FA Cup · Round 3
Momentum
– Grimsby TownWSM –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
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Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Grimsby Town | at home | Stat | league | away | Weston-super-Mare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58.2 #36 | – | Ball possession | 38.3 | – | 33.9 #145 |
| 12.2 #62 | – | Shots total | 8.8 | – | 7.9 #126 |
| 4.2 #86 | – | Shots on target | 3.5 | – | 3.7 #104 |
| 6.0 #41 | – | Corners | 4.0 | – | 2.1 #167 |
| 9.2 #78 | – | Fouls | 9.1 | – | 6.9 #98 |
| 3.5 #9 | – | Offsides | 1.8 | – | 0.7 #105 |
| 6.5 #71 | – | Tackles | 13.6 | – | 1.7 #85 |
| 78.2 #110 | – | Attacks | 71.7 | – | 60.6 #144 |
| 37.8 #121 | – | Dangerous attacks | 37.4 | – | 24.6 #164 |
| 196.5 #58 | – | Passes | 343.8 | – | 34.4 #85 |
| 1.2 #76 | – | Yellowcards | 1.8 | – | 1.0 #77 |
| 2.0 #9 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 0.6 #71 |
| – #374 | – | Btts | 57.6 | – | – #518 |
| – #231 | – | Cleansheet | 16.3 | – | – #32 |
| – #256 | – | Draw | 14.3 | – | – #253 |
| 0.7 #47 | – | Expected goals | 1.3 | – | – |
| 1.8 #11 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.6 | – | – |
| – #303 | – | Failed to score | 28.2 | – | – #370 |
| 2.5 #65 | 2.5 | Goals | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.9 #248 |
| 1.0 #538 | 1.0 | Goals conceded | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 #687 |
| – | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | 0.1 #170 |
| 5.0 #52 | – | Interceptions | 7.4 | – | 0.6 #85 |
| – #570 | – | Lost | 56.7 | – | – #698 |
| 6.7 #53 | – | Rating | 6.6 | – | 6.5 #70 |
| 4.0 #26 | – | Shots blocked | 3.0 | – | 0.6 #106 |
| 6.0 #46 | – | Shots insidebox | 7.1 | – | 0.7 #82 |
| 6.0 #52 | – | Shots off target | 4.5 | – | 4.1 #121 |
| 1.5 #63 | – | Shots outsidebox | 3.5 | – | 0.6 #82 |
| – #15 | – | Win | 29.1 | – | – #44 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 243.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 868 of 871
- Goals / match
- 3.3 (home 1.83 · away 1.47)
- Home / draw / away
- 47% · 18% · 35%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 57% · 64%
- Cards / match
- 0.65 (reds 0.05)
Trends
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Lineups
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Bench
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
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Competition
- Stage
- Round 3
Venue
- Stadium
- Blundell Park, Cleethorpes
- Capacity
- 9,546
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 4,851
Teams
- Coaches
- David Artell · Scott Rogers
- Position
- 1 · 2
- Formation
- 4-1-4-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
M. Coy
Weather
- Conditions
- few clouds
- Temperature
- 1.0° (feels -1.9°)
- Wind
- 2.6
- Humidity
- 93%
Where to watch · 26
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Indonesia
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Italy
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Paraguay
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United States
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Uruguay
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Venezuela
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No table for this competition stage.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Grimsby Town
WW 2W 0D 0L · 6 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 1
- W
H
Wealdstone
4–0
UK FA Cup - W
H
Ebbsfleet United
3–1
UK FA Cup
WW 2W 0D 0L · 6 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 1
- W
H
Wealdstone
4–0
UK FA Cup
- W
H
Ebbsfleet United
3–1
UK FA Cup
Weston-super-Mare
WWWWW 5W 0D 0L · 15 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 10 GA 1
- W
A
Chelmsford City
2–0
UK FA Cup - W
H
Aldershot Town
2–1 aet
UK FA Cup - W
H
Needham Market
1–0
UK FA Cup - W
A
Poole Town
2–0
UK FA Cup - W
H
Taunton Town
3–0
UK FA Cup
DWWWWW 5W 1D 0L · 16 pts (2.67 ppg) · GF 11 GA 2
- W
A
Chelmsford City
2–0
UK FA Cup
- W
H
Aldershot Town
2–1 aet
UK FA Cup
- W
H
Needham Market
1–0
UK FA Cup
- W
A
Poole Town
2–0
UK FA Cup
- W
H
Taunton Town
3–0
UK FA Cup
- D
A
Taunton Town
1–1
UK FA Cup
All meetings · 1 match since 2026
Goals 3–2 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%
Last 10 · 1 match
Goals 3–2 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%
Last 5 · 1 match
Goals 3–2 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%
Recent meetings
- W Grimsby Town 3–2 Weston-super-Mare UK FA Cup · Round 3
| Metric | Grimsby Town all · 4 | Grimsby Town at home · 4 | Weston-super-Mare all · 7 | Weston-super-Mare away · 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | – | – | 7 | – |
| Points per game | – | – | 2.29 | – |
| W / D / L | – | – | 5 / 1 / 1 | – |
| Goals for / match | – | – | 1.86 | – |
| Goals against / match | – | – | 0.71 | – |
| Clean sheets | – | – | 57% | – |
| Failed to score | – | – | 0% | – |
| Both teams scored | – | – | 43% | – |
| Over 2.5 | – | – | 43% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | – | – | 0.80 | – |
| xG against / match | – | – | 1.48 | – |
| xG difference | – | – | -0.68 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | – | – | 1.20 | – |
| xPts / match | – | – | 0.87 | – |
| Points vs xPts | – | – | -0.87 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | – | – | 57% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | – | – | 3.00 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | – | – | 1.50 | – |
| Came back from behind | – | – | 50% | – |
| Leads held | – | – | 100% | – |
| Minutes leading | – | – | 31% | – |
| Minutes level | – | – | 56% | – |
| Minutes trailing | – | – | 12% | – |
| First goal (min) | – | – | 50 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | – | – | 31 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | – | – | 73% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | – | – | 50% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | – | – | 0.71 | – |
| Late goals against | – | – | 0.14 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | – | – | 47% | – |
| Shots | – | – | 11.0 | – |
| On target | – | – | 5.2 | – |
| Shot conversion | – | – | 24% | – |
| Shots inside box | – | – | 56% | – |
| Big chances created | – | – | 1.0 | – |
| Corners | – | – | 3.0 | – |
| xG from set plays | – | – | 54% | – |
| Goals from headers | – | – | 0% | – |
| Pressure index | – | – | 17.9 | – |
| Dominant minutes | – | – | 55.6 | – |
| Pass accuracy | – | – | 63% | – |
| Fouls | – | – | 12.0 | – |
| Cards | – | – | 1.29 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Weston-super-Mare
0–15'10
16–30'01
31–45'21
46–60'20
61–75'21
76–90'41
Grimsby Town
Current: winless 1 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-1-4-1 | 4 100% | 2.25 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.32 | 1.02 |
Weston-super-Mare
Current: winless 1 · scoring 12 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 67% | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.48 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 33% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | – | – |
| Metric | Grimsby Town all · 8 | Grimsby Town at home · 6 | Weston-super-Mare all · 10 | Weston-super-Mare away · 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 8 | 6 | 10 | 9 |
| Points per game | 1.63 | 2.00 | 2.20 | 1.89 |
| W / D / L | 4 / 1 / 3 | 4 / 0 / 2 | 7 / 1 / 2 | 5 / 2 / 2 |
| Goals for / match | 2.25 | 2.83 | 1.80 | 1.67 |
| Goals against / match | 1.25 | 1.17 | 0.90 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheets | 12% | 17% | 50% | 44% |
| Failed to score | 38% | 33% | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% | 50% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 67% | 50% | 33% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.32 | 1.32 | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| xG against / match | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.48 | 1.48 |
| xG difference | 0.30 | 0.30 | -0.68 | -0.68 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.18 | 0.18 | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| xPts / match | 1.58 | 1.58 | 0.87 | 0.87 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.08 | -0.08 | -0.87 | -0.87 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 38% | 50% | 50% | 56% |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.80 | 1.00 | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Came back from behind | 40% | 33% | 50% | 33% |
| Leads held | 100% | 100% | 100% | 83% |
| Minutes leading | 29% | 39% | 28% | 36% |
| Minutes level | 47% | 52% | 54% | 51% |
| Minutes trailing | 24% | 9% | 18% | 13% |
| First goal (min) | 37 | 27 | 51 | 38 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 42 | 51 | 28 | 38 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 61% | 59% | 81% | 64% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | 57% | 33% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.50 | 0.67 | 0.60 | 0.33 |
| Late goals against | 0.25 | 0.33 | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 56% | 57% | 48% | 44% |
| Shots | 10.9 | 12.5 | 10.9 | 11.3 |
| On target | 4.8 | 5.2 | 5.0 | 5.0 |
| Shot conversion | 21% | 23% | 24% | 33% |
| Shots inside box | 80% | 80% | 56% | 56% |
| Big chances created | 2.5 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Corners | 6.0 | 6.2 | 4.1 | 6.0 |
| xG from set plays | 40% | 40% | 54% | 54% |
| Goals from headers | 12% | 14% | 0% | 0% |
| Pressure index | 16.9 | 20.9 | 14.4 | 15.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 61.0 | 68.5 | 47.9 | 33.0 |
| Pass accuracy | 74% | 74% | 63% | 63% |
| Fouls | 9.8 | 10.0 | 12.0 | 12.5 |
| Cards | 1.75 | 1.50 | 1.60 | 1.11 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Grimsby Town
0–15'31
16–30'22
31–45'22
46–60'32
61–75'41
76–90'42
Weston-super-Mare
0–15'11
16–30'01
31–45'22
46–60'40
61–75'41
76–90'51
Grimsby Town
Current: winless 1 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-1-4-1 | 4 50% | 2.25 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.32 | 1.02 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 25% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | – | – |
| 3-4-3 | 1 12% | 3.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | – | – |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 12% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | – | – |
Weston-super-Mare
Current: winless 1 · scoring 12 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 50% | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.48 |
| 4-5-1 | 1 25% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | – | – |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 25% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | – | – |
| Metric | Grimsby Town all · 4 | Grimsby Town at home · 4 | Weston-super-Mare all · 5 | Weston-super-Mare away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | – | – | 5 | – |
| Points per game | – | – | 2.40 | – |
| W / D / L | – | – | 4 / 0 / 1 | – |
| Goals for / match | – | – | 1.80 | – |
| Goals against / match | – | – | 0.80 | – |
| Clean sheets | – | – | 60% | – |
| Failed to score | – | – | 0% | – |
| Both teams scored | – | – | 40% | – |
| Over 2.5 | – | – | 40% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | – | – | 0.80 | – |
| xG against / match | – | – | 1.48 | – |
| xG difference | – | – | -0.68 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | – | – | 1.20 | – |
| xPts / match | – | – | 0.87 | – |
| Points vs xPts | – | – | -0.87 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | – | – | 60% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | – | – | 3.00 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | – | – | 1.50 | – |
| Came back from behind | – | – | 50% | – |
| Leads held | – | – | 100% | – |
| Minutes leading | – | – | 33% | – |
| Minutes level | – | – | 50% | – |
| Minutes trailing | – | – | 17% | – |
| First goal (min) | – | – | 51 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | – | – | 31 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | – | – | 75% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | – | – | 50% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | – | – | 0.80 | – |
| Late goals against | – | – | 0.20 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | – | – | 47% | – |
| Shots | – | – | 8.5 | – |
| On target | – | – | 4.0 | – |
| Shot conversion | – | – | 26% | – |
| Shots inside box | – | – | 56% | – |
| Big chances created | – | – | 1.0 | – |
| Corners | – | – | 2.0 | – |
| xG from set plays | – | – | 54% | – |
| Goals from headers | – | – | 0% | – |
| Pressure index | – | – | 20.3 | – |
| Dominant minutes | – | – | 54.8 | – |
| Pass accuracy | – | – | 63% | – |
| Fouls | – | – | 13.0 | – |
| Cards | – | – | 1.20 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Weston-super-Mare
0–15'10
16–30'01
31–45'11
46–60'20
61–75'11
76–90'31
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Grimsby Town · 4 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.63) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.26
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.634
Early press (0-15, level)+0.894
Game state
When ahead+1.183
When level+0.624
When behind-0.112
10 min after conceding+1.013
10 min after scoring+1.263
Situations
At home+0.634
4+ days rest+0.634
Opposition
As favourite+0.883
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.144
Conceded when ahead-0.333
Conceded late (76+)-0.253
Ahead vs level +0.56 · Behind vs level -0.73
Weston-super-Mare · 4 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.15) · stands out: 10 min after scoring -0.29
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.154
Early press (0-15, level)+0.004
Late push (76+, level)+0.252
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.182
Game state
When ahead-0.432
When level-0.174
When behind+0.162
10 min after conceding-0.432
10 min after scoring-0.294
Situations
Against ten men-0.532
At home-0.142
Away-0.162
4+ days rest-0.154
Opposition
As favourite-0.142
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.244
Conceded when ahead-0.122
Conceded late (76+)+0.074
Ahead vs level -0.26 · Behind vs level +0.33
Grimsby Town
Current: winless 1 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-1-4-1 | 4 100% | 2.25 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.32 | 1.02 |
Weston-super-Mare
Current: winless 1 · scoring 12 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 67% | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.48 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 33% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | – | – |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.33Home 70% P 71%5.0Draw 19% P 18%8.0Away 12% P 11%
Double Chance
1.08Grimsby or Draw 44% P 44%1.16Grimsby or Weston Super Mare 41% P 42%3.25Draw or Weston Super Mare 15% P 14%
Draw No Bet
1.11 86%7.02 14%
Both Teams To Score
1.95Yes 48% P 48%1.8No 52% P 52%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.53Over 62% P 59%2.5Under 38% P 41%
Total Corners
10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 21%10.0Over 14 9%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 70–72.5% · away 10–12.5% · 534 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 71% | 71% | 75% | +4.2 |
| Draw | 18% | 18% | 15% | -2.5 |
| Away | 11% | 11% | 9% | -1.7 |
In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 62%
Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48% | 49% | 49% | +0.0 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 59% | 60% | +0.8 |
M. Coy
- Career
- 27 matches · 13 seasons
- Cards / match
- 2.37 (2.3 yellow · 0.04 red)
- Fouls / match
- 17.9 · 3.1 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.18
- Cards to home side
- 47%
Style in FA Cup (5-year window · 10 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.3 | 3.76 | -0.10 | 44 |
| Fouls / match | 17.4 | 19.7 | -1.30 | |
| Fouls per card | 4.8 | 5.5 | -1.32 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.4 | 0.24 | +0.64 | 69 |
| Time added | 7.1 | 7.2 | -0.16 | 38 |
- First card
- 32' on average
- Card timing
- 26% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 46% (league 45%)
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-06 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 37' | 8 |
| 2025-01-25 | 7 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 21' | 7 |
| 2025-01-11 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 83' | 6 |