Rotherham United v Swindon Town

FA Cup · Round 1

Rotherham UnitedRTU

1–2

AET

Swindon TownSwindon Town

Momentum

– RTUSwindon Town –

now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

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Stats

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Season context

Rotherham United	at home	Stat	league	away	Swindon Town
51.0 #68	–	Ball possession	38.3	–	50.7 #71
10.0 #91	–	Shots total	8.8	–	15.0 #30
3.0 #120	–	Shots on target	3.5	–	7.3 #12
4.0 #100	–	Corners	4.0	–	6.0 #41
17.0 #6	–	Fouls	9.1	–	9.3 #77
2.0 #38	–	Offsides	1.8	–	2.0 #38
–	–	Tackles	13.6	–	6.7 #69
95.0 #71	–	Attacks	71.7	–	108.7 #36
50.0 #58	–	Dangerous attacks	37.4	–	62.0 #32
–	–	Passes	343.8	–	121.3 #74
2.0 #37	–	Yellowcards	1.8	–	2.3 #32
–	–	Redcards	0.4	–	0.3 #15
1.0 #36	–	Assists	1.2	–	1.7 #25
– #1	–	Btts	57.6	–	– #293
– #286	–	Cleansheet	16.3	–	– #166
– #256	–	Draw	14.3	–	– #256
–	–	Expected goals	1.3	–	0.5 #55
–	–	Expected goals difference	0.6	–	2.2 #8
– #370	–	Failed to score	28.2	–	– #370
1.0 #399	1.0	Goals	1.4	2.0	2.7 #53
2.0 #205	2.0	Goals conceded	2.0	2.0	1.3 #481
–	–	Interceptions	7.4	–	2.0 #78
– #1	–	Lost	56.7	–	– #458
–	–	Penalties scored	0.4	–	0.3 #22
6.3 #95	–	Rating	6.6	–	6.6 #66
– #115	–	Shots blocked	3.0	–	1.7 #78
– #86	–	Shots insidebox	7.1	–	2.3 #75
6.0 #52	–	Shots off target	4.5	–	8.7 #14
– #86	–	Shots outsidebox	3.5	–	3.3 #41
– #409	–	Win	29.1	–	– #47

Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 243.

League this season · 2025/2026

Played: 868 of 871
Goals / match: 3.3 (home 1.83 · away 1.47)
Home / draw / away: 47% · 18% · 35%
BTTS · over 2.5: 57% · 64%
Cards / match: 0.65 (reds 0.05)

Competition

Stage: Round 1

Venue

Stadium: AESSEAL New York Stadium, Rotherham
Capacity: 12,021
Surface: grass
Attendance: 3,351

Teams

Coaches: Matthew Hamshaw · Ian Holloway
Position: 1 · 2
Formation: 3-1-4-2 · 3-4-3

Referee

Martin Woods

Weather

Conditions: light rain
Temperature: 11.7° (feels 10.9°)
Wind: 8.9
Humidity: 75%

Where to watch · 1

International Bet365

No table for this competition stage.

Rotherham United

No recent played matches.

Swindon Town

No recent played matches.

All meetings · 1 match since 2025

Rotherham United 00 draws1 Swindon Town

Goals 1–2 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 1 match

Rotherham United 00 draws1 Swindon Town

Goals 1–2 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 1 match

Rotherham United 00 draws1 Swindon Town

Goals 1–2 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

L Rotherham United 1–2 Swindon Town aet UK FA Cup · Round 1

Metric	Rotherham United all · 1	Rotherham United at home · 1	Swindon Town all · 3	Swindon Town away · 2

Rotherham United

Current: winless 2 · scoring 3 · conceding 4

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-1-4-2	1 100%	0.0	1.0	2.0	–	–

Swindon Town

Current: winless 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-5-2	1 33%	3.0	4.0	0.0	–	–
3-4-3	1 33%	3.0	2.0	1.0	–	–
4-2-3-1	1 33%	0.0	2.0	3.0	1.35	1.18

Metric	Rotherham United all · 10	Rotherham United at home · 10	Swindon Town all · 6	Swindon Town away · 3
Results
Matches	10	10	6	–
Points per game	0.70	0.80	1.67	–
W / D / L	2 / 1 / 7	2 / 2 / 6	3 / 1 / 2	–
Goals for / match	0.90	1.00	2.67	–
Goals against / match	1.70	1.30	2.33	–
Clean sheets	10%	20%	17%	–
Failed to score	60%	50%	0%	–
Both teams scored	40%	50%	83%	–
Over 2.5	50%	50%	100%	–
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.23	1.29	1.35	–
xG against / match	1.22	1.08	1.18	–
xG difference	0.26	0.59	0.17	–
Finishing vs xG	-0.23	0.11	0.65	–
xPts / match	1.05	1.31	1.48	–
Points vs xPts	-0.05	0.69	-1.48	–
Game state
Scored first	30%	40%	17%	–
PPG when scoring first	2.00	1.50	3.00	–
PPG when conceding first	0.00	0.00	1.40	–
Came back from behind	0%	0%	60%	–
Leads held	67%	50%	75%	–
Minutes leading	14%	21%	18%	–
Minutes level	52%	60%	38%	–
Minutes trailing	34%	19%	44%	–
First goal (min)	34	28	56	–
First goal conceded (min)	45	56	20	–
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	56%	50%	86%	–
Goals conceded in 2nd half	38%	67%	50%	–
Late goals for (76'+)	0.10	0.10	1.33	–
Late goals against	0.20	0.20	0.17	–
Style
Possession	41%	47%	51%	–
Shots	8.8	10.3	11.7	–
On target	2.8	3.1	5.8	–
Shot conversion	10%	10%	23%	–
Shots inside box	60%	62%	41%	–
Big chances created	–	–	2.0	–
Corners	3.3	3.7	6.7	–
xG from set plays	36%	30%	28%	–
Goals from headers	0%	0%	8%	–
Pressure index	3.6	5.4	17.0	–
Dominant minutes	26.2	38.4	72.2	–
Pass accuracy	69%	70%	64%	–
Fouls	12.0	13.4	9.6	–
Cards	1.80	1.80	2.00	–

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Rotherham United

0–15'10

16–30'12

31–45'28

46–60'13

61–75'32

76–90'11

Swindon Town

0–15'15

16–30'01

31–45'11

46–60'34

61–75'32

76–90'61

Rotherham United

Current: winless 2 · scoring 3 · conceding 4

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-3-1-2	3 30%	1.33	1.67	1.33	1.6	1.3
3-5-2	3 30%	1.0	0.67	1.33	0.85	–
3-1-4-2	1 10%	0.0	1.0	2.0	–	–
4-3-3	1 10%	0.0	1.0	3.0	–	–
5-4-1	1 10%	0.0	0.0	1.0	1.15	1.01

Swindon Town

Current: winless 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-3	2 33%	2.0	2.0	1.5	–	–
4-2-3-1	1 17%	0.0	2.0	3.0	1.35	1.18
4-3-1-2	1 17%	0.0	4.0	7.0	–	–
3-5-2	1 17%	3.0	4.0	0.0	–	–
3-4-1-2	1 17%	3.0	2.0	1.0	–	–

Metric	Rotherham United all · 1	Rotherham United at home · 1	Swindon Town all · 3	Swindon Town away · 2

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Rotherham United

No pressure profile yet.

Swindon Town · 3 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.54) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.63

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.543

Early press (0-15, level)+0.203

Game state

When level+0.803

When behind+0.452

10 min after conceding+1.062

10 min after scoring+1.633

Situations

Away+0.552

4+ days rest+0.543

Opposition

As underdog+0.602

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.273

Conceded late (76+)-0.523

Ahead vs level -0.26 · Behind vs level -0.35

Rotherham United

Current: winless 2 · scoring 3 · conceding 4

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-1-4-2	1 100%	0.0	1.0	2.0	–	–

Swindon Town

Current: winless 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-3	1 33%	3.0	2.0	1.0	–	–
4-2-3-1	1 33%	0.0	2.0	3.0	1.35	1.18
3-5-2	1 33%	3.0	4.0	0.0	–	–

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.2Home 43% P 40%3.6Draw 26% P 26%3.1Away 31% P 34%

Double Chance

1.4Rotherham or Draw 33% P 33%1.28Rotherham or Swindon 37% P 37%1.57Draw or Swindon 30% P 30%

Draw No Bet

1.661 56%2.12 44%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58% P 59%2.2No 42% P 41%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 55%2.1Under 45% P 45%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 32.5–35% · 189 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Home	40%	41%	40%	-0.7
Draw	26%	26%	22%	-4.0
Away	34%	33%	38%	+4.7

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 55%

Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Yes	59%	59%	60%	+1.5

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,943 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Over 2.5	55%	54%	55%	+0.8

Martin Woods

Career: 11 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match: 2.0 (1.82 yellow · 0.18 red)
Fouls / match: 24.0 · 2.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match: 0.18
Cards to home side: 41%

Style in FA Cup (5-year window · 6 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 3.67 cards, 16.0 fouls per match.

Recent matches

Date	Y	R	Fouls	Pens	1st card	+min
2024-11-02	4	1	–	0	14'	6

Momentum

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Events

Stats

Season context

League this season · 2025/2026

Trends

Lineups

Bench

Commentary

In-Play Odds

Competition

Venue

Teams

Referee

Weather

Where to watch · 1

Rotherham United

Swindon Town

All meetings · 1 match since 2025

Last 10 · 1 match

Last 5 · 1 match

Recent meetings

Rotherham United

Swindon Town

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Rotherham United

Swindon Town

Rotherham United

Swindon Town

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Rotherham United

Swindon Town · 3 matches

Rotherham United

Swindon Town

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Latest prices

Fulltime Result

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Both Teams To Score

Goals Over/Under

Total Corners

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 32.5–35% · 189 fixtures

Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,943 fixtures

Martin Woods

Style in FA Cup (5-year window · 6 matches)

Recent matches