Runcorn Linnets v Buxton · KickoffDNA

FA Cup · 4th Round Qualifying

Runcorn LinnetsRULI

0–1

FT

Momentum

– RULIBuxton –

now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

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Stats

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Season context

Runcorn Linnets	at home	Stat	league	away	Buxton
18.3 #201	–	Ball possession	38.3	–	54.0 #49
3.7 #192	–	Shots total	8.8	–	11.0 #80
1.6 #186	–	Shots on target	3.5	–	6.0 #38
2.7 #153	–	Corners	4.0	–	6.2 #40
–	–	Fouls	9.1	–	4.0 #118
–	–	Offsides	1.8	–	0.2 #127
39.6 #180	–	Attacks	71.7	–	98.8 #58
23.7 #169	–	Dangerous attacks	37.4	–	54.8 #46
–	–	Yellowcards	1.8	–	1.4 #70
–	–	Assists	1.2	–	0.4 #80
– #568	–	Btts	57.6	–	– #354
– #32	–	Cleansheet	16.3	–	– #147
– #253	–	Draw	14.3	–	– #256
– #366	–	Failed to score	28.2	–	– #370
1.6 #304	0.7	Goals	1.4	2.0	2.2 #123
0.4 #734	0.7	Goals conceded	2.0	2.7	1.8 #363
0.4 #89	–	Injury time goals	0.5	–	0.4 #90
– #698	–	Lost	56.7	–	– #642
–	–	Penalties scored	0.4	–	0.4 #20
–	–	Rating	6.6	–	6.2 #112
– #115	–	Shots blocked	3.0	–	1.0 #91
– #86	–	Shots insidebox	7.1	–	– #86
2.1 #189	–	Shots off target	4.5	–	6.8 #39
– #86	–	Shots outsidebox	3.5	–	– #86
– #44	–	Win	29.1	–	– #10

Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 243.

League this season · 2025/2026

Played: 868 of 871
Goals / match: 3.3 (home 1.83 · away 1.47)
Home / draw / away: 47% · 18% · 35%
BTTS · over 2.5: 57% · 64%
Cards / match: 0.65 (reds 0.05)

Competition

Stage: 4th Round Qualifying

Venue

Stadium: Millbank Linnets Stadium, Runcorn
Capacity: 1,600
Surface: grass

Teams

Coaches: – · John McGrath
Position: 1 · 2

Referee

Lewis Dawson

Where to watch · 7

Mexico HBO Max
Netherlands Ziggo Sport 2 · Ziggo Sport 3 · Ziggo Sport 5
Republic of Ireland BBC Radio 5 Live · TNT Sports 3
Ukraine Setanta Sports Ukraine

No table for this competition stage.

Runcorn Linnets

WWWDW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 10 GA 2

W A Ashton United 2–1 UK FA Cup
D H Ashton United 1–1 UK FA Cup
W A Pickering Town CFC 2–0 UK FA Cup
W A West Didsbury & Chorlton 2–0 UK FA Cup
W A Whitchurch Alport 3–0 UK FA Cup

Buxton

WW 2W 0D 0L · 6 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 2

W A Marine 3–2 UK FA Cup
W H Redditch United 3–0 UK FA Cup

All meetings · 1 match since 2025

Runcorn Linnets 00 draws1 Buxton

Goals 0–1 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Last 10 · 1 match

Runcorn Linnets 00 draws1 Buxton

Goals 0–1 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Last 5 · 1 match

Runcorn Linnets 00 draws1 Buxton

Goals 0–1 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Recent meetings

L Runcorn Linnets 0–1 Buxton UK FA Cup · 4th Round Qualifying

Metric	Runcorn Linnets all · 7	Runcorn Linnets at home · 3	Buxton all · 5	Buxton away · 3
Results
Matches	7	–	5	–
Points per game	2.29	–	2.40	–
W / D / L	5 / 1 / 1	–	4 / 0 / 1	–
Goals for / match	1.57	–	2.20	–
Goals against / match	0.43	–	1.80	–
Clean sheets	57%	–	40%	–
Failed to score	14%	–	0%	–
Both teams scored	29%	–	60%	–
Over 2.5	29%	–	80%	–
Game state
Scored first	43%	–	80%	–
PPG when scoring first	2.33	–	2.25	–
PPG when conceding first	0.00	–	3.00	–
Came back from behind	0%	–	67%	–
Leads held	67%	–	80%	–
Minutes leading	31%	–	25%	–
Minutes level	69%	–	65%	–
Minutes trailing	0%	–	11%	–
First goal (min)	24	–	47	–
First goal conceded (min)	75	–	45	–
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	20%	–	70%	–
Goals conceded in 2nd half	67%	–	89%	–
Late goals for (76'+)	0.14	–	1.00	–
Late goals against	0.29	–	0.40	–
Style
Possession	43%	–	54%	–
Shots	6.5	–	11.0	–
On target	2.8	–	6.0	–
Shot conversion	42%	–	20%	–
Corners	4.8	–	6.2	–
Goals from headers	–	–	0%	–
Pressure index	7.1	–	30.4	–
Dominant minutes	41.5	–	63.2	–
Fouls	–	–	10.0	–
Cards	1.43	–	2.20	–

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Runcorn Linnets

0–15'10

16–30'20

31–45'11

46–60'00

61–75'00

76–90'12

Buxton

0–15'10

16–30'11

31–45'10

46–60'13

61–75'23

76–90'42

Runcorn Linnets

Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

Buxton

Current: winless 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 2

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	2 100%	1.5	2.0	3.5	–	–

Metric	Runcorn Linnets all · 9	Runcorn Linnets at home · 4	Buxton all · 9	Buxton away · 5
Results
Matches	9	–	9	5
Points per game	1.78	–	1.89	1.80
W / D / L	5 / 1 / 3	–	5 / 2 / 2	3 / 0 / 2
Goals for / match	1.56	–	1.78	1.60
Goals against / match	1.00	–	1.67	2.20
Clean sheets	44%	–	22%	20%
Failed to score	11%	–	11%	20%
Both teams scored	44%	–	67%	60%
Over 2.5	44%	–	67%	60%
Game state
Scored first	33%	–	56%	60%
PPG when scoring first	2.33	–	2.00	2.00
PPG when conceding first	0.00	–	1.75	1.50
Came back from behind	0%	–	67%	50%
Leads held	67%	–	71%	75%
Minutes leading	24%	–	18%	23%
Minutes level	68%	–	58%	51%
Minutes trailing	8%	–	24%	26%
First goal (min)	41	–	51	42
First goal conceded (min)	62	–	37	36
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	33%	–	80%	62%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	33%	–	67%	73%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.22	–	0.56	0.60
Late goals against	0.22	–	0.22	0.40
Style
Possession	42%	–	55%	55%
Shots	6.6	–	9.2	8.8
On target	3.0	–	4.8	4.2
Shot conversion	42%	–	19%	18%
Corners	3.8	–	5.4	5.2
Goals from headers	–	–	0%	0%
Pressure index	5.9	–	20.6	17.2
Dominant minutes	35.6	–	58.3	51.4
Fouls	–	–	10.0	10.0
Cards	1.56	–	2.44	2.60

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Runcorn Linnets

0–15'10

16–30'21

31–45'13

46–60'00

61–75'00

76–90'22

Buxton

0–15'11

16–30'13

31–45'11

46–60'34

61–75'54

76–90'42

Runcorn Linnets

Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

Buxton

Current: winless 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 2

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	2 100%	1.5	2.0	3.5	–	–

Metric	Runcorn Linnets all · 4	Runcorn Linnets at home · 3	Buxton all · 4	Buxton away · 3

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Runcorn Linnets · 3 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.46) · stands out: when level -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.463

Early press (0-15, level)-0.313

Game state

When ahead-0.422

When level-0.493

10 min after conceding-0.642

10 min after scoring+0.072

Situations

At home-0.432

4+ days rest-0.432

Opposition

As underdog-0.552

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.903

Conceded when ahead-0.012

Conceded late (76+)+1.792

Congested vs rested -0.09 · Ahead vs level +0.07 · Behind vs level -0.11

Buxton · 4 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.64) · stands out: when level +1.04

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.644

Early press (0-15, level)+0.044

Late push (76+, level)+1.752

Game state

When ahead-0.033

When level+1.044

When behind-0.463

10 min after conceding-0.353

10 min after scoring+0.184

Situations

Away+0.943

4+ days rest+0.644

Opposition

As favourite+1.222

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.224

Conceded when ahead-0.043

Conceded late (76+)-0.363

Ahead vs level -1.08 · Behind vs level -1.50

Runcorn Linnets

Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

Buxton

Current: winless 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 2

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	2 100%	1.5	2.0	3.5	–	–

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.3h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

4.33Home 21% P 22%3.8Draw 24% P 22%1.61Away 56% P 56%

Double Chance

2.1Runcorn Linnets or Draw 22%1.18Runcorn Linnets or Buxton 39%1.14Draw or Buxton 40%

Draw No Bet

3.51 27%1.282 73%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.65Over 57% P 58%2.2Under 43% P 42%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 20–22.5% · away 55–57.5% · 207 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Home	22%	21%	18%	-2.6
Draw	22%	23%	25%	+2.1
Away	56%	56%	57%	+0.4

In those fixtures: 3.3 goals a game · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 63%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Over 2.5	58%	59%	60%	+0.8

Lewis Dawson

No career statistics.

Style in FA Cup (5-year window · 2 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 3.5 cards, – fouls per match.