FA Cup · Round 3
Momentum
– Port ValeFLT –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
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Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Port Vale | at home | Stat | league | away | Fleetwood Town |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38.2 #131 | – | Ball possession | 38.3 | – | 45.0 #104 |
| 11.8 #73 | – | Shots total | 8.8 | – | 9.7 #105 |
| 3.3 #117 | – | Shots on target | 3.5 | – | 3.7 #105 |
| 5.7 #61 | – | Corners | 4.0 | – | 5.0 #74 |
| 9.7 #68 | – | Fouls | 9.1 | – | 12.3 #33 |
| 2.0 #38 | – | Offsides | 1.8 | – | 1.0 #77 |
| 15.5 #33 | – | Tackles | 13.6 | – | 4.0 #77 |
| 85.2 #87 | – | Attacks | 71.7 | – | 93.0 #74 |
| 39.2 #111 | – | Dangerous attacks | 37.4 | – | 52.7 #53 |
| 262.2 #49 | – | Passes | 343.8 | – | 116.7 #75 |
| 2.5 #24 | – | Yellowcards | 1.8 | – | 1.3 #71 |
| 1.5 #27 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 1.3 #30 |
| – #584 | – | Btts | 57.6 | – | – #293 |
| – #10 | – | Cleansheet | 16.3 | – | – #286 |
| – #256 | – | Draw | 14.3 | – | – #125 |
| 1.2 #29 | – | Expected goals | 1.3 | – | 0.1 #66 |
| 0.3 #47 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.6 | – | 1.2 #23 |
| – #360 | – | Failed to score | 28.2 | – | – #238 |
| 1.5 #305 | 1.8 | Goals | 1.4 | 0.0 | 1.3 #362 |
| 1.3 #481 | 0.2 | Goals conceded | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 #481 |
| 0.2 #164 | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | 0.7 #37 |
| 7.8 #36 | – | Interceptions | 7.4 | – | 1.0 #84 |
| – #686 | – | Lost | 56.7 | – | – #458 |
| 6.8 #32 | – | Rating | 6.6 | – | 6.5 #70 |
| 4.0 #26 | – | Shots blocked | 3.0 | – | 2.7 #54 |
| 7.3 #36 | – | Shots insidebox | 7.1 | – | 3.0 #64 |
| 5.7 #73 | – | Shots off target | 4.5 | – | 4.7 #105 |
| 3.2 #43 | – | Shots outsidebox | 3.5 | – | 1.7 #62 |
| – #8 | – | Win | 29.1 | – | – #336 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 243.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 868 of 871
- Goals / match
- 3.3 (home 1.83 · away 1.47)
- Home / draw / away
- 47% · 18% · 35%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 57% · 64%
- Cards / match
- 0.65 (reds 0.05)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Absences
Fleetwood Town
- injury Ronan Coughlan attacker · Achilles tendon rupture · 40 missed · until 2025-11-01
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Round 3
Venue
- Stadium
- Vale Park, Stoke-on-Trent
- Capacity
- 19,052
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 3,366
Teams
- Coaches
- J. Brady · Peter Wild
- Position
- 1 · 2
- Formation
- 4-4-2 · 3-1-4-2
Referee
Ben Speedie
Weather
- Conditions
- overcast clouds
- Temperature
- 0.8° (feels 0.8°)
- Wind
- 0.5
- Humidity
- 94%
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No table for this competition stage.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Port Vale
WW 2W 0D 0L · 6 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 1 · xG 3.67–0.54 · xPts 2.81
- W
H
Bristol Rovers
1–0
UK FA Cup - W
H
Maldon & Tiptree
5–1
xG 3.67–0.54
UK FA Cup
WW 2W 0D 0L · 6 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 1 · xG 3.67–0.54 · xPts 2.81
- W
H
Bristol Rovers
1–0
UK FA Cup
- W
H
Maldon & Tiptree
5–1
xG 3.67–0.54
UK FA Cup
Fleetwood Town
WD 1W 1D 0L · 4 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 3
- D
H
Luton Town
2–2 won on pens None–None
UK FA Cup - W
H
Barnet
2–1
UK FA Cup
WD 1W 1D 0L · 4 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 3
- D
H
Luton Town
2–2 won on pens None–None
UK FA Cup
- W
H
Barnet
2–1
UK FA Cup
All meetings · 1 match since 2026
Goals 1–0 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%
Last 10 · 1 match
Goals 1–0 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%
Last 5 · 1 match
Goals 1–0 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%
Recent meetings
- W Port Vale 1–0 Fleetwood Town UK FA Cup · Round 3
| Metric | Port Vale all · 6 | Port Vale at home · 5 | Fleetwood Town all · 3 | Fleetwood Town away · 1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 6 | 5 | – | – |
| Points per game | 2.50 | 3.00 | – | – |
| W / D / L | 5 / 0 / 1 | 5 / 0 / 0 | – | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.50 | 1.80 | – | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.33 | 0.20 | – | – |
| Clean sheets | 67% | 80% | – | – |
| Failed to score | 17% | 0% | – | – |
| Both teams scored | 17% | 20% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 20% | – | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.50 | 1.84 | – | – |
| xG against / match | 1.80 | 1.18 | – | – |
| xG difference | -0.31 | 0.66 | – | – |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.10 | 0.16 | – | – |
| xPts / match | 1.32 | 1.65 | – | – |
| Points vs xPts | 1.08 | 1.35 | – | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 67% | 80% | – | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | 3.00 | – | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.50 | 3.00 | – | – |
| Came back from behind | 50% | 100% | – | – |
| Leads held | 100% | 100% | – | – |
| Minutes leading | 41% | 48% | – | – |
| Minutes level | 42% | 50% | – | – |
| Minutes trailing | 17% | 2% | – | – |
| First goal (min) | 49 | 49 | – | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 4 | 6 | – | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 25% | 25% | – | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | 0% | – | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.17 | 0.20 | – | – |
| Late goals against | 0.33 | 0.00 | – | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 38% | 41% | – | – |
| Shots | 11.8 | 13.4 | – | – |
| On target | 3.3 | 4.0 | – | – |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 13% | – | – |
| Shots inside box | 70% | 73% | – | – |
| Big chances created | 1.6 | 2.0 | – | – |
| Corners | 5.7 | 6.4 | – | – |
| xG from set plays | 37% | 37% | – | – |
| Goals from headers | 11% | 11% | – | – |
| Pressure index | 15.7 | 18.1 | – | – |
| Dominant minutes | 51.7 | 58.0 | – | – |
| Pass accuracy | 66% | 66% | – | – |
| Fouls | 9.7 | 9.6 | – | – |
| Cards | 2.33 | 2.60 | – | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Port Vale
0–15'12
16–30'41
31–45'11
46–60'21
61–75'01
76–90'02
Port Vale
Current: winless 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 2 33% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.61 | 1.0 |
| 5-4-1 | 2 33% | 1.5 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 0.46 | 2.93 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 17% | 3.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 3.67 | 0.54 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 17% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.29 | 1.62 |
Fleetwood Town
Current: winless 2 · conceding 6
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-1-2 | 2 67% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | – | – |
| 3-1-4-2 | 1 33% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.61 |
| Metric | Port Vale all · 10 | Port Vale at home · 8 | Fleetwood Town all · 6 | Fleetwood Town away · 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 8 | 6 | – |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 2.13 | 1.17 | – |
| W / D / L | 6 / 2 / 2 | 5 / 2 / 1 | 2 / 1 / 3 | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.60 | 1.63 | 1.00 | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.50 | 0.88 | 1.83 | – |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 62% | 0% | – |
| Failed to score | 10% | 12% | 50% | – |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 38% | 50% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 38% | 67% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.50 | 1.84 | 1.00 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.80 | 1.18 | 1.61 | – |
| xG difference | -0.31 | 0.66 | -0.61 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.10 | 0.16 | -1.00 | – |
| xPts / match | 1.32 | 1.65 | 0.96 | – |
| Points vs xPts | 1.08 | 1.35 | -0.96 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 60% | 62% | 33% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.67 | 2.60 | 2.00 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.00 | 1.50 | 0.75 | – |
| Came back from behind | 60% | 67% | 25% | – |
| Leads held | 86% | 83% | 67% | – |
| Minutes leading | 38% | 40% | 24% | – |
| Minutes level | 44% | 51% | 46% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 18% | 10% | 30% | – |
| First goal (min) | 43 | 40 | 40 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 35 | 35 | 51 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 31% | 20% | 67% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 64% | 67% | 54% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.25 | 0.33 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.60 | 0.50 | 0.67 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 44% | 44% | 46% | – |
| Shots | 11.3 | 12.4 | 11.3 | – |
| On target | 3.7 | 3.9 | 3.7 | – |
| Shot conversion | 14% | 13% | 9% | – |
| Shots inside box | 70% | 73% | 67% | – |
| Big chances created | 1.6 | 2.0 | 0.0 | – |
| Corners | 5.2 | 5.6 | 5.8 | – |
| xG from set plays | 37% | 37% | 49% | – |
| Goals from headers | 10% | 11% | 0% | – |
| Pressure index | 12.9 | 13.5 | 4.5 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 51.2 | 53.5 | 30.3 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 66% | 66% | 67% | – |
| Fouls | 9.9 | 9.9 | 10.8 | – |
| Cards | 2.20 | 2.38 | 1.00 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Port Vale
0–15'22
16–30'42
31–45'31
46–60'21
61–75'03
76–90'25
Fleetwood Town
0–15'13
16–30'00
31–45'12
46–60'11
61–75'11
76–90'24
Port Vale
Current: winless 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 30% | 1.67 | 1.67 | 1.33 | 1.29 | 1.62 |
| 5-4-1 | 2 20% | 1.5 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 0.46 | 2.93 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 20% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.61 | 1.0 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | – | – |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 3.67 | 0.54 |
Fleetwood Town
Current: winless 2 · conceding 6
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-1-4-2 | 2 33% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.61 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 2 33% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | – | – |
| 5-3-2 | 1 17% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | – | – |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 17% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | – | – |
| Metric | Port Vale all · 6 | Port Vale at home · 5 | Fleetwood Town all · 3 | Fleetwood Town away · 1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 6 | 5 | – | – |
| Points per game | 2.50 | 3.00 | – | – |
| W / D / L | 5 / 0 / 1 | 5 / 0 / 0 | – | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.50 | 1.80 | – | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.33 | 0.20 | – | – |
| Clean sheets | 67% | 80% | – | – |
| Failed to score | 17% | 0% | – | – |
| Both teams scored | 17% | 20% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 20% | – | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.50 | 1.84 | – | – |
| xG against / match | 1.80 | 1.18 | – | – |
| xG difference | -0.31 | 0.66 | – | – |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.10 | 0.16 | – | – |
| xPts / match | 1.32 | 1.65 | – | – |
| Points vs xPts | 1.08 | 1.35 | – | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 67% | 80% | – | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | 3.00 | – | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.50 | 3.00 | – | – |
| Came back from behind | 50% | 100% | – | – |
| Leads held | 100% | 100% | – | – |
| Minutes leading | 41% | 48% | – | – |
| Minutes level | 42% | 50% | – | – |
| Minutes trailing | 17% | 2% | – | – |
| First goal (min) | 49 | 49 | – | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 4 | 6 | – | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 25% | 25% | – | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | 0% | – | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.17 | 0.20 | – | – |
| Late goals against | 0.33 | 0.00 | – | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 38% | 41% | – | – |
| Shots | 11.8 | 13.4 | – | – |
| On target | 3.3 | 4.0 | – | – |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 13% | – | – |
| Shots inside box | 70% | 73% | – | – |
| Big chances created | 1.6 | 2.0 | – | – |
| Corners | 5.7 | 6.4 | – | – |
| xG from set plays | 37% | 37% | – | – |
| Goals from headers | 11% | 11% | – | – |
| Pressure index | 15.7 | 18.1 | – | – |
| Dominant minutes | 51.7 | 58.0 | – | – |
| Pass accuracy | 66% | 66% | – | – |
| Fouls | 9.7 | 9.6 | – | – |
| Cards | 2.33 | 2.60 | – | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Port Vale
0–15'12
16–30'41
31–45'11
46–60'21
61–75'01
76–90'02
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Port Vale · 6 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: as favourite +0.68
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.186
Early press (0-15, level)-0.116
Game state
When ahead+0.124
When level+0.176
When behind+0.432
10 min after conceding+0.282
10 min after scoring+0.654
Situations
At home+0.185
4+ days rest+0.186
Opposition
As favourite+0.683
As underdog-0.283
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.236
Conceded when ahead+0.514
Conceded late (76+)+0.044
Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level +0.27
Fleetwood Town · 3 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.36) · stands out: 4+ days rest -0.36
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.363
Early press (0-15, level)+0.273
Game state
When ahead-0.592
When level-0.203
10 min after conceding-0.243
10 min after scoring-0.462
Situations
At home-0.422
4+ days rest-0.363
Opposition
As underdog-0.363
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.493
Conceded when ahead+0.442
Conceded late (76+)+0.113
Ahead vs level -0.39 · Behind vs level -0.13
Port Vale
Current: winless 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-4-1 | 2 33% | 1.5 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 0.46 | 2.93 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 33% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.61 | 1.0 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 17% | 3.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 3.67 | 0.54 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 17% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.29 | 1.62 |
Fleetwood Town
Current: winless 2 · conceding 6
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-1-2 | 2 67% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | – | – |
| 3-1-4-2 | 1 33% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.61 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.8Home 52% P 53%3.6Draw 26% P 26%4.33Away 22% P 21%
Double Chance
1.2Port Vale or Draw 39% P 40%1.28Port Vale or Fleetwood Town 37% P 37%1.95Draw or Fleetwood Town 24% P 23%
Draw No Bet
1.331 71%3.252 29%
Both Teams To Score
1.75Yes 53% P 52%2.0No 47% P 48%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.9Over 50% P 50%1.9Under 50% P 50%
Total Corners
10.0Under 6 9%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 33%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 52.5–55% · away 20–22.5% · 665 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 53% | 54% | 56% | +2.6 |
| Draw | 26% | 25% | 27% | +1.4 |
| Away | 21% | 21% | 17% | -4.0 |
In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 54%
Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52% | 51% | 51% | -0.6 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 51% | 51% | -0.1 |
Ben Speedie
- Career
- 30 matches · 8 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.07 (2.97 yellow · 0.07 red)
- Fouls / match
- 21.6 · 6.8 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.03
- Cards to home side
- 46%
Style in FA Cup (5-year window · 13 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 2.85 | 3.76 | -0.78 | 31 |
| Fouls / match | 21.0 | 19.7 | +0.15 | |
| Fouls per card | 7.4 | 5.5 | +0.92 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.0 | 0.24 | -1.70 | 0 |
| Time added | 8.6 | 7.2 | +2.11 | 100 |
- First card
- 48' on average
- Card timing
- 6% in first 30' · 47% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 50% (league 45%)
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-05 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 53' | 7 |
| 2025-09-27 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 75' | 8 |
| 2025-09-13 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 82' | 9 |
| 2025-08-30 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 1 | 44' | 4 |
| 2025-08-16 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 73' | 9 |
| 2025-04-26 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 32' | 9 |
| 2025-03-11 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 29' | 7 |
| 2025-02-08 | 4 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 26' | 7 |
| 2025-01-21 | 4 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 43' | 6 |
| 2025-01-14 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 43' | 11 |