Momentum
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
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Stats
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Season context
| Newcastle United | at home | Stat | league | away | AFC Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52.3 #61 | – | Ball possession | 38.3 | – | 37.0 #133 |
| 15.3 #28 | – | Shots total | 8.8 | – | 22.0 #5 |
| 4.7 #77 | – | Shots on target | 3.5 | – | 13.0 #1 |
| 5.0 #74 | – | Corners | 4.0 | – | 5.0 #74 |
| 9.7 #68 | – | Fouls | 9.1 | – | 21.0 #2 |
| 2.3 #34 | – | Offsides | 1.8 | – | 1.0 #77 |
| 17.7 #23 | – | Tackles | 13.6 | – | 23.0 #9 |
| 105.7 #42 | – | Attacks | 71.7 | – | 130.0 #12 |
| 52.0 #54 | – | Dangerous attacks | 37.4 | – | 30.0 #146 |
| 489.0 #24 | – | Passes | 343.8 | – | 408.0 #35 |
| 2.3 #32 | – | Yellowcards | 1.8 | – | 5.0 #2 |
| 1.3 #30 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 2.0 #9 |
| – #1 | – | Btts | 57.6 | – | – #1 |
| – #286 | – | Cleansheet | 16.3 | – | – #286 |
| – #125 | – | Draw | 14.3 | – | – #1 |
| 2.0 #14 | – | Expected goals | 1.3 | – | – |
| 0.3 #42 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.6 | – | – |
| – #370 | – | Failed to score | 28.2 | – | – #370 |
| 2.3 #100 | 2.0 | Goals | 1.4 | 3.0 | 3.0 #20 |
| 2.3 #191 | 3.0 | Goals conceded | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 #81 |
| 0.3 #97 | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | 1.0 #4 |
| 8.7 #31 | – | Interceptions | 7.4 | – | 15.0 #5 |
| – #458 | – | Lost | 56.7 | – | – #706 |
| 0.3 #22 | – | Penalties scored | 0.4 | – | – |
| 6.8 #24 | – | Rating | 6.6 | – | 6.8 #33 |
| 2.7 #54 | – | Shots blocked | 3.0 | – | 3.0 #44 |
| 10.3 #21 | – | Shots insidebox | 7.1 | – | 14.0 #6 |
| 8.0 #16 | – | Shots off target | 4.5 | – | 6.0 #52 |
| 5.0 #22 | – | Shots outsidebox | 3.5 | – | 8.0 #2 |
| – #336 | – | Win | 29.1 | – | – #409 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 243.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 868 of 871
- Goals / match
- 3.3 (home 1.83 · away 1.47)
- Home / draw / away
- 47% · 18% · 35%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 57% · 64%
- Cards / match
- 0.65 (reds 0.05)
Trends
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Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Newcastle United · Last 365 days
AFC Bournemouth · Last 365 days
Absences
Newcastle United
- injury Fabian Schär #16 key player defender · Unknown Injury · 21 missed · until 2026-04-10
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Round 3
Venue
- Stadium
- St. James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne
- Capacity
- 52,409
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 51,563
Teams
- Coaches
- Eddie Howe · Andoni Iraola
- Position
- 1 · 2
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Thomas Bramall
Weather
- Conditions
- clear sky
- Temperature
- 0.1° (feels 0.1°)
- Wind
- 1.0
- Humidity
- 93%
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No table for this competition stage.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Newcastle United
DLWWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 11 GA 7 · xG 12.01–6.32 · xPts 10.18
- W
H
Leeds United
4–3
xG 2.81–2.04
UK PL - W
H
Crystal Palace
2–0
xG 2.09–1.14
UK PL - W
A
Burnley
3–1
xG 3.33–1.05
UK PL - L
A
Manchester United
0–1
xG 1.61–0.98
UK PL - D
H
Chelsea
2–2
xG 2.16–1.11
UK PL
WDWDLDLWWW 5W 3D 2L · 18 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 21 GA 14 · xG 20.96–12.33 · xPts 18.57
- W
H
Leeds United
4–3
xG 2.81–2.04
UK PL - W
H
Crystal Palace
2–0
xG 2.09–1.14
UK PL - W
A
Burnley
3–1
xG 3.33–1.05
UK PL - L
A
Manchester United
0–1
xG 1.61–0.98
UK PL - D
H
Chelsea
2–2
xG 2.16–1.11
UK PL - L
A
Sunderland
0–1
xG 0.26–0.42
UK PL - D
A
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2–2
xG 2.35–1.55
UEFA CL - W
H
Burnley
2–1
xG 2.75–1.48
UK PL - D
H
Tottenham Hotspur
2–2
xG 2.23–1.26
UK PL - W
A
Everton
4–1
xG 1.36–1.3
UK PL
AFC Bournemouth
DLDLW 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 9 GA 12 · xG 9.9–7.86 · xPts 8.27
- W
H
Tottenham Hotspur
3–2
xG 1.31–1.2
UK PL - L
H
Arsenal
2–3
xG 1.02–1.08
UK PL - D
A
Chelsea
2–2
xG 2.73–2.73
UK PL - L
A
Brentford
1–4
xG 3.13–2.57
UK PL - D
H
Burnley
1–1
xG 1.71–0.27
UK PL
DLLDDDLDLW 1W 5D 4L · 8 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 17 GA 22 · xG 18.53–16.79 · xPts 15.07
- W
H
Tottenham Hotspur
3–2
xG 1.31–1.2
UK PL - L
H
Arsenal
2–3
xG 1.02–1.08
UK PL - D
A
Chelsea
2–2
xG 2.73–2.73
UK PL - L
A
Brentford
1–4
xG 3.13–2.57
UK PL - D
H
Burnley
1–1
xG 1.71–0.27
UK PL - D
A
Manchester United
4–4
xG 1.4–3.55
UK PL - D
H
Chelsea
0–0
xG 1.34–1.12
UK PL - L
H
Everton
0–1
xG 0.51–1.93
UK PL - L
A
Sunderland
2–3
xG 2.14–1.5
UK PL - D
H
West Ham United
2–2
xG 3.25–0.83
UK PL
All meetings · 18 matches since 2015
Goals 26–29 · 3.06 per match · BTTS 78% · over 2.5 61%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 12–18 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 50%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 7–11 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%
Recent meetings
- D Newcastle United 2–2 AFC Bournemouth UK PL · Regular Season
- L Newcastle United 1–2 AFC Bournemouth UK PL · Regular Season
- D Newcastle United 3–3 AFC Bournemouth pens None–None UK FA Cup · Round 3
- D AFC Bournemouth 0–0 Newcastle United UK PL · Regular Season
- L Newcastle United 1–4 AFC Bournemouth UK PL · Regular Season
- D AFC Bournemouth 1–1 Newcastle United UK PL · Regular Season
- D Newcastle United 2–2 AFC Bournemouth UK PL · Regular Season
- L AFC Bournemouth 2–0 Newcastle United UK PL · Regular Season
- D AFC Bournemouth 1–1 Newcastle United UK PL · Regular Season
- D Newcastle United 1–1 AFC Bournemouth UK PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Newcastle United all · 3 | Newcastle United at home · 2 | AFC Bournemouth all · 1 | AFC Bournemouth away · 1 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Newcastle United · 4 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.19) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.28
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Ahead vs level -0.33 · Behind vs level -0.21
AFC Bournemouth · 5 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.00) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.23
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Ahead vs level +0.01 · Behind vs level -0.69
Newcastle United
Current: winless 2 · scoring 4 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 3 100% | 1.33 | 2.33 | 2.33 | 2.01 | 2.2 |
AFC Bournemouth
Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 13 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 100% | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.34 | 3.74 |
| Metric | Newcastle United all · 10 | Newcastle United at home · 10 | AFC Bournemouth all · 10 | AFC Bournemouth away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.50 | 1.90 |
| W / D / L | 3 / 3 / 4 | 3 / 3 / 4 | 3 / 6 / 1 | 5 / 4 / 1 |
| Goals for / match | 1.50 | 1.80 | 1.60 | 1.30 |
| Goals against / match | 1.60 | 1.80 | 1.20 | 0.90 |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 0% | 20% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 100% | 80% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 90% | 60% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.20 | 1.57 | 1.58 | 1.35 |
| xG against / match | 1.85 | 2.21 | 1.31 | 2.07 |
| xG difference | -0.65 | -0.63 | 0.26 | -0.72 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.30 | 0.23 | 0.02 | -0.05 |
| xPts / match | 1.01 | 1.09 | 1.54 | 1.03 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.19 | 0.11 | -0.04 | 0.87 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.20 | 1.57 | 1.63 | 2.17 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.20 | 0.33 | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Came back from behind | 20% | 20% | 67% | 67% |
| Leads held | 60% | 43% | 33% | 71% |
| Minutes leading | 31% | 34% | 50% | 39% |
| Minutes level | 33% | 40% | 47% | 56% |
| Minutes trailing | 37% | 26% | 3% | 4% |
| First goal (min) | 45 | 33 | 34 | 33 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 42 | 48 | 62 | 51 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 60% | 44% | 38% | 46% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | 61% | 75% | 56% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.30 | 0.50 | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| Late goals against | 0.40 | 0.50 | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 49% | 49% | 48% | 47% |
| Shots | 11.5 | 13.3 | 14.0 | 12.3 |
| On target | 4.0 | 4.6 | 5.0 | 3.9 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 14% | 11% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 62% | 63% | 60% | 54% |
| Big chances created | 2.2 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 2.0 |
| Corners | 4.0 | 4.9 | 5.2 | 3.3 |
| xG from set plays | 27% | 40% | 33% | 14% |
| Goals from headers | 13% | 11% | 12% | 23% |
| Pressure index | 9.3 | 11.3 | 12.9 | 9.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 45.6 | 49.6 | 51.7 | 41.4 |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | 78% | 81% | 79% |
| Fouls | 11.3 | 12.8 | 12.1 | 12.9 |
| Cards | 2.10 | 2.60 | 2.70 | 2.30 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Newcastle United
AFC Bournemouth
Newcastle United
Current: winless 2 · scoring 4 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 7 70% | 1.71 | 2.0 | 1.57 | 1.27 | 1.81 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.82 | 0.83 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.91 | 3.25 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.39 | 1.73 |
AFC Bournemouth
Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 13 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 90% | 1.33 | 1.56 | 1.22 | 1.66 | 1.34 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.88 | 1.07 |
| Metric | Newcastle United all · 53 | Newcastle United at home · 27 | AFC Bournemouth all · 40 | AFC Bournemouth away · 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 53 | 27 | 40 | 21 |
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.67 | 1.37 | 1.33 |
| W / D / L | 21 / 11 / 21 | 13 / 6 / 8 | 11 / 22 / 7 | 6 / 10 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 1.75 | 2.00 | 1.58 | 1.62 |
| Goals against / match | 1.60 | 1.56 | 1.50 | 1.81 |
| Clean sheets | 19% | 18% | 22% | 19% |
| Failed to score | 13% | 4% | 18% | 14% |
| Both teams scored | 72% | 78% | 72% | 76% |
| Over 2.5 | 72% | 82% | 60% | 71% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.67 | 1.92 | 1.68 | 1.60 |
| xG against / match | 1.63 | 1.67 | 1.64 | 2.20 |
| xG difference | 0.04 | 0.25 | 0.03 | -0.60 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.08 | 0.08 | -0.10 | 0.02 |
| xPts / match | 1.39 | 1.54 | 1.45 | 1.10 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.00 | 0.12 | -0.08 | 0.24 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 64% | 78% | 50% | 57% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.85 | 1.95 | 1.65 | 1.67 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.53 | 0.67 | 1.13 | 0.86 |
| Came back from behind | 22% | 27% | 65% | 54% |
| Leads held | 57% | 59% | 42% | 40% |
| Minutes leading | 33% | 38% | 28% | 33% |
| Minutes level | 42% | 45% | 55% | 48% |
| Minutes trailing | 25% | 17% | 16% | 19% |
| First goal (min) | 36 | 36 | 38 | 32 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 45 | 53 | 45 | 42 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 49% | 55% | 52% | 46% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 62% | 71% | 59% | 57% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.42 | 0.59 | 0.40 | 0.29 |
| Late goals against | 0.45 | 0.52 | 0.48 | 0.57 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 51% | 52% | 50% | 47% |
| Shots | 13.1 | 14.2 | 14.0 | 13.0 |
| On target | 5.1 | 5.6 | 5.0 | 5.1 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 14% | 11% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 68% | 68% | 60% | 60% |
| Big chances created | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2.7 | 2.6 |
| Corners | 5.7 | 6.3 | 5.3 | 4.6 |
| xG from set plays | 43% | 46% | 31% | 28% |
| Goals from headers | 16% | 18% | 11% | 12% |
| Pressure index | 15.0 | 16.9 | 12.8 | 9.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 52.9 | 56.1 | 48.1 | 40.4 |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 81% | 79% | 78% |
| Fouls | 10.2 | 11.1 | 12.2 | 13.1 |
| Cards | 1.91 | 1.74 | 2.48 | 2.67 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Newcastle United
AFC Bournemouth
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Newcastle United · 53 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.14) · stands out: v mid-tier opponents +0.50
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Congested vs rested +0.14 · Ahead vs level -0.12 · Behind vs level -0.14
AFC Bournemouth · 40 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.08) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) +0.44
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Congested vs rested -0.06 · Ahead vs level -0.14 · Behind vs level +0.21
Newcastle United
Current: winless 2 · scoring 4 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 33 62% | 1.42 | 1.76 | 1.64 | 1.81 | 1.51 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 14 26% | 1.57 | 2.21 | 1.71 | 1.62 | 1.9 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 6% | 0.67 | 0.67 | 1.0 | 0.99 | 1.82 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.82 | 0.83 |
| 4-5-1 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.87 | 1.94 |
AFC Bournemouth
Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 13 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 39 98% | 1.33 | 1.56 | 1.51 | 1.7 | 1.66 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.88 | 1.07 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
Double Chance
Draw No Bet
Both Teams To Score
Goals Over/Under
Total Corners
Number of Cards
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 60–62.5% · away 17.5–20% · 138 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 61% | 61% | 65% | +4.3 |
| Draw | 21% | 21% | 18% | -2.8 |
| Away | 18% | 18% | 17% | -1.5 |
In those fixtures: 3.5 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 70%
Both teams to score · yes 62.5–65% · 687 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 65% | 64% | 64% | +0.4 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 67.5–70% · 626 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 68% | 69% | 69% | +0.6 |
Thomas Bramall
- Career
- 131 matches · 11 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.73 (3.6 yellow · 0.08 red)
- Fouls / match
- 21.7 · 5.6 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.26
- Cards to home side
- 47%
Style in FA Cup (5-year window · 11 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 2.64 | 3.73 | -1.09 | 6 |
| Fouls / match | 20.1 | 19.7 | -0.21 | |
| Fouls per card | 7.6 | 5.5 | +1.13 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.55 | 0.24 | +1.49 | 94 |
| Time added | 7.4 | 7.2 | +0.29 | 56 |
- First card
- 48' on average
- Card timing
- 7% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 45% (league 45%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.67
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-07 | 7 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 29' | 9 |
| 2025-12-30 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 63' | 6 |
| 2025-12-20 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 42' | 11 |
| 2025-12-13 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 76' | 7 |
| 2025-12-02 · Newcastle United | 3 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 23' | 10 |
| 2025-11-22 · AFC Bournemouth | 5 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 34' | 9 |
| 2025-11-03 | 5 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 17' | 8 |
| 2025-10-26 | – | – | 17 | – | – | 8 |
| 2025-10-18 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 87' | 5 |
| 2025-10-04 | 5 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 22' | 10 |
