FA Cup · Round 3
Momentum
– CTTLEI –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
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Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Cheltenham Town | at home | Stat | league | away | Leicester City |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.0 #104 | – | Ball possession | 38.3 | – | 63.0 #14 |
| 11.7 #77 | – | Shots total | 8.8 | – | 16.5 #19 |
| 5.3 #60 | – | Shots on target | 3.5 | – | 4.5 #80 |
| 4.3 #97 | – | Corners | 4.0 | – | 8.5 #10 |
| 9.7 #68 | – | Fouls | 9.1 | – | 16.0 #10 |
| – | – | Offsides | 1.8 | – | 1.0 #77 |
| 5.0 #75 | – | Tackles | 13.6 | – | 22.0 #11 |
| 79.7 #105 | – | Attacks | 71.7 | – | 119.5 #22 |
| 44.0 #81 | – | Dangerous attacks | 37.4 | – | 54.5 #48 |
| 82.0 #80 | – | Passes | 343.8 | – | 622.5 #7 |
| 1.0 #77 | – | Yellowcards | 1.8 | – | 2.5 #24 |
| 2.0 #9 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 1.0 #36 |
| – #531 | – | Btts | 57.6 | – | – #374 |
| – #166 | – | Cleansheet | 16.3 | – | – #36 |
| – #256 | – | Draw | 14.3 | – | – #256 |
| – | – | Expected goals | 1.3 | – | 1.1 #35 |
| – | – | Expected goals difference | 0.6 | – | 0.4 #38 |
| – #238 | – | Failed to score | 28.2 | – | – #370 |
| 2.3 #100 | 2.3 | Goals | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.5 #305 |
| 1.3 #481 | 1.3 | Goals conceded | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 #538 |
| 0.3 #97 | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | – |
| 4.0 #64 | – | Interceptions | 7.4 | – | 11.0 #13 |
| – #458 | – | Lost | 56.7 | – | – #253 |
| 6.5 #70 | – | Rating | 6.6 | – | 6.9 #12 |
| 1.0 #91 | – | Shots blocked | 3.0 | – | 6.0 #10 |
| 1.7 #77 | – | Shots insidebox | 7.1 | – | 9.5 #23 |
| 6.3 #45 | – | Shots off target | 4.5 | – | 6.0 #52 |
| 1.3 #68 | – | Shots outsidebox | 3.5 | – | 7.0 #4 |
| – #47 | – | Win | 29.1 | – | – #141 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 243.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 868 of 871
- Goals / match
- 3.3 (home 1.83 · away 1.47)
- Home / draw / away
- 47% · 18% · 35%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 57% · 64%
- Cards / match
- 0.65 (reds 0.05)
Trends
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Lineups
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Bench
Absences
Leicester City
- suspension Harry Winks midfielder · Suspended · 62 missed
Commentary
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In-Play Odds
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Competition
- Stage
- Round 3
Venue
- Stadium
- The EV Charger Points Stadium, Cheltenham
- Capacity
- 7,066
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 6,677
Teams
- Coaches
- Steve Cotterill · Martí Cifuentes Corvillo
- Position
- 1 · 2
- Formation
- 4-1-4-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
James Linington
Weather
- Conditions
- few clouds
- Temperature
- 4.6° (feels 3.4°)
- Wind
- 1.5
- Humidity
- 77%
Where to watch · 22
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No table for this competition stage.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Cheltenham Town
WW 2W 0D 0L · 6 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 2
- W
H
Buxton
6–2
UK FA Cup - W
H
Bradford City
1–0
UK FA Cup
WW 2W 0D 0L · 6 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 2
- W
H
Buxton
6–2
UK FA Cup
- W
H
Bradford City
1–0
UK FA Cup
Leicester City
LLWLW 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 11 · xG 4.35–7.78 · xPts 4.71
- W
H
West Bromwich Albion
2–1
xG 1.3–1.48
UK CHAMP - L
A
Sheffield United
1–3
xG 0.18–2.09
UK CHAMP - W
H
Derby County
2–1
xG 1.04–0.69
UK CHAMP - L
H
Watford
1–2
xG 0.53–1.19
UK CHAMP - L
A
Queens Park Rangers
1–4
xG 1.3–2.32
UK CHAMP
LLWDWLLWLW 4W 1D 5L · 13 pts (1.3 ppg) · GF 17 GA 21 · xG 10.43–15.82 · xPts 10.52
- W
H
West Bromwich Albion
2–1
xG 1.3–1.48
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Sheffield United
1–3
xG 0.18–2.09
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Derby County
2–1
xG 1.04–0.69
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Watford
1–2
xG 0.53–1.19
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Queens Park Rangers
1–4
xG 1.3–2.32
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Ipswich Town
3–1
xG 1.32–1.35
UK CHAMP - D
A
Bristol City
2–2
xG 1.5–1.55
UK CHAMP - W
A
Derby County
3–1
xG 1.22–1.31
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Sheffield United
2–3
xG 1.57–1.35
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Southampton
0–3
xG 0.47–2.48
UK CHAMP
All meetings · 1 match since 2026
Goals 0–2 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%
Last 10 · 1 match
Goals 0–2 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%
Last 5 · 1 match
Goals 0–2 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%
Recent meetings
- L Cheltenham Town 0–2 Leicester City UK FA Cup · Round 3
| Metric | Cheltenham Town all · 3 | Cheltenham Town at home · 3 | Leicester City all · 2 | Leicester City away · 2 |
|---|
Cheltenham Town
Current: winless 1 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 67% | 1.5 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 1.11 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 33% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | – | – |
Leicester City
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 100% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.15 | 1.0 |
| Metric | Cheltenham Town all · 6 | Cheltenham Town at home · 3 | Leicester City all · 10 | Leicester City away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 6 | – | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | – | 1.10 | 0.90 |
| W / D / L | 3 / 0 / 3 | – | 2 / 5 / 3 | 1 / 6 / 3 |
| Goals for / match | 1.83 | – | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| Goals against / match | 2.00 | – | 1.10 | 1.10 |
| Clean sheets | 17% | – | 30% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 33% | – | 30% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | – | 50% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | – | 30% | 30% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.60 | – | 1.86 | 1.33 |
| xG against / match | 1.11 | – | 1.14 | 1.44 |
| xG difference | -0.51 | – | 0.72 | -0.11 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.60 | – | -0.86 | -0.43 |
| xPts / match | 0.92 | – | 1.81 | 1.31 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.92 | – | -0.71 | -0.41 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 33% | – | 50% | 30% |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | – | 1.60 | 1.67 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.75 | – | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| Came back from behind | 25% | – | 50% | 50% |
| Leads held | 100% | – | 33% | 25% |
| Minutes leading | 30% | – | 19% | 10% |
| Minutes level | 27% | – | 52% | 64% |
| Minutes trailing | 43% | – | 28% | 26% |
| First goal (min) | 36 | – | 46 | 54 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 23 | – | 44 | 38 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 64% | – | 60% | 67% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 25% | – | 54% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.50 | – | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Late goals against | 0.00 | – | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 46% | – | 55% | 49% |
| Shots | 8.8 | – | 17.8 | 13.7 |
| On target | 3.8 | – | 5.9 | 5.3 |
| Shot conversion | 21% | – | 6% | 7% |
| Shots inside box | 56% | – | 58% | 62% |
| Big chances created | 1.0 | – | 2.3 | 2.1 |
| Corners | 3.3 | – | 7.0 | 5.2 |
| xG from set plays | 53% | – | 43% | 47% |
| Goals from headers | 12% | – | 20% | 11% |
| Pressure index | 6.6 | – | 15.9 | 9.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 32.3 | – | 53.5 | 39.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 71% | – | 79% | 76% |
| Fouls | 10.0 | – | 9.6 | 11.1 |
| Cards | 1.50 | – | 1.80 | 2.20 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Cheltenham Town
0–15'11
16–30'14
31–45'24
46–60'20
61–75'23
76–90'30
Leicester City
0–15'31
16–30'11
31–45'03
46–60'23
61–75'02
76–90'41
Cheltenham Town
Current: winless 1 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 33% | 1.5 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 1.11 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 33% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | – | – |
| 4-3-3 | 2 33% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | – | – |
Leicester City
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 100% | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.86 | 1.14 |
| Metric | Cheltenham Town all · 3 | Cheltenham Town at home · 3 | Leicester City all · 43 | Leicester City away · 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | – | – | 43 | 22 |
| Points per game | – | – | 1.05 | 1.05 |
| W / D / L | – | – | 10 / 15 / 18 | 5 / 8 / 9 |
| Goals for / match | – | – | 1.23 | 1.18 |
| Goals against / match | – | – | 1.51 | 1.45 |
| Clean sheets | – | – | 12% | 14% |
| Failed to score | – | – | 21% | 18% |
| Both teams scored | – | – | 72% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | – | – | 54% | 54% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | – | – | 1.29 | 1.25 |
| xG against / match | – | – | 1.42 | 1.55 |
| xG difference | – | – | -0.13 | -0.30 |
| Finishing vs xG | – | – | -0.06 | -0.07 |
| xPts / match | – | – | 1.29 | 1.21 |
| Points vs xPts | – | – | -0.25 | -0.17 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | – | – | 49% | 36% |
| PPG when scoring first | – | – | 1.67 | 1.88 |
| PPG when conceding first | – | – | 0.40 | 0.54 |
| Came back from behind | – | – | 28% | 36% |
| Leads held | – | – | 42% | 50% |
| Minutes leading | – | – | 26% | 20% |
| Minutes level | – | – | 44% | 45% |
| Minutes trailing | – | – | 30% | 34% |
| First goal (min) | – | – | 41 | 50 |
| First goal conceded (min) | – | – | 41 | 37 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | – | – | 43% | 54% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | – | – | 52% | 45% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | – | – | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| Late goals against | – | – | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | – | – | 52% | 50% |
| Shots | – | – | 13.1 | 12.7 |
| On target | – | – | 4.1 | 4.5 |
| Shot conversion | – | – | 9% | 9% |
| Shots inside box | – | – | 60% | 64% |
| Big chances created | – | – | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| Corners | – | – | 5.4 | 4.9 |
| xG from set plays | – | – | 34% | 38% |
| Goals from headers | – | – | 11% | 12% |
| Pressure index | – | – | 12.7 | 11.0 |
| Dominant minutes | – | – | 47.1 | 42.5 |
| Pass accuracy | – | – | 80% | 78% |
| Fouls | – | – | 11.2 | 11.6 |
| Cards | – | – | 2.05 | 2.32 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Leicester City
0–15'1210
16–30'95
31–45'916
46–60'68
61–75'213
76–90'1512
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Cheltenham Town · 3 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.15) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.31
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.153
Early press (0-15, level)-0.313
Game state
When ahead-0.192
When level+0.153
When behind-0.292
10 min after conceding-0.252
10 min after scoring+1.092
Situations
At home-0.153
4+ days rest-0.153
Opposition
As underdog-0.482
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.593
Conceded when ahead+0.512
Conceded late (76+)-0.033
Ahead vs level -0.34 · Behind vs level -0.45
Leicester City · 43 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.09) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.52
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.0943
Early press (0-15, level)-0.1043
Late push (76+, level)+0.0721
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.1019
Game state
When ahead+0.1724
When level-0.0743
When behind+0.2525
10 min after conceding-0.2337
10 min after scoring+0.5233
Situations
With ten men+0.143
Against ten men-0.692
At home+0.0521
Away+0.1222
3 days rest or fewer-0.0213
4+ days rest+0.1330
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.0426
v bottom-tier opponents+0.1114
As favourite+0.2615
Evenly matched+0.0016
As underdog-0.0512
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1743
Conceded when ahead+0.2424
Conceded late (76+)+0.1341
Congested vs rested -0.15 · Ahead vs level +0.23 · Behind vs level +0.32
Cheltenham Town
Current: winless 1 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 67% | 1.5 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 1.11 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 33% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | – | – |
Leicester City
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 42 98% | 1.05 | 1.24 | 1.52 | 1.3 | 1.43 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 2% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.85 | 1.11 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
4.33Home 22% P 21%3.5Draw 27% P 26%1.85Away 51% P 53%
Double Chance
1.9Cheltenham or Draw 24% P 23%1.28Cheltenham or Leicester 36% P 37%1.18Draw or Leicester 39% P 40%
Draw No Bet
3.251 29%1.332 71%
Both Teams To Score
1.8Yes 52% P 50%1.95No 48% P 50%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.8Over 53% P 46%2.0Under 47% P 54%
Total Corners
11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%
Number of Cards
3.51.72Over 54% P 50%2.0Under 46% P 50%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 20–22.5% · away 52.5–55% · 365 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 21% | 21% | 23% | +1.8 |
| Draw | 26% | 25% | 25% | -0.3 |
| Away | 53% | 54% | 52% | -1.4 |
In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 53%
Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50% | 51% | 51% | -0.6 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 46% | 46% | 45% | -1.2 |
James Linington
- Career
- 298 matches · 17 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.82 (3.69 yellow · 0.08 red)
- Fouls / match
- 20.7 · 4.6 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.24
- Cards to home side
- 45%
Style in FA Cup (5-year window · 3 matches)
Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 2.0 cards, 16.7 fouls per match.
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 0 | 36' | 12 |
| 2026-01-01 | 7 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 2' | 7 |
| 2025-12-26 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 62' | 7 |
| 2025-12-13 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 43' | 6 |
| 2025-12-10 · Leicester City | 5 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 9' | 7 |
| 2025-11-29 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 22' | 9 |
| 2025-11-22 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 90' | 5 |
| 2025-11-04 | 5 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 11' | 6 |
| 2025-10-25 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 30' | 7 |
| 2025-10-21 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 15' | 8 |