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Europa Conference League · League Stage · Matchday 1

Momentum

LegiaSamsunspor
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

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Competition

Stage
League Stage
Round
1

Venue

Stadium
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, Warszawa
Capacity
31,800
Surface
grass
Attendance
18,712

Teams

Coaches
Edward Iordănescu · Thomas Reis
Position
22 · 23
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-1-4-1

Referee

Jérémie Pignard

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
10.4° (feels 8.4°)
Wind
4.0
Humidity
38%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Strasbourg 6510 1156 16 DWWWW
2 Raków Częstochowa 6420 927 14 DDWWW
3 AEK Athens 6411 1477 13 WDWWW
4 Sparta Praha 6411 1037 13 LDWWW
5 Rayo Vallecano 6411 1376 13 DWLWW
6 Shakhtar Donetsk 6411 1055 13 LWWWD
7 FSV Mainz 05 6411 734 13 WWLDW
8 AEK Larnaca 6330 716 12 WDDDW
9 Lausanne Sport 6321 633 11 WDLDW
10 Crystal Palace 6312 1165 10 LWLWD
11 Lech Poznań 6312 1284 10 LLWDW
12 Samsunspor 6312 1064 10 WWDLL
13 Celje 6312 871 10 WWLLD
14 AZ Alkmaar 6312 770 10 WLWWD
15 Fiorentina 6303 853 9 WLLWL
16 Rijeka 6231 523 9 WDDWD
17 Jagiellonia Białystok 6231 541 9 DDWLD
18 Omonia Nicosia 6222 541 8 DDWWL
19 Noah 6222 67-1 8 DLDWL
20 Drita 6222 48-4 8 DWWLL
21 KuPS 6141 651 7 DWLDD
22 Skendija 79 6213 45-1 7 WDLWL
23 Zrinjski 6213 810-2 7 LLWLD
24 Sigma Olomouc 6213 79-2 7 DWWLL
25 Universitatea Craiova 6213 68-2 7 DWWLL
26 Lincoln Red Imps 6213 715-8 7 WDLWL
27 Dynamo Kyiv 6204 990 6 LWLLW
28 Legia Warszawa 6204 880 6 WLLLW
29 Slovan Bratislava 6204 59-4 6 LLWLW
30 Breidablik 6123 611-5 5 DLDWL
31 Shamrock Rovers 6114 713-6 4 LDLLW
32 Häcken 6033 58-3 3 DLLDL
33 Hamrun Spartans 6105 411-7 3 LLWLL
34 Shelbourne 6024 07-7 2 LLLLD
35 Aberdeen 6024 314-11 2 LDDLL
36 SK Rapid 6015 314-11 1 LLLLD
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Legia Warszawa

WLWWD 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 10 GA 10 · xG 5.86–6.6 · xPts 4.95

  • D H Hibernian 3–3 aet xG 0.76–1.95 UEFA ECL
  • W A Hibernian 2–1 xG 2.5–1.45 UEFA ECL
  • W H AEK Larnaca 2–1 xG 1.63–1.58 UEFA EL
  • L A AEK Larnaca 1–4 xG 0.97–1.62 UEFA EL
  • W H Baník Ostrava 2–1 UEFA EL

Samsunspor

LD 0W 1D 1L · 1 pts (0.5 ppg) · GF 1 GA 2 · xG 1.28–2.05 · xPts 2.06

  • D H Panathinaikos 0–0 xG 0.86–0.77 UEFA EL
  • L A Panathinaikos 1–2 xG 0.42–1.29 UEFA EL

All meetings · 1 match since 2025

Legia Warszawa 00 draws1 Samsunspor

Goals 0–1 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Last 10 · 1 match

Legia Warszawa 00 draws1 Samsunspor

Goals 0–1 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Last 5 · 1 match

Legia Warszawa 00 draws1 Samsunspor

Goals 0–1 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Recent meetings

  • L Legia Warszawa 0–1 Samsunspor UEFA ECL · League Stage
MetricLegia Warszawa all · 8Legia Warszawa at home · 4Samsunspor all · 10Samsunspor away · 5
Results
Matches8105
Points per game1.251.902.00
W / D / L3 / 1 / 46 / 1 / 33 / 1 / 1
Goals for / match1.631.701.00
Goals against / match1.500.900.80
Clean sheets0%60%60%
Failed to score25%10%20%
Both teams scored75%30%20%
Over 2.575%60%20%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.761.661.37
xG against / match1.111.011.35
xG difference0.650.640.02
Finishing vs xG-0.130.04-0.37
xPts / match1.711.741.37
Points vs xPts-0.450.160.63
Game state
Scored first75%70%60%
PPG when scoring first1.672.573.00
PPG when conceding first0.000.330.50
Came back from behind20%25%50%
Leads held50%75%75%
Minutes leading42%42%30%
Minutes level33%42%57%
Minutes trailing25%16%13%
First goal (min)183043
First goal conceded (min)582925
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half42%59%60%
Goals conceded in 2nd half83%56%50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.500.400.20
Late goals against0.500.100.00
Style
Possession49%56%56%
Shots15.013.211.4
On target5.05.03.8
Shot conversion11%13%9%
Shots inside box63%64%58%
Big chances created3.02.92.8
Corners5.33.83.0
xG from set plays27%23%22%
Goals from headers9%6%0%
Pressure index24.314.112.9
Dominant minutes53.552.345.6
Pass accuracy80%82%81%
Fouls13.011.711.2
Cards3.002.303.60

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Legia Warszawa

0–15'21
16–30'30
31–45'21
46–60'03
61–75'23
76–90'34

Samsunspor

0–15'32
16–30'30
31–45'12
46–60'32
61–75'32
76–90'41

Legia Warszawa

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 12

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-34 50%0.751.251.251.960.73
4-2-3-11 12%0.01.02.02.011.8
4-1-4-11 12%3.02.01.00.950.78
3-5-1-11 12%1.03.03.00.761.95
3-1-4-21 12%3.02.01.02.51.45

Samsunspor

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-1-4-17 70%1.431.571.291.411.09
4-4-21 10%3.04.00.03.260.76
4-2-3-11 10%3.01.00.02.410.3
3-5-21 10%3.01.00.01.051.45

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.1Home 45% P 46%3.3Draw 29% P 29%3.6Away 26% P 25%

Double Chance

1.28Legia Warsaw or Draw 37%1.33Legia Warsaw or Samsunspor 35%1.7Draw or Samsunspor 28%

Draw No Bet

1.51 62%2.52 38%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50%1.83No 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 44%1.7Under 55% P 56%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 22.5–25% · 565 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home46%46%48%+1.4
Draw29%30%28%-1.5
Away25%24%24%+0.2

In those fixtures: 2.3 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 41%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,474 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.544%44%43%-1.2

Jérémie Pignard

Career
139 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
4.65 (4.34 yellow · 0.19 red)
Fouls / match
22.8 · 4.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.4
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 13 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.694.92-0.4129
Fouls / match18.623.8-2.01
Fouls per card4.04.8-0.96 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.310.29+0.0455
Time added5.66.5-1.1912
First card
26' on average
Card timing
20% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
Cards to home side
39% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.25

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-26 60 280 24'7
2025-09-14 30 180 5'9
2025-08-28 30 170 15'6
2025-08-15 51 190 26'12
2025-07-22 60 240 19'8
2025-05-17 60 202 29'6
2025-05-04 30 210 27'9
2025-04-27 60 300 37'6
2025-04-22 20 140 77'5
2025-04-12 30 130 56'2