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FA Cup · Round 3

Momentum

DNRSouthampton
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Round 3

Venue

Stadium
The Keepmoat Stadium, Doncaster
Capacity
15,231
Surface
grass
Attendance
7,671

Teams

Coaches
Grant McCann · Tonda Eckert
Position
1 · 2
Formation
4-1-4-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

John Busby

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
-0.3° (feels -2.3°)
Wind
1.6
Humidity
90%

Where to watch · 61

No table for this competition stage.

Doncaster Rovers

WW 2W 0D 0L · 6 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 2 · xG 1.49–1.36 · xPts 1.46

  • W A Chesterfield 2–1 xG 1.49–1.36 UK FA Cup
  • W A Crewe Alexandra 2–1 UK FA Cup

Southampton

DLDDL 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 3 GA 8 · xG 7.12–7.13 · xPts 6.92

  • L A Middlesbrough 0–4 xG 1.15–1.96 UK CHAMP
  • D H Millwall 0–0 xG 1.06–1.4 UK CHAMP
  • D A Birmingham City 1–1 xG 1.53–1.61 UK CHAMP
  • L A Oxford United 1–2 xG 1.72–1.43 UK CHAMP
  • D H Coventry City 1–1 xG 1.66–0.73 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 5 matches since 2008

Doncaster Rovers 20 draws3 Southampton

Goals 5–8 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Last 10 · 5 matches

Doncaster Rovers 20 draws3 Southampton

Goals 5–8 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Doncaster Rovers 20 draws3 Southampton

Goals 5–8 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Doncaster Rovers 2–3 Southampton UK FA Cup · Round 3
  • L Southampton 2–0 Doncaster Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Doncaster Rovers 1–0 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Southampton 1–2 Doncaster Rovers neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Doncaster Rovers 0–2 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricDoncaster Rovers all · 3Doncaster Rovers at home · 1Southampton all · 5Southampton away · 3
Results
Matches5
Points per game2.40
W / D / L4 / 0 / 1
Goals for / match1.80
Goals against / match1.20
Clean sheets20%
Failed to score0%
Both teams scored80%
Over 2.580%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.03
xG against / match1.76
xG difference-0.73
Finishing vs xG0.77
xPts / match0.92
Points vs xPts1.48
Game state
Scored first100%
PPG when scoring first2.40
Came back from behind0%
Leads held80%
Minutes leading29%
Minutes level70%
Minutes trailing1%
First goal (min)51
First goal conceded (min)62
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half38%
Goals conceded in 2nd half100%
Late goals for (76'+)0.80
Late goals against0.40
Style
Possession40%
Shots8.2
On target4.0
Shot conversion22%
Shots inside box63%
Big chances created2.2
Corners4.4
xG from set plays37%
Goals from headers22%
Pressure index8.1
Dominant minutes39.2
Pass accuracy79%
Fouls10.8
Cards2.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Southampton

0–15'10
16–30'10
31–45'30
46–60'03
61–75'01
76–90'32

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Doncaster Rovers

No pressure profile yet.

Southampton · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.267
Late push (76+, level)+0.393

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.037
When behind+0.622
10 min after conceding-0.187
10 min after scoring+0.297

Situations

At home+0.034
Away+0.363
3 days rest or fewer+0.252
4+ days rest+0.155

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.234
v bottom-tier opponents+0.123
As favourite+0.206

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead+0.166
Conceded late (76+)-0.446

Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level +0.16 · Behind vs level +0.60

Doncaster Rovers

Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-1-4-12 67%1.52.02.01.611.27
4-2-3-11 33%3.02.01.0

Southampton

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 8 · conceding 8

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 80%3.02.01.01.231.69
5-4-11 20%0.01.02.00.232.03

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.6Home 26% P 26%3.5Draw 27% P 27%2.0Away 47% P 47%

Double Chance

1.8Doncaster or Draw 26% P 27%1.28Doncaster or Southampton 37% P 37%1.28Draw or Southampton 37% P 37%

Draw No Bet

2.621 35%1.442 65%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58% P 58%2.2No 42% P 42%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 54%2.1Under 45% P 46%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 33%3.612 - 14 24%7.0Over 14 12%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 25–27.5% · away 45–47.5% · 466 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home26%26%26%-0.3
Draw27%28%28%+0.2
Away47%46%46%+0.1

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 51%

Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes58%59%60%+1.5

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,943 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.554%54%55%+0.8

John Busby

Career
130 matches · 13 seasons
Cards / match
3.9 (3.82 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
20.7 · 5.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.15
Cards to home side
46%

Style in FA Cup (5-year window · 2 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 4.5 cards, 23.0 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-04 20 200 66'8
2025-12-29 11 130 76'10
2025-11-08 70 180 30'14
2025-11-01 30 260 34'8
2025-10-22 51 170 29'7
2025-09-30 60 251 45'11
2025-09-20 90 240 12'14
2025-08-23 70 270 41'6
2025-08-16 20 120 27'7
2025-05-09 40 220 21'7