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Europa Conference League · League Stage · Matchday 4

Momentum

SIGCelje
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
League Stage
Round
4

Venue

Stadium
Andrův stadion, Olomouc
Capacity
12,566
Surface
grass
Attendance
7,267

Teams

Coaches
Tomas Janotka · Riera
Position
19 · 2
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1

Referee

Genc Nuza

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
-2.5° (feels -5.1°)
Wind
1.8
Humidity
100%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Strasbourg 6510 1156 16 DWWWW
2 Raków Częstochowa 6420 927 14 DDWWW
3 AEK Athens 6411 1477 13 WDWWW
4 Sparta Praha 6411 1037 13 LDWWW
5 Rayo Vallecano 6411 1376 13 DWLWW
6 Shakhtar Donetsk 6411 1055 13 LWWWD
7 FSV Mainz 05 6411 734 13 WWLDW
8 AEK Larnaca 6330 716 12 WDDDW
9 Lausanne Sport 6321 633 11 WDLDW
10 Crystal Palace 6312 1165 10 LWLWD
11 Lech Poznań 6312 1284 10 LLWDW
12 Samsunspor 6312 1064 10 WWDLL
13 Celje 6312 871 10 WWLLD
14 AZ Alkmaar 6312 770 10 WLWWD
15 Fiorentina 6303 853 9 WLLWL
16 Rijeka 6231 523 9 WDDWD
17 Jagiellonia Białystok 6231 541 9 DDWLD
18 Omonia Nicosia 6222 541 8 DDWWL
19 Noah 6222 67-1 8 DLDWL
20 Drita 6222 48-4 8 DWWLL
21 KuPS 6141 651 7 DWLDD
22 Skendija 79 6213 45-1 7 WDLWL
23 Zrinjski 6213 810-2 7 LLWLD
24 Sigma Olomouc 6213 79-2 7 DWWLL
25 Universitatea Craiova 6213 68-2 7 DWWLL
26 Lincoln Red Imps 6213 715-8 7 WDLWL
27 Dynamo Kyiv 6204 990 6 LWLLW
28 Legia Warszawa 6204 880 6 WLLLW
29 Slovan Bratislava 6204 59-4 6 LLWLW
30 Breidablik 6123 611-5 5 DLDWL
31 Shamrock Rovers 6114 713-6 4 LDLLW
32 Häcken 6033 58-3 3 DLLDL
33 Hamrun Spartans 6105 411-7 3 LLWLL
34 Shelbourne 6024 07-7 2 LLLLD
35 Aberdeen 6024 314-11 2 LDDLL
36 SK Rapid 6015 314-11 1 LLLLD
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Sigma Olomouc

LLLDW 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 3 GA 9 · xG 4.48–5.03 · xPts 4.94

  • W A Noah 2–1 xG 2.08–0.31 UEFA ECL
  • D H Raków Częstochowa 1–1 xG 0.5–1.62 UEFA ECL
  • L A Fiorentina 0–2 xG 0.39–1.28 UEFA ECL
  • L H Malmö FF 0–2 xG 1.51–1.83 UEFA EL
  • L A Malmö FF 0–3 UEFA EL

Celje

WWWWW 5W 0D 0L · 15 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 10 GA 2 · xG 5.7–4.25 · xPts 4.98

  • W H Legia Warszawa 2–1 xG 1.04–1.93 UEFA ECL
  • W A Shamrock Rovers 2–0 xG 2.1–1.42 UEFA ECL
  • W H AEK Athens 3–1 xG 2.56–0.9 UEFA ECL
  • W A Baník Ostrava 2–0 UEFA ECL
  • W H Baník Ostrava 1–0 UEFA ECL

All meetings · 1 match since 2025

Sigma Olomouc 10 draws0 Celje

Goals 2–1 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 1 match

Sigma Olomouc 10 draws0 Celje

Goals 2–1 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 1 match

Sigma Olomouc 10 draws0 Celje

Goals 2–1 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • W Sigma Olomouc 2–1 Celje UEFA ECL · League Stage
MetricSigma Olomouc all · 10Sigma Olomouc at home · 5Celje all · 14Celje away · 7
Results
Matches105147
Points per game1.201.202.002.14
W / D / L3 / 3 / 41 / 3 / 19 / 1 / 45 / 0 / 2
Goals for / match1.001.001.862.14
Goals against / match1.301.001.361.00
Clean sheets10%20%43%57%
Failed to score30%20%21%14%
Both teams scored70%80%43%29%
Over 2.550%40%64%57%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.441.551.821.93
xG against / match1.201.261.821.66
xG difference0.250.280.000.27
Finishing vs xG-0.44-0.550.100.24
xPts / match1.481.491.421.52
Points vs xPts-0.28-0.290.420.48
Game state
Scored first50%40%50%71%
PPG when scoring first2.002.003.003.00
PPG when conceding first0.250.501.000.00
Came back from behind20%50%33%0%
Leads held60%50%90%100%
Minutes leading25%17%42%52%
Minutes level51%63%35%32%
Minutes trailing24%20%23%16%
First goal (min)39582723
First goal conceded (min)36442441
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half30%60%35%27%
Goals conceded in 2nd half38%20%53%71%
Late goals for (76'+)0.200.400.360.43
Late goals against0.300.200.210.14
Style
Possession44%46%59%56%
Shots13.115.213.711.3
On target3.23.45.45.0
Shot conversion8%7%14%19%
Shots inside box68%67%61%68%
Big chances created1.71.63.03.8
Corners3.23.84.12.4
xG from set plays28%17%34%38%
Goals from headers30%60%5%10%
Pressure index9.111.716.612.2
Dominant minutes38.444.853.748.3
Pass accuracy74%75%86%85%
Fouls17.016.012.611.7
Cards2.502.002.142.14

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Sigma Olomouc

0–15'30
16–30'25
31–45'23
46–60'11
61–75'01
76–90'23

Celje

0–15'34
16–30'62
31–45'83
46–60'24
61–75'23
76–90'53

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Sigma Olomouc

No pressure profile yet.

Celje · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.05) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.33

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.056
Early press (0-15, level)-0.146
Late push (76+, level)-0.335

Game state

When ahead-0.552
When level-0.156
When behind+0.245
10 min after conceding+0.145
10 min after scoring-0.015

Situations

At home+0.083
Away-0.173
4+ days rest-0.056

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents-0.072
As favourite+0.043
As underdog-0.292

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.036
Conceded when ahead-0.152
Conceded late (76+)-0.016

Ahead vs level -0.40 · Behind vs level +0.39

Sigma Olomouc

Current: winless 2 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-18 80%1.381.131.381.521.14
4-3-31 10%0.01.02.01.62.23
3-4-2-11 10%1.00.00.00.680.59

Celje

Current: winless 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-35 36%2.41.81.41.282.04
3-4-2-13 21%3.03.330.332.681.42
3-4-32 14%1.51.52.01.82.9
4-1-4-12 14%0.50.51.01.551.64
3-4-1-21 7%3.03.02.02.771.47

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.9Home 32% P 33%3.5Draw 27% P 27%2.3Away 41% P 40%

Double Chance

1.53Sigma Olomouc or Draw 31% P 30%1.3Sigma Olomouc or NK Celje 36% P 37%1.44Draw or NK Celje 33% P 33%

Draw No Bet

1.91 49%1.82 51%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58% P 57%2.2No 42% P 43%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 53%2.0Under 47% P 47%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 40–42.5% · 197 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home33%33%29%-3.9
Draw27%26%30%+4.7
Away40%41%40%-0.8

In those fixtures: 3.2 goals a game · BTTS 66% · over 2.5 62%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes57%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.553%54%54%+0.8

Genc Nuza

Career
21 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
4.67 (4.48 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
26.7 · 5.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.38
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 17 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.944.92-0.1249
Fouls / match26.023.8+0.95
Fouls per card5.54.8+0.70 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.290.29-0.0643
Time added6.36.5-0.4428
First card
33' on average
Card timing
20% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
40% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-02 20 180 39'7
2025-08-21 30 180 8'10
2025-07-31 20 250 51'6
2024-11-27 51 281 45'10