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Europa Conference League · League Stage · Matchday 6

Momentum

AEK LarnacaSkendija 79
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
League Stage
Round
6

Venue

Stadium
AEK Arena - George Karapatakis, Larnaca
Capacity
8,058
Surface
grass
Attendance
3,269

Teams

Coaches
Joseba Idiakez Barkaiztegui · Jeton Beqiri
Position
10 · 21
Formation
4-1-4-1 · 4-4-2

Referee

Manfredas Lukjančukas

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
14.3° (feels 13.7°)
Wind
3.1
Humidity
70%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Strasbourg 6510 1156 16 DWWWW
2 Raków Częstochowa 6420 927 14 DDWWW
3 AEK Athens 6411 1477 13 WDWWW
4 Sparta Praha 6411 1037 13 LDWWW
5 Rayo Vallecano 6411 1376 13 DWLWW
6 Shakhtar Donetsk 6411 1055 13 LWWWD
7 FSV Mainz 05 6411 734 13 WWLDW
8 AEK Larnaca 6330 716 12 WDDDW
9 Lausanne Sport 6321 633 11 WDLDW
10 Crystal Palace 6312 1165 10 LWLWD
11 Lech Poznań 6312 1284 10 LLWDW
12 Samsunspor 6312 1064 10 WWDLL
13 Celje 6312 871 10 WWLLD
14 AZ Alkmaar 6312 770 10 WLWWD
15 Fiorentina 6303 853 9 WLLWL
16 Rijeka 6231 523 9 WDDWD
17 Jagiellonia Białystok 6231 541 9 DDWLD
18 Omonia Nicosia 6222 541 8 DDWWL
19 Noah 6222 67-1 8 DLDWL
20 Drita 6222 48-4 8 DWWLL
21 KuPS 6141 651 7 DWLDD
22 Skendija 79 6213 45-1 7 WDLWL
23 Zrinjski 6213 810-2 7 LLWLD
24 Sigma Olomouc 6213 79-2 7 DWWLL
25 Universitatea Craiova 6213 68-2 7 DWWLL
26 Lincoln Red Imps 6213 715-8 7 WDLWL
27 Dynamo Kyiv 6204 990 6 LWLLW
28 Legia Warszawa 6204 880 6 WLLLW
29 Slovan Bratislava 6204 59-4 6 LLWLW
30 Breidablik 6123 611-5 5 DLDWL
31 Shamrock Rovers 6114 713-6 4 LDLLW
32 Häcken 6033 58-3 3 DLLDL
33 Hamrun Spartans 6105 411-7 3 LLWLL
34 Shelbourne 6024 07-7 2 LLLLD
35 Aberdeen 6024 314-11 2 LDDLL
36 SK Rapid 6015 314-11 1 LLLLD
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

AEK Larnaca

WWDDD 2W 3D 0L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 1 · xG 5.34–6.15 · xPts 5.86

  • D A Häcken 1–1 xG 0.85–1.31 UEFA ECL
  • D A Rijeka 0–0 xG 0.47–1.31 UEFA ECL
  • D H Aberdeen 0–0 xG 0.81–0.79 UEFA ECL
  • W A Crystal Palace 1–0 xG 0.27–1.88 UEFA ECL
  • W H AZ Alkmaar 4–0 xG 2.95–0.86 UEFA ECL

Skendija 79

LWDLW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 4 GA 4 · xG 3.44–3.91 · xPts 6.41

  • W H Slovan Bratislava 2–0 xG 1.61–0.43 UEFA ECL
  • L A Drita 0–1 xG 0.73–0.56 UEFA ECL
  • D H Jagiellonia Białystok 1–1 xG 0.59–0.59 UEFA ECL
  • W H Shelbourne 1–0 xG 0.5–0.53 UEFA ECL
  • L A Rayo Vallecano 0–2 xG 0.01–1.8 UEFA ECL

All meetings · 1 match since 2025

AEK Larnaca 10 draws0 Skendija 79

Goals 1–0 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Last 10 · 1 match

AEK Larnaca 10 draws0 Skendija 79

Goals 1–0 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Last 5 · 1 match

AEK Larnaca 10 draws0 Skendija 79

Goals 1–0 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Recent meetings

  • W AEK Larnaca 1–0 Skendija 79 UEFA ECL · League Stage
MetricAEK Larnaca all · 8AEK Larnaca at home · 4Skendija 79 all · 8Skendija 79 away · 4
Results
Matches88
Points per game1.630.87
W / D / L3 / 4 / 12 / 1 / 5
Goals for / match1.000.50
Goals against / match0.381.25
Clean sheets75%25%
Failed to score38%62%
Both teams scored25%12%
Over 2.525%12%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.030.59
xG against / match1.471.47
xG difference-0.44-0.88
Finishing vs xG-0.03-0.09
xPts / match1.110.89
Points vs xPts0.52-0.01
Game state
Scored first50%38%
PPG when scoring first2.502.33
PPG when conceding first0.000.00
Came back from behind0%0%
Leads held75%67%
Minutes leading18%14%
Minutes level72%60%
Minutes trailing10%26%
First goal (min)5757
First goal conceded (min)5258
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half88%50%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%70%
Late goals for (76'+)0.250.13
Late goals against0.250.63
Style
Possession47%40%
Shots9.68.0
On target3.11.8
Shot conversion10%6%
Shots inside box64%48%
Big chances created2.10.6
Corners3.42.9
xG from set plays37%20%
Goals from headers29%50%
Pressure index16.29.1
Dominant minutes44.932.5
Pass accuracy76%77%
Fouls10.111.8
Cards3.002.75

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

AEK Larnaca

0–15'01
16–30'10
31–45'00
46–60'20
61–75'30
76–90'21

Skendija 79

0–15'00
16–30'02
31–45'21
46–60'11
61–75'01
76–90'15

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

AEK Larnaca · 2 matches

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.122
Early press (0-15, level)+0.112
Late push (76+, level)+0.802

Game state

When level-0.192
10 min after conceding+0.272

Situations

4+ days rest-0.122

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.032
Conceded late (76+)-0.502

Ahead vs level +0.21 · Behind vs level +0.09

Skendija 79 · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.00) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) +0.32

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.006
Early press (0-15, level)+0.326
Late push (76+, level)-0.073
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.362

Game state

When ahead+0.034
When level+0.046
When behind-0.253
10 min after conceding-0.293
10 min after scoring-0.035

Situations

At home-0.023
Away+0.023
4+ days rest+0.006

Opposition

As favourite+0.082
Evenly matched-0.172

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.126
Conceded when ahead-0.104
Conceded late (76+)-0.385

Ahead vs level -0.01 · Behind vs level -0.29

AEK Larnaca

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-13 38%1.671.670.331.421.16
5-4-13 38%1.330.670.670.312.41
4-3-31 12%1.00.00.00.810.79
4-1-4-11 12%3.01.00.02.20.22

Skendija 79

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-16 75%0.670.331.50.481.53
4-3-31 12%3.02.00.01.610.43
4-4-21 12%0.00.01.00.222.2

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.4Home 68% P 68%5.0Draw 19% P 20%7.0Away 14% P 12%

Double Chance

1.1AEK Larnaca or Draw 43% P 44%1.16AEK Larnaca or Shkendija Tetovo 40% P 40%2.75Draw or Shkendija Tetovo 17% P 16%

Draw No Bet

1.141 83%5.52 17%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 49% P 52%1.8No 51% P 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.7Over 55% P 59%2.1Under 45% P 41%

Total Corners

5.5Under 6 16%2.56 - 8 34%2.879 - 11 30%6.012 - 14 14%15.0Over 14 6%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 67.5–70% · away 10–12.5% · 543 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home68%69%72%+3.5
Draw20%20%18%-1.5
Away12%11%9%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 43% · over 2.5 53%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes52%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.559%59%60%+0.8

Manfredas Lukjančukas

Career
36 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
5.19 (4.83 yellow · 0.11 red)
Fouls / match
23.1 · 4.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.28
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 13 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.314.92+0.3171
Fouls / match20.923.8-1.09
Fouls per card3.94.8-1.00 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.29-0.9718
Time added8.76.5+2.1398
First card
39' on average
Card timing
6% in first 30' · 48% in last 15'
Cards to home side
36% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-23 20 240 45'9
2025-09-30 10 200 46'4
2025-09-24 60 231 8'12
2025-08-28 50 160 35'5
2025-02-20 80 261 7'17
2025-01-22 30 210 79'6