Fleetwood Town v Luton Town

FA Cup · Round 2

Fleetwood TownFLT

2–2

AFTER PEN

Luton TownLuton Town

Momentum

– FLTLuton Town –

now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

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Stats

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Season context

Fleetwood Town	at home	Stat	league	away	Luton Town
45.0 #104	–	Ball possession	38.3	–	57.5 #38
9.7 #105	–	Shots total	8.8	–	13.5 #44
3.7 #105	–	Shots on target	3.5	–	6.0 #38
5.0 #74	–	Corners	4.0	–	6.0 #41
12.3 #33	–	Fouls	9.1	–	11.0 #45
1.0 #77	–	Offsides	1.8	–	3.5 #9
4.0 #77	–	Tackles	13.6	–	12.5 #47
93.0 #74	–	Attacks	71.7	–	98.0 #61
52.7 #53	–	Dangerous attacks	37.4	–	67.5 #21
116.7 #75	–	Passes	343.8	–	191.5 #61
1.3 #71	–	Yellowcards	1.8	–	2.0 #37
1.3 #30	–	Assists	1.2	–	2.0 #9
– #293	–	Btts	57.6	–	– #1
– #286	–	Cleansheet	16.3	–	– #286
– #125	–	Draw	14.3	–	– #26
0.1 #66	–	Expected goals	1.3	–	0.6 #49
1.2 #23	–	Expected goals difference	0.6	–	2.4 #7
– #238	–	Failed to score	28.2	–	– #370
1.3 #362	2.0	Goals	1.4	2.0	3.0 #20
1.3 #481	1.5	Goals conceded	2.0	2.0	2.5 #167
0.7 #37	–	Injury time goals	0.5	–	1.0 #4
1.0 #84	–	Interceptions	7.4	–	5.0 #52
– #458	–	Lost	56.7	–	– #706
6.5 #70	–	Rating	6.6	–	6.5 #69
2.7 #54	–	Shots blocked	3.0	–	1.5 #81
3.0 #64	–	Shots insidebox	7.1	–	3.5 #60
4.7 #105	–	Shots off target	4.5	–	7.5 #24
1.7 #62	–	Shots outsidebox	3.5	–	1.0 #71
– #336	–	Win	29.1	–	– #141

Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 243.

League this season · 2025/2026

Played: 868 of 871
Goals / match: 3.3 (home 1.83 · away 1.47)
Home / draw / away: 47% · 18% · 35%
BTTS · over 2.5: 57% · 64%
Cards / match: 0.65 (reds 0.05)

Competition

Stage: Round 2

Venue

Stadium: Highbury Stadium, Fleetwood
Capacity: 5,327
Surface: grass
Attendance: 1,180

Teams

Coaches: Peter Wild · Jack Wilshere
Position: 1 · 2
Formation: 3-4-1-2 · 4-3-3

Referee

Oliver Yates

Weather

Conditions: light rain
Temperature: 10.0° (feels 9.5°)
Wind: 7.7
Humidity: 93%

Where to watch · 1

International Bet365

No table for this competition stage.

Fleetwood Town

W 1W 0D 0L · 3 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 2 GA 1

W H Barnet 2–1 UK FA Cup

Luton Town

W 1W 0D 0L · 3 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 3 · xG 1.24–0.73 · xPts 1.75

W H Forest Green Rovers 4–3 xG 1.24–0.73 UK FA Cup

All meetings · 1 match since 2025

Fleetwood Town 01 draws0 Luton Town

Goals 2–2 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 1 match

Fleetwood Town 01 draws0 Luton Town

Goals 2–2 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 1 match

Fleetwood Town 01 draws0 Luton Town

Goals 2–2 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

D Fleetwood Town 2–2 Luton Town pens None–None UK FA Cup · Round 2

Metric	Fleetwood Town all · 3	Fleetwood Town at home · 2	Luton Town all · 2	Luton Town away · 1

Fleetwood Town

Current: winless 2 · conceding 6

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-1-2	2 67%	2.0	2.0	1.5	–	–
3-1-4-2	1 33%	0.0	0.0	1.0	1.0	1.61

Luton Town

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 3

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	1 50%	3.0	4.0	3.0	1.24	0.73
4-3-3	1 50%	1.0	2.0	2.0	–	–

Metric	Fleetwood Town all · 6	Fleetwood Town at home · 2	Luton Town all · 10	Luton Town away · 10
Results
Matches	6	–	10	10
Points per game	1.17	–	1.80	1.20
W / D / L	2 / 1 / 3	–	5 / 3 / 2	3 / 3 / 4
Goals for / match	1.00	–	1.70	1.10
Goals against / match	1.83	–	1.40	1.80
Clean sheets	0%	–	30%	20%
Failed to score	50%	–	10%	30%
Both teams scored	50%	–	60%	50%
Over 2.5	67%	–	40%	40%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.00	–	1.10	0.63
xG against / match	1.61	–	0.90	1.71
xG difference	-0.61	–	0.20	-1.08
Finishing vs xG	-1.00	–	0.57	0.37
xPts / match	0.96	–	1.53	0.74
Points vs xPts	-0.96	–	0.36	0.48
Game state
Scored first	33%	–	60%	30%
PPG when scoring first	2.00	–	2.67	2.33
PPG when conceding first	0.75	–	0.50	0.71
Came back from behind	25%	–	50%	43%
Leads held	67%	–	83%	75%
Minutes leading	24%	–	24%	18%
Minutes level	46%	–	62%	48%
Minutes trailing	30%	–	14%	34%
First goal (min)	40	–	45	45
First goal conceded (min)	51	–	48	39
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	67%	–	71%	73%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	54%	–	71%	56%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.33	–	0.50	0.40
Late goals against	0.67	–	0.20	0.20
Style
Possession	46%	–	47%	41%
Shots	11.3	–	13.4	9.5
On target	3.7	–	4.3	2.7
Shot conversion	9%	–	13%	12%
Shots inside box	67%	–	61%	70%
Big chances created	0.0	–	2.1	0.8
Corners	5.8	–	6.0	4.7
xG from set plays	49%	–	42%	32%
Goals from headers	0%	–	6%	9%
Pressure index	4.5	–	11.6	6.3
Dominant minutes	30.3	–	45.1	29.3
Pass accuracy	67%	–	69%	69%
Fouls	10.8	–	12.2	13.3
Cards	1.00	–	1.60	2.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Fleetwood Town

0–15'13

16–30'00

31–45'12

46–60'11

61–75'11

76–90'24

Luton Town

0–15'31

16–30'22

31–45'01

46–60'43

61–75'35

76–90'52

Fleetwood Town

Current: winless 2 · conceding 6

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-1-2	2 33%	2.0	2.0	1.5	–	–
3-1-4-2	2 33%	0.0	0.0	1.5	1.0	1.61
4-1-4-1	1 17%	3.0	2.0	1.0	–	–
5-3-2	1 17%	0.0	0.0	4.0	–	–

Luton Town

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 3

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-5-2	5 50%	1.6	0.8	0.6	0.87	0.84
4-2-3-1	2 20%	1.5	3.5	4.0	1.02	1.4
3-4-3	2 20%	3.0	2.0	0.5	1.74	0.54
4-3-3	1 10%	1.0	2.0	2.0	–	–

Metric	Fleetwood Town all · 3	Fleetwood Town at home · 2	Luton Town all · 2	Luton Town away · 1

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Fleetwood Town · 3 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.36) · stands out: 4+ days rest -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.363

Early press (0-15, level)+0.273

Game state

When ahead-0.592

When level-0.203

10 min after conceding-0.243

10 min after scoring-0.462

Situations

At home-0.422

4+ days rest-0.363

Opposition

As underdog-0.363

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.493

Conceded when ahead+0.442

Conceded late (76+)+0.113

Ahead vs level -0.40 · Behind vs level -0.13

Luton Town · 2 matches

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.222

Early press (0-15, level)+0.022

Late push (76+, level)-0.152

Game state

When level+0.462

10 min after conceding-0.332

10 min after scoring+0.112

Situations

4+ days rest+0.222

Opposition

As favourite+0.222

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.252

Conceded late (76+)-0.442

Ahead vs level -0.70 · Behind vs level -0.43

Fleetwood Town

Current: winless 2 · conceding 6

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-1-2	2 67%	2.0	2.0	1.5	–	–
3-1-4-2	1 33%	0.0	0.0	1.0	1.0	1.61

Luton Town

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 3

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	1 50%	3.0	4.0	3.0	1.24	0.73
4-3-3	1 50%	1.0	2.0	2.0	–	–

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.2Home 29% P 27%3.8Draw 24% P 25%2.0Away 46% P 48%

Double Chance

1.9Fleetwood Town or Draw 25% P 26%1.22Fleetwood Town or Luton 39% P 38%1.3Draw or Luton 36% P 37%

Draw No Bet

2.621 35%1.442 65%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52% P 56%1.95No 48% P 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 52%1.9Under 50% P 48%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 25–27.5% · away 47.5–50% · 285 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Home	27%	26%	24%	-2.2
Draw	25%	25%	27%	+1.9
Away	48%	49%	49%	+0.2

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 56%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Yes	56%	56%	57%	+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Over 2.5	52%	51%	51%	-0.1

Oliver Yates

Career: 15 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match: 4.13 (4.13 yellow · 0.0 red)
Fouls / match: 13.7 · 3.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match: 0.13
Cards to home side: 47%

Style in FA Cup (5-year window · 9 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 4.0 cards, 21.2 fouls per match.

Recent matches

Date	Y	R	Fouls	Pens	1st card	+min
2025-11-01	2	0	16	0	34'	17

Momentum

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Events

Stats

Season context

League this season · 2025/2026

Trends

Lineups

Bench

Absences

Luton Town

Commentary

In-Play Odds

Competition

Venue

Teams

Referee

Weather

Where to watch · 1

Fleetwood Town

Luton Town

All meetings · 1 match since 2025

Last 10 · 1 match

Last 5 · 1 match

Recent meetings

Fleetwood Town

Luton Town

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Fleetwood Town

Luton Town

Fleetwood Town

Luton Town

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Fleetwood Town · 3 matches

Luton Town · 2 matches

Fleetwood Town

Luton Town

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Latest prices

Fulltime Result

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Both Teams To Score

Goals Over/Under

Total Corners

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Match result · home 25–27.5% · away 47.5–50% · 285 fixtures

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

Oliver Yates

Style in FA Cup (5-year window · 9 matches)

Recent matches