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Europa League · League Stage · Matchday 3

Momentum

RomaVPL
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
League Stage
Round
3

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Olimpico, Roma
Capacity
72,698
Surface
grass
Attendance
52,263

Teams

Coaches
Gian Gasperini · Martin Hysky
Position
18 · 12
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-1-4-1

Referee

Halil Umut Meler

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
20.3° (feels 20.2°)
Wind
7.0
Humidity
71%

Where to watch · 299

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Olympique Lyonnais 8701 18513 21 LWWWW
2 Aston Villa 8701 1468 21 WWWWW
3 FC Midtjylland 8611 18810 19 WLWDW
4 Real Betis 8521 1376 17 WWWLW
5 Porto 8521 1376 17 DWWDW
6 Sporting Braga 8521 1156 17 LDWWD
7 SC Freiburg 8521 1046 17 WDWWL
8 Roma 8512 1367 16 WWWWD
9 Genk 8512 1174 16 WWLWW
10 Bologna 8431 1477 15 DWWDW
11 VfB Stuttgart 8503 1596 15 WWWLW
12 Ferencvárosi 8431 12111 15 WDWDL
13 Nottingham Forest 8422 1578 14 DWWLW
14 Viktoria Plzeň 8350 835 14 DDDDW
15 Crvena Zvezda 8422 761 14 WWWWD
16 Celta de Vigo 8413 15114 13 WLLWD
17 PAOK 8332 17143 12 WDDWL
18 LOSC Lille 8404 1293 12 LWLLW
19 Fenerbahçe 8332 1073 12 DDWLD
20 Panathinaikos 8332 1192 12 WWDDD
21 Celtic 8323 1315-2 11 LWLDW
22 Ludogorets 8314 1215-3 10 LWDLW
23 Dinamo Zagreb 8314 1216-4 10 LLLWL
24 Brann 8233 911-2 9 DDLDL
25 Young Boys 8305 1016-6 9 LLWLL
26 Sturm Graz 8215 511-6 7 DLLLW
27 FCSB 8215 916-7 7 LLWLD
28 Go Ahead Eagles 8215 614-8 7 LLLLD
29 Feyenoord 8206 1115-4 6 LLLWL
30 Basel 8206 913-4 6 WLLLL
31 Salzburg 8206 1015-5 6 WLLWL
32 Rangers 8116 514-9 4 LDLWL
33 Nice 8107 715-8 3 LLLWL
34 FC Utrecht 8017 515-10 1 DLLLL
35 Malmö FF 8017 415-11 1 LLLLL
36 Maccabi Tel Aviv 8017 222-20 1 LLLLL
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Roma

WWLWL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 4 · xG 7.84–5.65 · xPts 8.08

  • L H Inter 0–1 xG 1.43–1.09 ITA SA
  • W A Fiorentina 2–1 xG 1.63–1.03 ITA SA
  • L H LOSC Lille 0–1 xG 2.87–1.11 UEFA EL
  • W H Hellas Verona 2–0 xG 0.84–1.39 ITA SA
  • W A Nice 2–1 xG 1.06–1.04 UEFA EL

Viktoria Plzeň

WLWDW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 9 GA 6 · xG 7.02–4.17 · xPts 7.28

  • W H Malmö FF 3–0 xG 1.54–0.41 UEFA EL
  • D A Ferencvárosi 1–1 xG 0.73–1.13 UEFA EL
  • W H Rangers 2–1 xG 2.51–1.18 UEFA CL
  • L A Rangers 0–3 UEFA CL
  • W A Servette 3–1 xG 2.24–1.45 UEFA CL

All meetings · 5 matches since 2016

Roma 21 draws2 Viktoria Plzeň

Goals 12–6 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Last 10 · 5 matches

Roma 21 draws2 Viktoria Plzeň

Goals 12–6 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Roma 21 draws2 Viktoria Plzeň

Goals 12–6 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • L Roma 1–2 Viktoria Plzeň UEFA EL · League Stage
  • L Viktoria Plzeň 2–1 Roma UEFA CL · Group Stage
  • W Roma 5–0 Viktoria Plzeň neutral UEFA CL · Group Stage
  • W Roma 4–1 Viktoria Plzeň UEFA EL · Group Stage
  • D Viktoria Plzeň 1–1 Roma neutral UEFA EL · Group Stage
MetricRoma all · 10Roma at home · 5Viktoria Plzeň all · 10Viktoria Plzeň away · 5
Results
Matches105105
Points per game1.701.201.601.80
W / D / L5 / 2 / 32 / 0 / 33 / 7 / 02 / 3 / 0
Goals for / match1.701.601.101.20
Goals against / match1.101.600.600.80
Clean sheets30%20%50%40%
Failed to score10%20%30%20%
Both teams scored60%60%50%60%
Over 2.550%60%30%40%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.651.991.290.63
xG against / match1.141.101.681.32
xG difference0.520.89-0.38-0.69
Finishing vs xG0.05-0.39-0.190.57
xPts / match1.671.881.160.92
Points vs xPts0.03-0.680.440.88
Game state
Scored first50%40%60%80%
PPG when scoring first3.003.002.002.00
PPG when conceding first0.400.001.00
Came back from behind40%0%100%100%
Leads held100%100%50%50%
Minutes leading36%28%38%48%
Minutes level37%29%54%48%
Minutes trailing27%43%8%4%
First goal (min)39332722
First goal conceded (min)46345558
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half53%62%27%17%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%29%67%75%
Late goals for (76'+)0.400.600.100.20
Late goals against0.300.400.200.20
Style
Possession53%57%45%42%
Shots14.617.812.79.8
On target4.96.24.13.4
Shot conversion12%9%9%12%
Shots inside box69%70%61%57%
Big chances created2.42.21.51.0
Corners5.46.44.53.0
xG from set plays34%45%48%24%
Goals from headers29%12%18%0%
Pressure index18.019.110.87.7
Dominant minutes61.470.046.035.0
Pass accuracy82%82%76%74%
Fouls15.715.414.915.6
Cards2.201.402.903.40

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Roma

0–15'31
16–30'03
31–45'51
46–60'33
61–75'20
76–90'42

Viktoria Plzeň

0–15'21
16–30'30
31–45'31
46–60'11
61–75'11
76–90'12

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Roma · 5 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.66) · stands out: when level +0.82

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.665
Early press (0-15, level)+0.385
Late push (76+, level)+0.042

Game state

When ahead+0.365
When level+0.825
10 min after conceding-0.312
10 min after scoring+0.545

Situations

At home+1.332
Away+0.173
4+ days rest+0.665

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.912
As favourite+0.665

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.195
Conceded when ahead-0.195
Conceded late (76+)-0.563

Ahead vs level -0.46 · Behind vs level -0.11

Viktoria Plzeň · 3 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.06) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.17

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.063
Early press (0-15, level)-0.143

Game state

When level+0.173
When behind-0.022
10 min after conceding-0.173

Situations

At home+0.032
4+ days rest+0.063

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.203
Conceded late (76+)-0.242

Ahead vs level -0.26 · Behind vs level -0.18

Roma

Current: unbeaten 12 · wins 1 · scoring 22 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-17 70%2.142.141.141.641.16
3-4-1-22 20%0.50.51.01.881.17
3-5-21 10%1.01.01.01.310.93

Viktoria Plzeň

Current: winless 1 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-1-24 40%1.50.50.251.031.35
3-4-2-12 20%1.01.51.53.032.93
3-4-31 10%3.03.00.01.540.41
4-1-4-11 10%3.02.01.00.272.57
4-3-31 10%1.00.00.00.211.41

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.3Home 72% P 74%5.5Draw 17% P 16%9.0Away 10% P 10%

Double Chance

1.07Roma or Draw 44% P 45%1.14Roma or Viktoria Plzen 42% P 42%3.4Draw or Viktoria Plzen 14% P 13%

Draw No Bet

1.081 88%8.02 12%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48% P 49%1.8No 52% P 51%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.57Over 60% P 61%2.37Under 40% P 39%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 34%4.7512 - 14 19%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

4.52.0Over 46%1.72Under 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 72.5–75% · away 10–12.5% · 193 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home74%73%73%-0.8
Draw16%16%18%+1.6
Away10%11%10%-0.8

In those fixtures: 3.5 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 72%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes49%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,027 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.561%61%63%+1.5

Halil Umut Meler

Career
51 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
4.59 (4.49 yellow · 0.06 red)
Fouls / match
22.9 · 4.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.33
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Europa League (5-year window · 14 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.04.72-0.8619
Fouls / match23.924.1-0.09
Fouls per card6.05.1+0.79 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.210.33-0.6423
Time added6.86.6+0.1157
First card
32' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
42% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-02 40 330 68'5
2025-08-14 90 301 1'6
2025-02-12 30 181 90'4
2025-01-29 20 230 82'5
2024-12-10 40 261 7'5
2024-10-23 30 230 39'9