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Europa League · League Stage · Matchday 7

Momentum

SalzburgBasel
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
League Stage
Round
7

Venue

Stadium
Red Bull Arena, Wals-Siezenheim
Capacity
30,188
Surface
grass
Attendance
6,741

Teams

Coaches
Thomas Letsch · Ludovic Magnin
Position
31 · 26
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Anastasios Papapetrou

Weather

Conditions
mist
Temperature
-8.0° (feels -8.0°)
Wind
1.0
Humidity
93%

Where to watch · 288

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Olympique Lyonnais 8701 18513 21 LWWWW
2 Aston Villa 8701 1468 21 WWWWW
3 FC Midtjylland 8611 18810 19 WLWDW
4 Real Betis 8521 1376 17 WWWLW
5 Porto 8521 1376 17 DWWDW
6 Sporting Braga 8521 1156 17 LDWWD
7 SC Freiburg 8521 1046 17 WDWWL
8 Roma 8512 1367 16 WWWWD
9 Genk 8512 1174 16 WWLWW
10 Bologna 8431 1477 15 DWWDW
11 VfB Stuttgart 8503 1596 15 WWWLW
12 Ferencvárosi 8431 12111 15 WDWDL
13 Nottingham Forest 8422 1578 14 DWWLW
14 Viktoria Plzeň 8350 835 14 DDDDW
15 Crvena Zvezda 8422 761 14 WWWWD
16 Celta de Vigo 8413 15114 13 WLLWD
17 PAOK 8332 17143 12 WDDWL
18 LOSC Lille 8404 1293 12 LWLLW
19 Fenerbahçe 8332 1073 12 DDWLD
20 Panathinaikos 8332 1192 12 WWDDD
21 Celtic 8323 1315-2 11 LWLDW
22 Ludogorets 8314 1215-3 10 LWDLW
23 Dinamo Zagreb 8314 1216-4 10 LLLWL
24 Brann 8233 911-2 9 DDLDL
25 Young Boys 8305 1016-6 9 LLWLL
26 Sturm Graz 8215 511-6 7 DLLLW
27 FCSB 8215 916-7 7 LLWLD
28 Go Ahead Eagles 8215 614-8 7 LLLLD
29 Feyenoord 8206 1115-4 6 LLLWL
30 Basel 8206 913-4 6 WLLLL
31 Salzburg 8206 1015-5 6 WLLWL
32 Rangers 8116 514-9 4 LDLWL
33 Nice 8107 715-8 3 LLLWL
34 FC Utrecht 8017 515-10 1 DLLLL
35 Malmö FF 8017 415-11 1 LLLLL
36 Maccabi Tel Aviv 8017 222-20 1 LLLLL
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Salzburg

LLWLL 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 5 GA 10 · xG 5.57–13.48 · xPts 3.58

  • L A SC Freiburg 0–1 xG 0.53–2.77 UEFA EL
  • L A Bologna 1–4 xG 1.17–4.41 UEFA EL
  • W H Go Ahead Eagles 2–0 xG 2.14–0.84 UEFA EL
  • L H Ferencvárosi 2–3 xG 1.26–2.55 UEFA EL
  • L A Olympique Lyonnais 0–2 xG 0.48–2.92 UEFA EL

Basel

WLWLL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 7 · xG 7.26–7.71 · xPts 6.48

  • L H Aston Villa 1–2 xG 0.93–0.7 UEFA EL
  • L A Genk 1–2 xG 0.83–1.05 UEFA EL
  • W H FCSB 3–1 xG 3.25–1.44 UEFA EL
  • L A Olympique Lyonnais 0–2 xG 1.04–1.89 UEFA EL
  • W H VfB Stuttgart 2–0 xG 1.22–2.64 UEFA EL

All meetings · 3 matches since 2014

Salzburg 11 draws1 Basel

Goals 4–3 · 2.33 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 67%

Last 10 · 3 matches

Salzburg 11 draws1 Basel

Goals 4–3 · 2.33 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 67%

Last 5 · 3 matches

Salzburg 11 draws1 Basel

Goals 4–3 · 2.33 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 67%

Recent meetings

  • W Salzburg 3–1 Basel UEFA EL · League Stage
  • L Salzburg 1–2 Basel neutral UEFA EL · 8th Finals · leg 2/2
  • D Basel 0–0 Salzburg neutral UEFA EL · 8th Finals · leg 1/2
MetricSalzburg all · 8Salzburg at home · 4Basel all · 8Basel away · 4
Results
Matches88
Points per game0.750.75
W / D / L2 / 0 / 62 / 0 / 6
Goals for / match1.251.13
Goals against / match1.881.63
Clean sheets12%12%
Failed to score38%25%
Both teams scored50%62%
Over 2.550%62%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.241.26
xG against / match2.131.39
xG difference-0.90-0.14
Finishing vs xG0.01-0.13
xPts / match1.041.25
Points vs xPts-0.29-0.50
Game state
Scored first50%25%
PPG when scoring first1.503.00
PPG when conceding first0.000.00
Came back from behind0%0%
Leads held50%100%
Minutes leading27%20%
Minutes level45%22%
Minutes trailing28%58%
First goal (min)2842
First goal conceded (min)5023
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half40%67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half87%31%
Late goals for (76'+)0.130.38
Late goals against0.500.13
Style
Possession45%47%
Shots13.613.5
On target5.44.3
Shot conversion9%8%
Shots inside box60%59%
Big chances created2.41.2
Corners3.13.9
xG from set plays4%26%
Goals from headers0%0%
Pressure index8.910.2
Dominant minutes31.938.4
Pass accuracy82%80%
Fouls11.413.3
Cards1.382.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Salzburg

0–15'31
16–30'01
31–45'30
46–60'28
61–75'11
76–90'14

Basel

0–15'15
16–30'10
31–45'14
46–60'23
61–75'10
76–90'31

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Salzburg · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.36) · stands out: away +0.48

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.365
Early press (0-15, level)+0.385
Late push (76+, level)+0.013

Game state

When ahead+0.154
When level+0.415
10 min after scoring+0.484

Situations

At home+0.172
Away+0.483
4+ days rest+0.365

Opposition

As favourite+0.354

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.285
Conceded when ahead-0.064
Conceded late (76+)+0.045

Ahead vs level -0.25 · Behind vs level +0.07

Basel

No pressure profile yet.

Salzburg

Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 3 · scoring 7 · clean sheets 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-33 38%2.02.331.331.591.28
4-2-3-12 25%0.01.02.01.142.32
4-4-22 25%0.00.53.00.833.66
4-2-2-21 12%0.00.01.01.21.26

Basel

Current: winless 4 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-16 75%1.01.171.51.381.57
4-3-31 12%0.01.02.00.831.05
4-1-4-11 12%0.01.02.00.930.7

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.05Home 46% P 43%3.9Draw 24% P 26%3.2Away 30% P 31%

Double Chance

1.36FC Salzburg or Draw 34% P 34%1.22FC Salzburg or Basel 38% P 37%1.72Draw or Basel 27% P 28%

Draw No Bet

1.531 61%2.372 39%

Both Teams To Score

1.44Yes 65% P 65%2.62No 35% P 35%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.5Over 64% P 62%2.62Under 36% P 38%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.8Over 51%1.9Under 49%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 30–32.5% · 232 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home43%43%45%+1.8
Draw26%26%25%-0.8
Away31%31%30%-1.1

In those fixtures: 3.2 goals a game · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 66%

Both teams to score · yes 62.5–65% · 687 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes65%64%64%+0.4

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,029 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.562%61%63%+1.6

Anastasios Papapetrou

Career
32 matches · 11 seasons
Cards / match
3.84 (3.75 yellow · 0.06 red)
Fouls / match
23.2 · 5.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.06
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Europa League (5-year window · 11 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.184.72-0.6726
Fouls / match22.224.1-0.85
Fouls per card5.85.1+0.63 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.090.33-1.442
Time added6.66.6-0.1043
First card
36' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-11 30 280 43'9
2025-11-06 18 4
2025-08-21 20 150 62'4
2025-08-14 51 211 16'5
2025-02-13 40 320 50'5