Eastleigh v Walsall · KickoffDNA

FA Cup · Round 1

EastleighEastleigh

0–3

WalsallWalsall

Momentum

– EastleighWalsall –

now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

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Stats

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Season context

Eastleigh	at home	Stat	league	away	Walsall
59.0 #32	–	Ball possession	38.3	–	27.7 #161
10.0 #91	–	Shots total	8.8	–	12.7 #57
5.5 #52	–	Shots on target	3.5	–	4.3 #85
6.0 #41	–	Corners	4.0	–	3.0 #134
4.5 #112	–	Fouls	9.1	–	9.7 #68
–	–	Offsides	1.8	–	2.3 #34
7.0 #65	–	Tackles	13.6	–	18.3 #20
105.0 #43	–	Attacks	71.7	–	58.7 #150
43.5 #86	–	Dangerous attacks	37.4	–	25.0 #160
212.0 #55	–	Passes	343.8	–	207.7 #57
0.5 #106	–	Yellowcards	1.8	–	1.3 #71
–	–	Assists	1.2	–	1.7 #25
– #585	–	Btts	57.6	–	– #531
– #36	–	Cleansheet	16.3	–	– #10
– #256	–	Draw	14.3	–	– #256
0.3 #63	–	Expected goals	1.3	–	1.4 #25
0.7 #30	–	Expected goals difference	0.6	–	0.6 #34
– #114	–	Failed to score	28.2	–	– #370
1.0 #399	0.0	Goals	1.4	2.0	2.0 #129
1.5 #402	3.0	Goals conceded	2.0	1.7	1.7 #374
–	–	Injury time goals	0.5	–	0.3 #97
4.5 #60	–	Interceptions	7.4	–	10.3 #20
– #253	–	Lost	56.7	–	– #458
–	–	Penalties scored	0.4	–	0.3 #22
6.4 #87	–	Rating	6.6	–	6.8 #24
0.5 #107	–	Shots blocked	3.0	–	2.0 #64
2.5 #74	–	Shots insidebox	7.1	–	8.3 #30
4.0 #122	–	Shots off target	4.5	–	6.3 #45
3.0 #44	–	Shots outsidebox	3.5	–	4.3 #29
– #141	–	Win	29.1	–	– #47

Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 243.

League this season · 2025/2026

Played: 868 of 871
Goals / match: 3.3 (home 1.83 · away 1.47)
Home / draw / away: 47% · 18% · 35%
BTTS · over 2.5: 57% · 64%
Cards / match: 0.65 (reds 0.05)

Competition

Stage: Round 1

Venue

Stadium: Silverlake Stadium, Eastleigh
Capacity: 5,250
Surface: grass
Attendance: 2,389

Teams

Coaches: Scott Bartlett · Matt Sadler
Position: 1 · 2
Formation: 5-4-1 · 3-5-2

Referee

Lee Swabey

Weather

Conditions: moderate rain
Temperature: 11.2° (feels 10.2°)
Wind: 7.6
Humidity: 70%

Where to watch · 32

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No table for this competition stage.

Eastleigh

W 1W 0D 0L · 3 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 2 GA 0

W A Hampton & Richmond 2–0 UK FA Cup

Walsall

No recent played matches.

All meetings · 1 match since 2025

Eastleigh 00 draws1 Walsall

Goals 0–3 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 1 match

Eastleigh 00 draws1 Walsall

Goals 0–3 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 1 match

Eastleigh 00 draws1 Walsall

Goals 0–3 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

L Eastleigh 0–3 Walsall UK FA Cup · Round 1

Metric	Eastleigh all · 2	Eastleigh at home · 1	Walsall all · 3	Walsall away · 3

Eastleigh

Current: winless 1 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
5-4-1	1 100%	0.0	0.0	3.0	0.53	2.1

Walsall

Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-5-2	2 67%	1.5	2.0	2.5	1.15	1.82
3-1-4-2	1 33%	3.0	2.0	0.0	2.09	0.29

Metric	Eastleigh all · 8	Eastleigh at home · 6	Walsall all · 9	Walsall away · 6
Results
Matches	8	6	9	6
Points per game	1.63	1.50	1.78	1.67
W / D / L	4 / 1 / 3	3 / 0 / 3	5 / 1 / 3	3 / 1 / 2
Goals for / match	1.50	1.50	1.44	1.67
Goals against / match	1.25	1.50	1.67	1.67
Clean sheets	25%	17%	44%	50%
Failed to score	25%	33%	33%	33%
Both teams scored	50%	50%	33%	33%
Over 2.5	50%	67%	67%	67%
Expected goals
xG for / match	0.53	0.53	1.46	1.46
xG against / match	2.10	2.10	1.31	1.31
xG difference	-1.57	-1.57	0.15	0.15
Finishing vs xG	-0.53	-0.53	0.54	0.54
xPts / match	0.42	0.42	1.68	1.68
Points vs xPts	-0.42	-0.42	0.32	0.32
Game state
Scored first	50%	50%	33%	33%
PPG when scoring first	3.00	3.00	3.00	3.00
PPG when conceding first	0.25	0.00	1.20	1.00
Came back from behind	25%	0%	40%	33%
Leads held	100%	100%	100%	100%
Minutes leading	31%	30%	33%	34%
Minutes level	43%	40%	36%	34%
Minutes trailing	26%	29%	31%	32%
First goal (min)	43	37	32	32
First goal conceded (min)	43	41	23	14
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	50%	56%	69%	70%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	70%	67%	60%	60%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.38	0.33	0.33	0.33
Late goals against	0.50	0.67	0.44	0.33
Style
Possession	49%	49%	44%	40%
Shots	10.3	11.5	14.2	17.0
On target	5.1	5.5	5.8	6.2
Shot conversion	15%	13%	10%	10%
Shots inside box	65%	65%	64%	64%
Big chances created	1.0	1.0	2.0	2.0
Corners	3.9	3.5	4.9	4.5
xG from set plays	20%	20%	49%	49%
Goals from headers	0%	0%	0%	0%
Pressure index	8.0	7.3	12.3	14.1
Dominant minutes	44.4	44.2	49.6	44.7
Pass accuracy	66%	66%	65%	65%
Fouls	13.2	12.8	9.1	8.8
Cards	2.38	2.17	1.56	1.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Eastleigh

0–15'02

16–30'41

31–45'20

46–60'33

61–75'00

76–90'34

Walsall

0–15'22

16–30'14

31–45'10

46–60'44

61–75'21

76–90'34

Eastleigh

Current: winless 1 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
5-4-1	1 20%	0.0	0.0	3.0	0.53	2.1
3-5-2	1 20%	0.0	1.0	3.0	–	–
4-2-3-1	1 20%	3.0	5.0	1.0	–	–
5-3-2	1 20%	1.0	1.0	1.0	–	–
4-4-2	1 20%	3.0	2.0	1.0	–	–

Walsall

Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-5-2	6 67%	1.5	1.17	2.33	1.15	1.82
3-1-4-2	1 11%	3.0	2.0	0.0	2.09	0.29
4-4-1-1	1 11%	1.0	0.0	0.0	–	–
4-4-2	1 11%	3.0	4.0	1.0	–	–

Metric	Eastleigh all · 2	Eastleigh at home · 1	Walsall all · 3	Walsall away · 3

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Eastleigh · 2 matches

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.382

Early press (0-15, level)-0.022

Game state

When level+0.412

Situations

4+ days rest+0.382

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.502

Conceded late (76+)-0.512

Ahead vs level -0.10 · Behind vs level +0.01

Walsall · 3 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.02) · stands out: when level +0.12

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.023

Early press (0-15, level)+0.013

Game state

When ahead+0.112

When level+0.123

10 min after scoring+0.422

Situations

Away+0.023

4+ days rest+0.023

Opposition

As favourite+0.132

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.573

Conceded when ahead+0.112

Conceded late (76+)-0.052

Ahead vs level -0.01 · Behind vs level -0.62

Eastleigh

Current: winless 1 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
5-4-1	1 100%	0.0	0.0	3.0	0.53	2.1

Walsall

Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-5-2	2 67%	1.5	2.0	2.5	1.15	1.82
3-1-4-2	1 33%	3.0	2.0	0.0	2.09	0.29

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

5.0Home 19% P 21%3.4Draw 28% P 27%1.8Away 53% P 52%

Double Chance

1.95Eastleigh or Draw 24% P 24%1.3Eastleigh or Walsall 36% P 36%1.18Draw or Walsall 40% P 39%

Draw No Bet

3.51 27%1.282 73%

Both Teams To Score

1.7Yes 55% P 51%2.05No 45% P 49%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 48%2.0Under 47% P 52%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 20–22.5% · away 50–52.5% · 274 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Home	21%	22%	15%	-7.0
Draw	27%	27%	27%	+0.4
Away	52%	51%	58%	+6.6

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 51%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Yes	51%	51%	51%	-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Over 2.5	48%	49%	50%	+1.3

Lee Swabey

Career: 18 matches · 12 seasons
Cards / match: 2.22 (2.22 yellow · 0.0 red)
Fouls / match: 15.8 · 3.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match: 0.22
Cards to home side: 38%

Style in FA Cup (5-year window · 7 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 3.14 cards, 17.0 fouls per match.

Recent matches

Date	Y	R	Fouls	Pens	1st card	+min
2024-11-02	5	0	22	2	49'	–

Momentum

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Events

Stats

Season context

League this season · 2025/2026

Trends

Lineups

Bench

Absences

Walsall

Commentary

In-Play Odds

Competition

Venue

Teams

Referee

Weather

Where to watch · 32

Eastleigh

Walsall

All meetings · 1 match since 2025

Last 10 · 1 match

Last 5 · 1 match

Recent meetings

Eastleigh

Walsall

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Eastleigh

Walsall

Eastleigh

Walsall

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Eastleigh · 2 matches

Walsall · 3 matches

Eastleigh

Walsall

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Latest prices

Fulltime Result

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Both Teams To Score

Goals Over/Under

Total Corners

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Match result · home 20–22.5% · away 50–52.5% · 274 fixtures

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

Lee Swabey

Style in FA Cup (5-year window · 7 matches)

Recent matches