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Europa Conference League · League Stage · Matchday 1

Momentum

RAYSkendija 79
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
League Stage
Round
1

Venue

Stadium
Estadio de Vallecas, Madrid
Capacity
14,708
Surface
grass
Attendance
8,842

Teams

Coaches
Iñigo Pérez · Jeton Beqiri
Position
2 · 32
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Mohammad Al Emara

Weather

Conditions
sky is clear
Temperature
24.9° (feels 23.9°)
Wind
3.7
Humidity
18%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Strasbourg 6510 1156 16 DWWWW
2 Raków Częstochowa 6420 927 14 DDWWW
3 AEK Athens 6411 1477 13 WDWWW
4 Sparta Praha 6411 1037 13 LDWWW
5 Rayo Vallecano 6411 1376 13 DWLWW
6 Shakhtar Donetsk 6411 1055 13 LWWWD
7 FSV Mainz 05 6411 734 13 WWLDW
8 AEK Larnaca 6330 716 12 WDDDW
9 Lausanne Sport 6321 633 11 WDLDW
10 Crystal Palace 6312 1165 10 LWLWD
11 Lech Poznań 6312 1284 10 LLWDW
12 Samsunspor 6312 1064 10 WWDLL
13 Celje 6312 871 10 WWLLD
14 AZ Alkmaar 6312 770 10 WLWWD
15 Fiorentina 6303 853 9 WLLWL
16 Rijeka 6231 523 9 WDDWD
17 Jagiellonia Białystok 6231 541 9 DDWLD
18 Omonia Nicosia 6222 541 8 DDWWL
19 Noah 6222 67-1 8 DLDWL
20 Drita 6222 48-4 8 DWWLL
21 KuPS 6141 651 7 DWLDD
22 Skendija 79 6213 45-1 7 WDLWL
23 Zrinjski 6213 810-2 7 LLWLD
24 Sigma Olomouc 6213 79-2 7 DWWLL
25 Universitatea Craiova 6213 68-2 7 DWWLL
26 Lincoln Red Imps 6213 715-8 7 WDLWL
27 Dynamo Kyiv 6204 990 6 LWLLW
28 Legia Warszawa 6204 880 6 WLLLW
29 Slovan Bratislava 6204 59-4 6 LLWLW
30 Breidablik 6123 611-5 5 DLDWL
31 Shamrock Rovers 6114 713-6 4 LDLLW
32 Häcken 6033 58-3 3 DLLDL
33 Hamrun Spartans 6105 411-7 3 LLWLL
34 Shelbourne 6024 07-7 2 LLLLD
35 Aberdeen 6024 314-11 2 LDDLL
36 SK Rapid 6015 314-11 1 LLLLD
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Rayo Vallecano

DLDLL 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 4 GA 8 · xG 6.97–8.16 · xPts 6.8

  • L H Sevilla 0–1 xG 1.91–0.38 ESP PL
  • L A Atlético de Madrid 2–3 xG 0.94–3.7 ESP PL
  • D H Celta de Vigo 1–1 xG 0.96–0.87 ESP PL
  • L A Osasuna 0–2 xG 1.36–1.44 ESP PL
  • D H FC Barcelona 1–1 xG 1.8–1.78 ESP PL

Skendija 79

WLLWL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 12 · xG 0.91–2.93 · xPts 0.39

  • L A Ludogorets 1–4 aet xG 0.91–2.93 UEFA EL
  • W H Ludogorets 2–1 UEFA EL
  • L A Qarabağ 1–5 UEFA CL
  • L H Qarabağ 0–1 UEFA CL
  • W A FCSB 2–1 UEFA CL

All meetings · 1 match since 2025

Rayo Vallecano 10 draws0 Skendija 79

Goals 2–0 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Last 10 · 1 match

Rayo Vallecano 10 draws0 Skendija 79

Goals 2–0 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Last 5 · 1 match

Rayo Vallecano 10 draws0 Skendija 79

Goals 2–0 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Recent meetings

  • W Rayo Vallecano 2–0 Skendija 79 UEFA ECL · League Stage
MetricRayo Vallecano all · 15Rayo Vallecano at home · 7Skendija 79 all · 8Skendija 79 away · 4
Results
Matches1578
Points per game2.072.570.87
W / D / L10 / 1 / 46 / 0 / 12 / 1 / 5
Goals for / match1.802.290.50
Goals against / match0.870.431.25
Clean sheets47%71%25%
Failed to score13%14%62%
Both teams scored40%14%12%
Over 2.560%57%12%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.601.770.59
xG against / match1.030.601.47
xG difference0.571.17-0.88
Finishing vs xG0.200.52-0.09
xPts / match1.772.150.89
Points vs xPts0.300.42-0.01
Game state
Scored first73%71%38%
PPG when scoring first2.553.002.33
PPG when conceding first0.751.500.00
Came back from behind33%50%0%
Leads held83%100%67%
Minutes leading37%43%14%
Minutes level42%42%60%
Minutes trailing21%15%26%
First goal (min)374057
First goal conceded (min)373858
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half59%69%50%
Goals conceded in 2nd half46%33%70%
Late goals for (76'+)0.530.710.13
Late goals against0.000.000.63
Style
Possession56%60%40%
Shots16.419.08.0
On target5.66.61.8
Shot conversion11%12%6%
Shots inside box58%61%48%
Big chances created2.93.00.6
Corners5.86.92.9
xG from set plays25%24%20%
Goals from headers4%7%50%
Pressure index20.725.59.1
Dominant minutes62.575.732.5
Pass accuracy81%83%77%
Fouls14.212.611.8
Cards2.872.002.75

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Rayo Vallecano

0–15'42
16–30'21
31–45'54
46–60'35
61–75'51
76–90'80

Skendija 79

0–15'00
16–30'02
31–45'21
46–60'11
61–75'01
76–90'15

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Rayo Vallecano · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.07) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.076
Early press (0-15, level)+0.306
Late push (76+, level)-0.252
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.553

Game state

When ahead-0.135
When level+0.036
When behind-0.064
10 min after conceding-0.376
10 min after scoring+0.676

Situations

Against ten men+0.352
At home-0.083
Away-0.043
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.052
v mid-tier opponents-0.103
Evenly matched-0.103
As underdog-0.052

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.246
Conceded when ahead+0.155
Conceded late (76+)+0.396

Congested vs rested -0.10 · Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.10

Skendija 79 · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.00) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) +0.32

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.006
Early press (0-15, level)+0.326
Late push (76+, level)-0.073
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.362

Game state

When ahead+0.034
When level+0.046
When behind-0.253
10 min after conceding-0.293
10 min after scoring-0.035

Situations

At home-0.023
Away+0.023
4+ days rest+0.006

Opposition

As favourite+0.082
Evenly matched-0.172

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.126
Conceded when ahead-0.104
Conceded late (76+)-0.385

Ahead vs level -0.01 · Behind vs level -0.29

Rayo Vallecano

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 8

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-110 67%1.91.50.91.561.17
4-3-35 33%2.42.40.81.680.75

Skendija 79

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-16 75%0.670.331.50.481.53
4-3-31 12%3.02.00.01.610.43
4-4-21 12%0.00.01.00.222.2

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.11Home 84% P 85%8.0Draw 12% P 12%23.0Away 4% P 3%

Double Chance

1.01Rayo Vallecano or Draw 48%1.08Rayo Vallecano or Shkendija Tetovo 45%6.5Draw or Shkendija Tetovo 7%

Draw No Bet

1.021 95%19.02 5%

Both Teams To Score

2.75Yes 34%1.4No 66%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.53Over 61% P 61%2.4Under 39% P 39%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 34%4.7512 - 14 19%11.0Over 14 8%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 82.5–85% · away 2.5–5% · 162 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home85%84%87%+3.0
Draw12%11%6%-5.9
Away3%5%7%+2.9

In those fixtures: 3.5 goals a game · BTTS 38% · over 2.5 65%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,027 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.561%61%63%+1.5

Mohammad Al Emara

Career
18 matches · 6 seasons
Cards / match
4.89 (4.67 yellow · 0.06 red)
Fouls / match
22.8 · 4.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.44
Cards to home side
40%

Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 12 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.334.92+0.3372
Fouls / match21.323.8-0.95
Fouls per card3.84.8-1.19 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.50.29+1.2988
Time added6.86.5+0.1051
First card
33' on average
Card timing
13% in first 30' · 45% in last 15'
Cards to home side
42% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.67

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-08-21 70 221 7'10
2025-08-14 40 300 23'4
2024-12-19 72 271 6'7