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Europa Conference League · League Stage · Matchday 6

Momentum

LegiaLRI
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
League Stage
Round
6

Venue

Stadium
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, Warszawa
Capacity
31,800
Surface
grass
Attendance
9,429

Teams

Coaches
Iñaki Astiz · –
Position
30 · 24
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-4-2

Referee

Danilo Nikolić

Weather

Conditions
fog
Temperature
2.6° (feels -0.4°)
Wind
3.1
Humidity
94%

Where to watch · 272

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Strasbourg 6510 1156 16 DWWWW
2 Raków Częstochowa 6420 927 14 DDWWW
3 AEK Athens 6411 1477 13 WDWWW
4 Sparta Praha 6411 1037 13 LDWWW
5 Rayo Vallecano 6411 1376 13 DWLWW
6 Shakhtar Donetsk 6411 1055 13 LWWWD
7 FSV Mainz 05 6411 734 13 WWLDW
8 AEK Larnaca 6330 716 12 WDDDW
9 Lausanne Sport 6321 633 11 WDLDW
10 Crystal Palace 6312 1165 10 LWLWD
11 Lech Poznań 6312 1284 10 LLWDW
12 Samsunspor 6312 1064 10 WWDLL
13 Celje 6312 871 10 WWLLD
14 AZ Alkmaar 6312 770 10 WLWWD
15 Fiorentina 6303 853 9 WLLWL
16 Rijeka 6231 523 9 WDDWD
17 Jagiellonia Białystok 6231 541 9 DDWLD
18 Omonia Nicosia 6222 541 8 DDWWL
19 Noah 6222 67-1 8 DLDWL
20 Drita 6222 48-4 8 DWWLL
21 KuPS 6141 651 7 DWLDD
22 Skendija 79 6213 45-1 7 WDLWL
23 Zrinjski 6213 810-2 7 LLWLD
24 Sigma Olomouc 6213 79-2 7 DWWLL
25 Universitatea Craiova 6213 68-2 7 DWWLL
26 Lincoln Red Imps 6213 715-8 7 WDLWL
27 Dynamo Kyiv 6204 990 6 LWLLW
28 Legia Warszawa 6204 880 6 WLLLW
29 Slovan Bratislava 6204 59-4 6 LLWLW
30 Breidablik 6123 611-5 5 DLDWL
31 Shamrock Rovers 6114 713-6 4 LDLLW
32 Häcken 6033 58-3 3 DLLDL
33 Hamrun Spartans 6105 411-7 3 LLWLL
34 Shelbourne 6024 07-7 2 LLLLD
35 Aberdeen 6024 314-11 2 LDDLL
36 SK Rapid 6015 314-11 1 LLLLD
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Legia Warszawa

LWLLL 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 4 GA 7 · xG 7.25–5.3 · xPts 8.14

  • L A Noah 1–2 xG 2.01–1.8 UEFA ECL
  • L H Sparta Praha 0–1 xG 0.82–0.71 UEFA ECL
  • L A Celje 1–2 xG 1.93–1.04 UEFA ECL
  • W A Shakhtar Donetsk 2–1 xG 0.95–0.78 UEFA ECL
  • L H Samsunspor 0–1 xG 1.54–0.97 UEFA ECL

Lincoln Red Imps

LWDLW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 11 · xG 5.58–11.21 · xPts 4.1

  • W H Sigma Olomouc 2–1 xG 0.62–2.53 UEFA ECL
  • L A Hamrun Spartans 1–3 xG 0.96–2.04 UEFA ECL
  • D H Rijeka 1–1 xG 2.59–0.79 UEFA ECL
  • W H Lech Poznań 2–1 xG 0.85–2.95 UEFA ECL
  • L A Zrinjski 0–5 xG 0.56–2.91 UEFA ECL

All meetings · 1 match since 2025

Legia Warszawa 10 draws0 Lincoln Red Imps

Goals 4–1 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 1 match

Legia Warszawa 10 draws0 Lincoln Red Imps

Goals 4–1 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 1 match

Legia Warszawa 10 draws0 Lincoln Red Imps

Goals 4–1 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • W Legia Warszawa 4–1 Lincoln Red Imps UEFA ECL · League Stage
MetricLegia Warszawa all · 8Legia Warszawa at home · 4Lincoln Red Imps all · 6Lincoln Red Imps away · 3
Results
Matches86
Points per game1.251.17
W / D / L3 / 1 / 42 / 1 / 3
Goals for / match1.631.17
Goals against / match1.502.50
Clean sheets0%0%
Failed to score25%17%
Both teams scored75%83%
Over 2.575%83%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.760.96
xG against / match1.112.46
xG difference0.65-1.50
Finishing vs xG-0.130.20
xPts / match1.710.69
Points vs xPts-0.450.47
Game state
Scored first75%33%
PPG when scoring first1.671.50
PPG when conceding first0.001.00
Came back from behind20%40%
Leads held50%67%
Minutes leading42%13%
Minutes level33%47%
Minutes trailing25%40%
First goal (min)1856
First goal conceded (min)5837
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half42%71%
Goals conceded in 2nd half83%60%
Late goals for (76'+)0.500.50
Late goals against0.500.67
Style
Possession49%42%
Shots15.09.2
On target5.02.8
Shot conversion11%13%
Shots inside box63%56%
Big chances created3.01.3
Corners5.32.5
xG from set plays27%47%
Goals from headers9%33%
Pressure index24.34.9
Dominant minutes53.525.3
Pass accuracy80%74%
Fouls13.011.7
Cards3.002.83

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Legia Warszawa

0–15'21
16–30'30
31–45'21
46–60'03
61–75'23
76–90'34

Lincoln Red Imps

0–15'02
16–30'12
31–45'12
46–60'10
61–75'15
76–90'34

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Legia Warszawa

No pressure profile yet.

Lincoln Red Imps · 8 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.23) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.45

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.238
Early press (0-15, level)-0.138
Late push (76+, level)-0.445
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.552

Game state

When ahead-0.374
When level-0.178
When behind-0.313
10 min after conceding-0.456
10 min after scoring-0.324

Situations

At home-0.204
Away-0.274
4+ days rest-0.238

Opposition

As favourite-0.232
As underdog-0.236

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.068
Conceded when ahead+0.144
Conceded late (76+)+0.017

Ahead vs level -0.20 · Behind vs level -0.14

Legia Warszawa

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 12

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-34 50%0.751.251.251.960.73
3-5-1-11 12%1.03.03.00.761.95
4-2-3-11 12%0.01.02.02.011.8
3-1-4-21 12%3.02.01.02.51.45
4-1-4-11 12%3.02.01.00.950.78

Lincoln Red Imps

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-4-25 83%1.41.22.40.962.55
4-3-31 17%0.01.03.00.962.04

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.3Home 72% P 74%5.5Draw 17% P 16%8.5Away 11% P 10%

Double Chance

1.08Legia Warsaw or Draw 44%1.14Legia Warsaw or Lincoln Red Imps FC 42%3.4Draw or Lincoln Red Imps FC 14%

Draw No Bet

1.121 84%6.02 16%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 51%1.9No 49%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.53Over 61% P 64%2.4Under 39% P 36%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 34%4.7512 - 14 19%11.0Over 14 8%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 72.5–75% · away 7.5–10% · 458 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home74%74%74%+0.5
Draw16%17%18%+0.9
Away10%9%8%-1.5

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 60%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.564%64%63%-0.4

Danilo Nikolić

No career statistics.

Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 5 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 5.0 cards, 31.0 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-07-31 50 280 40'5
2025-07-09 40 201 30'7