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Europa League · League Stage · Matchday 1

Momentum

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now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
League Stage
Round
1

Venue

Stadium
MHPArena, Stuttgart
Capacity
60,449
Surface
grass
Attendance
58,000

Teams

Coaches
Sebastian Hoeneß · Claudio Giráldez
Position
23 · 15
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-3

Referee

N. Walsh

Weather

Conditions
moderate rain
Temperature
12.3° (feels 11.9°)
Wind
1.7
Humidity
90%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Olympique Lyonnais 8701 18513 21 LWWWW
2 Aston Villa 8701 1468 21 WWWWW
3 FC Midtjylland 8611 18810 19 WLWDW
4 Real Betis 8521 1376 17 WWWLW
5 Porto 8521 1376 17 DWWDW
6 Sporting Braga 8521 1156 17 LDWWD
7 SC Freiburg 8521 1046 17 WDWWL
8 Roma 8512 1367 16 WWWWD
9 Genk 8512 1174 16 WWLWW
10 Bologna 8431 1477 15 DWWDW
11 VfB Stuttgart 8503 1596 15 WWWLW
12 Ferencvárosi 8431 12111 15 WDWDL
13 Nottingham Forest 8422 1578 14 DWWLW
14 Viktoria Plzeň 8350 835 14 DDDDW
15 Crvena Zvezda 8422 761 14 WWWWD
16 Celta de Vigo 8413 15114 13 WLLWD
17 PAOK 8332 17143 12 WDDWL
18 LOSC Lille 8404 1293 12 LWLLW
19 Fenerbahçe 8332 1073 12 DDWLD
20 Panathinaikos 8332 1192 12 WWDDD
21 Celtic 8323 1315-2 11 LWLDW
22 Ludogorets 8314 1215-3 10 LWDLW
23 Dinamo Zagreb 8314 1216-4 10 LLLWL
24 Brann 8233 911-2 9 DDLDL
25 Young Boys 8305 1016-6 9 LLWLL
26 Sturm Graz 8215 511-6 7 DLLLW
27 FCSB 8215 916-7 7 LLWLD
28 Go Ahead Eagles 8215 614-8 7 LLLLD
29 Feyenoord 8206 1115-4 6 LLLWL
30 Basel 8206 913-4 6 WLLLL
31 Salzburg 8206 1015-5 6 WLLWL
32 Rangers 8116 514-9 4 LDLWL
33 Nice 8107 715-8 3 LLLWL
34 FC Utrecht 8017 515-10 1 DLLLL
35 Malmö FF 8017 415-11 1 LLLLL
36 Maccabi Tel Aviv 8017 222-20 1 LLLLL
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

VfB Stuttgart

LWLW 2W 0D 2L · 6 pts (1.5 ppg) · GF 5 GA 5 · xG 5.64–5.14 · xPts 5.83

  • W H St. Pauli 2–0 xG 2.09–0.94 GER BI
  • L A SC Freiburg 1–3 xG 0.72–1.77 GER BI
  • W H Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–0 xG 0.89–1.85 GER BI
  • L A FC Union Berlin 1–2 xG 1.94–0.58 GER BI

Celta de Vigo

DDDDD 0W 5D 0L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 5 · xG 5.54–4.4 · xPts 7.38

  • D A Rayo Vallecano 1–1 xG 0.87–0.96 ESP PL
  • D H Girona 1–1 xG 2.36–0.99 ESP PL
  • D H Villarreal 1–1 xG 0.88–0.98 ESP PL
  • D H Real Betis 1–1 xG 1.02–0.36 ESP PL
  • D A Mallorca 1–1 xG 0.41–1.11 ESP PL

All meetings · 3 matches since 2001

VfB Stuttgart 11 draws1 Celta de Vigo

Goals 3–3 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 67%

Last 10 · 3 matches

VfB Stuttgart 11 draws1 Celta de Vigo

Goals 3–3 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 67%

Last 5 · 3 matches

VfB Stuttgart 11 draws1 Celta de Vigo

Goals 3–3 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 67%

Recent meetings

  • W VfB Stuttgart 2–1 Celta de Vigo UEFA EL · League Stage
  • L Celta de Vigo 2–1 VfB Stuttgart UEFA EL · 4th Round · leg 2/2
  • D VfB Stuttgart 0–0 Celta de Vigo UEFA EL · 4th Round · leg 1/2
MetricVfB Stuttgart all · 12VfB Stuttgart at home · 6Celta de Vigo all · 14Celta de Vigo away · 7
Results
Matches126147
Points per game1.502.001.641.43
W / D / L6 / 0 / 64 / 0 / 27 / 2 / 53 / 1 / 3
Goals for / match1.672.001.571.57
Goals against / match1.251.171.361.43
Clean sheets17%17%21%29%
Failed to score42%17%7%14%
Both teams scored42%67%71%57%
Over 2.550%67%71%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.922.041.081.08
xG against / match1.100.911.231.26
xG difference0.831.13-0.14-0.18
Finishing vs xG-0.26-0.040.490.49
xPts / match1.882.051.301.30
Points vs xPts-0.38-0.050.340.13
Game state
Scored first50%67%64%57%
PPG when scoring first3.003.002.222.50
PPG when conceding first0.000.000.600.00
Came back from behind0%0%17%0%
Leads held100%100%70%75%
Minutes leading28%30%37%28%
Minutes level33%41%41%41%
Minutes trailing39%29%22%31%
First goal (min)34414557
First goal conceded (min)32405148
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half55%58%54%54%
Goals conceded in 2nd half40%43%63%70%
Late goals for (76'+)0.500.670.360.57
Late goals against0.250.170.360.43
Style
Possession60%61%49%48%
Shots18.818.810.89.6
On target6.57.34.24.3
Shot conversion9%11%15%16%
Shots inside box64%58%67%69%
Big chances created3.23.52.52.3
Corners6.56.73.43.0
xG from set plays23%18%11%6%
Goals from headers15%17%10%0%
Pressure index24.725.113.111.7
Dominant minutes65.865.742.239.4
Pass accuracy85%87%84%86%
Fouls12.814.713.814.6
Cards2.421.832.571.86

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

VfB Stuttgart

0–15'32
16–30'34
31–45'33
46–60'42
61–75'11
76–90'63

Celta de Vigo

0–15'32
16–30'31
31–45'44
46–60'13
61–75'64
76–90'55

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

VfB Stuttgart · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.07) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.29

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.074
Early press (0-15, level)-0.144
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.012

Game state

When ahead+0.132
When level+0.174
When behind-0.072
10 min after conceding-0.154
10 min after scoring+0.294

Situations

At home+0.152
Away-0.012
4+ days rest+0.003

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.193
As favourite+0.152

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.044
Conceded when ahead+0.192
Conceded late (76+)-0.124

Congested vs rested +0.26 · Ahead vs level -0.03 · Behind vs level -0.24

Celta de Vigo · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.20) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.70

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.207
Early press (0-15, level)+0.127
Late push (76+, level)+0.105
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.183

Game state

When ahead+0.122
When level+0.237
When behind+0.174
10 min after conceding-0.135
10 min after scoring+0.703

Situations

At home+0.073
Away+0.304
3 days rest or fewer+0.202
4+ days rest+0.205

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.073
v bottom-tier opponents+0.313
As favourite+0.383
Evenly matched+0.123

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.047
Conceded when ahead-0.362
Conceded late (76+)-0.367

Congested vs rested -0.01 · Ahead vs level -0.10 · Behind vs level -0.06

VfB Stuttgart

Current: winless 1 · scoring 10 · conceding 9

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-16 50%2.02.331.52.171.18
3-4-2-14 33%1.51.50.751.531.05
3-4-1-21 8%0.00.02.01.621.59
4-4-1-11 8%0.00.01.02.350.29

Celta de Vigo

Current: winless 7 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-37 50%1.711.571.570.921.38
3-4-2-13 21%1.671.00.670.960.97
4-3-32 14%3.02.50.01.270.43
4-1-4-11 7%0.01.03.01.621.13
4-4-21 7%0.02.03.01.672.63

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.2Home 43% P 44%3.5Draw 27% P 27%3.1Away 30% P 29%

Double Chance

1.36VfB Stuttgart or Draw 35% P 36%1.28VfB Stuttgart or Celta Vigo 37% P 37%1.66Draw or Celta Vigo 28% P 28%

Draw No Bet

1.571 59%2.252 41%

Both Teams To Score

1.53Yes 61% P 62%2.37No 39% P 38%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 57% P 58%2.2Under 43% P 42%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 34%5.012 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

4.51.8Over 51%1.9Under 49%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 27.5–30% · 766 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home44%44%43%-0.3
Draw27%28%30%+2.4
Away29%29%26%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes62%61%62%+0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.558%59%60%+0.8

N. Walsh

Career
34 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
5.56 (5.21 yellow · 0.15 red)
Fouls / match
24.2 · 4.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.29
Cards to home side
50%

Style in Europa League (5-year window · 14 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match6.074.72+1.2885
Fouls / match26.624.1+1.18
Fouls per card4.45.1-0.87 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.210.33-0.6423
Time added6.76.6+0.0055
First card
28' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
51% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-08-21 20 200 59'6
2025-08-14 70 331 12'9
2025-01-23 122 320 45'7
2024-12-12 90 220 44'6
2024-10-24 82 321 15'7