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Europa League · League Stage · Matchday 1

Momentum

PAOKMTA
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
League Stage
Round
1

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Toumbas, Thessaloníki
Capacity
28,703
Surface
grass
Attendance
19,667

Teams

Coaches
Răzvan Lucescu · Žarko Lazetić
Position
14 · 16
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Sven Jablonski

Weather

Conditions
sky is clear
Temperature
30.9° (feels 29.4°)
Wind
4.2
Humidity
28%

Where to watch · 317

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Olympique Lyonnais 8701 18513 21 LWWWW
2 Aston Villa 8701 1468 21 WWWWW
3 FC Midtjylland 8611 18810 19 WLWDW
4 Real Betis 8521 1376 17 WWWLW
5 Porto 8521 1376 17 DWWDW
6 Sporting Braga 8521 1156 17 LDWWD
7 SC Freiburg 8521 1046 17 WDWWL
8 Roma 8512 1367 16 WWWWD
9 Genk 8512 1174 16 WWLWW
10 Bologna 8431 1477 15 DWWDW
11 VfB Stuttgart 8503 1596 15 WWWLW
12 Ferencvárosi 8431 12111 15 WDWDL
13 Nottingham Forest 8422 1578 14 DWWLW
14 Viktoria Plzeň 8350 835 14 DDDDW
15 Crvena Zvezda 8422 761 14 WWWWD
16 Celta de Vigo 8413 15114 13 WLLWD
17 PAOK 8332 17143 12 WDDWL
18 LOSC Lille 8404 1293 12 LWLLW
19 Fenerbahçe 8332 1073 12 DDWLD
20 Panathinaikos 8332 1192 12 WWDDD
21 Celtic 8323 1315-2 11 LWLDW
22 Ludogorets 8314 1215-3 10 LWDLW
23 Dinamo Zagreb 8314 1216-4 10 LLLWL
24 Brann 8233 911-2 9 DDLDL
25 Young Boys 8305 1016-6 9 LLWLL
26 Sturm Graz 8215 511-6 7 DLLLW
27 FCSB 8215 916-7 7 LLWLD
28 Go Ahead Eagles 8215 614-8 7 LLLLD
29 Feyenoord 8206 1115-4 6 LLLWL
30 Basel 8206 913-4 6 WLLLL
31 Salzburg 8206 1015-5 6 WLLWL
32 Rangers 8116 514-9 4 LDLWL
33 Nice 8107 715-8 3 LLLWL
34 FC Utrecht 8017 515-10 1 DLLLL
35 Malmö FF 8017 415-11 1 LLLLL
36 Maccabi Tel Aviv 8017 222-20 1 LLLLL
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

PAOK

DWLW 2W 1D 1L · 7 pts (1.75 ppg) · GF 6 GA 1 · xG 4.38–3.53 · xPts 5.69

  • W H Rijeka 5–0 xG 2.31–0.4 UEFA EL
  • L A Rijeka 0–1 xG 0.6–1.04 UEFA EL
  • W A Wolfsberger AC 1–0 aet xG 0.89–1.24 UEFA EL
  • D H Wolfsberger AC 0–0 xG 0.59–0.84 UEFA EL

Maccabi Tel Aviv

LWWWL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 8 GA 5

  • L A Dynamo Kyiv 0–1 UEFA EL
  • W H Dynamo Kyiv 3–1 UEFA EL
  • W H Hamrun Spartans 3–1 UEFA EL
  • W A Hamrun Spartans 2–1 UEFA EL
  • L H Pafos FC 0–1 UEFA CL

All meetings · 3 matches since 2004

PAOK 01 draws2 Maccabi Tel Aviv

Goals 0–4 · 1.33 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 33%

Last 10 · 3 matches

PAOK 01 draws2 Maccabi Tel Aviv

Goals 0–4 · 1.33 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 33%

Last 5 · 3 matches

PAOK 01 draws2 Maccabi Tel Aviv

Goals 0–4 · 1.33 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 33%

Recent meetings

  • D PAOK 0–0 Maccabi Tel Aviv UEFA EL · League Stage
  • L Maccabi Tel Aviv 1–0 PAOK UEFA CL · 3rd Qualifying Round · leg 2/2
  • L PAOK 0–3 Maccabi Tel Aviv UEFA CL · 3rd Qualifying Round · leg 1/2
MetricPAOK all · 14PAOK at home · 7Maccabi Tel Aviv all · 12Maccabi Tel Aviv away · 6
Results
Matches147126
Points per game1.361.710.830.67
W / D / L5 / 4 / 53 / 3 / 13 / 1 / 81 / 1 / 4
Goals for / match1.711.860.830.50
Goals against / match1.290.432.171.50
Clean sheets43%71%8%17%
Failed to score29%29%58%67%
Both teams scored43%29%42%33%
Over 2.550%43%67%33%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.451.820.670.71
xG against / match1.250.932.282.31
xG difference0.200.89-1.61-1.61
Finishing vs xG0.260.03-0.42-0.46
xPts / match1.421.810.580.52
Points vs xPts-0.06-0.09-0.46-0.27
Game state
Scored first57%57%25%0%
PPG when scoring first2.002.502.00
PPG when conceding first0.250.000.380.60
Came back from behind17%0%11%20%
Leads held56%75%75%100%
Minutes leading22%26%10%0%
Minutes level62%65%47%61%
Minutes trailing16%9%44%39%
First goal (min)50553966
First goal conceded (min)49623645
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half65%85%60%100%
Goals conceded in 2nd half67%33%50%56%
Late goals for (76'+)0.430.570.170.33
Late goals against0.360.140.330.33
Style
Possession50%56%44%42%
Shots11.613.78.46.5
On target4.75.93.12.5
Shot conversion15%14%10%8%
Shots inside box67%71%64%81%
Big chances created2.73.31.51.5
Corners4.45.94.03.8
xG from set plays26%19%17%20%
Goals from headers12%15%0%0%
Pressure index16.317.54.82.9
Dominant minutes50.668.128.622.3
Pass accuracy83%84%85%82%
Fouls12.211.614.616.2
Cards2.501.862.172.50

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

PAOK

0–15'10
16–30'40
31–45'36
46–60'33
61–75'74
76–90'55

Maccabi Tel Aviv

0–15'22
16–30'04
31–45'27
46–60'25
61–75'24
76–90'24

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

PAOK · 6 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.16) · stands out: when behind +0.44

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.166
Early press (0-15, level)-0.126
Late push (76+, level)+0.242
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.424

Game state

When ahead-0.382
When level+0.156
When behind+0.445
10 min after conceding-0.035
10 min after scoring+0.105

Situations

At home+0.303
Away+0.033
4+ days rest+0.166

Opposition

As favourite+0.303
Evenly matched+0.033

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.206
Conceded when ahead-0.012
Conceded late (76+)-0.426

Ahead vs level -0.53 · Behind vs level +0.29

Maccabi Tel Aviv · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.15

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.036
Early press (0-15, level)-0.156
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.032

Game state

When ahead-0.044
When level-0.026
When behind+0.192
10 min after conceding+0.024
10 min after scoring+0.145

Situations

At home-0.013
Away+0.073
4+ days rest+0.036

Opposition

As favourite-0.013
Evenly matched+0.012

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.206
Conceded when ahead-0.274
Conceded late (76+)-0.355

Ahead vs level -0.02 · Behind vs level +0.20

PAOK

Current: winless 4 · scoring 3 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-114 100%1.361.711.291.451.25

Maccabi Tel Aviv

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 3 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 33%0.250.252.750.752.25
3-4-2-12 17%0.00.02.00.372.73
4-4-21 8%0.00.03.00.91.28
5-3-21 8%0.00.01.0
3-5-1-11 8%3.02.01.0

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.0h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.05Home 46% P 46%3.5Draw 27% P 28%3.4Away 28% P 26%

Double Chance

1.3PAOK Salonika or Draw 36% P 37%1.28PAOK Salonika or Maccabi Tel Aviv 37% P 36%1.72Draw or Maccabi Tel Aviv 27% P 27%

Draw No Bet

1.51 62%2.52 38%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52% P 54%1.95No 48% P 46%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 49%1.9Under 50% P 51%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 34%5.012 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

4.51.72Over 54% P 49%2.0Under 46% P 51%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 25–27.5% · 854 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home46%46%44%-1.8
Draw28%28%30%+1.8
Away26%26%26%-0.0

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 48%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes54%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.549%49%50%+1.3

Sven Jablonski

Career
115 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
3.53 (3.45 yellow · 0.03 red)
Fouls / match
22.7 · 6.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.22
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Europa League (5-year window · 6 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 4.67 cards, 23.8 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-21 50 211 63'16
2025-09-13 10 230 7'7
2025-08-30 30 180 24'11
2025-05-10 20 110 49'4
2025-04-26 41 150 8'6
2025-04-12 61 290 23'4
2025-03-28 10 190 87'6
2025-03-08 30 170 50'3
2025-02-15 10 171 78'12
2025-01-24 60 190 23'5