Rating 6.75 (50th pct) · G+A 2 + 0 (22% of team goals) · 90% of minutes
FA Cup · Round 2
Momentum
– Swindon TownBOL –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| Swindon Town | at home | Stat | league | away | Bolton Wanderers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50.7 #71 | – | Ball possession | 38.3 | – | 50.5 #73 |
| 15.0 #30 | – | Shots total | 8.8 | – | 11.0 #80 |
| 7.3 #12 | – | Shots on target | 3.5 | – | 5.5 #52 |
| 6.0 #41 | – | Corners | 4.0 | – | 5.5 #64 |
| 9.3 #77 | – | Fouls | 9.1 | – | 5.5 #104 |
| 2.0 #38 | – | Offsides | 1.8 | – | 2.5 #28 |
| 6.7 #69 | – | Tackles | 13.6 | – | – |
| 108.7 #36 | – | Attacks | 71.7 | – | 128.5 #14 |
| 62.0 #32 | – | Dangerous attacks | 37.4 | – | 83.0 #5 |
| 121.3 #74 | – | Passes | 343.8 | – | – |
| 2.3 #32 | – | Yellowcards | 1.8 | – | 0.5 #106 |
| 0.3 #15 | – | Redcards | 0.4 | – | – |
| 1.7 #25 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | – |
| – #293 | – | Btts | 57.6 | – | – #374 |
| – #166 | – | Cleansheet | 16.3 | – | – #286 |
| – #256 | – | Draw | 14.3 | – | – #256 |
| 0.5 #55 | – | Expected goals | 1.3 | – | – |
| 2.2 #8 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.6 | – | – |
| – #370 | – | Failed to score | 28.2 | – | – #114 |
| 2.7 #53 | 4.0 | Goals | 1.4 | 0.0 | 1.0 #399 |
| 1.3 #481 | 0.0 | Goals conceded | 2.0 | 4.0 | 2.5 #167 |
| 2.0 #78 | – | Interceptions | 7.4 | – | – |
| – #458 | – | Lost | 56.7 | – | – #253 |
| 0.3 #22 | – | Penalties scored | 0.4 | – | – |
| 6.6 #66 | – | Rating | 6.6 | – | 6.3 #105 |
| 1.7 #78 | – | Shots blocked | 3.0 | – | 2.5 #58 |
| 2.3 #75 | – | Shots insidebox | 7.1 | – | – #86 |
| 8.7 #14 | – | Shots off target | 4.5 | – | 5.5 #78 |
| 3.3 #41 | – | Shots outsidebox | 3.5 | – | – #86 |
| – #47 | – | Win | 29.1 | – | – #141 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 243.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 868 of 871
- Goals / match
- 3.3 (home 1.83 · away 1.47)
- Home / draw / away
- 47% · 18% · 35%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 57% · 64%
- Cards / match
- 0.65 (reds 0.05)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Swindon Town
No ranked players yet.
Bolton Wanderers · Last 365 days
Rating 6.83 (67th pct) · G+A 2 + 1 (33% of team goals) · 64% of minutes
Rating 7.09 (92th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 78% of minutes
Absences
Swindon Town
- suspension Ryan Tafazolli defender · Visa Issues · 46 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Round 2
Venue
- Stadium
- The Nigel Eady County Ground Stadium, Swindon
- Capacity
- 15,728
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 9,364
Teams
- Coaches
- Ian Holloway · Steven Schumacher
- Position
- 1 · 2
- Formation
- 3-5-2 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Lee Swabey
Weather
- Conditions
- overcast clouds
- Temperature
- 9.9° (feels 6.3°)
- Wind
- 8.8
- Humidity
- 87%
Where to watch · 1
- International Bet365
No table for this competition stage.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Swindon Town
W 1W 0D 0L · 3 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 2 GA 1
- W
A
Rotherham United
2–1 aet
UK FA Cup
W 1W 0D 0L · 3 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 2 GA 1
- W
A
Rotherham United
2–1 aet
UK FA Cup
Bolton Wanderers
W 1W 0D 0L · 3 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 2 GA 1
- W
H
Huddersfield Town
2–1
UK FA Cup
W 1W 0D 0L · 3 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 2 GA 1
- W
H
Huddersfield Town
2–1
UK FA Cup
All meetings · 1 match since 2025
Goals 4–0 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 100%
Last 10 · 1 match
Goals 4–0 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 100%
Last 5 · 1 match
Goals 4–0 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 100%
Recent meetings
- W Swindon Town 4–0 Bolton Wanderers UK FA Cup · Round 2
| Metric | Swindon Town all · 3 | Swindon Town at home · 1 | Bolton Wanderers all · 2 | Bolton Wanderers away · 1 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Swindon Town
No pressure profile yet.
Bolton Wanderers · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.00) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.23
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.007
Early press (0-15, level)-0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.124
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.234
Game state
When ahead+0.084
When level+0.017
When behind-0.134
10 min after conceding-0.205
10 min after scoring+0.164
Situations
At home-0.084
Away+0.103
3 days rest or fewer+0.132
4+ days rest-0.065
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.064
v bottom-tier opponents-0.122
Evenly matched-0.103
As underdog+0.074
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.137
Conceded when ahead-0.164
Conceded late (76+)-0.077
Congested vs rested +0.19 · Ahead vs level +0.07 · Behind vs level -0.14
Swindon Town
Current: winless 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 1 33% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | – | – |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 33% | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.35 | 1.18 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 33% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | – | – |
Bolton Wanderers
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 50% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | – | – |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 50% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | – | – |
| Metric | Swindon Town all · 6 | Swindon Town at home · 3 | Bolton Wanderers all · 10 | Bolton Wanderers away · 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 6 | – | 10 | 6 |
| Points per game | 1.67 | – | 1.00 | 0.33 |
| W / D / L | 3 / 1 / 2 | – | 3 / 1 / 6 | 0 / 2 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 2.67 | – | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Goals against / match | 2.33 | – | 1.90 | 2.17 |
| Clean sheets | 17% | – | 20% | 33% |
| Failed to score | 0% | – | 40% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 83% | – | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 | 100% | – | 70% | 67% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.35 | – | 1.16 | 1.03 |
| xG against / match | 1.18 | – | 1.93 | 2.11 |
| xG difference | 0.17 | – | -0.76 | -1.09 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.65 | – | -0.16 | -0.36 |
| xPts / match | 1.48 | – | 0.94 | 0.74 |
| Points vs xPts | -1.48 | – | 0.06 | -0.41 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 17% | – | 50% | 33% |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | – | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.40 | – | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Came back from behind | 60% | – | 0% | 0% |
| Leads held | 75% | – | 50% | 0% |
| Minutes leading | 18% | – | 15% | 2% |
| Minutes level | 38% | – | 66% | 74% |
| Minutes trailing | 44% | – | 20% | 25% |
| First goal (min) | 56 | – | 36 | 28 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 20 | – | 42 | 27 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 86% | – | 40% | 67% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | – | 74% | 77% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 1.33 | – | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| Late goals against | 0.17 | – | 0.90 | 1.17 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 51% | – | 52% | 48% |
| Shots | 11.7 | – | 11.9 | 9.2 |
| On target | 5.8 | – | 4.6 | 3.0 |
| Shot conversion | 23% | – | 8% | 6% |
| Shots inside box | 41% | – | 68% | 75% |
| Big chances created | 2.0 | – | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Corners | 6.7 | – | 5.8 | 4.7 |
| xG from set plays | 28% | – | 28% | 10% |
| Goals from headers | 8% | – | 33% | 50% |
| Pressure index | 17.0 | – | 10.0 | 6.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 72.2 | – | 48.4 | 32.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 64% | – | 79% | 77% |
| Fouls | 9.6 | – | 8.7 | 8.8 |
| Cards | 2.00 | – | 1.60 | 1.50 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Swindon Town
0–15'15
16–30'01
31–45'11
46–60'34
61–75'32
76–90'61
Bolton Wanderers
0–15'23
16–30'30
31–45'12
46–60'12
61–75'23
76–90'19
Swindon Town
Current: winless 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-3 | 2 33% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | – | – |
| 4-3-1-2 | 1 17% | 0.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | – | – |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 17% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | – | – |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 17% | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.35 | 1.18 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 17% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | – | – |
Bolton Wanderers
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 8 80% | 0.88 | 0.88 | 2.0 | 1.16 | 1.93 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | – | – |
| 5-3-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | – | – |
| Metric | Swindon Town all · 3 | Swindon Town at home · 1 | Bolton Wanderers all · 9 | Bolton Wanderers away · 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | – | – | 9 | – |
| Points per game | – | – | 1.11 | – |
| W / D / L | – | – | 3 / 1 / 5 | – |
| Goals for / match | – | – | 1.00 | – |
| Goals against / match | – | – | 1.89 | – |
| Clean sheets | – | – | 22% | – |
| Failed to score | – | – | 44% | – |
| Both teams scored | – | – | 44% | – |
| Over 2.5 | – | – | 67% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | – | – | 1.16 | – |
| xG against / match | – | – | 1.93 | – |
| xG difference | – | – | -0.76 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | – | – | -0.16 | – |
| xPts / match | – | – | 0.94 | – |
| Points vs xPts | – | – | 0.06 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | – | – | 44% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | – | – | 2.25 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | – | – | 0.00 | – |
| Came back from behind | – | – | 0% | – |
| Leads held | – | – | 60% | – |
| Minutes leading | – | – | 16% | – |
| Minutes level | – | – | 63% | – |
| Minutes trailing | – | – | 22% | – |
| First goal (min) | – | – | 33 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | – | – | 40 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | – | – | 33% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | – | – | 71% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | – | – | 0.11 | – |
| Late goals against | – | – | 0.89 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | – | – | 52% | – |
| Shots | – | – | 12.3 | – |
| On target | – | – | 4.9 | – |
| Shot conversion | – | – | 8% | – |
| Shots inside box | – | – | 68% | – |
| Big chances created | – | – | 1.4 | – |
| Corners | – | – | 5.8 | – |
| xG from set plays | – | – | 28% | – |
| Goals from headers | – | – | 33% | – |
| Pressure index | – | – | 10.7 | – |
| Dominant minutes | – | – | 48.9 | – |
| Pass accuracy | – | – | 79% | – |
| Fouls | – | – | 8.4 | – |
| Cards | – | – | 1.56 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Bolton Wanderers
0–15'23
16–30'30
31–45'12
46–60'01
61–75'23
76–90'18
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Swindon Town · 3 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.54) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.63
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.543
Early press (0-15, level)+0.203
Game state
When level+0.803
When behind+0.452
10 min after conceding+1.062
10 min after scoring+1.633
Situations
Away+0.552
4+ days rest+0.543
Opposition
As underdog+0.602
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.273
Conceded late (76+)-0.523
Ahead vs level -0.26 · Behind vs level -0.35
Bolton Wanderers · 9 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.27
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.029
Early press (0-15, level)-0.169
Late push (76+, level)-0.124
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.235
Game state
When ahead+0.065
When level+0.029
When behind-0.025
10 min after conceding-0.187
10 min after scoring+0.275
Situations
At home-0.055
Away+0.104
3 days rest or fewer+0.132
4+ days rest-0.027
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.064
v bottom-tier opponents-0.122
As favourite+0.102
Evenly matched-0.103
As underdog+0.074
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.119
Conceded when ahead-0.245
Conceded late (76+)-0.099
Congested vs rested +0.15 · Ahead vs level +0.05 · Behind vs level -0.04
Swindon Town
Current: winless 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-3 | 1 33% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | – | – |
| 3-5-2 | 1 33% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | – | – |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 33% | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.35 | 1.18 |
Bolton Wanderers
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 8 89% | 0.88 | 0.88 | 2.0 | 1.16 | 1.93 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 11% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | – | – |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
3.6Home 26% P 27%3.7Draw 25% P 24%1.9Away 49% P 49%
Double Chance
1.9Swindon or Draw 25% P 25%1.25Swindon or Bolton 38% P 38%1.28Draw or Bolton 37% P 37%
Draw No Bet
2.751 34%1.42 66%
Both Teams To Score
1.53Yes 61% P 61%2.37No 39% P 39%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.61Over 59% P 59%2.3Under 41% P 41%
Total Corners
13.0Under 6 7%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 25–27.5% · away 47.5–50% · 285 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 27% | 26% | 24% | -2.2 |
| Draw | 24% | 25% | 27% | +1.9 |
| Away | 49% | 49% | 49% | +0.2 |
In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 56%
Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 61% | 61% | 62% | +0.7 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 59% | 60% | +0.8 |
Lee Swabey
- Career
- 18 matches · 12 seasons
- Cards / match
- 2.22 (2.22 yellow · 0.0 red)
- Fouls / match
- 15.8 · 3.1 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.22
- Cards to home side
- 38%
Style in FA Cup (5-year window · 7 matches)
Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 3.14 cards, 17.0 fouls per match.
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-02 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 18' | 7 |