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Europa Conference League · League Stage · Matchday 5

Momentum

RijekaCelje
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
League Stage
Round
5

Venue

Stadium
Stadion HNK Rijeka, Rijeka
Capacity
8,279
Surface
grass
Attendance
5,693

Teams

Coaches
Víctor Sánchez · Riera
Position
25 · 8
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Andrea Colombo

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
8.5° (feels 7.8°)
Wind
1.5
Humidity
100%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Strasbourg 6510 1156 16 DWWWW
2 Raków Częstochowa 6420 927 14 DDWWW
3 AEK Athens 6411 1477 13 WDWWW
4 Sparta Praha 6411 1037 13 LDWWW
5 Rayo Vallecano 6411 1376 13 DWLWW
6 Shakhtar Donetsk 6411 1055 13 LWWWD
7 FSV Mainz 05 6411 734 13 WWLDW
8 AEK Larnaca 6330 716 12 WDDDW
9 Lausanne Sport 6321 633 11 WDLDW
10 Crystal Palace 6312 1165 10 LWLWD
11 Lech Poznań 6312 1284 10 LLWDW
12 Samsunspor 6312 1064 10 WWDLL
13 Celje 6312 871 10 WWLLD
14 AZ Alkmaar 6312 770 10 WLWWD
15 Fiorentina 6303 853 9 WLLWL
16 Rijeka 6231 523 9 WDDWD
17 Jagiellonia Białystok 6231 541 9 DDWLD
18 Omonia Nicosia 6222 541 8 DDWWL
19 Noah 6222 67-1 8 DLDWL
20 Drita 6222 48-4 8 DWWLL
21 KuPS 6141 651 7 DWLDD
22 Skendija 79 6213 45-1 7 WDLWL
23 Zrinjski 6213 810-2 7 LLWLD
24 Sigma Olomouc 6213 79-2 7 DWWLL
25 Universitatea Craiova 6213 68-2 7 DWWLL
26 Lincoln Red Imps 6213 715-8 7 WDLWL
27 Dynamo Kyiv 6204 990 6 LWLLW
28 Legia Warszawa 6204 880 6 WLLLW
29 Slovan Bratislava 6204 59-4 6 LLWLW
30 Breidablik 6123 611-5 5 DLDWL
31 Shamrock Rovers 6114 713-6 4 LDLLW
32 Häcken 6033 58-3 3 DLLDL
33 Hamrun Spartans 6105 411-7 3 LLWLL
34 Shelbourne 6024 07-7 2 LLLLD
35 Aberdeen 6024 314-11 2 LDDLL
36 SK Rapid 6015 314-11 1 LLLLD
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Rijeka

LLWDD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 2 GA 7 · xG 3.37–7.2 · xPts 4.54

  • D H AEK Larnaca 0–0 xG 1.31–0.47 UEFA ECL
  • D A Lincoln Red Imps 1–1 xG 0.79–2.59 UEFA ECL
  • W H Sparta Praha 1–0 xG 0.73–0.67 UEFA ECL
  • L A Noah 0–1 xG 0.14–1.16 UEFA ECL
  • L A PAOK 0–5 xG 0.4–2.31 UEFA EL

Celje

WWWWL 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 10 GA 4 · xG 7.07–6.19 · xPts 6.01

  • L A Sigma Olomouc 1–2 xG 1.37–1.95 UEFA ECL
  • W H Legia Warszawa 2–1 xG 1.04–1.93 UEFA ECL
  • W A Shamrock Rovers 2–0 xG 2.1–1.42 UEFA ECL
  • W H AEK Athens 3–1 xG 2.56–0.9 UEFA ECL
  • W A Baník Ostrava 2–0 UEFA ECL

All meetings · 1 match since 2025

Rijeka 10 draws0 Celje

Goals 3–0 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 1 match

Rijeka 10 draws0 Celje

Goals 3–0 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 1 match

Rijeka 10 draws0 Celje

Goals 3–0 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • W Rijeka 3–0 Celje UEFA ECL · League Stage
MetricRijeka all · 10Rijeka at home · 5Celje all · 14Celje away · 7
Results
Matches105147
Points per game1.602.002.002.14
W / D / L4 / 4 / 23 / 1 / 19 / 1 / 45 / 0 / 2
Goals for / match1.101.601.862.14
Goals against / match0.600.601.361.00
Clean sheets50%60%43%57%
Failed to score30%20%21%14%
Both teams scored40%40%43%29%
Over 2.530%60%64%57%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.021.371.821.93
xG against / match1.371.091.821.66
xG difference-0.360.280.000.27
Finishing vs xG0.080.230.100.24
xPts / match1.141.571.421.52
Points vs xPts0.460.430.420.48
Game state
Scored first50%40%50%71%
PPG when scoring first2.203.003.003.00
PPG when conceding first1.001.501.000.00
Came back from behind33%50%33%0%
Leads held67%100%90%100%
Minutes leading19%16%42%52%
Minutes level58%56%35%32%
Minutes trailing23%28%23%16%
First goal (min)58642723
First goal conceded (min)3582441
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half82%100%35%27%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%33%53%71%
Late goals for (76'+)0.400.600.360.43
Late goals against0.100.000.210.14
Style
Possession50%53%59%56%
Shots12.717.013.711.3
On target4.36.05.45.0
Shot conversion9%9%14%19%
Shots inside box55%55%61%68%
Big chances created2.23.83.03.8
Corners4.15.24.12.4
xG from set plays24%26%34%38%
Goals from headers9%12%5%10%
Pressure index20.233.316.612.2
Dominant minutes51.363.453.748.3
Pass accuracy79%77%86%85%
Fouls14.313.212.611.7
Cards2.701.602.142.14

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Rijeka

0–15'03
16–30'10
31–45'10
46–60'20
61–75'32
76–90'41

Celje

0–15'34
16–30'62
31–45'83
46–60'24
61–75'23
76–90'53

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Rijeka · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.42

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.026
Early press (0-15, level)-0.016
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.372

Game state

When ahead-0.104
When level+0.176
When behind-0.243
10 min after conceding-0.423
10 min after scoring-0.185

Situations

At home+0.113
Away-0.143
4+ days rest-0.026

Opposition

As favourite+0.104

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.006
Conceded when ahead-0.234
Conceded late (76+)-0.236

Ahead vs level -0.27 · Behind vs level -0.41

Celje · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.05) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.33

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.056
Early press (0-15, level)-0.146
Late push (76+, level)-0.335

Game state

When ahead-0.552
When level-0.156
When behind+0.245
10 min after conceding+0.145
10 min after scoring-0.015

Situations

At home+0.083
Away-0.173
4+ days rest-0.056

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents-0.072
As favourite+0.043
As underdog-0.292

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.036
Conceded when ahead-0.152
Conceded late (76+)-0.016

Ahead vs level -0.40 · Behind vs level +0.39

Rijeka

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-12 20%2.01.50.01.070.77
4-1-3-22 20%0.51.01.51.451.72
3-2-4-11 10%3.01.00.00.762.33
4-4-21 10%1.00.00.01.310.47
3-1-4-21 10%0.00.01.00.141.16

Celje

Current: winless 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-35 36%2.41.81.41.282.04
3-4-2-13 21%3.03.330.332.681.42
3-4-32 14%1.51.52.01.82.9
4-1-4-12 14%0.50.51.01.551.64
3-4-1-21 7%3.03.02.02.771.47

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.83Home 51% P 52%3.6Draw 26% P 26%4.1Away 23% P 22%

Double Chance

1.22HNK Rijeka or Draw 39% P 39%1.28HNK Rijeka or NK Celje 37% P 37%1.9Draw or NK Celje 25% P 24%

Draw No Bet

1.361 69%3.02 31%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54% P 54%2.0No 46% P 46%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.85Over 51% P 51%1.95Under 49% P 49%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 13%2.756 - 8 32%2.759 - 11 32%5.512 - 14 16%13.0Over 14 7%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 50–52.5% · away 20–22.5% · 722 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home52%51%55%+3.6
Draw26%27%26%-1.4
Away22%21%19%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 47%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes54%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.551%51%51%-0.1

Andrea Colombo

Career
72 matches · 6 seasons
Cards / match
5.17 (4.96 yellow · 0.17 red)
Fouls / match
24.9 · 4.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.21
Cards to home side
42%

Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 5 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 4.0 cards, 21.0 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-26 60 290 30'6
2025-10-05 50 400 3'8
2025-10-02 40 190 49'5
2025-09-21 20 5
2025-09-13 40 240 33'6
2025-08-28 61 211 3'10
2025-07-30 40 251 69'4
2025-05-25 30 281 20'8
2025-05-04 102 250 34'8
2025-04-20 70 330 39'6