Rating 6.99 (87th pct) · G+A 1 + 8 (14% of team goals) · 74% of minutes
Team 1.53 ppg with (36) · 1.0 without (13)
FA Cup · Round 3
Momentum
– Derby CountyLeeds United –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| Derby County | at home | Stat | league | away | Leeds United |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34.0 #143 | – | Ball possession | 38.3 | – | 50.2 #74 |
| 7.0 #133 | – | Shots total | 8.8 | – | 17.4 #15 |
| 2.0 #156 | – | Shots on target | 3.5 | – | 6.2 #37 |
| 5.0 #74 | – | Corners | 4.0 | – | 6.4 #37 |
| 16.0 #10 | – | Fouls | 9.1 | – | 12.6 #30 |
| – | – | Offsides | 1.8 | – | 1.8 #61 |
| 17.0 #24 | – | Tackles | 13.6 | – | 20.0 #16 |
| 79.0 #107 | – | Attacks | 71.7 | – | 99.0 #55 |
| 27.0 #155 | – | Dangerous attacks | 37.4 | – | 47.4 #65 |
| 262.0 #50 | – | Passes | 343.8 | – | 456.0 #27 |
| 1.0 #77 | – | Yellowcards | 1.8 | – | 2.0 #37 |
| – | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 1.2 #35 |
| – #1 | – | Btts | 57.6 | – | – #354 |
| – #286 | – | Cleansheet | 16.3 | – | – #270 |
| – #256 | – | Draw | 14.3 | – | – #111 |
| 0.6 #48 | – | Expected goals | 1.3 | – | 2.5 #8 |
| 0.4 #40 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.6 | – | -0.7 #60 |
| – #370 | – | Failed to score | 28.2 | – | – #341 |
| 1.0 #399 | 1.0 | Goals | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.8 #252 |
| 3.0 #81 | 3.0 | Goals conceded | 2.0 | 1.2 | 1.0 #538 |
| 1.0 #4 | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | 0.6 #47 |
| 5.0 #52 | – | Interceptions | 7.4 | – | 10.8 #18 |
| – #1 | – | Lost | 56.7 | – | – #642 |
| – | – | Penalties scored | 0.4 | – | 0.2 #44 |
| 6.6 #56 | – | Rating | 6.6 | – | 6.9 #19 |
| 1.0 #91 | – | Shots blocked | 3.0 | – | 5.2 #17 |
| 7.0 #38 | – | Shots insidebox | 7.1 | – | 10.8 #18 |
| 4.0 #122 | – | Shots off target | 4.5 | – | 6.0 #52 |
| 0.0 #85 | – | Shots outsidebox | 3.5 | – | 6.6 #9 |
| – #409 | – | Win | 29.1 | – | – #323 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 243.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 868 of 871
- Goals / match
- 3.3 (home 1.83 · away 1.47)
- Home / draw / away
- 47% · 18% · 35%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 57% · 64%
- Cards / match
- 0.65 (reds 0.05)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Derby County · Last 365 days
Rating 7.04 (92th pct) · G+A 9 + 3 (18% of team goals) · 44% of minutes
Team 1.41 ppg with (22) · 1.37 without (27)
Rating 6.74 (40th pct) · G+A 5 + 5 (15% of team goals) · 76% of minutes
Team 1.41 ppg with (39) · 1.3 without (10)
Leeds United · 2025/2026 · FA Cup
Rating 7.27 (69th pct) · G+A 2 + 0 (22% of team goals) · 79% of minutes
Rating 7.29 (100th pct) · G+A 0 + 1 (11% of team goals) · 91% of minutes
Rating 7.1 (50th pct) · G+A 1 + 2 (33% of team goals) · 69% of minutes
Absences
Derby County
- injury Carlton Morris #2 key player attacker · Leg Injury · 16 missed · until 2026-02-11
- injury Max Johnston #16 key player defender · Hamstring Injury · 10 missed · until 2026-04-02
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Round 3
Venue
- Stadium
- Pride Park Stadium, Derby
- Capacity
- 33,597
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 21,741
Teams
- Coaches
- John Eustace · Daniel Farke
- Position
- 1 · 2
- Formation
- 4-4-1-1 · 3-4-1-2
Referee
Anthony Taylor
Weather
- Conditions
- light rain
- Temperature
- 6.0° (feels 3.6°)
- Wind
- 3.1
- Humidity
- 85%
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No table for this competition stage.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Derby County
DDLWL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 6 · xG 4.26–7.27 · xPts 5.42
- L
H
Wrexham
1–2
xG 1.19–1.18
UK CHAMP - W
H
Middlesbrough
1–0
xG 0.55–1.22
UK CHAMP - L
A
Leicester City
1–2
xG 0.69–1.04
UK CHAMP - D
A
Birmingham City
1–1
xG 0.74–3.49
UK CHAMP - D
H
Portsmouth
1–1
xG 1.09–0.34
UK CHAMP
WLLDWDDLWL 3W 3D 4L · 12 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 13 GA 13 · xG 10.34–12.25 · xPts 13.16
- L
H
Wrexham
1–2
xG 1.19–1.18
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Middlesbrough
1–0
xG 0.55–1.22
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Leicester City
1–2
xG 0.69–1.04
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Birmingham City
1–1
xG 0.74–3.49
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Portsmouth
1–1
xG 1.09–0.34
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Sheffield Wednesday
3–0
xG 1.47–0.12
UK CHAMP - D
H
Millwall
1–1
xG 1.34–1.1
UK CHAMP - L
H
Leicester City
1–3
xG 1.31–1.22
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Middlesbrough
1–2
xG 0.84–1.63
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Swansea City
2–1
xG 1.11–0.91
UK CHAMP
Leeds United
WDDDL 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 9 GA 7 · xG 8.85–9.0 · xPts 6.81
- L
A
Newcastle United
3–4
xG 2.04–2.81
UK PL - D
H
Manchester United
1–1
xG 1.0–1.58
UK PL - D
A
Liverpool
0–0
xG 0.21–2.33
UK PL - D
A
Sunderland
1–1
xG 2.55–0.72
UK PL - W
H
Crystal Palace
4–1
xG 3.04–1.56
UK PL
LLWDDWDDDL 2W 5D 3L · 11 pts (1.1 ppg) · GF 19 GA 17 · xG 19.38–17.15 · xPts 15.39
- L
A
Newcastle United
3–4
xG 2.04–2.81
UK PL
- D
H
Manchester United
1–1
xG 1.0–1.58
UK PL
- D
A
Liverpool
0–0
xG 0.21–2.33
UK PL
- D
A
Sunderland
1–1
xG 2.55–0.72
UK PL
- W
H
Crystal Palace
4–1
xG 3.04–1.56
UK PL
- D
A
Brentford
1–1
xG 1.98–0.61
UK PL - D
H
Liverpool
3–3
xG 1.74–1.6
UK PL
- W
H
Chelsea
3–1
xG 2.43–1.17
UK PL - L
A
Manchester City
2–3
xG 2.08–3.17
UK PL - L
H
Aston Villa
1–2
xG 2.3–1.6
UK PL
All meetings · 32 matches since 2000
Goals 37–43 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 47%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 10–21 · 3.1 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 50%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 3–10 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%
Recent meetings
- L Derby County 1–3 Leeds United UK FA Cup · Round 3
- L Derby County 0–1 Leeds United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Leeds United 2–0 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Derby County 1–3 Leeds United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Leeds United 1–1 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Leeds United 2–4 Derby County UK CHAMP · Promotion Play-offs - Semi-finals · leg 2/2
- L Derby County 0–1 Leeds United UK CHAMP · Promotion Play-offs - Semi-finals · leg 1/2
- L Leeds United 2–0 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Derby County 1–4 Leeds United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Derby County 2–2 Leeds United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
| Metric | Derby County all · 1 | Derby County at home · 1 | Leeds United all · 5 | Leeds United away · 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | – | – | 5 | – |
| Points per game | – | – | 1.60 | – |
| W / D / L | – | – | 2 / 2 / 1 | – |
| Goals for / match | – | – | 1.80 | – |
| Goals against / match | – | – | 1.00 | – |
| Clean sheets | – | – | 20% | – |
| Failed to score | – | – | 20% | – |
| Both teams scored | – | – | 60% | – |
| Over 2.5 | – | – | 60% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | – | – | 2.51 | – |
| xG against / match | – | – | 2.11 | – |
| xG difference | – | – | 0.40 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | – | – | -0.71 | – |
| xPts / match | – | – | 1.65 | – |
| Points vs xPts | – | – | -0.05 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | – | – | 60% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | – | – | 1.67 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | – | – | 1.50 | – |
| Came back from behind | – | – | 50% | – |
| Leads held | – | – | 50% | – |
| Minutes leading | – | – | 38% | – |
| Minutes level | – | – | 45% | – |
| Minutes trailing | – | – | 17% | – |
| First goal (min) | – | – | 40 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | – | – | 59 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | – | – | 67% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | – | – | 60% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | – | – | 0.40 | – |
| Late goals against | – | – | 0.60 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | – | – | 50% | – |
| Shots | – | – | 17.4 | – |
| On target | – | – | 6.2 | – |
| Shot conversion | – | – | 10% | – |
| Shots inside box | – | – | 62% | – |
| Big chances created | – | – | 2.8 | – |
| Corners | – | – | 6.4 | – |
| xG from set plays | – | – | 51% | – |
| Goals from headers | – | – | 0% | – |
| Pressure index | – | – | 16.4 | – |
| Dominant minutes | – | – | 62.8 | – |
| Pass accuracy | – | – | 81% | – |
| Fouls | – | – | 12.6 | – |
| Cards | – | – | 2.00 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Leeds United
0–15'00
16–30'11
31–45'21
46–60'30
61–75'10
76–90'23
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Derby County · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.15) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.31
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.157
Early press (0-15, level)+0.297
Late push (76+, level)-0.552
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.315
Game state
When ahead-0.053
When level-0.057
When behind-0.256
10 min after conceding-0.286
10 min after scoring+0.254
Situations
At home-0.174
Away-0.123
3 days rest or fewer-0.212
4+ days rest-0.125
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.223
v bottom-tier opponents-0.033
Evenly matched-0.193
As underdog-0.153
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.257
Conceded when ahead+0.203
Conceded late (76+)+0.207
Congested vs rested -0.09 · Ahead vs level -0.00 · Behind vs level -0.20
Leeds United · 4 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.73
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.184
Early press (0-15, level)-0.104
Late push (76+, level)-0.473
Game state
When ahead+0.173
When level-0.264
10 min after conceding-0.642
10 min after scoring+0.734
Situations
At home-0.092
Away-0.242
4+ days rest-0.184
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.313
Evenly matched-0.143
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.174
Conceded when ahead+0.023
Conceded late (76+)+0.113
Ahead vs level +0.43 · Behind vs level -0.14
Derby County
Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 100% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.68 | 2.51 |
Leeds United
Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 60% | 0.67 | 1.0 | 1.33 | 2.69 | 2.86 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 20% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.99 | 1.28 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 20% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.51 | 0.68 |
| Metric | Derby County all · 10 | Derby County at home · 10 | Leeds United all · 10 | Leeds United away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 0.70 | 1.60 | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| W / D / L | 2 / 1 / 7 | 5 / 1 / 4 | 4 / 4 / 2 | 2 / 6 / 2 |
| Goals for / match | 1.10 | 1.30 | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals against / match | 1.90 | 1.20 | 1.10 | 1.20 |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 30% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 20% | 20% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 50% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 60% | 40% | 40% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.19 | 1.68 | 1.35 | 1.60 |
| xG against / match | 2.12 | 1.38 | 1.65 | 1.86 |
| xG difference | -0.93 | 0.30 | -0.30 | -0.26 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.09 | -0.38 | 0.05 | -0.60 |
| xPts / match | 0.95 | 1.63 | 1.24 | 1.23 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.26 | -0.03 | 0.36 | -0.03 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 40% | 60% | 50% | 50% |
| PPG when scoring first | 0.75 | 2.00 | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.67 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| Came back from behind | 22% | 33% | 60% | 50% |
| Leads held | 40% | 71% | 80% | 40% |
| Minutes leading | 19% | 31% | 22% | 28% |
| Minutes level | 36% | 43% | 60% | 58% |
| Minutes trailing | 45% | 26% | 18% | 14% |
| First goal (min) | 27 | 32 | 57 | 44 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 28 | 29 | 59 | 65 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 46% | 46% | 64% | 50% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 53% | 33% | 82% | 92% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| Late goals against | 0.40 | 0.10 | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 49% | 53% | 44% | 42% |
| Shots | 12.2 | 15.0 | 11.7 | 12.5 |
| On target | 4.0 | 4.1 | 3.8 | 4.2 |
| Shot conversion | 9% | 9% | 12% | 8% |
| Shots inside box | 70% | 64% | 64% | 71% |
| Big chances created | 1.8 | 3.0 | 2.1 | 2.6 |
| Corners | 6.1 | 6.5 | 4.1 | 3.3 |
| xG from set plays | 35% | 31% | 37% | 45% |
| Goals from headers | 9% | 23% | 8% | 0% |
| Pressure index | 11.3 | 14.4 | 9.8 | 9.3 |
| Dominant minutes | 47.4 | 57.3 | 42.2 | 40.3 |
| Pass accuracy | 76% | 78% | 75% | 74% |
| Fouls | 12.9 | 12.2 | 10.7 | 12.6 |
| Cards | 2.60 | 2.40 | 1.80 | 2.60 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Derby County
0–15'13
16–30'42
31–45'14
46–60'22
61–75'14
76–90'24
Leeds United
0–15'20
16–30'01
31–45'31
46–60'32
61–75'23
76–90'44
Derby County
Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 90% | 0.78 | 1.11 | 1.89 | 1.16 | 2.21 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.48 | 1.37 |
Leeds United
Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 6 60% | 1.83 | 1.67 | 1.17 | 1.6 | 1.85 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 40% | 1.25 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.97 | 1.34 |
| Metric | Derby County all · 49 | Derby County at home · 26 | Leeds United all · 43 | Leeds United away · 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 49 | 26 | 43 | 23 |
| Points per game | 1.39 | 1.38 | 1.37 | 1.04 |
| W / D / L | 20 / 8 / 21 | 10 / 6 / 10 | 14 / 17 / 12 | 4 / 12 / 7 |
| Goals for / match | 1.35 | 1.19 | 1.49 | 1.22 |
| Goals against / match | 1.31 | 1.23 | 1.35 | 1.52 |
| Clean sheets | 24% | 27% | 19% | 13% |
| Failed to score | 14% | 12% | 23% | 26% |
| Both teams scored | 61% | 62% | 65% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 46% | 56% | 48% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.24 | 1.28 | 1.73 | 1.67 |
| xG against / match | 1.38 | 1.25 | 1.66 | 1.96 |
| xG difference | -0.14 | 0.03 | 0.07 | -0.30 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.10 | -0.09 | -0.24 | -0.45 |
| xPts / match | 1.33 | 1.41 | 1.46 | 1.25 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.06 | -0.03 | -0.08 | -0.20 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 55% | 54% | 49% | 39% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.07 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 1.22 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.55 | 0.67 | 0.74 | 0.92 |
| Came back from behind | 28% | 38% | 46% | 50% |
| Leads held | 69% | 67% | 58% | 36% |
| Minutes leading | 30% | 26% | 28% | 22% |
| Minutes level | 42% | 46% | 53% | 55% |
| Minutes trailing | 27% | 28% | 19% | 23% |
| First goal (min) | 37 | 43 | 42 | 45 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 39 | 35 | 51 | 46 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 47% | 52% | 52% | 57% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 56% | 47% | 71% | 69% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.20 | 0.19 | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| Late goals against | 0.31 | 0.27 | 0.44 | 0.52 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 46% | 48% | 46% | 45% |
| Shots | 11.4 | 12.2 | 13.2 | 12.4 |
| On target | 3.6 | 3.7 | 4.4 | 4.2 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 10% | 11% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 71% | 67% | 68% | 68% |
| Big chances created | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 2.4 |
| Corners | 5.0 | 6.0 | 4.7 | 3.9 |
| xG from set plays | 35% | 39% | 42% | 45% |
| Goals from headers | 29% | 32% | 12% | 7% |
| Pressure index | 10.9 | 12.0 | 12.3 | 11.7 |
| Dominant minutes | 42.5 | 46.1 | 46.2 | 42.7 |
| Pass accuracy | 74% | 77% | 78% | 77% |
| Fouls | 12.4 | 11.8 | 10.7 | 11.1 |
| Cards | 2.49 | 2.23 | 1.77 | 1.87 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Derby County
0–15'712
16–30'126
31–45'1610
46–60'117
61–75'1014
76–90'1015
Leeds United
0–15'84
16–30'78
31–45'165
46–60'119
61–75'1013
76–90'1219
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Derby County · 49 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.27
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0449
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0249
Late push (76+, level)-0.2616
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2524
Game state
When ahead-0.0629
When level+0.0049
When behind-0.0929
10 min after conceding-0.1737
10 min after scoring+0.2742
Situations
With ten men-0.223
At home-0.0626
Away-0.0223
3 days rest or fewer-0.0115
4+ days rest-0.0634
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.1926
v bottom-tier opponents+0.0915
As favourite+0.2610
Evenly matched-0.0820
As underdog-0.1619
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2349
Conceded when ahead+0.1529
Conceded late (76+)+0.1447
Congested vs rested +0.04 · Ahead vs level -0.07 · Behind vs level -0.09
Leeds United · 43 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.93
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.0343
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2543
Late push (76+, level)-0.3220
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.2613
Game state
When ahead-0.0124
When level+0.0343
When behind+0.0921
10 min after conceding-0.2933
10 min after scoring+0.4633
Situations
With ten men+0.242
At home-0.0420
Away+0.0923
3 days rest or fewer-0.124
4+ days rest+0.0539
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.1128
v mid-tier opponents+0.1510
v bottom-tier opponents+0.933
As favourite+0.369
Evenly matched+0.0715
As underdog-0.1419
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1843
Conceded when ahead+0.2524
Conceded late (76+)+0.0740
Congested vs rested -0.17 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level +0.05
Derby County
Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 30 61% | 1.43 | 1.33 | 1.27 | 1.39 | 1.46 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 8 16% | 1.88 | 1.63 | 1.25 | 1.01 | 1.14 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 4 8% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.75 | 0.93 | 1.54 |
| 4-4-2 | 3 6% | 0.33 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.96 | 1.0 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.48 | 1.37 |
Leeds United
Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 14 33% | 1.79 | 1.71 | 1.07 | 1.73 | 1.51 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 11 26% | 1.55 | 1.45 | 1.27 | 2.01 | 1.91 |
| 4-3-3 | 8 19% | 0.87 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.68 | 1.53 |
| 5-4-1 | 3 7% | 0.67 | 1.0 | 1.33 | 1.38 | 2.5 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 3 7% | 1.67 | 1.0 | 0.33 | 1.5 | 0.67 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
5.5Home 17% P 16%4.0Draw 24% P 23%1.6Away 59% P 61%
Double Chance
2.15Derby or Draw 22% P 19%1.25Derby or Leeds 38% P 38%1.16Draw or Leeds 41% P 42%
Draw No Bet
3.751 25%1.252 75%
Both Teams To Score
1.8Yes 52% P 52%1.95No 48% P 48%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.8Over 53% P 52%2.0Under 47% P 48%
Total Corners
11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%
Number of Cards
2.51.57Over 59%2.25Under 41%
3.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 15–17.5% · away 60–62.5% · 275 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 16% | 16% | 15% | -1.7 |
| Draw | 23% | 23% | 20% | -3.0 |
| Away | 61% | 61% | 66% | +4.7 |
In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 61%
Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52% | 51% | 51% | -0.6 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 51% | 51% | -0.1 |
Anthony Taylor
- Career
- 626 matches · 17 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.88 (3.7 yellow · 0.1 red)
- Fouls / match
- 19.6 · 4.2 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.29
- Cards to home side
- 50%
Style in FA Cup (5-year window · 11 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 2.82 | 3.73 | -0.82 | 19 |
| Fouls / match | 20.6 | 19.7 | -0.03 | |
| Fouls per card | 7.3 | 5.5 | +0.85 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.46 | 0.24 | +0.96 | 81 |
| Time added | 7.0 | 7.2 | -0.31 | 31 |
- First card
- 34' on average
- Card timing
- 20% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 47% (league 45%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.0
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-08 | 4 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 12' | 6 |
| 2026-01-04 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 31' | 9 |
| 2025-12-26 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 69' | 9 |
| 2025-12-22 | 9 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 45' | 11 |
| 2025-12-18 | 4 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 51' | 5 |
| 2025-12-14 | 3 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 38' | 7 |
| 2025-12-06 · Leeds United | 6 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 20' | 12 |
| 2025-11-30 | 7 | 1 | 25 | 0 | 5' | 9 |
| 2025-11-22 | 5 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 4' | 7 |
| 2025-11-05 | 5 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 32' | 8 |