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FA Cup · Round 3

Momentum

Hull CityBBR
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Round 3

Venue

Stadium
MKM Stadium, Hull
Capacity
25,586
Surface
grass
Attendance
6,627

Teams

Coaches
Sergej Jakirović · Valérien Ismaël
Position
1 · 2
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-1-2

Referee

Will Finnie

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
6.0° (feels 0.0°)
Wind
14.4
Humidity
91%

Where to watch · 61

No table for this competition stage.

Hull City

WWDWL 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 4 · xG 7.01–6.18 · xPts 7.46

  • L H Stoke City 0–1 xG 1.67–1.79 UK CHAMP
  • W A Middlesbrough 1–0 xG 0.52–1.73 UK CHAMP
  • D A Sheffield Wednesday 2–2 xG 1.42–0.96 UK CHAMP
  • W H West Bromwich Albion 1–0 xG 1.47–1.13 UK CHAMP
  • W A Millwall 3–1 xG 1.92–0.58 UK CHAMP

Blackburn Rovers

WDDLD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 4 GA 4 · xG 6.31–4.24 · xPts 8.31

  • D H Charlton Athletic 2–2 xG 1.37–1.47 UK CHAMP
  • L H Wrexham 0–2 xG 0.92–0.79 UK CHAMP
  • D A Sheffield Wednesday 0–0 xG 0.81–0.38 UK CHAMP
  • D A Middlesbrough 0–0 xG 1.35–0.93 UK CHAMP
  • W H Millwall 2–0 xG 1.86–0.66 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 24 matches since 2008

Hull City 85 draws11 Blackburn Rovers

Goals 17–24 · 1.71 per match · BTTS 21% · over 2.5 25%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Hull City 52 draws3 Blackburn Rovers

Goals 9–8 · 1.7 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 30%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Hull City 21 draws2 Blackburn Rovers

Goals 2–4 · 1.2 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • W Blackburn Rovers 0–1 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Hull City 0–0 Blackburn Rovers pens None–None UK FA Cup · Round 3
  • L Hull City 0–3 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Blackburn Rovers 0–1 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Hull City 0–1 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Hull City 3–2 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Blackburn Rovers 1–2 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Blackburn Rovers 0–0 Hull City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Hull City 0–1 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Hull City 2–0 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricHull City all · 2Hull City at home · 2Blackburn Rovers all · 1Blackburn Rovers away · 1

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Hull City · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.42) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.424
Early press (0-15, level)-0.574
Late push (76+, level)-0.503

Game state

When ahead-0.363
When level-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.133

Situations

At home-0.452
Away-0.392
4+ days rest-0.424

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.393
As underdog-0.424

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.364
Conceded when ahead+0.583
Conceded late (76+)+0.274

Ahead vs level +0.08 · Behind vs level -0.08

Blackburn Rovers · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.55

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)-0.197
Late push (76+, level)+0.512
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.353

Game state

When ahead-0.145
When level+0.067
When behind+0.155
10 min after conceding+0.236
10 min after scoring+0.556

Situations

At home+0.004
Away+0.103
3 days rest or fewer+0.282
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.016
Evenly matched+0.125
As underdog-0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.067
Conceded when ahead+0.045
Conceded late (76+)-0.057

Congested vs rested +0.32 · Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level +0.09

Hull City

Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-11 50%0.00.04.01.072.19
4-2-3-11 50%1.00.00.01.571.01

Blackburn Rovers

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-1-21 100%1.00.00.01.011.57

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.05Home 46% P 46%3.4Draw 28% P 28%3.6Away 26% P 25%

Double Chance

1.28Hull or Draw 37% P 37%1.3Hull or Blackburn 36% P 36%1.72Draw or Blackburn 27% P 27%

Draw No Bet

1.441 65%2.622 35%

Both Teams To Score

1.75Yes 53% P 53%2.0No 47% P 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 45%1.9Under 50% P 55%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 25–27.5% · 853 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home46%46%44%-1.8
Draw28%28%30%+1.8
Away25%26%26%+0.0

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 48%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes53%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.545%46%45%-1.2

Will Finnie

Career
41 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
3.68 (3.56 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
21.1 · 5.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.29
Cards to home side
42%

Style in FA Cup (5-year window · 8 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 3.88 cards, 20.2 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-01 50 210 27'6
2025-12-26 40 240 16'9
2025-05-03 51 221 10'5
2025-04-08 · Blackburn Rovers 70 210 23'2
2025-02-28 20 230 52'13
2025-02-15 20 200 45'17
2025-02-11 50 180 11'6
2025-02-08 30 320 51'5
2025-02-01 · Hull City 20 210 60'8
2025-01-18 · Blackburn Rovers 40 220 21'8