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Europa League · League Stage · Matchday 7

Momentum

BrannFCM
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
League Stage
Round
7

Venue

Stadium
Brann Stadion, Bergen
Capacity
17,686
Surface
grass
Attendance
15,385

Teams

Coaches
Freyr Alexandersson · Mike Tullberg
Position
22 · 2
Formation
4-4-2 · 4-4-2

Referee

Georgi Kabakov

Where to watch · 281

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Olympique Lyonnais 8701 18513 21 LWWWW
2 Aston Villa 8701 1468 21 WWWWW
3 FC Midtjylland 8611 18810 19 WLWDW
4 Real Betis 8521 1376 17 WWWLW
5 Porto 8521 1376 17 DWWDW
6 Sporting Braga 8521 1156 17 LDWWD
7 SC Freiburg 8521 1046 17 WDWWL
8 Roma 8512 1367 16 WWWWD
9 Genk 8512 1174 16 WWLWW
10 Bologna 8431 1477 15 DWWDW
11 VfB Stuttgart 8503 1596 15 WWWLW
12 Ferencvárosi 8431 12111 15 WDWDL
13 Nottingham Forest 8422 1578 14 DWWLW
14 Viktoria Plzeň 8350 835 14 DDDDW
15 Crvena Zvezda 8422 761 14 WWWWD
16 Celta de Vigo 8413 15114 13 WLLWD
17 PAOK 8332 17143 12 WDDWL
18 LOSC Lille 8404 1293 12 LWLLW
19 Fenerbahçe 8332 1073 12 DDWLD
20 Panathinaikos 8332 1192 12 WWDDD
21 Celtic 8323 1315-2 11 LWLDW
22 Ludogorets 8314 1215-3 10 LWDLW
23 Dinamo Zagreb 8314 1216-4 10 LLLWL
24 Brann 8233 911-2 9 DDLDL
25 Young Boys 8305 1016-6 9 LLWLL
26 Sturm Graz 8215 511-6 7 DLLLW
27 FCSB 8215 916-7 7 LLWLD
28 Go Ahead Eagles 8215 614-8 7 LLLLD
29 Feyenoord 8206 1115-4 6 LLLWL
30 Basel 8206 913-4 6 WLLLL
31 Salzburg 8206 1015-5 6 WLLWL
32 Rangers 8116 514-9 4 LDLWL
33 Nice 8107 715-8 3 LLLWL
34 FC Utrecht 8017 515-10 1 DLLLL
35 Malmö FF 8017 415-11 1 LLLLL
36 Maccabi Tel Aviv 8017 222-20 1 LLLLL
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Brann

WWDDL 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 5 GA 5 · xG 6.22–6.82 · xPts 6.68

  • L H Fenerbahçe 0–4 xG 0.28–2.84 UEFA EL
  • D A PAOK 1–1 xG 1.93–1.33 UEFA EL
  • D A Bologna 0–0 xG 0.43–1.15 UEFA EL
  • W H Rangers 3–0 xG 2.65–1.01 UEFA EL
  • W H FC Utrecht 1–0 xG 0.93–0.49 UEFA EL

FC Midtjylland

WWWLW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 11 GA 5 · xG 9.21–5.85 · xPts 8.97

  • W H Genk 1–0 xG 2.01–0.67 UEFA EL
  • L A Roma 1–2 xG 1.04–1.24 UEFA EL
  • W H Celtic 3–1 xG 2.53–0.98 UEFA EL
  • W A Maccabi Tel Aviv 3–0 xG 1.28–0.9 UEFA EL
  • W A Nottingham Forest 3–2 xG 2.35–2.06 UEFA EL

All meetings · 1 match since 2026

Brann 01 draws0 FC Midtjylland

Goals 3–3 · 6.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 1 match

Brann 01 draws0 FC Midtjylland

Goals 3–3 · 6.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 1 match

Brann 01 draws0 FC Midtjylland

Goals 3–3 · 6.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • D Brann 3–3 FC Midtjylland UEFA EL · League Stage
MetricBrann all · 14Brann at home · 7FC Midtjylland all · 16FC Midtjylland away · 8
Results
Matches147168
Points per game1.291.432.382.38
W / D / L5 / 3 / 63 / 1 / 312 / 2 / 26 / 1 / 1
Goals for / match1.211.292.132.25
Goals against / match1.071.430.811.13
Clean sheets36%29%50%38%
Failed to score43%43%0%0%
Both teams scored29%29%50%62%
Over 2.543%57%56%75%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.451.631.781.96
xG against / match1.371.461.261.66
xG difference0.080.180.520.31
Finishing vs xG-0.27-0.230.340.29
xPts / match1.401.491.661.50
Points vs xPts-0.30-0.090.710.88
Game state
Scored first29%29%81%88%
PPG when scoring first3.003.002.852.71
PPG when conceding first0.560.800.330.00
Came back from behind33%40%33%0%
Leads held100%100%92%86%
Minutes leading16%16%49%43%
Minutes level54%38%36%46%
Minutes trailing30%47%15%11%
First goal (min)43304149
First goal conceded (min)37144546
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half65%56%50%56%
Goals conceded in 2nd half47%20%58%62%
Late goals for (76'+)0.360.430.620.88
Late goals against0.140.000.380.63
Style
Possession49%50%53%51%
Shots11.411.414.915.3
On target4.85.65.85.4
Shot conversion11%11%14%15%
Shots inside box72%74%69%68%
Big chances created2.82.82.63.2
Corners4.85.65.56.5
xG from set plays43%46%39%42%
Goals from headers22%25%19%18%
Pressure index10.213.122.926.1
Dominant minutes41.244.657.350.8
Pass accuracy78%79%81%80%
Fouls11.312.614.213.4
Cards1.501.291.811.88

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Brann

0–15'03
16–30'31
31–45'34
46–60'32
61–75'33
76–90'52

FC Midtjylland

0–15'52
16–30'52
31–45'61
46–60'31
61–75'51
76–90'85

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Brann · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.045
Early press (0-15, level)+0.135
Late push (76+, level)-0.494

Game state

When ahead-0.015
When level-0.075
10 min after conceding-0.415
10 min after scoring+0.285

Situations

At home-0.032
Away-0.053
4+ days rest-0.045

Opposition

As favourite+0.122
Evenly matched-0.092

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.045
Conceded when ahead-0.225
Conceded late (76+)-0.195

Ahead vs level +0.06

FC Midtjylland · 6 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.21) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.09

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.216
Early press (0-15, level)+0.506
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.102

Game state

When ahead+0.334
When level+0.206
When behind-0.043
10 min after conceding-0.274
10 min after scoring+1.094

Situations

With ten men-0.122
At home+0.273
Away+0.153
4+ days rest+0.216

Opposition

As favourite+0.274

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.236
Conceded when ahead-0.314
Conceded late (76+)-0.446

Ahead vs level +0.13 · Behind vs level -0.24

Brann

Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 11

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-310 71%1.61.40.71.561.16
4-4-23 21%0.671.02.331.441.91
4-1-3-21 7%0.00.01.00.711.2

FC Midtjylland

Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 4 · scoring 4 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-4-27 44%2.432.430.862.351.31
3-4-2-12 12%3.02.50.01.10.78
3-4-32 12%1.52.02.01.691.65
4-2-3-12 12%1.52.01.51.751.43
3-4-1-21 6%3.01.00.02.010.67

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.7Home 26% P 24%3.5Draw 27% P 27%2.0Away 47% P 49%

Double Chance

1.8SK Brann or Draw 26% P 25%1.28SK Brann or Midtjylland 37% P 37%1.28Draw or Midtjylland 37% P 38%

Draw No Bet

2.621 35%1.442 65%

Both Teams To Score

1.7Yes 55% P 55%2.05No 45% P 45%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 51%1.9Under 50% P 49%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 33%3.612 - 14 24%7.0Over 14 12%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%
4.52.0Over 46%1.72Under 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 22.5–25% · away 47.5–50% · 385 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home24%24%22%-2.1
Draw27%27%28%+1.0
Away49%49%50%+1.1

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 50%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes55%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.551%51%51%-0.1

Georgi Kabakov

Career
60 matches · 14 seasons
Cards / match
5.13 (4.93 yellow · 0.03 red)
Fouls / match
22.7 · 4.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.2
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Europa League (5-year window · 21 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.144.72+0.3272
Fouls / match21.924.1-1.03
Fouls per card4.25.1-1.00 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.290.33-0.1655
Time added7.06.6+0.3270
First card
37' on average
Card timing
12% in first 30' · 40% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-27 30 230 48'9
2025-10-23 · FC Midtjylland 40 240 41'5
2025-08-21 81 191 19'6
2025-08-07 · Brann 40 191 7'7
2025-07-24 40 171 79'10
2025-03-06 50 150 77'6
2025-01-29 40 110 36'7