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Europa Conference League · League Stage · Matchday 3

Momentum

CeljeLegia
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
League Stage
Round
3

Venue

Stadium
Stadion Z'dežele, Celje
Capacity
13,059
Surface
grass
Attendance
8,000

Teams

Coaches
Riera · Iñaki Astiz
Position
3 · 18
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-3-3

Referee

Javier Alberola Rojas

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
11.4° (feels 10.3°)
Wind
1.0
Humidity
65%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Strasbourg 6510 1156 16 DWWWW
2 Raków Częstochowa 6420 927 14 DDWWW
3 AEK Athens 6411 1477 13 WDWWW
4 Sparta Praha 6411 1037 13 LDWWW
5 Rayo Vallecano 6411 1376 13 DWLWW
6 Shakhtar Donetsk 6411 1055 13 LWWWD
7 FSV Mainz 05 6411 734 13 WWLDW
8 AEK Larnaca 6330 716 12 WDDDW
9 Lausanne Sport 6321 633 11 WDLDW
10 Crystal Palace 6312 1165 10 LWLWD
11 Lech Poznań 6312 1284 10 LLWDW
12 Samsunspor 6312 1064 10 WWDLL
13 Celje 6312 871 10 WWLLD
14 AZ Alkmaar 6312 770 10 WLWWD
15 Fiorentina 6303 853 9 WLLWL
16 Rijeka 6231 523 9 WDDWD
17 Jagiellonia Białystok 6231 541 9 DDWLD
18 Omonia Nicosia 6222 541 8 DDWWL
19 Noah 6222 67-1 8 DLDWL
20 Drita 6222 48-4 8 DWWLL
21 KuPS 6141 651 7 DWLDD
22 Skendija 79 6213 45-1 7 WDLWL
23 Zrinjski 6213 810-2 7 LLWLD
24 Sigma Olomouc 6213 79-2 7 DWWLL
25 Universitatea Craiova 6213 68-2 7 DWWLL
26 Lincoln Red Imps 6213 715-8 7 WDLWL
27 Dynamo Kyiv 6204 990 6 LWLLW
28 Legia Warszawa 6204 880 6 WLLLW
29 Slovan Bratislava 6204 59-4 6 LLWLW
30 Breidablik 6123 611-5 5 DLDWL
31 Shamrock Rovers 6114 713-6 4 LDLLW
32 Häcken 6033 58-3 3 DLLDL
33 Hamrun Spartans 6105 411-7 3 LLWLL
34 Shelbourne 6024 07-7 2 LLLLD
35 Aberdeen 6024 314-11 2 LDDLL
36 SK Rapid 6015 314-11 1 LLLLD
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Celje

LWWWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 10 GA 5 · xG 6.46–5.22 · xPts 5.0

  • W A Shamrock Rovers 2–0 xG 2.1–1.42 UEFA ECL
  • W H AEK Athens 3–1 xG 2.56–0.9 UEFA ECL
  • W A Baník Ostrava 2–0 UEFA ECL
  • W H Baník Ostrava 1–0 UEFA ECL
  • L H Lugano 2–4 xG 1.8–2.9 UEFA ECL

Legia Warszawa

WWDLW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 9 GA 7 · xG 7.37–6.74 · xPts 7.26

  • W A Shakhtar Donetsk 2–1 xG 0.95–0.78 UEFA ECL
  • L H Samsunspor 0–1 xG 1.54–0.97 UEFA ECL
  • D H Hibernian 3–3 aet xG 0.76–1.95 UEFA ECL
  • W A Hibernian 2–1 xG 2.5–1.45 UEFA ECL
  • W H AEK Larnaca 2–1 xG 1.63–1.58 UEFA EL

All meetings · 1 match since 2025

Celje 10 draws0 Legia Warszawa

Goals 2–1 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 1 match

Celje 10 draws0 Legia Warszawa

Goals 2–1 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 1 match

Celje 10 draws0 Legia Warszawa

Goals 2–1 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • W Celje 2–1 Legia Warszawa UEFA ECL · League Stage
MetricCelje all · 14Celje at home · 7Legia Warszawa all · 8Legia Warszawa away · 4
Results
Matches1478
Points per game2.001.861.25
W / D / L9 / 1 / 44 / 1 / 23 / 1 / 4
Goals for / match1.861.571.63
Goals against / match1.361.711.50
Clean sheets43%29%0%
Failed to score21%29%25%
Both teams scored43%57%75%
Over 2.564%71%75%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.821.711.76
xG against / match1.821.981.11
xG difference0.00-0.280.65
Finishing vs xG0.10-0.04-0.13
xPts / match1.421.311.71
Points vs xPts0.420.35-0.45
Game state
Scored first50%29%75%
PPG when scoring first3.003.001.67
PPG when conceding first1.001.500.00
Came back from behind33%50%20%
Leads held90%80%50%
Minutes leading42%32%42%
Minutes level35%38%33%
Minutes trailing23%30%25%
First goal (min)273118
First goal conceded (min)241358
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half35%46%42%
Goals conceded in 2nd half53%42%83%
Late goals for (76'+)0.360.290.50
Late goals against0.210.290.50
Style
Possession59%61%49%
Shots13.716.115.0
On target5.45.75.0
Shot conversion14%10%11%
Shots inside box61%57%63%
Big chances created3.02.23.0
Corners4.15.95.3
xG from set plays34%29%27%
Goals from headers5%0%9%
Pressure index16.621.024.3
Dominant minutes53.759.153.5
Pass accuracy86%87%80%
Fouls12.613.613.0
Cards2.142.143.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Celje

0–15'34
16–30'62
31–45'83
46–60'24
61–75'23
76–90'53

Legia Warszawa

0–15'21
16–30'30
31–45'21
46–60'03
61–75'23
76–90'34

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Celje · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.05) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.33

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.056
Early press (0-15, level)-0.146
Late push (76+, level)-0.335

Game state

When ahead-0.552
When level-0.156
When behind+0.245
10 min after conceding+0.145
10 min after scoring-0.015

Situations

At home+0.083
Away-0.173
4+ days rest-0.056

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents-0.072
As favourite+0.043
As underdog-0.292

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.036
Conceded when ahead-0.152
Conceded late (76+)-0.016

Ahead vs level -0.40 · Behind vs level +0.39

Legia Warszawa

No pressure profile yet.

Celje

Current: winless 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-35 36%2.41.81.41.282.04
3-4-2-13 21%3.03.330.332.681.42
4-1-4-12 14%0.50.51.01.551.64
3-4-32 14%1.51.52.01.82.9
3-4-1-21 7%3.03.02.02.771.47

Legia Warszawa

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 12

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-34 50%0.751.251.251.960.73
4-1-4-11 12%3.02.01.00.950.78
3-5-1-11 12%1.03.03.00.761.95
4-2-3-11 12%0.01.02.02.011.8
3-1-4-21 12%3.02.01.02.51.45

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.2Home 42% P 43%3.6Draw 26% P 27%2.87Away 32% P 31%

Double Chance

1.36NK Celje or Draw 35% P 35%1.28NK Celje or Legia Warsaw 37% P 37%1.66Draw or Legia Warsaw 28% P 29%

Draw No Bet

1.611 58%2.22 42%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59% P 60%2.25No 41% P 40%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.7Over 55% P 54%2.1Under 45% P 46%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 30–32.5% · 232 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home43%43%45%+1.8
Draw27%26%25%-0.8
Away31%31%30%-1.1

In those fixtures: 3.2 goals a game · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 66%

Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes60%59%60%+1.5

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.554%54%54%+0.8

Javier Alberola Rojas

Career
55 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
3.78 (3.55 yellow · 0.18 red)
Fouls / match
25.8 · 6.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.38
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 5 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 4.2 cards, 23.2 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-25 60 271 15'7
2025-10-03 50 250 37'9
2025-09-27 90 311 22'12
2025-09-12 70 420 8'11
2025-08-15 11 251 15'14
2025-05-25 10 220 43'7
2025-05-14 30 210 39'6
2025-05-11 40 320 45'12
2025-04-23 31 211 37'8
2025-04-12 21 290 33'2