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Europa Conference League · League Stage · Matchday 4

Momentum

BreidablikSamsunspor
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
League Stage
Round
4

Venue

Stadium
Laugardalsvöllur, Reykjavík · neutral
Capacity
15,427
Surface
grass
Attendance
950

Teams

Coaches
Halldór Árnason · Thomas Reis
Position
34 · 1
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-1-4-1

Referee

Denys Shurman

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
-1.1° (feels -5.7°)
Wind
4.1
Humidity
64%

Where to watch · 272

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Strasbourg 6510 1156 16 DWWWW
2 Raków Częstochowa 6420 927 14 DDWWW
3 AEK Athens 6411 1477 13 WDWWW
4 Sparta Praha 6411 1037 13 LDWWW
5 Rayo Vallecano 6411 1376 13 DWLWW
6 Shakhtar Donetsk 6411 1055 13 LWWWD
7 FSV Mainz 05 6411 734 13 WWLDW
8 AEK Larnaca 6330 716 12 WDDDW
9 Lausanne Sport 6321 633 11 WDLDW
10 Crystal Palace 6312 1165 10 LWLWD
11 Lech Poznań 6312 1284 10 LLWDW
12 Samsunspor 6312 1064 10 WWDLL
13 Celje 6312 871 10 WWLLD
14 AZ Alkmaar 6312 770 10 WLWWD
15 Fiorentina 6303 853 9 WLLWL
16 Rijeka 6231 523 9 WDDWD
17 Jagiellonia Białystok 6231 541 9 DDWLD
18 Omonia Nicosia 6222 541 8 DDWWL
19 Noah 6222 67-1 8 DLDWL
20 Drita 6222 48-4 8 DWWLL
21 KuPS 6141 651 7 DWLDD
22 Skendija 79 6213 45-1 7 WDLWL
23 Zrinjski 6213 810-2 7 LLWLD
24 Sigma Olomouc 6213 79-2 7 DWWLL
25 Universitatea Craiova 6213 68-2 7 DWWLL
26 Lincoln Red Imps 6213 715-8 7 WDLWL
27 Dynamo Kyiv 6204 990 6 LWLLW
28 Legia Warszawa 6204 880 6 WLLLW
29 Slovan Bratislava 6204 59-4 6 LLWLW
30 Breidablik 6123 611-5 5 DLDWL
31 Shamrock Rovers 6114 713-6 4 LDLLW
32 Häcken 6033 58-3 3 DLLDL
33 Hamrun Spartans 6105 411-7 3 LLWLL
34 Shelbourne 6024 07-7 2 LLLLD
35 Aberdeen 6024 314-11 2 LDDLL
36 SK Rapid 6015 314-11 1 LLLLD
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Breidablik

WWLDL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 7 · xG 3.99–4.44 · xPts 3.68

  • L A Shakhtar Donetsk 0–2 xG 0.42–1.56 UEFA ECL
  • D H KuPS 0–0 xG 2.4–1.09 UEFA ECL
  • L A Lausanne Sport 0–3 xG 1.17–1.79 UEFA ECL
  • W A Virtus 3–1 UEFA ECL
  • W H Virtus 2–1 UEFA ECL

Samsunspor

LDWWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 8 GA 2 · xG 6.7–4.4 · xPts 8.11

  • W H Hamrun Spartans 3–0 xG 2.0–0.34 UEFA ECL
  • W H Dynamo Kyiv 3–0 xG 2.44–0.47 UEFA ECL
  • W A Legia Warszawa 1–0 xG 0.97–1.54 UEFA ECL
  • D H Panathinaikos 0–0 xG 0.86–0.77 UEFA EL
  • L A Panathinaikos 1–2 xG 0.42–1.29 UEFA EL

All meetings · 1 match since 2025

Breidablik 01 draws0 Samsunspor

Goals 2–2 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 1 match

Breidablik 01 draws0 Samsunspor

Goals 2–2 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 1 match

Breidablik 01 draws0 Samsunspor

Goals 2–2 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • D Breidablik 2–2 Samsunspor neutral UEFA ECL · League Stage
MetricBreidablik all · 8Breidablik at home · 4Samsunspor all · 10Samsunspor away · 5
Results
Matches8105
Points per game1.381.902.00
W / D / L3 / 2 / 36 / 1 / 33 / 1 / 1
Goals for / match1.381.701.00
Goals against / match1.630.900.80
Clean sheets12%60%60%
Failed to score38%10%20%
Both teams scored62%30%20%
Over 2.575%60%20%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.211.661.37
xG against / match1.681.011.35
xG difference-0.470.640.02
Finishing vs xG-0.210.04-0.37
xPts / match1.151.741.37
Points vs xPts-0.320.160.63
Game state
Scored first25%70%60%
PPG when scoring first2.002.573.00
PPG when conceding first1.200.330.50
Came back from behind50%25%50%
Leads held75%75%75%
Minutes leading17%42%30%
Minutes level52%42%57%
Minutes trailing31%16%13%
First goal (min)253043
First goal conceded (min)212925
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half54%59%60%
Goals conceded in 2nd half31%56%50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.250.400.20
Late goals against0.250.100.00
Style
Possession44%56%56%
Shots9.913.211.4
On target3.65.03.8
Shot conversion14%13%9%
Shots inside box64%64%58%
Big chances created1.32.92.8
Corners5.83.83.0
xG from set plays27%23%22%
Goals from headers0%6%0%
Pressure index10.314.112.9
Dominant minutes32.052.345.6
Pass accuracy81%82%81%
Fouls11.311.711.2
Cards1.252.303.60

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Breidablik

0–15'14
16–30'12
31–45'33
46–60'21
61–75'21
76–90'22

Samsunspor

0–15'32
16–30'30
31–45'12
46–60'32
61–75'32
76–90'41

Breidablik

Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-36 75%1.831.671.171.331.21
5-4-11 12%0.00.03.01.171.79
4-1-4-11 12%0.01.03.00.793.43

Samsunspor

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-1-4-17 70%1.431.571.291.411.09
4-2-3-11 10%3.01.00.02.410.3
3-5-21 10%3.01.00.01.051.45
4-4-21 10%3.04.00.03.260.76

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

4.1Home 23% P 22%4.2Draw 22% P 23%1.72Away 55% P 55%

Double Chance

2.05Breidablik or Draw 23% P 22%1.22Breidablik or Samsunspor 39% P 38%1.22Draw or Samsunspor 39% P 39%

Draw No Bet

3.251 29%1.332 71%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58% P 58%2.2No 42% P 42%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.6Over 59% P 60%2.3Under 41% P 40%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.66 - 8 24%2.629 - 11 33%3.7512 - 14 23%7.0Over 14 12%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 20–22.5% · away 52.5–55% · 365 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home22%21%23%+1.8
Draw23%25%25%-0.3
Away55%54%52%-1.4

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 53%

Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes58%59%60%+1.5

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.560%59%60%+0.8

Denys Shurman

Career
14 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
5.5 (5.14 yellow · 0.14 red)
Fouls / match
22.5 · 3.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.5
Cards to home side
52%

Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 10 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.44.92-0.7522
Fouls / match20.423.8-1.28
Fouls per card4.54.8-0.39 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.40.29+0.6465
Time added5.76.5-1.0814
First card
40' on average
Card timing
11% in first 30' · 43% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
2.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-08-14 91 240 18'8
2025-07-23 40 230 16'8