Rating 6.99 (88th pct) · G+A 3 + 0 (4% of team goals) · 94% of minutes
FA Cup · Round 3
Momentum
– CMUBRC –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Loading statistics…
Season context
| Cambridge United | at home | Stat | league | away | Birmingham City |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55.7 #45 | – | Ball possession | 38.3 | – | 51.0 #68 |
| 9.0 #112 | – | Shots total | 8.8 | – | 10.0 #91 |
| 4.0 #90 | – | Shots on target | 3.5 | – | 5.0 #63 |
| 3.3 #132 | – | Corners | 4.0 | – | – |
| 11.0 #45 | – | Fouls | 9.1 | – | 9.0 #79 |
| 2.7 #27 | – | Offsides | 1.8 | – | 1.0 #77 |
| 2.7 #82 | – | Tackles | 13.6 | – | 11.0 #53 |
| 97.0 #63 | – | Attacks | 71.7 | – | 88.0 #82 |
| 71.3 #14 | – | Dangerous attacks | 37.4 | – | 41.0 #100 |
| 155.3 #69 | – | Passes | 343.8 | – | 511.0 #21 |
| 1.7 #63 | – | Yellowcards | 1.8 | – | – |
| 1.3 #30 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 1.0 #36 |
| – #531 | – | Btts | 57.6 | – | – #1 |
| – #10 | – | Cleansheet | 16.3 | – | – #286 |
| – #125 | – | Draw | 14.3 | – | – #256 |
| – | – | Expected goals | 1.3 | – | 0.9 #40 |
| – | – | Expected goals difference | 0.6 | – | 2.1 #9 |
| – #238 | – | Failed to score | 28.2 | – | – #370 |
| 1.7 #272 | 2.5 | Goals | 1.4 | 3.0 | 3.0 #20 |
| 1.0 #538 | 1.5 | Goals conceded | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 #205 |
| 0.3 #97 | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | – |
| 4.3 #63 | – | Interceptions | 7.4 | – | 11.0 #13 |
| – #458 | – | Lost | 56.7 | – | – #706 |
| 6.6 #62 | – | Rating | 6.6 | – | 6.8 #33 |
| 1.3 #86 | – | Shots blocked | 3.0 | – | 2.0 #64 |
| 3.0 #64 | – | Shots insidebox | 7.1 | – | 7.0 #38 |
| 6.3 #45 | – | Shots off target | 4.5 | – | 3.0 #157 |
| 1.0 #71 | – | Shots outsidebox | 3.5 | – | 3.0 #44 |
| – #336 | – | Win | 29.1 | – | – #1 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 243.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 868 of 871
- Goals / match
- 3.3 (home 1.83 · away 1.47)
- Home / draw / away
- 47% · 18% · 35%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 57% · 64%
- Cards / match
- 0.65 (reds 0.05)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Cambridge United
No ranked players yet.
Birmingham City · Last 365 days
Rating 6.98 (86th pct) · G+A 5 + 0 (7% of team goals) · 68% of minutes
Team 1.59 ppg with (34) · 1.06 without (16)
Rating 6.89 (72th pct) · G+A 11 + 2 (19% of team goals) · 46% of minutes
Team 1.65 ppg with (26) · 1.17 without (24)
Absences
Birmingham City
- injury Ethan Laird #16 key player defender · Hamstring Injury · 73 missed
- suspension Bright Osayi-Samuel #15 key player defender · Called Up To National Team · 6 missed · until 2026-01-19
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Round 3
Venue
- Stadium
- Abbey Stadium, Cambridge
- Capacity
- 10,847
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 6,241
Teams
- Coaches
- Neil Harris · Chris Davies
- Position
- 1 · 2
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Matthew Corlett
Weather
- Conditions
- overcast clouds
- Temperature
- -0.0° (feels -2.5°)
- Wind
- 2.0
- Humidity
- 97%
Where to watch · 62
Angola
DStv Now
Argentina
Disney+ Premium Argentina
Australia
Stan Sport
Bolivia
Disney+ Premium Chile
Botswana
DStv Now
Brazil
Disney+ Premium Brazil
Bulgaria
Diema Sport · Play Diema Xtra
Burkina Faso
DStv Now
Burundi
DStv Now
Cameroon
DStv Now
Chad
DStv Now
Chile
Disney+ Premium Chile
Colombia
Disney+ Premium Sur
Denmark
Viaplay Denmark
Djibouti
DStv Now
Ecuador
Disney+ Premium Sur
England
Discover+ App · Discovery+
Equatorial Guinea
DStv Now
Eritrea
DStv Now
Eswatini
DStv Now
Ethiopia
DStv Now
Finland
Elisa Viihde Viaplay
Gabon
DStv Now
Gambia
DStv Now
Ghana
DStv Now
Guinea
DStv Now
Guinea-Bissau
DStv Now
Hong Kong
M Plus Live
Indonesia
Vidio- International Bet365
Italy
DAZN Italia
Kenya
DStv Now
Lesotho
DStv Now
Liberia
DStv Now
Macau
M Plus Live
Madagascar
DStv Now
Malawi
DStv Now
Mali
DStv Now
Malta
GO TV Anywhere
Mauritania
DStv Now
Mauritius
DStv Now
Mozambique
DStv Now
Namibia
DStv Now
Niger
DStv Now
Nigeria
DStv Now
Paraguay
Disney+ Premium Argentina
Peru
Disney+ Premium Chile
Senegal
DStv Now
Seychelles
DStv Now
Sierra Leone
DStv Now
South Africa
DStv App
South Sudan
DStv Now
Sudan
DStv Now
Tanzania
DStv Now
Togo
DStv Now
Uganda
DStv Now
United States
fuboTV
Uruguay
Disney+ Premium Argentina
Venezuela
Disney+ Premium Sur
Zimbabwe
DStv Now
No table for this competition stage.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Cambridge United
WD 1W 1D 0L · 4 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 3 GA 0
- D
A
Stockport County
0–0 won on pens None–None
UK FA Cup - W
H
Chester
3–0
UK FA Cup
WD 1W 1D 0L · 4 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 3 GA 0
- D
A
Stockport County
0–0 won on pens None–None
UK FA Cup
- W
H
Chester
3–0
UK FA Cup
Birmingham City
LDDLW 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 10 · xG 7.18–7.45 · xPts 6.23
- W
H
Coventry City
3–2
xG 0.85–1.31
UK CHAMP - L
A
Watford
0–3
xG 0.49–1.46
UK CHAMP - D
H
Southampton
1–1
xG 1.61–1.53
UK CHAMP - D
H
Derby County
1–1
xG 3.49–0.74
UK CHAMP - L
A
Sheffield United
0–3
xG 0.74–2.41
UK CHAMP
DWLLDLDDLW 2W 4D 4L · 10 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 11 GA 18 · xG 13.35–14.37 · xPts 12.56
- W
H
Coventry City
3–2
xG 0.85–1.31
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Watford
0–3
xG 0.49–1.46
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Southampton
1–1
xG 1.61–1.53
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Derby County
1–1
xG 3.49–0.74
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Sheffield United
0–3
xG 0.74–2.41
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Charlton Athletic
1–1
xG 1.37–1.07
UK CHAMP - L
A
Queens Park Rangers
1–2
xG 0.45–1.71
UK CHAMP - L
A
Southampton
1–3
xG 1.83–1.7
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Watford
2–1
xG 1.34–1.37
UK CHAMP
- D
A
West Bromwich Albion
1–1
xG 1.17–1.08
UK CHAMP
All meetings · 1 match since 2026
Goals 2–3 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%
Last 10 · 1 match
Goals 2–3 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%
Last 5 · 1 match
Goals 2–3 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%
Recent meetings
- L Cambridge United 2–3 Birmingham City UK FA Cup · Round 3
| Metric | Cambridge United all · 3 | Cambridge United at home · 2 | Birmingham City all · 2 | Birmingham City away · 1 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Cambridge United
No pressure profile yet.
Birmingham City · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.12) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.36
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.127
Early press (0-15, level)+0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.194
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.552
Game state
When ahead+0.152
When level+0.247
When behind-0.295
10 min after conceding-0.366
10 min after scoring+0.296
Situations
At home-0.063
Away+0.274
3 days rest or fewer+0.362
4+ days rest+0.035
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.155
v bottom-tier opponents+0.072
Evenly matched+0.093
As underdog+0.263
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.122
Conceded late (76+)-0.207
Congested vs rested +0.33 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level -0.53
Cambridge United
Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 33% | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.24 | 0.9 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 33% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | – | – |
| 4-4-2 | 1 33% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | – | – |
Birmingham City
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 6
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 100% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 2.73 | 2.78 |
| Metric | Cambridge United all · 8 | Cambridge United at home · 5 | Birmingham City all · 10 | Birmingham City away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 8 | 5 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.62 | 1.80 | 1.70 | 0.90 |
| W / D / L | 4 / 1 / 3 | 3 / 0 / 2 | 4 / 5 / 1 | 2 / 3 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 1.88 | 2.40 | 1.50 | 0.80 |
| Goals against / match | 1.37 | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.30 |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 40% | 10% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 12% | 0% | 10% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 60% | 90% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 75% | 100% | 70% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.24 | 1.24 | 1.82 | 1.09 |
| xG against / match | 0.90 | 0.90 | 1.38 | 1.24 |
| xG difference | 0.34 | 0.34 | 0.44 | -0.15 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.76 | 0.76 | -0.32 | -0.29 |
| xPts / match | 1.61 | 1.61 | 1.67 | 1.22 |
| Points vs xPts | -1.61 | -1.61 | 0.03 | -0.32 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 75% | 80% | 30% | 20% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.00 | 2.25 | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.17 | 0.71 |
| Came back from behind | 0% | 0% | 83% | 38% |
| Leads held | 67% | 75% | 100% | 67% |
| Minutes leading | 36% | 49% | 29% | 12% |
| Minutes level | 51% | 39% | 58% | 55% |
| Minutes trailing | 14% | 12% | 14% | 33% |
| First goal (min) | 40 | 40 | 31 | 41 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 57 | 68 | 35 | 37 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 40% | 42% | 33% | 50% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | 60% | 25% | 23% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.50 | 0.80 | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Late goals against | 0.63 | 0.80 | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 54% | 58% | 48% | 49% |
| Shots | 8.6 | 10.4 | 13.3 | 9.9 |
| On target | 4.5 | 4.8 | 4.7 | 3.5 |
| Shot conversion | 22% | 23% | 11% | 8% |
| Shots inside box | 75% | 75% | 72% | 66% |
| Big chances created | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.3 | 2.2 |
| Corners | 4.6 | 4.8 | 6.1 | 5.4 |
| xG from set plays | 11% | 11% | 32% | 37% |
| Goals from headers | 0% | 0% | 40% | 62% |
| Pressure index | 14.9 | 19.3 | 12.4 | 9.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 57.6 | 67.8 | 56.2 | 47.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 76% | 76% | 69% | 69% |
| Fouls | 12.6 | 14.2 | 11.6 | 13.0 |
| Cards | 1.63 | 1.60 | 1.90 | 2.30 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Cambridge United
0–15'50
16–30'21
31–45'24
46–60'10
61–75'11
76–90'44
Birmingham City
0–15'32
16–30'42
31–45'35
46–60'11
61–75'30
76–90'12
Cambridge United
Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 3 38% | 1.0 | 2.67 | 2.67 | 1.24 | 0.9 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 25% | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | – | – |
| 4-3-3 | 1 12% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | – | – |
| 3-4-3 | 1 12% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | – | – |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 12% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | – | – |
Birmingham City
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 6
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 100% | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.82 | 1.38 |
| Metric | Cambridge United all · 3 | Cambridge United at home · 2 | Birmingham City all · 50 | Birmingham City away · 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | – | – | 50 | 25 |
| Points per game | – | – | 1.42 | 1.08 |
| W / D / L | – | – | 18 / 17 / 15 | 7 / 6 / 12 |
| Goals for / match | – | – | 1.34 | 0.96 |
| Goals against / match | – | – | 1.26 | 1.44 |
| Clean sheets | – | – | 20% | 16% |
| Failed to score | – | – | 20% | 32% |
| Both teams scored | – | – | 64% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 | – | – | 52% | 52% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | – | – | 1.58 | 1.14 |
| xG against / match | – | – | 1.26 | 1.33 |
| xG difference | – | – | 0.32 | -0.19 |
| Finishing vs xG | – | – | -0.24 | -0.18 |
| xPts / match | – | – | 1.55 | 1.23 |
| Points vs xPts | – | – | -0.13 | -0.15 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | – | – | 46% | 28% |
| PPG when scoring first | – | – | 2.43 | 2.57 |
| PPG when conceding first | – | – | 0.52 | 0.47 |
| Came back from behind | – | – | 44% | 33% |
| Leads held | – | – | 75% | 88% |
| Minutes leading | – | – | 27% | 17% |
| Minutes level | – | – | 46% | 42% |
| Minutes trailing | – | – | 27% | 41% |
| First goal (min) | – | – | 38 | 46 |
| First goal conceded (min) | – | – | 36 | 32 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | – | – | 48% | 54% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | – | – | 38% | 33% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | – | – | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| Late goals against | – | – | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | – | – | 53% | 51% |
| Shots | – | – | 13.8 | 10.5 |
| On target | – | – | 4.4 | 3.1 |
| Shot conversion | – | – | 10% | 9% |
| Shots inside box | – | – | 66% | 68% |
| Big chances created | – | – | 2.5 | 2.0 |
| Corners | – | – | 6.0 | 5.0 |
| xG from set plays | – | – | 34% | 30% |
| Goals from headers | – | – | 26% | 29% |
| Pressure index | – | – | 14.0 | 10.4 |
| Dominant minutes | – | – | 53.0 | 43.5 |
| Pass accuracy | – | – | 76% | 75% |
| Fouls | – | – | 11.6 | 12.0 |
| Cards | – | – | 2.12 | 2.08 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Birmingham City
0–15'1110
16–30'1212
31–45'1217
46–60'99
61–75'117
76–90'128
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Cambridge United · 3 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.32) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) +0.37
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.323
Early press (0-15, level)+0.373
Game state
When level+0.283
10 min after scoring+0.242
Situations
At home+0.442
4+ days rest+0.323
Opposition
As underdog+0.332
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.143
Conceded late (76+)-0.562
Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level +0.12
Birmingham City · 50 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.15) · stands out: with ten men +0.57
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1550
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1450
Late push (76+, level)+0.2020
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.4817
Game state
When ahead+0.0424
When level+0.2150
When behind+0.1427
10 min after conceding-0.0940
10 min after scoring+0.5340
Situations
With ten men+0.573
Against ten men-0.004
At home+0.1825
Away+0.1225
3 days rest or fewer+0.0715
4+ days rest+0.1835
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.0628
v bottom-tier opponents+0.2016
As favourite+0.2524
Evenly matched-0.0419
As underdog+0.297
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0050
Conceded when ahead+0.0624
Conceded late (76+)-0.2044
Congested vs rested -0.10 · Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.07
Cambridge United
Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 1 33% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | – | – |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 33% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | – | – |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 33% | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.24 | 0.9 |
Birmingham City
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 6
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 48 96% | 1.42 | 1.38 | 1.29 | 1.62 | 1.25 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.83 | 1.5 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.25 | 1.91 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
4.5Home 21% P 20%3.6Draw 26% P 26%1.75Away 53% P 54%
Double Chance
2.0Cambridge Utd or Draw 23% P 23%1.28Cambridge Utd or Birmingham 37% P 37%1.18Draw or Birmingham 40% P 40%
Draw No Bet
3.51 27%1.282 73%
Both Teams To Score
2.0Yes 47% P 46%1.75No 53% P 54%
Goals Over/Under
2.52.2Over 43% P 43%1.66Under 57% P 57%
Total Corners
8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%
Number of Cards
3.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 20–22.5% · away 52.5–55% · 365 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 20% | 21% | 23% | +1.8 |
| Draw | 26% | 25% | 25% | -0.3 |
| Away | 54% | 54% | 52% | -1.4 |
In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 53%
Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46% | 46% | 47% | +0.3 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 44% | 43% | -1.2 |
Matthew Corlett
- Career
- 11 matches · 5 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.0 (2.82 yellow · 0.09 red)
- Fouls / match
- 21.9 · 5.3 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.18
- Cards to home side
- 39%
Style in FA Cup (5-year window · 6 matches)
Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 4.17 cards, 25.6 fouls per match.
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 30' | 5 |
| 2025-12-29 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 66' | 9 |
| 2025-11-03 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 56' | 10 |