Port Vale v Bristol Rovers

FA Cup · Round 2

Port ValePort Vale

1–0

Bristol RoversBRR

Momentum

– Port ValeBRR –

now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

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Stats

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Season context

Port Vale	at home	Stat	league	away	Bristol Rovers
38.2 #131	–	Ball possession	38.3	–	57.0 #40
11.8 #73	–	Shots total	8.8	–	6.5 #143
3.3 #117	–	Shots on target	3.5	–	2.0 #156
5.7 #61	–	Corners	4.0	–	4.5 #93
9.7 #68	–	Fouls	9.1	–	11.0 #45
2.0 #38	–	Offsides	1.8	–	2.0 #38
15.5 #33	–	Tackles	13.6	–	–
85.2 #87	–	Attacks	71.7	–	84.0 #91
39.2 #111	–	Dangerous attacks	37.4	–	42.0 #94
262.2 #49	–	Passes	343.8	–	–
2.5 #24	–	Yellowcards	1.8	–	3.5 #12
1.5 #27	–	Assists	1.2	–	1.0 #36
– #584	–	Btts	57.6	–	– #374
– #10	–	Cleansheet	16.3	–	– #286
– #256	–	Draw	14.3	–	– #256
1.2 #29	–	Expected goals	1.3	–	–
0.3 #47	–	Expected goals difference	0.6	–	–
– #360	–	Failed to score	28.2	–	– #114
1.5 #305	1.8	Goals	1.4	1.0	1.0 #399
1.3 #481	0.2	Goals conceded	2.0	1.0	1.0 #538
0.2 #164	–	Injury time goals	0.5	–	–
7.8 #36	–	Interceptions	7.4	–	–
– #686	–	Lost	56.7	–	– #253
6.8 #32	–	Rating	6.6	–	6.4 #84
4.0 #26	–	Shots blocked	3.0	–	1.0 #91
7.3 #36	–	Shots insidebox	7.1	–	– #86
5.7 #73	–	Shots off target	4.5	–	5.0 #87
3.2 #43	–	Shots outsidebox	3.5	–	– #86
– #8	–	Win	29.1	–	– #141

Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 243.

League this season · 2025/2026

Played: 868 of 871
Goals / match: 3.3 (home 1.83 · away 1.47)
Home / draw / away: 47% · 18% · 35%
BTTS · over 2.5: 57% · 64%
Cards / match: 0.65 (reds 0.05)

Competition

Stage: Round 2

Venue

Stadium: Vale Park, Stoke-on-Trent
Capacity: 19,052
Surface: grass
Attendance: 3,227

Teams

Coaches: Darren Moore · Darrell Clarke
Position: 1 · 2
Formation: 4-4-2 · 3-5-2

Referee

Ross Joyce

Weather

Conditions: light rain
Temperature: 9.3° (feels 9.3°)
Wind: 0.9
Humidity: 87%

Where to watch · 1

International Bet365

No table for this competition stage.

Port Vale

W 1W 0D 0L · 3 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 1 · xG 3.67–0.54 · xPts 2.81

W H Maldon & Tiptree 5–1 xG 3.67–0.54 UK FA Cup

Bristol Rovers

W 1W 0D 0L · 3 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 2 GA 1

W A Bromley 2–1 UK FA Cup

All meetings · 3 matches since 2005

Port Vale 21 draws0 Bristol Rovers

Goals 3–1 · 1.33 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 0%

Last 10 · 3 matches

Port Vale 21 draws0 Bristol Rovers

Goals 3–1 · 1.33 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 0%

Last 5 · 3 matches

Port Vale 21 draws0 Bristol Rovers

Goals 3–1 · 1.33 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 0%

Recent meetings

W Port Vale 1–0 Bristol Rovers UK FA Cup · Round 2
W Bristol Rovers 0–1 Port Vale neutral UK FA Cup · 2nd Round
D Port Vale 1–1 Bristol Rovers neutral UK FA Cup · 2nd Round

Metric	Port Vale all · 6	Port Vale at home · 5	Bristol Rovers all · 2	Bristol Rovers away · 2
Results
Matches	6	5	–	–
Points per game	2.50	3.00	–	–
W / D / L	5 / 0 / 1	5 / 0 / 0	–	–
Goals for / match	1.50	1.80	–	–
Goals against / match	1.33	0.20	–	–
Clean sheets	67%	80%	–	–
Failed to score	17%	0%	–	–
Both teams scored	17%	20%	–	–
Over 2.5	33%	20%	–	–
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.50	1.84	–	–
xG against / match	1.80	1.18	–	–
xG difference	-0.31	0.66	–	–
Finishing vs xG	0.10	0.16	–	–
xPts / match	1.32	1.65	–	–
Points vs xPts	1.08	1.35	–	–
Game state
Scored first	67%	80%	–	–
PPG when scoring first	3.00	3.00	–	–
PPG when conceding first	1.50	3.00	–	–
Came back from behind	50%	100%	–	–
Leads held	100%	100%	–	–
Minutes leading	41%	48%	–	–
Minutes level	42%	50%	–	–
Minutes trailing	17%	2%	–	–
First goal (min)	49	49	–	–
First goal conceded (min)	4	6	–	–
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	25%	25%	–	–
Goals conceded in 2nd half	50%	0%	–	–
Late goals for (76'+)	0.17	0.20	–	–
Late goals against	0.33	0.00	–	–
Style
Possession	38%	41%	–	–
Shots	11.8	13.4	–	–
On target	3.3	4.0	–	–
Shot conversion	13%	13%	–	–
Shots inside box	70%	73%	–	–
Big chances created	1.6	2.0	–	–
Corners	5.7	6.4	–	–
xG from set plays	37%	37%	–	–
Goals from headers	11%	11%	–	–
Pressure index	15.7	18.1	–	–
Dominant minutes	51.7	58.0	–	–
Pass accuracy	66%	66%	–	–
Fouls	9.7	9.6	–	–
Cards	2.33	2.60	–	–

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Port Vale

0–15'12

16–30'41

31–45'11

46–60'21

61–75'01

76–90'02

Port Vale

Current: winless 1 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
5-4-1	2 33%	1.5	0.5	3.5	0.46	2.93
4-4-2	2 33%	3.0	1.0	0.0	1.61	1.0
3-4-1-2	1 17%	3.0	5.0	1.0	3.67	0.54
3-4-2-1	1 17%	3.0	1.0	0.0	1.29	1.62

Bristol Rovers

Current: winless 1 · conceding 3

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-2-1	1 50%	3.0	2.0	1.0	–	–
3-5-2	1 50%	0.0	0.0	1.0	–	–

Metric	Port Vale all · 10	Port Vale at home · 8	Bristol Rovers all · 9	Bristol Rovers away · 6
Results
Matches	10	8	9	6
Points per game	2.00	2.13	1.56	1.33
W / D / L	6 / 2 / 2	5 / 2 / 1	4 / 2 / 3	2 / 2 / 2
Goals for / match	1.60	1.63	2.00	1.17
Goals against / match	1.50	0.88	1.56	1.33
Clean sheets	50%	62%	11%	17%
Failed to score	10%	12%	33%	50%
Both teams scored	40%	38%	67%	50%
Over 2.5	40%	38%	67%	50%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.50	1.84	0.08	0.08
xG against / match	1.80	1.18	2.98	2.98
xG difference	-0.31	0.66	-2.90	-2.90
Finishing vs xG	0.10	0.16	-0.08	-0.08
xPts / match	1.32	1.65	0.07	0.07
Points vs xPts	1.08	1.35	-0.07	-0.07
Game state
Scored first	60%	62%	56%	33%
PPG when scoring first	2.67	2.60	2.40	3.00
PPG when conceding first	1.00	1.50	0.33	0.33
Came back from behind	60%	67%	25%	33%
Leads held	86%	83%	80%	100%
Minutes leading	38%	40%	28%	15%
Minutes level	44%	51%	54%	64%
Minutes trailing	18%	10%	17%	21%
First goal (min)	43	40	30	37
First goal conceded (min)	35	35	44	45
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	31%	20%	38%	43%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	64%	67%	64%	50%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.40	0.25	0.56	0.33
Late goals against	0.60	0.50	0.22	0.17
Style
Possession	44%	44%	48%	45%
Shots	11.3	12.4	11.2	6.5
On target	3.7	3.9	4.8	2.3
Shot conversion	14%	13%	18%	18%
Shots inside box	70%	73%	0%	0%
Big chances created	1.6	2.0	0.0	0.0
Corners	5.2	5.6	5.2	3.5
xG from set plays	37%	37%	30%	30%
Goals from headers	10%	11%	0%	0%
Pressure index	12.9	13.5	6.9	2.7
Dominant minutes	51.2	53.5	34.9	21.0
Pass accuracy	66%	66%	38%	77%
Fouls	9.9	9.9	9.8	8.8
Cards	2.20	2.38	1.22	1.67

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Port Vale

0–15'22

16–30'42

31–45'31

46–60'21

61–75'03

76–90'25

Bristol Rovers

0–15'12

16–30'62

31–45'31

46–60'14

61–75'23

76–90'32

Port Vale

Current: winless 1 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-2-1	3 30%	1.67	1.67	1.33	1.29	1.62
4-4-2	2 20%	3.0	1.0	0.0	1.61	1.0
5-4-1	2 20%	1.5	0.5	3.5	0.46	2.93
3-4-3	1 10%	0.0	1.0	3.0	–	–
3-4-1-2	1 10%	3.0	5.0	1.0	3.67	0.54

Bristol Rovers

Current: winless 1 · conceding 3

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	3 33%	1.33	1.0	1.33	0.08	2.98
3-4-1-2	2 22%	0.5	1.0	2.0	–	–
3-5-2	2 22%	1.5	2.0	1.5	–	–
3-4-2-1	1 11%	3.0	2.0	1.0	–	–
4-4-2	1 11%	3.0	7.0	2.0	–	–

Metric	Port Vale all · 6	Port Vale at home · 5	Bristol Rovers all · 2	Bristol Rovers away · 2
Results
Matches	6	5	–	–
Points per game	2.50	3.00	–	–
W / D / L	5 / 0 / 1	5 / 0 / 0	–	–
Goals for / match	1.50	1.80	–	–
Goals against / match	1.33	0.20	–	–
Clean sheets	67%	80%	–	–
Failed to score	17%	0%	–	–
Both teams scored	17%	20%	–	–
Over 2.5	33%	20%	–	–
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.50	1.84	–	–
xG against / match	1.80	1.18	–	–
xG difference	-0.31	0.66	–	–
Finishing vs xG	0.10	0.16	–	–
xPts / match	1.32	1.65	–	–
Points vs xPts	1.08	1.35	–	–
Game state
Scored first	67%	80%	–	–
PPG when scoring first	3.00	3.00	–	–
PPG when conceding first	1.50	3.00	–	–
Came back from behind	50%	100%	–	–
Leads held	100%	100%	–	–
Minutes leading	41%	48%	–	–
Minutes level	42%	50%	–	–
Minutes trailing	17%	2%	–	–
First goal (min)	49	49	–	–
First goal conceded (min)	4	6	–	–
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	25%	25%	–	–
Goals conceded in 2nd half	50%	0%	–	–
Late goals for (76'+)	0.17	0.20	–	–
Late goals against	0.33	0.00	–	–
Style
Possession	38%	41%	–	–
Shots	11.8	13.4	–	–
On target	3.3	4.0	–	–
Shot conversion	13%	13%	–	–
Shots inside box	70%	73%	–	–
Big chances created	1.6	2.0	–	–
Corners	5.7	6.4	–	–
xG from set plays	37%	37%	–	–
Goals from headers	11%	11%	–	–
Pressure index	15.7	18.1	–	–
Dominant minutes	51.7	58.0	–	–
Pass accuracy	66%	66%	–	–
Fouls	9.7	9.6	–	–
Cards	2.33	2.60	–	–

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Port Vale

0–15'12

16–30'41

31–45'11

46–60'21

61–75'01

76–90'02

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Port Vale · 6 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: as favourite +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.186

Early press (0-15, level)-0.116

Game state

When ahead+0.124

When level+0.166

When behind+0.432

10 min after conceding+0.282

10 min after scoring+0.654

Situations

At home+0.185

4+ days rest+0.186

Opposition

As favourite+0.673

As underdog-0.283

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.236

Conceded when ahead+0.514

Conceded late (76+)+0.044

Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level +0.27

Bristol Rovers · 2 matches

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.332

Early press (0-15, level)-0.062

Game state

When level-0.362

10 min after conceding-0.162

Situations

Away-0.332

4+ days rest-0.332

Opposition

As underdog-0.332

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.292

Conceded late (76+)-0.052

Ahead vs level -0.12 · Behind vs level +0.19

Port Vale

Current: winless 1 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
5-4-1	2 33%	1.5	0.5	3.5	0.46	2.93
4-4-2	2 33%	3.0	1.0	0.0	1.61	1.0
3-4-1-2	1 17%	3.0	5.0	1.0	3.67	0.54
3-4-2-1	1 17%	3.0	1.0	0.0	1.29	1.62

Bristol Rovers

Current: winless 1 · conceding 3

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-2-1	1 50%	3.0	2.0	1.0	–	–
3-5-2	1 50%	0.0	0.0	1.0	–	–

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.83Home 51% P 52%3.8Draw 25% P 25%3.8Away 25% P 22%

Double Chance

1.25Port Vale or Draw 38% P 39%1.25Port Vale or Bristol Rovers 38% P 37%1.9Draw or Bristol Rovers 25% P 24%

Draw No Bet

1.361 69%3.02 31%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52% P 53%1.95No 48% P 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 51%1.9Under 50% P 49%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 50–52.5% · away 20–22.5% · 722 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Home	52%	51%	55%	+3.6
Draw	25%	27%	26%	-1.4
Away	22%	21%	19%	-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 47%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Yes	53%	54%	54%	-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Over 2.5	51%	51%	51%	-0.1

Ross Joyce

Career: 25 matches · 12 seasons
Cards / match: 3.32 (3.2 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match: 18.7 · 2.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match: 0.08
Cards to home side: 40%

Style in FA Cup (5-year window · 6 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 3.83 cards, 17.8 fouls per match.

Recent matches

Date	Y	R	Fouls	Pens	1st card	+min
2025-11-01	2	0	11	0	45'	11

Momentum

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Events

Stats

Season context

League this season · 2025/2026

Trends

Lineups

Bench

Commentary

In-Play Odds

Competition

Venue

Teams

Referee

Weather

Where to watch · 1

Port Vale

Bristol Rovers

All meetings · 3 matches since 2005

Last 10 · 3 matches

Last 5 · 3 matches

Recent meetings

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Port Vale

Port Vale

Bristol Rovers

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Port Vale

Bristol Rovers

Port Vale

Bristol Rovers

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Port Vale

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Port Vale · 6 matches

Bristol Rovers · 2 matches

Port Vale

Bristol Rovers

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Latest prices

Fulltime Result

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Both Teams To Score

Goals Over/Under

Total Corners

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Match result · home 50–52.5% · away 20–22.5% · 722 fixtures

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

Ross Joyce

Style in FA Cup (5-year window · 6 matches)

Recent matches