60'3
2025-11-09 50 281 49'6
2025-11-04 30 220 45'7
2025-11-01 71 230 43'7
2025-10-24 71 301 5'7
2025-09-12 21 190 21'9
2025-08-30 50 350 51'7
2025-08-23 70 340 17'10
2025-08-19 30 280 69'7
2025-08-13 50 240 53'7