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Europa Conference League · League Stage · Matchday 1

Momentum

Lech PoznańSK Rapid
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
League Stage
Round
1

Venue

Stadium
Enea stadion, Poznań
Capacity
42,837
Surface
grass
Attendance
24,779

Teams

Coaches
Niels Frederiksen · Peter Stöger
Position
17 · 8
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Robert Hennessy

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
11.1° (feels 9.1°)
Wind
4.0
Humidity
34%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Strasbourg 6510 1156 16 DWWWW
2 Raków Częstochowa 6420 927 14 DDWWW
3 AEK Athens 6411 1477 13 WDWWW
4 Sparta Praha 6411 1037 13 LDWWW
5 Rayo Vallecano 6411 1376 13 DWLWW
6 Shakhtar Donetsk 6411 1055 13 LWWWD
7 FSV Mainz 05 6411 734 13 WWLDW
8 AEK Larnaca 6330 716 12 WDDDW
9 Lausanne Sport 6321 633 11 WDLDW
10 Crystal Palace 6312 1165 10 LWLWD
11 Lech Poznań 6312 1284 10 LLWDW
12 Samsunspor 6312 1064 10 WWDLL
13 Celje 6312 871 10 WWLLD
14 AZ Alkmaar 6312 770 10 WLWWD
15 Fiorentina 6303 853 9 WLLWL
16 Rijeka 6231 523 9 WDDWD
17 Jagiellonia Białystok 6231 541 9 DDWLD
18 Omonia Nicosia 6222 541 8 DDWWL
19 Noah 6222 67-1 8 DLDWL
20 Drita 6222 48-4 8 DWWLL
21 KuPS 6141 651 7 DWLDD
22 Skendija 79 6213 45-1 7 WDLWL
23 Zrinjski 6213 810-2 7 LLWLD
24 Sigma Olomouc 6213 79-2 7 DWWLL
25 Universitatea Craiova 6213 68-2 7 DWWLL
26 Lincoln Red Imps 6213 715-8 7 WDLWL
27 Dynamo Kyiv 6204 990 6 LWLLW
28 Legia Warszawa 6204 880 6 WLLLW
29 Slovan Bratislava 6204 59-4 6 LLWLW
30 Breidablik 6123 611-5 5 DLDWL
31 Shamrock Rovers 6114 713-6 4 LDLLW
32 Häcken 6033 58-3 3 DLLDL
33 Hamrun Spartans 6105 411-7 3 LLWLL
34 Shelbourne 6024 07-7 2 LLLLD
35 Aberdeen 6024 314-11 2 LDDLL
36 SK Rapid 6015 314-11 1 LLLLD
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Lech Poznań

WLDLW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 10 · xG 3.11–7.0 · xPts 2.22

  • W A Genk 2–1 xG 1.22–1.45 UEFA EL
  • L H Genk 1–5 xG 1.18–3.91 UEFA EL
  • D A Crvena Zvezda 1–1 UEFA CL
  • L H Crvena Zvezda 1–3 xG 0.71–1.65 UEFA CL
  • W A Breidablik 1–0 UEFA CL

SK Rapid

WDDLW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 11 GA 8 · xG 15.82–9.93 · xPts 10.53

  • W H Győri ETO 2–0 xG 2.36–0.98 UEFA ECL
  • L A Győri ETO 1–2 xG 1.75–0.84 UEFA ECL
  • D A Dundee United 2–2 won on pens None–None xG 6.13–6.54 UEFA ECL
  • D H Dundee United 2–2 xG 2.67–0.74 UEFA ECL
  • W H Dečić 4–2 xG 2.91–0.83 UEFA ECL

All meetings · 1 match since 2025

Lech Poznań 10 draws0 SK Rapid

Goals 4–1 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 1 match

Lech Poznań 10 draws0 SK Rapid

Goals 4–1 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 1 match

Lech Poznań 10 draws0 SK Rapid

Goals 4–1 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • W Lech Poznań 4–1 SK Rapid UEFA ECL · League Stage
MetricLech Poznań all · 10Lech Poznań at home · 5SK Rapid all · 12SK Rapid away · 6
Results
Matches105126
Points per game1.902.001.000.83
W / D / L6 / 1 / 33 / 1 / 13 / 3 / 61 / 2 / 3
Goals for / match1.801.801.331.33
Goals against / match1.201.001.832.17
Clean sheets30%40%17%17%
Failed to score0%0%25%0%
Both teams scored70%60%58%83%
Over 2.560%40%58%67%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.092.131.961.93
xG against / match1.251.231.732.42
xG difference0.850.890.23-0.49
Finishing vs xG-0.29-0.33-0.63-0.59
xPts / match1.881.871.561.18
Points vs xPts0.020.13-0.56-0.35
Game state
Scored first70%60%42%33%
PPG when scoring first2.573.002.202.00
PPG when conceding first0.330.500.140.25
Came back from behind25%50%14%25%
Leads held86%100%60%50%
Minutes leading46%28%31%27%
Minutes level42%57%31%35%
Minutes trailing13%15%38%38%
First goal (min)40513848
First goal conceded (min)53433640
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half33%56%50%62%
Goals conceded in 2nd half75%60%50%46%
Late goals for (76'+)0.300.400.170.17
Late goals against0.500.200.420.50
Style
Possession54%55%53%50%
Shots14.913.815.613.2
On target5.95.64.94.5
Shot conversion12%13%9%10%
Shots inside box67%67%66%63%
Big chances created3.33.22.21.3
Corners3.82.65.66.5
xG from set plays42%31%38%54%
Goals from headers11%0%27%43%
Pressure index15.014.518.120.8
Dominant minutes52.947.854.447.5
Pass accuracy82%83%79%77%
Fouls9.010.614.216.5
Cards1.602.002.252.50

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Lech Poznań

0–15'40
16–30'11
31–45'72
46–60'02
61–75'32
76–90'35

SK Rapid

0–15'22
16–30'44
31–45'25
46–60'05
61–75'61
76–90'25

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Lech Poznań · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.26) · stands out: at home +0.44

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.267
Early press (0-15, level)+0.007
Late push (76+, level)+0.202

Game state

When ahead+0.155
When level+0.317
When behind+0.283
10 min after conceding-0.094
10 min after scoring+0.395

Situations

At home+0.443
Away+0.124
4+ days rest+0.267

Opposition

As favourite+0.244
Evenly matched+0.242

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.287
Conceded when ahead-0.515
Conceded late (76+)-0.432

Ahead vs level -0.16 · Behind vs level -0.03

SK Rapid · 6 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.44) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.62

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.446
Early press (0-15, level)+0.446
Late push (76+, level)+0.173

Game state

When ahead+0.426
When level+0.506
10 min after conceding-0.385
10 min after scoring+0.626

Situations

At home+0.453
Away+0.433
4+ days rest+0.446

Opposition

As favourite+0.535

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.206
Conceded when ahead-0.096
Conceded late (76+)-0.415

Ahead vs level -0.08 · Behind vs level -0.67

Lech Poznań

Current: winless 2 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-17 70%1.431.861.571.91.39
4-1-4-12 20%3.01.50.02.70.57
4-4-21 10%3.02.01.02.231.6

SK Rapid

Current: unbeaten 7 · winless 2 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 33%0.750.751.51.561.41
4-3-33 25%1.672.331.673.212.96
4-4-23 25%1.331.671.331.930.64
3-4-1-21 8%0.01.04.00.992.23
3-4-31 8%0.00.03.00.892.11

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.15Home 44% P 43%3.7Draw 25% P 27%3.0Away 31% P 30%

Double Chance

1.36Lech Poznan or Draw 35%1.28Lech Poznan or Rapid Vienna 37%1.66Draw or Rapid Vienna 28%

Draw No Bet

1.611 58%2.22 42%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59%2.25No 41%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 56% P 56%2.15Under 44% P 44%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 30–32.5% · 232 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home43%43%45%+1.8
Draw27%26%25%-0.8
Away30%31%30%-1.1

In those fixtures: 3.2 goals a game · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 66%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,508 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.556%56%56%-0.2

Robert Hennessy

Career
20 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
4.85 (4.65 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
25.5 · 4.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.35
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 10 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.74.92-0.4031
Fouls / match27.623.8+1.58
Fouls per card5.94.8+1.18 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.20.29-0.6726
Time added6.66.5-0.1241
First card
35' on average
Card timing
29% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.33

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-07-31 20 210 14'10
2025-07-08 40 330 21'12
2024-12-19 60 231 3'6