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Europa Conference League · League Stage · Matchday 3

Momentum

Dynamo KyivZrinjski
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
League Stage
Round
3

Venue

Stadium
Arena Lublin, Lublin · neutral
Capacity
15,243
Surface
grass
Attendance
1,576

Teams

Coaches
Oleksandr Shovkovskiy · Igor Štimac
Position
35 · 17
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-4-2

Referee

Marc Nagtegaal

Weather

Conditions
sky is clear
Temperature
11.7° (feels 10.7°)
Wind
4.8
Humidity
67%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Strasbourg 6510 1156 16 DWWWW
2 Raków Częstochowa 6420 927 14 DDWWW
3 AEK Athens 6411 1477 13 WDWWW
4 Sparta Praha 6411 1037 13 LDWWW
5 Rayo Vallecano 6411 1376 13 DWLWW
6 Shakhtar Donetsk 6411 1055 13 LWWWD
7 FSV Mainz 05 6411 734 13 WWLDW
8 AEK Larnaca 6330 716 12 WDDDW
9 Lausanne Sport 6321 633 11 WDLDW
10 Crystal Palace 6312 1165 10 LWLWD
11 Lech Poznań 6312 1284 10 LLWDW
12 Samsunspor 6312 1064 10 WWDLL
13 Celje 6312 871 10 WWLLD
14 AZ Alkmaar 6312 770 10 WLWWD
15 Fiorentina 6303 853 9 WLLWL
16 Rijeka 6231 523 9 WDDWD
17 Jagiellonia Białystok 6231 541 9 DDWLD
18 Omonia Nicosia 6222 541 8 DDWWL
19 Noah 6222 67-1 8 DLDWL
20 Drita 6222 48-4 8 DWWLL
21 KuPS 6141 651 7 DWLDD
22 Skendija 79 6213 45-1 7 WDLWL
23 Zrinjski 6213 810-2 7 LLWLD
24 Sigma Olomouc 6213 79-2 7 DWWLL
25 Universitatea Craiova 6213 68-2 7 DWWLL
26 Lincoln Red Imps 6213 715-8 7 WDLWL
27 Dynamo Kyiv 6204 990 6 LWLLW
28 Legia Warszawa 6204 880 6 WLLLW
29 Slovan Bratislava 6204 59-4 6 LLWLW
30 Breidablik 6123 611-5 5 DLDWL
31 Shamrock Rovers 6114 713-6 4 LDLLW
32 Häcken 6033 58-3 3 DLLDL
33 Hamrun Spartans 6105 411-7 3 LLWLL
34 Shelbourne 6024 07-7 2 LLLLD
35 Aberdeen 6024 314-11 2 LDDLL
36 SK Rapid 6015 314-11 1 LLLLD
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Dynamo Kyiv

LLWLL 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 2 GA 10 · xG 0.98–4.16 · xPts 0.84

  • L A Samsunspor 0–3 xG 0.47–2.44 UEFA ECL
  • L H Crystal Palace 0–2 xG 0.51–1.72 UEFA ECL
  • W H Maccabi Tel Aviv 1–0 UEFA EL
  • L A Maccabi Tel Aviv 1–3 UEFA EL
  • L A Pafos FC 0–2 UEFA CL

Zrinjski

WLDWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 4 · xG 4.19–7.7 · xPts 3.86

  • L A FSV Mainz 05 0–1 xG 0.1–3.55 UEFA ECL
  • W H Lincoln Red Imps 5–0 xG 2.91–0.56 UEFA ECL
  • D A FC Utrecht 0–0 xG 0.44–1.22 UEFA EL
  • L H FC Utrecht 0–2 xG 0.75–2.37 UEFA EL
  • W A Breidablik 2–1 UEFA EL

All meetings · 1 match since 2025

Dynamo Kyiv 10 draws0 Zrinjski

Goals 6–0 · 6.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 1 match

Dynamo Kyiv 10 draws0 Zrinjski

Goals 6–0 · 6.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 1 match

Dynamo Kyiv 10 draws0 Zrinjski

Goals 6–0 · 6.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • W Dynamo Kyiv 6–0 Zrinjski neutral UEFA ECL · League Stage
MetricDynamo Kyiv all · 6Dynamo Kyiv at home · 3Zrinjski all · 8Zrinjski away · 4
Results
Matches68
Points per game1.001.00
W / D / L2 / 0 / 42 / 2 / 4
Goals for / match1.501.13
Goals against / match1.501.63
Clean sheets33%12%
Failed to score50%50%
Both teams scored17%38%
Over 2.550%38%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.971.09
xG against / match1.711.63
xG difference-0.74-0.54
Finishing vs xG0.530.04
xPts / match1.031.12
Points vs xPts-0.03-0.12
Game state
Scored first33%12%
PPG when scoring first3.003.00
PPG when conceding first0.000.71
Came back from behind0%43%
Leads held100%100%
Minutes leading24%12%
Minutes level28%38%
Minutes trailing47%50%
First goal (min)3459
First goal conceded (min)2131
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half78%67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half44%46%
Late goals for (76'+)0.330.50
Late goals against0.000.38
Style
Possession54%41%
Shots8.811.3
On target3.04.3
Shot conversion17%10%
Shots inside box58%62%
Big chances created2.02.5
Corners5.23.4
xG from set plays27%27%
Goals from headers33%11%
Pressure index13.16.3
Dominant minutes48.328.5
Pass accuracy84%73%
Fouls10.812.0
Cards2.332.63

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Dynamo Kyiv

0–15'01
16–30'21
31–45'03
46–60'42
61–75'12
76–90'20

Zrinjski

0–15'11
16–30'12
31–45'14
46–60'12
61–75'11
76–90'43

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Dynamo Kyiv · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.01) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.016
Early press (0-15, level)+0.116
Late push (76+, level)+0.072
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.363

Game state

When ahead-0.572
When level+0.216
When behind-0.053
10 min after conceding-0.323
10 min after scoring-0.202

Situations

At home-0.153
Away+0.133
4+ days rest-0.016

Opposition

As favourite+0.153
As underdog-0.192

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.166
Conceded when ahead+0.142
Conceded late (76+)-0.346

Ahead vs level -0.79 · Behind vs level -0.27

Zrinjski · 2 matches

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.432
Early press (0-15, level)-0.062

Game state

When level+0.582
When behind+0.322
10 min after conceding+0.082

Situations

4+ days rest+0.432

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.402
Conceded late (76+)-0.612

Ahead vs level -0.39 · Behind vs level -0.26

Dynamo Kyiv

Current: winless 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-32 33%1.53.01.01.451.34
4-1-4-12 33%1.51.51.00.971.7
3-4-31 17%0.00.02.00.511.72
4-2-3-11 17%0.00.03.00.472.44

Zrinjski

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 6 · scoring 1 · conceding 9

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
5-4-14 50%0.50.51.250.921.31
4-2-3-13 38%2.02.330.671.531.9
4-4-21 12%0.00.06.00.412.07

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.61Home 58% P 59%3.8Draw 24% P 24%5.25Away 18% P 17%

Double Chance

1.16Dynamo Kyiv or Draw 41% P 41%1.25Dynamo Kyiv or Zrinjski Mostar 38% P 38%2.2Draw or Zrinjski Mostar 21% P 20%

Draw No Bet

1.251 75%3.752 25%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 46% P 46%1.72No 54% P 54%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.05Over 46% P 47%1.75Under 54% P 53%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 57.5–60% · away 15–17.5% · 555 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home59%59%57%-1.5
Draw24%25%28%+3.8
Away17%16%14%-2.2

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 49%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes46%46%47%+0.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.547%46%45%-1.2

Marc Nagtegaal

Career
90 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
2.73 (2.63 yellow · 0.04 red)
Fouls / match
19.5 · 7.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.24
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 4 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 3.5 cards, 25.2 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-01 12 7
2025-10-18 50 362 22'6
2025-09-27 61 251 39'11
2025-09-24 30 220 29'6
2025-09-20 50 300 28'5
2025-09-14 40 250 42'8
2025-08-24 20 250 22'8
2025-08-09 20 170 69'7
2025-07-24 50 160 14'7
2025-07-10 14 5