Rating 7.01 (87th pct) · G+A 15 + 7 (30% of team goals) · 57% of minutes
Team 1.69 ppg with (29) · 1.32 without (22)
FA Cup · Round 3
Momentum
– WrexhamNFO –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Loading statistics…
Season context
| Wrexham | at home | Stat | league | away | Nottingham Forest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38.7 #129 | – | Ball possession | 38.3 | – | 63.0 #14 |
| 16.3 #21 | – | Shots total | 8.8 | – | 31.0 #1 |
| 5.7 #50 | – | Shots on target | 3.5 | – | 10.0 #3 |
| 8.3 #12 | – | Corners | 4.0 | – | 7.0 #22 |
| 9.7 #68 | – | Fouls | 9.1 | – | 12.0 #34 |
| 3.3 #13 | – | Offsides | 1.8 | – | – |
| 25.3 #7 | – | Tackles | 13.6 | – | 14.0 #41 |
| 101.0 #49 | – | Attacks | 71.7 | – | 167.0 #1 |
| 40.3 #103 | – | Dangerous attacks | 37.4 | – | 64.0 #26 |
| 451.3 #29 | – | Passes | 343.8 | – | 743.0 #2 |
| 1.0 #77 | – | Yellowcards | 1.8 | – | 5.0 #2 |
| 0.3 #15 | – | Redcards | 0.4 | – | – |
| 2.0 #9 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 2.0 #9 |
| – #293 | – | Btts | 57.6 | – | – #1 |
| – #166 | – | Cleansheet | 16.3 | – | – #286 |
| – #125 | – | Draw | 14.3 | – | – #1 |
| 1.7 #21 | – | Expected goals | 1.3 | – | 0.5 #57 |
| 0.3 #41 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.6 | – | 2.5 #4 |
| – #370 | – | Failed to score | 28.2 | – | – #370 |
| 2.0 #129 | 2.0 | Goals | 1.4 | 3.0 | 3.0 #20 |
| 2.3 #191 | 2.3 | Goals conceded | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 #81 |
| 0.3 #97 | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | – |
| 10.0 #22 | – | Interceptions | 7.4 | – | 11.0 #13 |
| – #458 | – | Lost | 56.7 | – | – #706 |
| 6.9 #12 | – | Rating | 6.6 | – | 6.9 #16 |
| 4.7 #22 | – | Shots blocked | 3.0 | – | 13.0 #1 |
| 9.7 #22 | – | Shots insidebox | 7.1 | – | 20.0 #1 |
| 6.0 #52 | – | Shots off target | 4.5 | – | 8.0 #16 |
| 6.7 #8 | – | Shots outsidebox | 3.5 | – | 11.0 #1 |
| – #336 | – | Win | 29.1 | – | – #409 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 243.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 868 of 871
- Goals / match
- 3.3 (home 1.83 · away 1.47)
- Home / draw / away
- 47% · 18% · 35%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 57% · 64%
- Cards / match
- 0.65 (reds 0.05)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Wrexham · Last 365 days
Rating 6.93 (80th pct) · G+A 4 + 3 (9% of team goals) · 79% of minutes
Team 1.55 ppg with (40) · 1.45 without (11)
Rating 6.97 (82th pct) · G+A 2 + 5 (9% of team goals) · 65% of minutes
Team 1.7 ppg with (33) · 1.22 without (18)
Nottingham Forest · Last 365 days
Rating 7.07 (93th pct) · G+A 20 + 8 (37% of team goals) · 83% of minutes
Team 1.24 ppg with (45) · 1.7 without (10)
Rating 6.98 (69th pct) · G+A 2 + 4 (8% of team goals) · 86% of minutes
Team 1.28 ppg with (46) · 1.56 without (9)
Rating 6.9 (68th pct) · G+A 15 + 5 (27% of team goals) · 68% of minutes
Team 1.28 ppg with (39) · 1.44 without (16)
Absences
Wrexham
- injury Andy Cannon midfielder · Cruciate Ligament Tear · 46 missed · until 2025-12-31
Nottingham Forest
- injury Chris Wood #16 key player attacker · Knee Surgery · 20 missed · until 2026-03-20
- injury Ryan Yates #11 key player midfielder · Thigh Problems · 8 missed · until 2026-01-10
- suspension Ibrahim Sangaré #5 key player midfielder · Called Up To National Team · 6 missed · until 2026-01-12
- suspension Willy Boly defender · Called Up To National Team · 6 missed · until 2026-01-12
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Round 3
Venue
- Stadium
- Racecourse Ground, Racecourse Ground
- Capacity
- 10,771
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 10,603
Teams
- Coaches
- Phil Parkinson · Sean Dyche
- Position
- 1 · 2
- Formation
- 3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Paul Tierney
Weather
- Conditions
- overcast clouds
- Temperature
- 2.2° (feels 1.0°)
- Wind
- 1.4
- Humidity
- 93%
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No table for this competition stage.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Wrexham
LWWWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 12 GA 7 · xG 7.43–7.95 · xPts 6.56
- W
A
Derby County
2–1
xG 1.18–1.19
UK CHAMP - W
A
Blackburn Rovers
2–0
xG 0.79–0.92
UK CHAMP - W
H
Preston North End
2–1
xG 2.69–1.24
UK CHAMP - W
H
Sheffield United
5–3
xG 2.4–2.17
UK CHAMP - L
A
Swansea City
1–2
xG 0.38–2.44
UK CHAMP
WDDLDLWWWW 5W 3D 2L · 18 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 18 GA 13 · xG 14.44–16.96 · xPts 12.54
- W
A
Derby County
2–1
xG 1.18–1.19
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Blackburn Rovers
2–0
xG 0.79–0.92
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Preston North End
2–1
xG 2.69–1.24
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Sheffield United
5–3
xG 2.4–2.17
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Swansea City
1–2
xG 0.38–2.44
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Watford
2–2
xG 1.42–0.9
UK CHAMP - L
A
Hull City
0–2
xG 1.22–3.16
UK CHAMP - D
A
Preston North End
1–1
xG 1.36–2.33
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Blackburn Rovers
1–1
xG 2.13–1.48
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Bristol City
2–0
xG 0.87–1.14
UK CHAMP
Nottingham Forest
LLLLW 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 4 GA 9 · xG 6.35–6.79 · xPts 6.37
- W
A
West Ham United
2–1
xG 1.56–1.35
UK PL - L
A
Aston Villa
1–3
xG 0.62–1.37
UK PL - L
H
Everton
0–2
xG 2.3–0.97
UK PL - L
H
Manchester City
1–2
xG 0.84–1.51
UK PL - L
A
Fulham
0–1
xG 1.02–1.6
UK PL
LWLWWLLLLW 4W 0D 6L · 12 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 10 GA 15 · xG 12.71–11.63 · xPts 14.07
- W
A
West Ham United
2–1
xG 1.56–1.35
UK PL
- L
A
Aston Villa
1–3
xG 0.62–1.37
UK PL
- L
H
Everton
0–2
xG 2.3–0.97
UK PL
- L
H
Manchester City
1–2
xG 0.84–1.51
UK PL
- L
A
Fulham
0–1
xG 1.02–1.6
UK PL
- W
H
Tottenham Hotspur
3–0
xG 2.26–0.53
UK PL - W
A
FC Utrecht
2–1
xG 1.57–0.77
UEFA EL - L
A
Everton
0–3
xG 0.67–1.23
UK PL
- W
A
Wolverhampton Wanderers
1–0
xG 0.71–0.72
UK PL - L
H
Brighton & Hove Albion
0–2
xG 1.16–1.58
UK PL
All meetings · 1 match since 2026
Goals 3–3 · 6.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%
Last 10 · 1 match
Goals 3–3 · 6.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%
Last 5 · 1 match
Goals 3–3 · 6.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%
Recent meetings
- D Wrexham 3–3 Nottingham Forest pens None–None UK FA Cup · Round 3
| Metric | Wrexham all · 3 | Wrexham at home · 3 | Nottingham Forest all · 1 | Nottingham Forest away · 1 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Wrexham · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.02) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.16
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.027
Early press (0-15, level)-0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.044
Game state
When ahead+0.122
When level+0.017
When behind-0.034
10 min after conceding-0.135
10 min after scoring+0.135
Situations
At home+0.053
Away+0.004
3 days rest or fewer+0.073
4+ days rest-0.014
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.103
v bottom-tier opponents+0.163
As favourite+0.053
Evenly matched+0.033
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.087
Conceded when ahead+0.062
Conceded late (76+)-0.165
Congested vs rested +0.07 · Ahead vs level +0.12 · Behind vs level -0.04
Nottingham Forest · 4 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.06) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.52
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.064
Early press (0-15, level)-0.434
Late push (76+, level)-0.394
Game state
When ahead+0.652
When level-0.094
10 min after conceding-0.523
10 min after scoring+0.742
Situations
At home-0.262
Away+0.372
4+ days rest+0.064
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.372
Evenly matched+0.093
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.004
Conceded when ahead-0.202
Conceded late (76+)-0.354
Ahead vs level +0.75 · Behind vs level -0.62
Wrexham
Current: winless 3 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 67% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.57 | 2.43 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 33% | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 1.84 | 2.09 |
Nottingham Forest
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 100% | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.04 | 2.08 |
| Metric | Wrexham all · 10 | Wrexham at home · 10 | Nottingham Forest all · 10 | Nottingham Forest away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.10 | 1.20 | 1.30 | 1.80 |
| W / D / L | 2 / 5 / 3 | 3 / 3 / 4 | 3 / 4 / 3 | 5 / 3 / 2 |
| Goals for / match | 1.10 | 1.50 | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals against / match | 1.60 | 1.80 | 1.40 | 1.50 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 0% | 30% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 80% | 60% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 60% | 50% | 90% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.42 | 1.43 | 1.57 | 1.45 |
| xG against / match | 1.39 | 1.47 | 1.78 | 2.04 |
| xG difference | 0.03 | -0.04 | -0.21 | -0.59 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.32 | 0.07 | -0.37 | 0.75 |
| xPts / match | 1.45 | 1.36 | 1.34 | 1.11 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.35 | -0.16 | -0.04 | 0.69 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.33 | 2.25 | 2.20 | 2.67 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.25 | 0.50 |
| Came back from behind | 50% | 43% | 25% | 50% |
| Leads held | 50% | 60% | 60% | 83% |
| Minutes leading | 22% | 24% | 23% | 39% |
| Minutes level | 55% | 46% | 60% | 42% |
| Minutes trailing | 23% | 30% | 17% | 19% |
| First goal (min) | 32 | 37 | 45 | 33 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 28 | 25 | 60 | 47 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 36% | 33% | 67% | 54% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | 44% | 86% | 73% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.00 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| Late goals against | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 50% | 50% | 45% | 42% |
| Shots | 12.3 | 12.6 | 12.5 | 11.1 |
| On target | 3.8 | 3.9 | 4.0 | 4.7 |
| Shot conversion | 9% | 12% | 10% | 20% |
| Shots inside box | 71% | 68% | 68% | 72% |
| Big chances created | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 2.8 |
| Corners | 5.1 | 5.3 | 3.4 | 3.9 |
| xG from set plays | 27% | 28% | 36% | 26% |
| Goals from headers | 20% | 36% | 18% | 23% |
| Pressure index | 10.9 | 11.2 | 10.7 | 9.7 |
| Dominant minutes | 46.3 | 45.4 | 46.0 | 41.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 80% | 80% | 79% |
| Fouls | 12.4 | 10.6 | 11.7 | 11.4 |
| Cards | 1.30 | 1.30 | 1.80 | 2.40 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Wrexham
0–15'13
16–30'43
31–45'22
46–60'31
61–75'12
76–90'05
Nottingham Forest
0–15'21
16–30'10
31–45'11
46–60'34
61–75'22
76–90'36
Wrexham
Current: winless 3 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 7 70% | 1.0 | 1.14 | 1.71 | 1.42 | 1.43 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 2 20% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.29 | 1.41 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.69 | 1.07 |
Nottingham Forest
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 5 50% | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.58 | 1.25 |
| 4-4-2 | 4 40% | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.25 | 1.83 | 2.11 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.46 | 3.07 |
| Metric | Wrexham all · 51 | Wrexham at home · 26 | Nottingham Forest all · 55 | Nottingham Forest away · 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 51 | 26 | 55 | 28 |
| Points per game | 1.53 | 1.62 | 1.33 | 1.43 |
| W / D / L | 20 / 18 / 13 | 11 / 9 / 6 | 19 / 16 / 20 | 11 / 7 / 10 |
| Goals for / match | 1.45 | 1.73 | 1.36 | 1.57 |
| Goals against / match | 1.43 | 1.54 | 1.20 | 1.43 |
| Clean sheets | 28% | 23% | 31% | 25% |
| Failed to score | 16% | 4% | 33% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 63% | 73% | 46% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 50% | 53% | 68% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.24 | 1.55 | 1.52 | 1.39 |
| xG against / match | 1.40 | 1.32 | 1.40 | 1.61 |
| xG difference | -0.16 | 0.23 | 0.12 | -0.21 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.21 | 0.18 | -0.15 | 0.18 |
| xPts / match | 1.28 | 1.53 | 1.47 | 1.29 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.25 | 0.08 | -0.14 | 0.14 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 51% | 58% | 36% | 43% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.08 | 2.13 | 2.60 | 2.67 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.95 | 0.91 | 0.53 | 0.47 |
| Came back from behind | 50% | 57% | 33% | 33% |
| Leads held | 62% | 61% | 76% | 79% |
| Minutes leading | 30% | 29% | 24% | 27% |
| Minutes level | 47% | 47% | 53% | 45% |
| Minutes trailing | 23% | 24% | 23% | 28% |
| First goal (min) | 36 | 37 | 38 | 37 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 39 | 36 | 42 | 38 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 53% | 49% | 60% | 59% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 55% | 50% | 54% | 52% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.31 | 0.42 | 0.36 | 0.43 |
| Late goals against | 0.45 | 0.42 | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 48% | 50% | 48% | 45% |
| Shots | 11.5 | 14.0 | 14.2 | 12.6 |
| On target | 3.8 | 4.8 | 4.8 | 5.0 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 12% | 10% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 67% | 62% | 65% |
| Big chances created | 2.1 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 2.3 |
| Corners | 4.7 | 5.4 | 5.2 | 4.6 |
| xG from set plays | 31% | 35% | 31% | 30% |
| Goals from headers | 25% | 35% | 19% | 25% |
| Pressure index | 10.5 | 13.1 | 15.3 | 13.6 |
| Dominant minutes | 43.3 | 50.4 | 52.6 | 47.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 78% | 80% | 82% | 81% |
| Fouls | 10.0 | 9.6 | 11.7 | 12.2 |
| Cards | 1.51 | 1.35 | 1.76 | 2.00 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Wrexham
0–15'910
16–30'1310
31–45'1312
46–60'159
61–75'89
76–90'1621
Nottingham Forest
0–15'98
16–30'119
31–45'1013
46–60'1512
61–75'107
76–90'2017
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Wrexham · 51 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.36
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0251
Early press (0-15, level)-0.0151
Late push (76+, level)-0.1725
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0115
Game state
When ahead+0.0432
When level-0.0451
When behind-0.0825
10 min after conceding-0.2237
10 min after scoring+0.3643
Situations
Against ten men+0.482
At home+0.0126
Away-0.0525
3 days rest or fewer+0.0417
4+ days rest-0.0534
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.333
v mid-tier opponents-0.0924
v bottom-tier opponents+0.0819
As favourite+0.0011
Evenly matched+0.0223
As underdog-0.1017
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1551
Conceded when ahead+0.1132
Conceded late (76+)-0.0849
Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level +0.07 · Behind vs level -0.04
Nottingham Forest · 55 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.17) · stands out: v mid-tier opponents +0.61
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1755
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0355
Late push (76+, level)-0.0923
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0423
Game state
When ahead+0.1925
When level+0.1855
When behind+0.1530
10 min after conceding-0.0638
10 min after scoring+0.4737
Situations
With ten men+0.102
At home+0.1027
Away+0.2628
3 days rest or fewer+0.1622
4+ days rest+0.1933
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0131
v mid-tier opponents+0.6110
v bottom-tier opponents+0.242
As favourite+0.6015
Evenly matched+0.1520
As underdog-0.1220
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0055
Conceded when ahead+0.0225
Conceded late (76+)-0.2051
Congested vs rested -0.03 · Ahead vs level +0.01 · Behind vs level -0.03
Wrexham
Current: winless 3 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 31 61% | 1.52 | 1.48 | 1.45 | 1.22 | 1.33 |
| 3-5-2 | 6 12% | 0.5 | 0.67 | 1.83 | 0.74 | 2.11 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 4 8% | 2.25 | 1.0 | 0.75 | 1.47 | 0.84 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 3 6% | 1.67 | 1.33 | 1.0 | 1.34 | 1.59 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 2 4% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.15 | 1.02 |
Nottingham Forest
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 32 58% | 1.41 | 1.38 | 1.0 | 1.51 | 1.27 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 8 14% | 1.25 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.52 | 1.22 |
| 4-4-2 | 6 11% | 1.67 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.66 | 1.71 |
| 5-3-2 | 2 4% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.41 | 2.07 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 4% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.91 | 0.84 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
4.33Home 22% P 20%4.0Draw 24% P 25%1.72Away 55% P 55%
Double Chance
1.95Wrexham or Draw 24% P 23%1.25Wrexham or Nottm Forest 38% P 38%1.22Draw or Nottm Forest 38% P 40%
Draw No Bet
3.251 29%1.332 71%
Both Teams To Score
1.7Yes 55% P 53%2.05No 45% P 47%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.72Over 55% P 53%2.1Under 45% P 47%
Total Corners
11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%
Number of Cards
3.51.9Over 49% P 44%1.8Under 51% P 56%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 20–22.5% · away 52.5–55% · 365 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 20% | 21% | 23% | +1.8 |
| Draw | 25% | 25% | 25% | -0.3 |
| Away | 55% | 54% | 52% | -1.4 |
In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 53%
Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53% | 54% | 54% | -0.2 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 54% | 54% | +0.8 |
Paul Tierney
- Career
- 356 matches · 17 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.43 (3.32 yellow · 0.06 red)
- Fouls / match
- 19.7 · 5.0 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.19
- Cards to home side
- 46%
Style in FA Cup (5-year window · 10 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.3 | 3.73 | +1.42 | 94 |
| Fouls / match | 24.5 | 19.7 | +1.56 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.7 | 5.5 | -0.53 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.2 | 0.24 | -0.53 | 31 |
| Time added | 6.4 | 7.2 | -1.22 | 12 |
- First card
- 51' on average
- Card timing
- 7% in first 30' · 53% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 44% (league 45%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.0
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 34' | 7 |
| 2025-12-29 | 5 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 59' | 6 |
| 2025-12-20 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 28' | 7 |
| 2025-12-06 | 7 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 15' | 6 |
| 2025-11-21 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 90' | 8 |
| 2025-11-07 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 28' | 8 |
| 2025-10-25 | – | – | 22 | – | – | 8 |