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Europa Conference League · League Stage · Matchday 5

Momentum

FiorentinaDynamo Kyiv
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
League Stage
Round
5

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Artemio Franchi, Firenze
Capacity
43,147
Surface
grass
Attendance
8,750

Teams

Coaches
Paolo Vanoli · Ihor Kostyuk
Position
17 · 27
Formation
3-5-2 · 4-1-4-1

Referee

Miloš Milanović

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
6.1° (feels 5.1°)
Wind
1.5
Humidity
91%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Strasbourg 6510 1156 16 DWWWW
2 Raków Częstochowa 6420 927 14 DDWWW
3 AEK Athens 6411 1477 13 WDWWW
4 Sparta Praha 6411 1037 13 LDWWW
5 Rayo Vallecano 6411 1376 13 DWLWW
6 Shakhtar Donetsk 6411 1055 13 LWWWD
7 FSV Mainz 05 6411 734 13 WWLDW
8 AEK Larnaca 6330 716 12 WDDDW
9 Lausanne Sport 6321 633 11 WDLDW
10 Crystal Palace 6312 1165 10 LWLWD
11 Lech Poznań 6312 1284 10 LLWDW
12 Samsunspor 6312 1064 10 WWDLL
13 Celje 6312 871 10 WWLLD
14 AZ Alkmaar 6312 770 10 WLWWD
15 Fiorentina 6303 853 9 WLLWL
16 Rijeka 6231 523 9 WDDWD
17 Jagiellonia Białystok 6231 541 9 DDWLD
18 Omonia Nicosia 6222 541 8 DDWWL
19 Noah 6222 67-1 8 DLDWL
20 Drita 6222 48-4 8 DWWLL
21 KuPS 6141 651 7 DWLDD
22 Skendija 79 6213 45-1 7 WDLWL
23 Zrinjski 6213 810-2 7 LLWLD
24 Sigma Olomouc 6213 79-2 7 DWWLL
25 Universitatea Craiova 6213 68-2 7 DWWLL
26 Lincoln Red Imps 6213 715-8 7 WDLWL
27 Dynamo Kyiv 6204 990 6 LWLLW
28 Legia Warszawa 6204 880 6 WLLLW
29 Slovan Bratislava 6204 59-4 6 LLWLW
30 Breidablik 6123 611-5 5 DLDWL
31 Shamrock Rovers 6114 713-6 4 LDLLW
32 Häcken 6033 58-3 3 DLLDL
33 Hamrun Spartans 6105 411-7 3 LLWLL
34 Shelbourne 6024 07-7 2 LLLLD
35 Aberdeen 6024 314-11 2 LDDLL
36 SK Rapid 6015 314-11 1 LLLLD
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Fiorentina

DDLLL 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 4 GA 9 · xG 6.65–8.11 · xPts 5.92

  • L A Sassuolo 1–3 xG 1.33–1.17 ITA SA
  • L A Atalanta 0–2 xG 1.81–2.28 ITA SA
  • L H AEK Athens 0–1 xG 1.24–1.55 UEFA ECL
  • D H Juventus 1–1 xG 0.86–1.49 ITA SA
  • D A Genoa 2–2 xG 1.4–1.63 ITA SA

Dynamo Kyiv

WLLWL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 7 · xG 3.88–6.83 · xPts 3.87

  • L A Omonia Nicosia 0–2 xG 0.83–2.27 UEFA ECL
  • W H Zrinjski 6–0 xG 2.07–0.41 UEFA ECL
  • L A Samsunspor 0–3 xG 0.47–2.44 UEFA ECL
  • L H Crystal Palace 0–2 xG 0.51–1.72 UEFA ECL
  • W H Maccabi Tel Aviv 1–0 UEFA EL

All meetings · 3 matches since 2015

Fiorentina 21 draws0 Dynamo Kyiv

Goals 5–2 · 2.33 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 33%

Last 10 · 3 matches

Fiorentina 21 draws0 Dynamo Kyiv

Goals 5–2 · 2.33 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 33%

Last 5 · 3 matches

Fiorentina 21 draws0 Dynamo Kyiv

Goals 5–2 · 2.33 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 33%

Recent meetings

  • W Fiorentina 2–1 Dynamo Kyiv UEFA ECL · League Stage
  • W Fiorentina 2–0 Dynamo Kyiv UEFA EL · Quarter-finals · leg 2/2
  • D Dynamo Kyiv 1–1 Fiorentina neutral UEFA EL · Quarter-finals · leg 1/2
MetricFiorentina all · 14Fiorentina at home · 7Dynamo Kyiv all · 6Dynamo Kyiv away · 3
Results
Matches1476
Points per game1.932.141.00
W / D / L9 / 0 / 55 / 0 / 22 / 0 / 4
Goals for / match1.791.861.50
Goals against / match1.211.431.50
Clean sheets29%14%33%
Failed to score21%14%50%
Both teams scored50%71%17%
Over 2.579%71%50%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.912.060.97
xG against / match1.280.991.71
xG difference0.631.07-0.74
Finishing vs xG-0.13-0.200.53
xPts / match1.792.021.03
Points vs xPts0.140.12-0.03
Game state
Scored first43%29%33%
PPG when scoring first2.503.003.00
PPG when conceding first1.501.800.00
Came back from behind44%60%0%
Leads held90%100%100%
Minutes leading32%23%24%
Minutes level40%39%28%
Minutes trailing29%38%47%
First goal (min)435434
First goal conceded (min)393221
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half70%73%78%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%33%44%
Late goals for (76'+)0.711.000.33
Late goals against0.210.140.00
Style
Possession51%55%54%
Shots15.116.38.8
On target5.35.93.0
Shot conversion12%11%17%
Shots inside box71%71%58%
Big chances created3.13.42.0
Corners5.26.65.2
xG from set plays38%45%27%
Goals from headers9%8%33%
Pressure index13.918.413.1
Dominant minutes55.363.948.3
Pass accuracy82%84%84%
Fouls12.613.410.8
Cards2.572.862.33

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Fiorentina

0–15'22
16–30'43
31–45'13
46–60'35
61–75'51
76–90'82

Dynamo Kyiv

0–15'01
16–30'21
31–45'03
46–60'42
61–75'12
76–90'20

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Fiorentina · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.17) · stands out: 10 min after conceding +0.33

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.174
Early press (0-15, level)+0.094

Game state

When ahead+0.082
When level+0.224
When behind+0.194
10 min after conceding+0.334
10 min after scoring+0.492

Situations

At home+0.192
Away+0.152
4+ days rest+0.174

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.422
As favourite+0.192

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.244
Conceded when ahead+0.202
Conceded late (76+)+0.192

Ahead vs level -0.14 · Behind vs level -0.03

Dynamo Kyiv · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.01) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.016
Early press (0-15, level)+0.116
Late push (76+, level)+0.072
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.363

Game state

When ahead-0.572
When level+0.216
When behind-0.053
10 min after conceding-0.323
10 min after scoring-0.202

Situations

At home-0.153
Away+0.133
4+ days rest-0.016

Opposition

As favourite+0.153
As underdog-0.192

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.166
Conceded when ahead+0.142
Conceded late (76+)-0.346

Ahead vs level -0.79 · Behind vs level -0.27

Fiorentina

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-25 36%1.81.40.61.721.02
3-4-2-13 21%3.02.671.02.31.15
4-4-22 14%1.52.52.02.091.37
4-3-31 7%0.00.03.00.613.2
3-1-4-21 7%0.01.02.02.191.46

Dynamo Kyiv

Current: winless 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-32 33%1.53.01.01.451.34
4-1-4-12 33%1.51.51.00.971.7
3-4-31 17%0.00.02.00.511.72
4-2-3-11 17%0.00.03.00.472.44

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.4Home 67% P 68%5.0Draw 19% P 19%6.5Away 14% P 13%

Double Chance

1.11Fiorentina or Draw 42% P 44%1.16Fiorentina or Dynamo Kyiv 41% P 41%2.75Draw or Dynamo Kyiv 17% P 16%

Draw No Bet

1.141 83%5.52 17%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50% P 52%1.83No 50% P 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.65Over 57% P 58%2.2Under 43% P 42%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 13%2.756 - 8 33%2.759 - 11 33%5.512 - 14 16%15.0Over 14 6%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 67.5–70% · away 12.5–15% · 243 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home68%68%68%-0.1
Draw19%18%18%-0.3
Away13%13%14%+0.4

In those fixtures: 3.4 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 65%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes52%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.558%59%60%+0.8

Miloš Milanović

Career
14 matches · 6 seasons
Cards / match
4.36 (4.36 yellow · 0.0 red)
Fouls / match
25.6 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.5
Cards to home side
54%

Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 9 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 4.89 cards, 25.9 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-02 20 171 49'11
2025-08-13 80 290 53'9
2025-07-22 14 11
2024-12-12 20 290 45'9