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Europa League · League Stage · Matchday 8

Momentum

NFOFerencvárosi
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
League Stage
Round
8

Venue

Stadium
The City Ground, Nottingham
Capacity
30,445
Surface
grass
Attendance
26,304

Teams

Coaches
Sean Dyche · Robbie Keane
Position
16 · 7
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Sebastian Gishamer

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
3.0° (feels -2.1°)
Wind
7.2
Humidity
89%

Where to watch · 341

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Olympique Lyonnais 8701 18513 21 LWWWW
2 Aston Villa 8701 1468 21 WWWWW
3 FC Midtjylland 8611 18810 19 WLWDW
4 Real Betis 8521 1376 17 WWWLW
5 Porto 8521 1376 17 DWWDW
6 Sporting Braga 8521 1156 17 LDWWD
7 SC Freiburg 8521 1046 17 WDWWL
8 Roma 8512 1367 16 WWWWD
9 Genk 8512 1174 16 WWLWW
10 Bologna 8431 1477 15 DWWDW
11 VfB Stuttgart 8503 1596 15 WWWLW
12 Ferencvárosi 8431 12111 15 WDWDL
13 Nottingham Forest 8422 1578 14 DWWLW
14 Viktoria Plzeň 8350 835 14 DDDDW
15 Crvena Zvezda 8422 761 14 WWWWD
16 Celta de Vigo 8413 15114 13 WLLWD
17 PAOK 8332 17143 12 WDDWL
18 LOSC Lille 8404 1293 12 LWLLW
19 Fenerbahçe 8332 1073 12 DDWLD
20 Panathinaikos 8332 1192 12 WWDDD
21 Celtic 8323 1315-2 11 LWLDW
22 Ludogorets 8314 1215-3 10 LWDLW
23 Dinamo Zagreb 8314 1216-4 10 LLLWL
24 Brann 8233 911-2 9 DDLDL
25 Young Boys 8305 1016-6 9 LLWLL
26 Sturm Graz 8215 511-6 7 DLLLW
27 FCSB 8215 916-7 7 LLWLD
28 Go Ahead Eagles 8215 614-8 7 LLLLD
29 Feyenoord 8206 1115-4 6 LLLWL
30 Basel 8206 913-4 6 WLLLL
31 Salzburg 8206 1015-5 6 WLLWL
32 Rangers 8116 514-9 4 LDLWL
33 Nice 8107 715-8 3 LLLWL
34 FC Utrecht 8017 515-10 1 DLLLL
35 Malmö FF 8017 415-11 1 LLLLL
36 Maccabi Tel Aviv 8017 222-20 1 LLLLL
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Nottingham Forest

WDDLW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 7 GA 5 · xG 7.78–8.6 · xPts 6.61

  • W A Brentford 2–0 xG 0.91–1.53 UK PL
  • L A Sporting Braga 0–1 xG 1.78–0.84 UEFA EL
  • D H Arsenal 0–0 xG 0.5–2.8 UK PL
  • D A Wrexham 3–3 lost on pens None–None xG 3.04–2.08 UK FA Cup
  • W A West Ham United 2–1 xG 1.56–1.35 UK PL

Ferencvárosi

WWDWD 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 10 GA 6 · xG 8.5–5.76 · xPts 8.61

  • D H Panathinaikos 1–1 xG 1.69–0.72 UEFA EL
  • W H Rangers 2–1 xG 1.62–1.5 UEFA EL
  • D A Fenerbahçe 1–1 xG 0.95–1.27 UEFA EL
  • W H Ludogorets 3–1 xG 1.69–1.01 UEFA EL
  • W A Salzburg 3–2 xG 2.55–1.26 UEFA EL

All meetings · 1 match since 2026

Nottingham Forest 10 draws0 Ferencvárosi

Goals 4–0 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 1 match

Nottingham Forest 10 draws0 Ferencvárosi

Goals 4–0 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 1 match

Nottingham Forest 10 draws0 Ferencvárosi

Goals 4–0 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • W Nottingham Forest 4–0 Ferencvárosi UEFA EL · League Stage
MetricNottingham Forest all · 16Nottingham Forest at home · 8Ferencvárosi all · 12Ferencvárosi away · 6
Results
Matches168126
Points per game1.691.881.751.17
W / D / L8 / 3 / 55 / 0 / 36 / 3 / 32 / 1 / 3
Goals for / match1.501.751.421.00
Goals against / match1.000.751.422.17
Clean sheets44%62%25%17%
Failed to score25%12%17%33%
Both teams scored38%25%58%50%
Over 2.556%50%50%67%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.781.911.401.18
xG against / match1.061.001.211.40
xG difference0.720.910.19-0.22
Finishing vs xG-0.28-0.160.02-0.18
xPts / match1.881.981.491.22
Points vs xPts-0.19-0.100.26-0.05
Game state
Scored first50%62%50%33%
PPG when scoring first3.003.002.332.00
PPG when conceding first0.290.001.170.75
Came back from behind29%0%50%25%
Leads held89%100%75%67%
Minutes leading37%42%30%15%
Minutes level47%37%42%45%
Minutes trailing16%21%28%40%
First goal (min)32344647
First goal conceded (min)42403827
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half46%50%59%67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%50%47%46%
Late goals for (76'+)0.250.380.170.00
Late goals against0.310.250.250.17
Style
Possession53%57%45%45%
Shots15.617.311.69.3
On target5.96.54.03.8
Shot conversion10%10%12%11%
Shots inside box64%63%70%68%
Big chances created3.03.02.52.7
Corners5.66.43.63.0
xG from set plays41%43%36%46%
Goals from headers12%0%29%50%
Pressure index20.025.09.17.9
Dominant minutes60.967.937.432.0
Pass accuracy85%86%80%80%
Fouls13.111.914.915.3
Cards1.631.632.752.67

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Nottingham Forest

0–15'22
16–30'83
31–45'31
46–60'53
61–75'22
76–90'45

Ferencvárosi

0–15'13
16–30'25
31–45'41
46–60'42
61–75'43
76–90'23

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Nottingham Forest · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.06) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.52

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.064
Early press (0-15, level)-0.434
Late push (76+, level)-0.394

Game state

When ahead+0.652
When level-0.104
10 min after conceding-0.523
10 min after scoring+0.742

Situations

At home-0.262
Away+0.372
4+ days rest+0.064

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.372
Evenly matched+0.093

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.004
Conceded when ahead-0.202
Conceded late (76+)-0.354

Ahead vs level +0.75 · Behind vs level -0.62

Ferencvárosi · 8 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.21) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.43

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.218
Early press (0-15, level)-0.438
Late push (76+, level)-0.154

Game state

When ahead-0.177
When level-0.248
10 min after conceding-0.135
10 min after scoring+0.108

Situations

Against ten men+0.063
At home-0.113
Away-0.255
4+ days rest-0.218

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.332
Evenly matched-0.194
As underdog-0.273

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.208
Conceded when ahead+0.097
Conceded late (76+)-0.246

Ahead vs level +0.07 · Behind vs level -0.20

Nottingham Forest

Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-16 38%2.172.00.331.910.68
3-4-2-13 19%1.331.01.01.411.16
4-4-22 12%1.50.50.51.730.83
4-3-32 12%3.02.00.51.910.84
3-4-31 6%0.02.03.02.062.35

Ferencvárosi

Current: unbeaten 8 · wins 3 · scoring 8 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-27 58%2.291.861.01.71.2
3-4-1-22 17%1.51.02.00.681.09
3-4-2-12 17%0.50.52.51.211.59
3-1-4-21 8%1.01.01.01.130.73

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.55Home 61% P 60%3.9Draw 24% P 24%6.25Away 15% P 16%

Double Chance

1.12Nottm Forest or Draw 42% P 42%1.25Nottm Forest or Ferencvarosi TC 38% P 38%2.37Draw or Ferencvarosi TC 20% P 20%

Draw No Bet

1.181 79%4.52 21%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48% P 47%1.8No 52% P 53%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 48%1.8Under 53% P 52%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

4.52.0Over 46% P 44%1.72Under 54% P 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 60–62.5% · away 15–17.5% · 649 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home60%61%62%+0.4
Draw24%23%23%+0.7
Away16%16%15%-1.1

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 58%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes47%46%47%+0.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.548%49%50%+1.3

Sebastian Gishamer

Career
31 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
4.42 (4.16 yellow · 0.06 red)
Fouls / match
23.6 · 5.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.32
Cards to home side
39%

Style in Europa League (5-year window · 13 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.314.72-0.5430
Fouls / match23.924.1-0.07
Fouls per card5.55.1+0.36 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.33-1.0311
Time added5.86.6-0.9615
First card
44' on average
Card timing
7% in first 30' · 46% in last 15'
Cards to home side
37% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-27 40 200 39'5
2025-11-05 50 281 44'8
2025-10-02 20 200 77'6
2025-08-28 10 140 57'4
2025-08-14 50 330 24'6
2025-03-13 90 380 48'9
2025-02-13 50 211 37'4
2025-01-30 10 160 88'5