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FA Cup · Round 3

Momentum

Stoke CityCVC
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Round 3

Venue

Stadium
Bet365 Stadium, Stoke
Capacity
30,089
Surface
grass
Attendance
13,894

Teams

Coaches
Mark Robins · Frank Lampard
Position
1 · 2
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-3

Referee

Tom Nield

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
0.8° (feels -1.9°)
Wind
2.3
Humidity
91%

Where to watch · 56

No table for this competition stage.

Stoke City

LDLWW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 4 GA 3 · xG 5.99–6.64 · xPts 6.72

  • W A Norwich City 2–0 xG 1.59–0.62 UK CHAMP
  • W A Hull City 1–0 xG 1.79–1.67 UK CHAMP
  • L H Sheffield United 1–2 xG 0.77–2.63 UK CHAMP
  • D H Preston North End 0–0 xG 1.02–0.61 UK CHAMP
  • L A Watford 0–1 xG 0.83–1.1 UK CHAMP

Coventry City

DWLDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 7 · xG 6.54–6.93 · xPts 6.53

  • L A Birmingham City 2–3 xG 1.31–0.85 UK CHAMP
  • D A Charlton Athletic 1–1 xG 2.31–1.43 UK CHAMP
  • L H Ipswich Town 0–2 xG 0.91–1.56 UK CHAMP
  • W H Swansea City 1–0 xG 1.26–1.43 UK CHAMP
  • D A Southampton 1–1 xG 0.73–1.66 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 20 matches since 2005

Stoke City 64 draws10 Coventry City

Goals 19–22 · 2.05 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Stoke City 32 draws5 Coventry City

Goals 10–10 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 30%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Stoke City 20 draws3 Coventry City

Goals 5–6 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Coventry City 2–1 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Stoke City 1–0 Coventry City UK FA Cup · Round 3
  • L Stoke City 0–1 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Coventry City 3–2 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Stoke City 1–0 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Stoke City 0–1 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Coventry City 0–0 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Coventry City 0–4 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Stoke City 0–2 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Stoke City 1–1 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricStoke City all · 2Stoke City at home · 2Coventry City all · 1Coventry City away · 1

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Stoke City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.80

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.107
Early press (0-15, level)+0.177
Late push (76+, level)-0.442
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.453

Game state

When ahead+0.166
When level+0.057
When behind+0.113
10 min after conceding-0.265
10 min after scoring+0.807

Situations

At home-0.273
Away+0.314
3 days rest or fewer-0.222
4+ days rest+0.255

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.154
v bottom-tier opponents+0.543
Evenly matched+0.362
As underdog-0.074

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.016
Conceded late (76+)+0.326

Congested vs rested -0.47 · Ahead vs level +0.10 · Behind vs level +0.05

Coventry City · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.10) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.28

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.104
Early press (0-15, level)-0.284
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.242

Game state

When level+0.024
When behind-0.224
10 min after conceding-0.264

Situations

At home+0.102
Away-0.342
4+ days rest-0.104

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.163
As underdog-0.163

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.074
Conceded late (76+)-0.462

Behind vs level -0.24

Stoke City

Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-1-21 50%0.01.02.00.451.78
4-2-3-11 50%3.01.00.02.61.55

Coventry City

Current: winless 4 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-31 100%0.00.01.01.552.6

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.55Home 37% P 38%3.4Draw 28% P 28%2.62Away 36% P 35%

Double Chance

1.61Stoke or Draw 29% P 33%1.3Stoke or Coventry 36% P 36%1.36Draw or Coventry 35% P 31%

Draw No Bet

2.21 42%1.612 58%

Both Teams To Score

1.75Yes 53% P 56%2.0No 47% P 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 50%1.8Under 53% P 50%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 33%3.612 - 14 24%7.0Over 14 12%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%
4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 37.5–40% · away 32.5–35% · 571 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home38%39%39%+0.5
Draw28%28%28%-0.0
Away35%34%33%-0.4

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 46%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes56%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.550%51%51%-0.1

Tom Nield

Career
79 matches · 11 seasons
Cards / match
3.9 (3.86 yellow · 0.03 red)
Fouls / match
23.7 · 5.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.17
Cards to home side
44%

Style in FA Cup (5-year window · 8 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 4.5 cards, 28.2 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-01 40 170 30'8
2025-12-20 30 231 35'8
2025-12-06 30 170 8'10
2025-11-29 30 240 32'6
2025-11-25 · Stoke City 20 260 31'10
2025-11-08 40 200 62'11
2025-11-01 10 210 23'7
2025-10-18 50 250 18'4
2025-09-27 60 250 8'8
2025-09-13 20 280 7'7