Salford City v Swindon Town

FA Cup · Round 3

Salford CitySalford City

3–2

Swindon TownSwindon Town

Momentum

– Salford CitySwindon Town –

now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

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Stats

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Season context

Salford City	at home	Stat	league	away	Swindon Town
37.5 #132	–	Ball possession	38.3	–	50.7 #71
11.8 #76	–	Shots total	8.8	–	15.0 #30
5.5 #52	–	Shots on target	3.5	–	7.3 #12
5.5 #64	–	Corners	4.0	–	6.0 #41
11.0 #45	–	Fouls	9.1	–	9.3 #77
2.0 #38	–	Offsides	1.8	–	2.0 #38
15.8 #32	–	Tackles	13.6	–	6.7 #69
75.0 #116	–	Attacks	71.7	–	108.7 #36
37.8 #121	–	Dangerous attacks	37.4	–	62.0 #32
172.0 #64	–	Passes	343.8	–	121.3 #74
2.2 #35	–	Yellowcards	1.8	–	2.3 #32
–	–	Redcards	0.4	–	0.3 #15
1.0 #36	–	Assists	1.2	–	1.7 #25
– #374	–	Btts	57.6	–	– #293
– #231	–	Cleansheet	16.3	–	– #166
– #187	–	Draw	14.3	–	– #256
1.0 #37	–	Expected goals	1.3	–	0.5 #55
1.0 #27	–	Expected goals difference	0.6	–	2.2 #8
– #303	–	Failed to score	28.2	–	– #370
2.0 #129	2.7	Goals	1.4	2.0	2.7 #53
1.2 #506	1.0	Goals conceded	2.0	2.0	1.3 #481
0.5 #48	–	Injury time goals	0.5	–	–
7.8 #37	–	Interceptions	7.4	–	2.0 #78
– #570	–	Lost	56.7	–	– #458
–	–	Penalties scored	0.4	–	0.3 #22
6.7 #49	–	Rating	6.6	–	6.6 #66
3.5 #37	–	Shots blocked	3.0	–	1.7 #78
6.2 #45	–	Shots insidebox	7.1	–	2.3 #75
3.0 #157	–	Shots off target	4.5	–	8.7 #14
2.8 #53	–	Shots outsidebox	3.5	–	3.3 #41
– #141	–	Win	29.1	–	– #47

Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 243.

League this season · 2025/2026

Played: 868 of 871
Goals / match: 3.3 (home 1.83 · away 1.47)
Home / draw / away: 47% · 18% · 35%
BTTS · over 2.5: 57% · 64%
Cards / match: 0.65 (reds 0.05)

Competition

Stage: Round 3

Venue

Stadium: The Peninsula Stadium, Salford
Capacity: 1,400
Surface: grass
Attendance: 2,215

Teams

Coaches: Karl Robinson · Ian Holloway
Position: 1 · 2
Formation: 3-1-4-2 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Alex Chilowicz

Weather

Conditions: broken clouds
Temperature: 8.2° (feels 5.5°)
Wind: 4.6
Humidity: 81%

Where to watch · 28

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Denmark Viaplay Denmark
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Indonesia Vidio
International Bet365
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Macau M Plus Live
Netherlands Viaplay Netherlands
New Zealand beIN Sports Connect New Zealand
Norway Viaplay Norway
Paraguay Disney+ Premium Argentina
Peru Disney+ Premium Chile
Sweden Viaplay Sweden
Thailand MONOMAX
United States fuboTV
Uruguay Disney+ Premium Argentina
Venezuela Disney+ Premium Sur

No table for this competition stage.

Salford City

DW 1W 1D 0L · 4 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 1 · xG 2.5–0.88 · xPts 2.35

W H Leyton Orient 4–0 xG 2.5–0.88 UK FA Cup
D H Lincoln City 1–1 won on pens None–None UK FA Cup

Swindon Town

WW 2W 0D 0L · 6 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 1

W H Bolton Wanderers 4–0 UK FA Cup
W A Rotherham United 2–1 aet UK FA Cup

All meetings · 1 match since 2026

Salford City 10 draws0 Swindon Town

Goals 3–2 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 1 match

Salford City 10 draws0 Swindon Town

Goals 3–2 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 1 match

Salford City 10 draws0 Swindon Town

Goals 3–2 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

W Salford City 3–2 Swindon Town UK FA Cup · Round 3

Metric	Salford City all · 4	Salford City at home · 3	Swindon Town all · 3	Swindon Town away · 2

Salford City

Current: winless 1 · conceding 2

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-1-4-2	2 50%	3.0	3.5	1.0	1.84	1.11
3-5-2	2 50%	0.5	0.5	1.5	0.44	2.34

Swindon Town

Current: winless 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	1 33%	0.0	2.0	3.0	1.35	1.18
3-5-2	1 33%	3.0	4.0	0.0	–	–
3-4-3	1 33%	3.0	2.0	1.0	–	–

Metric	Salford City all · 9	Salford City at home · 6	Swindon Town all · 6	Swindon Town away · 3
Results
Matches	9	6	6	–
Points per game	1.67	2.33	1.67	–
W / D / L	4 / 3 / 2	4 / 2 / 0	3 / 1 / 2	–
Goals for / match	2.00	2.67	2.67	–
Goals against / match	2.22	1.33	2.33	–
Clean sheets	22%	33%	17%	–
Failed to score	22%	0%	0%	–
Both teams scored	56%	67%	83%	–
Over 2.5	67%	67%	100%	–
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.26	1.84	1.35	–
xG against / match	2.41	1.11	1.18	–
xG difference	-1.15	0.73	0.17	–
Finishing vs xG	0.49	1.66	0.65	–
xPts / match	1.00	1.80	1.48	–
Points vs xPts	0.50	1.20	-1.48	–
Game state
Scored first	67%	83%	17%	–
PPG when scoring first	2.33	2.60	3.00	–
PPG when conceding first	0.33	1.00	1.40	–
Came back from behind	50%	100%	60%	–
Leads held	67%	80%	75%	–
Minutes leading	41%	49%	18%	–
Minutes level	28%	33%	38%	–
Minutes trailing	31%	18%	44%	–
First goal (min)	23	26	56	–
First goal conceded (min)	25	28	20	–
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	53%	53%	86%	–
Goals conceded in 2nd half	53%	29%	50%	–
Late goals for (76'+)	0.44	0.67	1.33	–
Late goals against	0.44	0.17	0.17	–
Style
Possession	44%	47%	51%	–
Shots	11.9	14.2	11.7	–
On target	5.6	7.2	5.8	–
Shot conversion	17%	19%	23%	–
Shots inside box	72%	70%	41%	–
Big chances created	2.2	4.0	2.0	–
Corners	5.0	5.2	6.7	–
xG from set plays	29%	17%	28%	–
Goals from headers	22%	25%	8%	–
Pressure index	9.8	11.8	17.0	–
Dominant minutes	47.6	54.0	72.2	–
Pass accuracy	60%	56%	64%	–
Fouls	10.9	13.3	9.6	–
Cards	2.33	2.33	2.00	–

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Salford City

0–15'43

16–30'34

31–45'12

46–60'24

61–75'43

76–90'33

Swindon Town

0–15'15

16–30'01

31–45'11

46–60'34

61–75'32

76–90'61

Salford City

Current: winless 1 · conceding 2

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-1-4-2	3 33%	2.0	2.33	3.33	1.53	2.44
3-5-2	2 22%	0.5	0.5	1.5	0.44	2.34
3-4-1-2	1 11%	3.0	2.0	1.0	–	–
4-2-3-1	1 11%	1.0	2.0	2.0	–	–
3-4-2-1	1 11%	1.0	4.0	4.0	–	–

Swindon Town

Current: winless 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-3	2 33%	2.0	2.0	1.5	–	–
4-2-3-1	1 17%	0.0	2.0	3.0	1.35	1.18
3-5-2	1 17%	3.0	4.0	0.0	–	–
4-3-1-2	1 17%	0.0	4.0	7.0	–	–
3-4-1-2	1 17%	3.0	2.0	1.0	–	–

Metric	Salford City all · 4	Salford City at home · 3	Swindon Town all · 3	Swindon Town away · 2

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Salford City · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.11) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.44

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.114

Early press (0-15, level)+0.304

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.562

Game state

When ahead+0.032

When level+0.074

When behind-0.322

10 min after conceding-0.443

10 min after scoring-0.362

Situations

At home-0.093

4+ days rest-0.114

Opposition

Evenly matched+0.002

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.124

Conceded when ahead+0.062

Conceded late (76+)+0.484

Ahead vs level -0.05 · Behind vs level -0.40

Swindon Town · 3 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.54) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.63

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.543

Early press (0-15, level)+0.203

Game state

When level+0.803

When behind+0.452

10 min after conceding+1.062

10 min after scoring+1.633

Situations

Away+0.552

4+ days rest+0.543

Opposition

As underdog+0.602

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.273

Conceded late (76+)-0.523

Ahead vs level -0.26 · Behind vs level -0.35

Salford City

Current: winless 1 · conceding 2

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-5-2	2 50%	0.5	0.5	1.5	0.44	2.34
3-1-4-2	2 50%	3.0	3.5	1.0	1.84	1.11

Swindon Town

Current: winless 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-3	1 33%	3.0	2.0	1.0	–	–
3-5-2	1 33%	3.0	4.0	0.0	–	–
4-2-3-1	1 33%	0.0	2.0	3.0	1.35	1.18

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.05Home 46% P 46%3.5Draw 27% P 27%3.4Away 28% P 27%

Double Chance

1.28Salford City or Draw 37% P 36%1.28Salford City or Swindon 37% P 36%1.8Draw or Swindon 26% P 27%

Draw No Bet

1.441 65%2.622 35%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56% P 57%2.1No 44% P 43%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 53%2.0Under 47% P 47%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 25–27.5% · 853 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Home	46%	46%	44%	-1.8
Draw	27%	28%	30%	+1.8
Away	27%	26%	26%	+0.0

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 48%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Yes	57%	56%	57%	+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Over 2.5	53%	54%	54%	+0.8

Alex Chilowicz

No career statistics.

Style in FA Cup (5-year window · 5 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 3.4 cards, 22.2 fouls per match.

Recent matches

Date	Y	R	Fouls	Pens	1st card	+min
2025-12-08	2	0	26	0	45'	6
2025-11-01	6	0	22	0	9'	8

Momentum

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Events

Stats

Season context

League this season · 2025/2026

Trends

Lineups

Bench

Absences

Salford City

Commentary

In-Play Odds

Competition

Venue

Teams

Referee

Weather

Where to watch · 28

Salford City

Swindon Town

All meetings · 1 match since 2026

Last 10 · 1 match

Last 5 · 1 match

Recent meetings

Salford City

Swindon Town

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Salford City

Swindon Town

Salford City

Swindon Town

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Salford City · 4 matches

Swindon Town · 3 matches

Salford City

Swindon Town

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Latest prices

Fulltime Result

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Both Teams To Score

Goals Over/Under

Total Corners

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 25–27.5% · 853 fixtures

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

Alex Chilowicz

Style in FA Cup (5-year window · 5 matches)

Recent matches