FA Cup · Round 2
Momentum
– Salford CityLEY –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
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Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Salford City | at home | Stat | league | away | Leyton Orient |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37.5 #132 | – | Ball possession | 38.3 | – | 67.5 #5 |
| 11.8 #76 | – | Shots total | 8.8 | – | 12.0 #63 |
| 5.5 #52 | – | Shots on target | 3.5 | – | 2.0 #156 |
| 5.5 #64 | – | Corners | 4.0 | – | 1.5 #195 |
| 11.0 #45 | – | Fouls | 9.1 | – | 11.0 #45 |
| 2.0 #38 | – | Offsides | 1.8 | – | 1.5 #65 |
| 15.8 #32 | – | Tackles | 13.6 | – | 15.0 #36 |
| 75.0 #116 | – | Attacks | 71.7 | – | 102.5 #47 |
| 37.8 #121 | – | Dangerous attacks | 37.4 | – | 43.5 #86 |
| 172.0 #64 | – | Passes | 343.8 | – | 439.5 #32 |
| 2.2 #35 | – | Yellowcards | 1.8 | – | 2.0 #37 |
| 1.0 #36 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | – |
| – #374 | – | Btts | 57.6 | – | – #585 |
| – #231 | – | Cleansheet | 16.3 | – | – #36 |
| – #187 | – | Draw | 14.3 | – | – #256 |
| 1.0 #37 | – | Expected goals | 1.3 | – | 1.2 #31 |
| 1.0 #27 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.6 | – | -0.7 #59 |
| – #303 | – | Failed to score | 28.2 | – | – #114 |
| 2.0 #129 | 2.7 | Goals | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 #597 |
| 1.2 #506 | 1.0 | Goals conceded | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 #205 |
| 0.5 #48 | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | 0.5 #48 |
| 7.8 #37 | – | Interceptions | 7.4 | – | 6.0 #45 |
| – #570 | – | Lost | 56.7 | – | – #253 |
| 6.7 #49 | – | Rating | 6.6 | – | 6.6 #55 |
| 3.5 #37 | – | Shots blocked | 3.0 | – | 6.5 #7 |
| 6.2 #45 | – | Shots insidebox | 7.1 | – | 5.0 #56 |
| 3.0 #157 | – | Shots off target | 4.5 | – | 3.5 #144 |
| 2.8 #53 | – | Shots outsidebox | 3.5 | – | 7.0 #4 |
| – #141 | – | Win | 29.1 | – | – #141 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 243.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 868 of 871
- Goals / match
- 3.3 (home 1.83 · away 1.47)
- Home / draw / away
- 47% · 18% · 35%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 57% · 64%
- Cards / match
- 0.65 (reds 0.05)
Trends
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Lineups
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Bench
Commentary
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In-Play Odds
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Competition
- Stage
- Round 2
Venue
- Stadium
- The Peninsula Stadium, Salford
- Capacity
- 1,400
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 1,796
Teams
- Coaches
- Karl Robinson · Richard Wellens
- Position
- 1 · 2
- Formation
- 3-1-4-2 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Ben Speedie
Weather
- Conditions
- light rain
- Temperature
- 7.0° (feels 3.6°)
- Wind
- 5.7
- Humidity
- 90%
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No table for this competition stage.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Salford City
D 0W 1D 0L · 1 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 1 GA 1
- D
H
Lincoln City
1–1 won on pens None–None
UK FA Cup
D 0W 1D 0L · 1 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 1 GA 1
- D
H
Lincoln City
1–1 won on pens None–None
UK FA Cup
Leyton Orient
W 1W 0D 0L · 3 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 1 GA 0 · xG 1.53–1.06 · xPts 1.7
- W
A
Tamworth
1–0
xG 1.53–1.06
UK FA Cup
W 1W 0D 0L · 3 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 1 GA 0 · xG 1.53–1.06 · xPts 1.7
- W
A
Tamworth
1–0
xG 1.53–1.06
UK FA Cup
All meetings · 1 match since 2025
Goals 4–0 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 100%
Last 10 · 1 match
Goals 4–0 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 100%
Last 5 · 1 match
Goals 4–0 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 100%
Recent meetings
- W Salford City 4–0 Leyton Orient UK FA Cup · Round 2
| Metric | Salford City all · 4 | Salford City at home · 3 | Leyton Orient all · 2 | Leyton Orient away · 2 |
|---|
Salford City
Current: winless 1 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-1-4-2 | 2 50% | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 1.84 | 1.11 |
| 3-5-2 | 2 50% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.44 | 2.34 |
Leyton Orient
Current: winless 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 50% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.88 | 2.5 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 50% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.53 | 1.06 |
| Metric | Salford City all · 9 | Salford City at home · 6 | Leyton Orient all · 8 | Leyton Orient away · 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 9 | 6 | 8 | – |
| Points per game | 1.67 | 2.33 | 1.38 | – |
| W / D / L | 4 / 3 / 2 | 4 / 2 / 0 | 3 / 2 / 3 | – |
| Goals for / match | 2.00 | 2.67 | 1.25 | – |
| Goals against / match | 2.22 | 1.33 | 1.50 | – |
| Clean sheets | 22% | 33% | 12% | – |
| Failed to score | 22% | 0% | 25% | – |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 67% | 62% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 67% | 62% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.26 | 1.84 | 1.17 | – |
| xG against / match | 2.41 | 1.11 | 2.12 | – |
| xG difference | -1.15 | 0.73 | -0.95 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.49 | 1.66 | -0.51 | – |
| xPts / match | 1.00 | 1.80 | 0.91 | – |
| Points vs xPts | 0.50 | 1.20 | 0.09 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 67% | 83% | 62% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.33 | 2.60 | 1.60 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.33 | 1.00 | 1.00 | – |
| Came back from behind | 50% | 100% | 25% | – |
| Leads held | 67% | 80% | 50% | – |
| Minutes leading | 41% | 49% | 24% | – |
| Minutes level | 28% | 33% | 55% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 31% | 18% | 21% | – |
| First goal (min) | 23 | 26 | 38 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 25 | 28 | 44 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 53% | 53% | 56% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 53% | 29% | 75% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.44 | 0.67 | 0.50 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.44 | 0.17 | 0.50 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 44% | 47% | 52% | – |
| Shots | 11.9 | 14.2 | 11.6 | – |
| On target | 5.6 | 7.2 | 3.0 | – |
| Shot conversion | 17% | 19% | 11% | – |
| Shots inside box | 72% | 70% | 54% | – |
| Big chances created | 2.2 | 4.0 | 2.2 | – |
| Corners | 5.0 | 5.2 | 5.5 | – |
| xG from set plays | 29% | 17% | 23% | – |
| Goals from headers | 22% | 25% | 11% | – |
| Pressure index | 9.8 | 11.8 | 12.9 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 47.6 | 54.0 | 49.1 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 60% | 56% | 79% | – |
| Fouls | 10.9 | 13.3 | 10.5 | – |
| Cards | 2.33 | 2.33 | 2.88 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Salford City
0–15'43
16–30'34
31–45'12
46–60'24
61–75'43
76–90'33
Leyton Orient
0–15'20
16–30'22
31–45'01
46–60'13
61–75'12
76–90'34
Salford City
Current: winless 1 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-1-4-2 | 3 33% | 2.0 | 2.33 | 3.33 | 1.53 | 2.44 |
| 3-5-2 | 2 22% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.44 | 2.34 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 11% | 1.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | – | – |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 11% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | – | – |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 11% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | – | – |
Leyton Orient
Current: winless 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 75% | 0.83 | 1.0 | 1.83 | 0.99 | 2.65 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 12% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | – | – |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 12% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.53 | 1.06 |
| Metric | Salford City all · 4 | Salford City at home · 3 | Leyton Orient all · 2 | Leyton Orient away · 2 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Salford City · 4 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.11) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.44
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.114
Early press (0-15, level)+0.304
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.562
Game state
When ahead+0.032
When level+0.074
When behind-0.322
10 min after conceding-0.443
10 min after scoring-0.362
Situations
At home-0.093
4+ days rest-0.114
Opposition
Evenly matched+0.002
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.124
Conceded when ahead+0.062
Conceded late (76+)+0.484
Ahead vs level -0.05 · Behind vs level -0.40
Leyton Orient · 2 matches
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.342
Early press (0-15, level)-0.112
Game state
When level+0.592
Situations
Away+0.342
4+ days rest+0.342
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.112
Conceded late (76+)-0.242
Ahead vs level +1.43 · Behind vs level -1.02
Salford City
Current: winless 1 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 2 50% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.44 | 2.34 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 2 50% | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 1.84 | 1.11 |
Leyton Orient
Current: winless 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 50% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.53 | 1.06 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 50% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.88 | 2.5 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.37Home 39% P 39%3.7Draw 25% P 25%2.6Away 36% P 36%
Double Chance
1.57Salford City or Draw 30% P 32%1.28Salford City or Leyton Orient 37% P 37%1.44Draw or Leyton Orient 33% P 30%
Draw No Bet
2.01 46%1.722 54%
Both Teams To Score
1.53Yes 61% P 62%2.37No 39% P 38%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.61Over 59% P 59%2.3Under 41% P 41%
Total Corners
11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 37.5–40% · away 35–37.5% · 153 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 39% | 38% | 42% | +3.4 |
| Draw | 25% | 26% | 20% | -5.4 |
| Away | 36% | 36% | 38% | +2.0 |
In those fixtures: 3.3 goals a game · BTTS 68% · over 2.5 65%
Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 62% | 61% | 62% | +0.7 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 59% | 60% | +0.8 |
Ben Speedie
- Career
- 30 matches · 8 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.07 (2.97 yellow · 0.07 red)
- Fouls / match
- 21.6 · 6.8 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.03
- Cards to home side
- 46%
Style in FA Cup (5-year window · 13 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 2.85 | 3.73 | -0.78 | 31 |
| Fouls / match | 21.0 | 19.7 | +0.15 | |
| Fouls per card | 7.4 | 5.5 | +0.92 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.0 | 0.24 | -1.70 | 0 |
| Time added | 8.6 | 7.2 | +2.11 | 100 |
- First card
- 48' on average
- Card timing
- 6% in first 30' · 47% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 50% (league 45%)
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-27 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 75' | 8 |
| 2025-09-13 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 82' | 9 |
| 2025-08-30 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 1 | 44' | 4 |
| 2025-08-16 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 73' | 9 |
| 2025-04-26 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 32' | 9 |
| 2025-03-11 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 29' | 7 |
| 2025-02-08 | 4 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 26' | 7 |
| 2025-01-21 | 4 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 43' | 6 |
| 2025-01-14 · Leyton Orient | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 43' | 11 |