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Europa League · League Stage · Matchday 2

Momentum

FeyenoordAston Villa
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
League Stage
Round
2

Venue

Stadium
Stadion Feijenoord, Rotterdam
Capacity
3,531
Surface
grass
Attendance
42,634

Teams

Coaches
Robin van Persie · Unai Emery
Position
30 · 13
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Rade Obrenović

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
16.4° (feels 15.8°)
Wind
4.4
Humidity
65%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Olympique Lyonnais 8701 18513 21 LWWWW
2 Aston Villa 8701 1468 21 WWWWW
3 FC Midtjylland 8611 18810 19 WLWDW
4 Real Betis 8521 1376 17 WWWLW
5 Porto 8521 1376 17 DWWDW
6 Sporting Braga 8521 1156 17 LDWWD
7 SC Freiburg 8521 1046 17 WDWWL
8 Roma 8512 1367 16 WWWWD
9 Genk 8512 1174 16 WWLWW
10 Bologna 8431 1477 15 DWWDW
11 VfB Stuttgart 8503 1596 15 WWWLW
12 Ferencvárosi 8431 12111 15 WDWDL
13 Nottingham Forest 8422 1578 14 DWWLW
14 Viktoria Plzeň 8350 835 14 DDDDW
15 Crvena Zvezda 8422 761 14 WWWWD
16 Celta de Vigo 8413 15114 13 WLLWD
17 PAOK 8332 17143 12 WDDWL
18 LOSC Lille 8404 1293 12 LWLLW
19 Fenerbahçe 8332 1073 12 DDWLD
20 Panathinaikos 8332 1192 12 WWDDD
21 Celtic 8323 1315-2 11 LWLDW
22 Ludogorets 8314 1215-3 10 LWDLW
23 Dinamo Zagreb 8314 1216-4 10 LLLWL
24 Brann 8233 911-2 9 DDLDL
25 Young Boys 8305 1016-6 9 LLWLL
26 Sturm Graz 8215 511-6 7 DLLLW
27 FCSB 8215 916-7 7 LLWLD
28 Go Ahead Eagles 8215 614-8 7 LLLLD
29 Feyenoord 8206 1115-4 6 LLLWL
30 Basel 8206 913-4 6 WLLLL
31 Salzburg 8206 1015-5 6 WLLWL
32 Rangers 8116 514-9 4 LDLWL
33 Nice 8107 715-8 3 LLLWL
34 FC Utrecht 8017 515-10 1 DLLLL
35 Malmö FF 8017 415-11 1 LLLLL
36 Maccabi Tel Aviv 8017 222-20 1 LLLLL
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Feyenoord

WWDLW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 4 · xG 6.6–5.17 · xPts 7.54

  • W A FC Groningen 1–0 xG 1.24–1.06 NLD E
  • L A Sporting Braga 0–1 xG 0.28–0.95 UEFA EL
  • D A AZ Alkmaar 3–3 xG 2.03–1.35 NLD E
  • W H Fortuna Sittard 2–0 xG 2.08–0.35 NLD E
  • W H SC Heerenveen 1–0 xG 0.97–1.46 NLD E

Aston Villa

LDDWW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 5 GA 5 · xG 5.31–8.57 · xPts 4.95

  • W H Fulham 3–1 xG 0.97–1.02 UK PL
  • W H Bologna 1–0 xG 1.87–1.56 UEFA EL
  • D A Sunderland 1–1 xG 0.96–1.27 UK PL
  • D A Everton 0–0 xG 0.49–2.3 UK PL
  • L H Crystal Palace 0–3 xG 1.02–2.42 UK PL

All meetings · 1 match since 2025

Feyenoord 00 draws1 Aston Villa

Goals 0–2 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Last 10 · 1 match

Feyenoord 00 draws1 Aston Villa

Goals 0–2 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Last 5 · 1 match

Feyenoord 00 draws1 Aston Villa

Goals 0–2 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Recent meetings

  • L Feyenoord 0–2 Aston Villa UEFA EL · League Stage
MetricFeyenoord all · 8Feyenoord at home · 4Aston Villa all · 15Aston Villa away · 8
Results
Matches8158
Points per game0.752.602.25
W / D / L2 / 0 / 613 / 0 / 26 / 0 / 2
Goals for / match1.382.071.63
Goals against / match1.880.530.63
Clean sheets12%60%50%
Failed to score38%7%12%
Both teams scored50%33%38%
Over 2.562%53%50%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.561.661.26
xG against / match0.910.960.91
xG difference0.650.710.35
Finishing vs xG-0.180.410.37
xPts / match1.781.791.56
Points vs xPts-1.030.810.69
Game state
Scored first25%87%88%
PPG when scoring first1.502.772.57
PPG when conceding first0.501.500.00
Came back from behind14%33%0%
Leads held50%93%86%
Minutes leading25%49%44%
Minutes level44%44%50%
Minutes trailing31%7%7%
First goal (min)363635
First goal conceded (min)436059
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half54%55%54%
Goals conceded in 2nd half60%62%60%
Late goals for (76'+)0.380.530.25
Late goals against0.880.130.13
Style
Possession50%54%52%
Shots14.312.310.9
On target5.15.54.1
Shot conversion10%17%15%
Shots inside box63%70%67%
Big chances created3.33.12.8
Corners4.65.15.0
xG from set plays13%37%31%
Goals from headers27%16%23%
Pressure index14.519.317.4
Dominant minutes45.660.957.5
Pass accuracy84%85%86%
Fouls14.412.112.6
Cards2.131.602.38

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Feyenoord

0–15'21
16–30'03
31–45'32
46–60'21
61–75'11
76–90'37

Aston Villa

0–15'30
16–30'40
31–45'73
46–60'61
61–75'32
76–90'82

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Feyenoord · 7 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.60) · stands out: as favourite +0.84

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.607
Early press (0-15, level)+0.487
Late push (76+, level)+0.232

Game state

When ahead+0.645
When level+0.697
When behind+0.362
10 min after conceding-0.025
10 min after scoring+0.816

Situations

At home+0.802
Away+0.495
4+ days rest+0.607

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.512
v bottom-tier opponents+0.844
As favourite+0.845

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.317
Conceded when ahead-0.295
Conceded late (76+)-0.155

Ahead vs level -0.05 · Behind vs level -0.32

Aston Villa · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.10) · stands out: when behind -0.62

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.105
Early press (0-15, level)+0.455
Late push (76+, level)+0.352
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.762

Game state

When level+0.125
When behind-0.623
10 min after conceding-0.484
10 min after scoring+0.382

Situations

At home-0.392
Away+0.163
4+ days rest-0.134

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.353
Evenly matched-0.133

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.175
Conceded late (76+)-0.064

Congested vs rested +0.11 · Ahead vs level -0.22 · Behind vs level -0.74

Feyenoord

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-15 62%0.61.41.81.31.03
4-3-33 38%1.01.332.01.990.72

Aston Villa

Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-115 100%2.62.070.531.660.96

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.6Home 26% P 27%3.5Draw 27% P 27%2.05Away 46% P 46%

Double Chance

1.72Feyenoord or Draw 27% P 27%1.28Feyenoord or Aston Villa 36% P 37%1.28Draw or Aston Villa 36% P 36%

Draw No Bet

2.51 38%1.52 62%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58% P 58%2.2No 42% P 42%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 54%2.1Under 45% P 46%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%
4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 25–27.5% · away 45–47.5% · 466 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home27%26%26%-0.3
Draw27%28%28%+0.2
Away46%46%46%+0.1

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 51%

Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes58%59%60%+1.5

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.554%54%54%+0.8

Rade Obrenović

Career
43 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
4.63 (4.42 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
20.3 · 4.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.23
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Europa League (5-year window · 13 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.314.72-1.570
Fouls / match21.824.1-1.07
Fouls per card6.65.1+1.45 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.310.33-0.0257
Time added6.66.6-0.1143
First card
27' on average
Card timing
20% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.5

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-16 70 270 30'5
2025-08-28 20 190 21'5
2025-07-30 110 300 5'6
2025-03-12 40 180 34'4
2025-03-06 40 260 62'5
2025-02-20 80 280 55'8
2025-01-30 10 210 6'6
2024-11-27 81 190 5'9
2024-11-06 50 250 41'5