Rating 6.99 (88th pct) · G+A 3 + 0 (4% of team goals) · 94% of minutes
FA Cup · Round 4
Momentum
– BRCLeeds United –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| Birmingham City | at home | Stat | league | away | Leeds United |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51.0 #68 | – | Ball possession | 38.3 | – | 50.2 #74 |
| 10.0 #91 | – | Shots total | 8.8 | – | 17.4 #15 |
| 5.0 #63 | – | Shots on target | 3.5 | – | 6.2 #37 |
| – | – | Corners | 4.0 | – | 6.4 #37 |
| 9.0 #79 | – | Fouls | 9.1 | – | 12.6 #30 |
| 1.0 #77 | – | Offsides | 1.8 | – | 1.8 #61 |
| 11.0 #53 | – | Tackles | 13.6 | – | 20.0 #16 |
| 88.0 #82 | – | Attacks | 71.7 | – | 99.0 #55 |
| 41.0 #100 | – | Dangerous attacks | 37.4 | – | 47.4 #65 |
| 511.0 #21 | – | Passes | 343.8 | – | 456.0 #27 |
| – | – | Yellowcards | 1.8 | – | 2.0 #37 |
| 1.0 #36 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 1.2 #35 |
| – #1 | – | Btts | 57.6 | – | – #354 |
| – #286 | – | Cleansheet | 16.3 | – | – #270 |
| – #256 | – | Draw | 14.3 | – | – #111 |
| 0.9 #40 | – | Expected goals | 1.3 | – | 2.5 #8 |
| 2.1 #9 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.6 | – | -0.7 #60 |
| – #370 | – | Failed to score | 28.2 | – | – #341 |
| 3.0 #20 | 0.0 | Goals | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.8 #252 |
| 2.0 #205 | 0.0 | Goals conceded | 2.0 | 1.2 | 1.0 #538 |
| – | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | 0.6 #47 |
| 11.0 #13 | – | Interceptions | 7.4 | – | 10.8 #18 |
| – #706 | – | Lost | 56.7 | – | – #642 |
| – | – | Penalties scored | 0.4 | – | 0.2 #44 |
| 6.8 #33 | – | Rating | 6.6 | – | 6.9 #19 |
| 2.0 #64 | – | Shots blocked | 3.0 | – | 5.2 #17 |
| 7.0 #38 | – | Shots insidebox | 7.1 | – | 10.8 #18 |
| 3.0 #157 | – | Shots off target | 4.5 | – | 6.0 #52 |
| 3.0 #44 | – | Shots outsidebox | 3.5 | – | 6.6 #9 |
| – #1 | – | Win | 29.1 | – | – #323 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 243.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 868 of 871
- Goals / match
- 3.3 (home 1.83 · away 1.47)
- Home / draw / away
- 47% · 18% · 35%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 57% · 64%
- Cards / match
- 0.65 (reds 0.05)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Birmingham City · Last 365 days
Rating 6.98 (86th pct) · G+A 5 + 0 (7% of team goals) · 68% of minutes
Team 1.59 ppg with (34) · 1.06 without (16)
Rating 6.89 (72th pct) · G+A 11 + 2 (19% of team goals) · 46% of minutes
Team 1.65 ppg with (26) · 1.17 without (24)
Leeds United · 2025/2026 · FA Cup
Rating 7.27 (69th pct) · G+A 2 + 0 (22% of team goals) · 79% of minutes
Rating 7.29 (100th pct) · G+A 0 + 1 (11% of team goals) · 91% of minutes
Rating 7.1 (50th pct) · G+A 1 + 2 (33% of team goals) · 69% of minutes
Absences
Birmingham City
- injury Ethan Laird #16 key player defender · Hamstring Injury · 73 missed
Leeds United
- injury Anton Stach #11 key player midfielder · Hip problems · 3 missed · until 2026-02-20
- injury Pascal Struijk defender · Hip problems · 2 missed · until 2026-02-20
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Round 4
Venue
- Stadium
- St. Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham
- Capacity
- 29,409
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 28,035
Teams
- Coaches
- Chris Davies · Daniel Farke
- Position
- 1 · 2
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1
Referee
Paul Tierney
Weather
- Conditions
- overcast clouds
- Temperature
- 6.4° (feels 5.7°)
- Wind
- 1.3
- Humidity
- 96%
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No table for this competition stage.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Birmingham City
WDWWD 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 2 · xG 10.13–2.74 · xPts 11.5
- D
H
West Bromwich Albion
0–0
xG 1.42–0.49
UK CHAMP - W
H
Leicester City
2–1
xG 2.04–0.54
UK CHAMP - W
A
Oxford United
2–0
xG 1.28–0.68
UK CHAMP - D
H
Stoke City
1–1
xG 2.5–0.39
UK CHAMP - W
A
Sheffield Wednesday
2–0
xG 2.88–0.64
UK CHAMP
DLWWDWDWWD 5W 4D 1L · 19 pts (1.9 ppg) · GF 15 GA 11 · xG 15.57–10.13 · xPts 16.91
- D
H
West Bromwich Albion
0–0
xG 1.42–0.49
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Leicester City
2–1
xG 2.04–0.54
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Oxford United
2–0
xG 1.28–0.68
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Stoke City
1–1
xG 2.5–0.39
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Sheffield Wednesday
2–0
xG 2.88–0.64
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Swansea City
1–1
xG 1.59–1.85
UK CHAMP - W
A
Cambridge United
3–2
xG 0.9–1.24
UK FA Cup - W
H
Coventry City
3–2
xG 0.85–1.31
UK CHAMP - L
A
Watford
0–3
xG 0.49–1.46
UK CHAMP - D
H
Southampton
1–1
xG 1.61–1.53
UK CHAMP
Leeds United
WDLWD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 7 GA 8 · xG 7.91–9.04 · xPts 6.82
- D
A
Chelsea
2–2
xG 1.24–3.52
UK PL - W
H
Nottingham Forest
3–1
xG 2.39–1.55
UK PL - L
H
Arsenal
0–4
xG 1.1–2.41
UK PL - D
A
Everton
1–1
xG 1.44–1.13
UK PL - W
H
Fulham
1–0
xG 1.74–0.43
UK PL
DDDLWWDLWD 3W 5D 2L · 14 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 15 GA 15 · xG 16.23–17.16 · xPts 13.91
- D
A
Chelsea
2–2
xG 1.24–3.52
UK PL
- W
H
Nottingham Forest
3–1
xG 2.39–1.55
UK PL
- L
H
Arsenal
0–4
xG 1.1–2.41
UK PL
- D
A
Everton
1–1
xG 1.44–1.13
UK PL
- W
H
Fulham
1–0
xG 1.74–0.43
UK PL
- W
A
Derby County
3–1
xG 2.51–0.68
UK FA Cup - L
A
Newcastle United
3–4
xG 2.04–2.81
UK PL - D
H
Manchester United
1–1
xG 1.0–1.58
UK PL - D
A
Liverpool
0–0
xG 0.21–2.33
UK PL - D
A
Sunderland
1–1
xG 2.55–0.72
UK PL
All meetings · 29 matches since 2002
Goals 39–39 · 2.69 per match · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 45%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 11–16 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 6–10 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%
Recent meetings
- D Birmingham City 1–1 Leeds United pens None–None UK FA Cup · Round 4
- L Leeds United 3–0 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Birmingham City 1–0 Leeds United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Birmingham City 4–5 Leeds United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Leeds United 1–0 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Birmingham City 1–0 Leeds United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Leeds United 1–2 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Birmingham City 1–0 Leeds United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Leeds United 2–0 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Birmingham City 1–3 Leeds United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
| Metric | Birmingham City all · 2 | Birmingham City at home · 1 | Leeds United all · 5 | Leeds United away · 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | – | – | 5 | – |
| Points per game | – | – | 1.60 | – |
| W / D / L | – | – | 2 / 2 / 1 | – |
| Goals for / match | – | – | 1.80 | – |
| Goals against / match | – | – | 1.00 | – |
| Clean sheets | – | – | 20% | – |
| Failed to score | – | – | 20% | – |
| Both teams scored | – | – | 60% | – |
| Over 2.5 | – | – | 60% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | – | – | 2.51 | – |
| xG against / match | – | – | 2.11 | – |
| xG difference | – | – | 0.40 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | – | – | -0.71 | – |
| xPts / match | – | – | 1.65 | – |
| Points vs xPts | – | – | -0.05 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | – | – | 60% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | – | – | 1.67 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | – | – | 1.50 | – |
| Came back from behind | – | – | 50% | – |
| Leads held | – | – | 50% | – |
| Minutes leading | – | – | 38% | – |
| Minutes level | – | – | 45% | – |
| Minutes trailing | – | – | 17% | – |
| First goal (min) | – | – | 40 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | – | – | 59 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | – | – | 67% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | – | – | 60% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | – | – | 0.40 | – |
| Late goals against | – | – | 0.60 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | – | – | 50% | – |
| Shots | – | – | 17.4 | – |
| On target | – | – | 6.2 | – |
| Shot conversion | – | – | 10% | – |
| Shots inside box | – | – | 62% | – |
| Big chances created | – | – | 2.8 | – |
| Corners | – | – | 6.4 | – |
| xG from set plays | – | – | 51% | – |
| Goals from headers | – | – | 0% | – |
| Pressure index | – | – | 16.4 | – |
| Dominant minutes | – | – | 62.8 | – |
| Pass accuracy | – | – | 81% | – |
| Fouls | – | – | 12.6 | – |
| Cards | – | – | 2.00 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Leeds United
0–15'00
16–30'11
31–45'21
46–60'30
61–75'10
76–90'23
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Birmingham City · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.12) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.36
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.127
Early press (0-15, level)+0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.194
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.552
Game state
When ahead+0.152
When level+0.247
When behind-0.295
10 min after conceding-0.366
10 min after scoring+0.296
Situations
At home-0.063
Away+0.274
3 days rest or fewer+0.362
4+ days rest+0.035
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.155
v bottom-tier opponents+0.072
Evenly matched+0.093
As underdog+0.263
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.122
Conceded late (76+)-0.207
Congested vs rested +0.33 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level -0.53
Leeds United · 4 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.73
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.184
Early press (0-15, level)-0.104
Late push (76+, level)-0.473
Game state
When ahead+0.173
When level-0.264
10 min after conceding-0.642
10 min after scoring+0.734
Situations
At home-0.092
Away-0.242
4+ days rest-0.184
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.313
Evenly matched-0.143
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.174
Conceded when ahead+0.023
Conceded late (76+)+0.113
Ahead vs level +0.43 · Behind vs level -0.14
Birmingham City
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 6
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 100% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 2.73 | 2.78 |
Leeds United
Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 60% | 0.67 | 1.0 | 1.33 | 2.69 | 2.86 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 20% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.99 | 1.28 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 20% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.51 | 0.68 |
| Metric | Birmingham City all · 10 | Birmingham City at home · 10 | Leeds United all · 10 | Leeds United away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.70 | 1.60 | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| W / D / L | 4 / 5 / 1 | 4 / 4 / 2 | 4 / 4 / 2 | 2 / 6 / 2 |
| Goals for / match | 1.50 | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals against / match | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.10 | 1.20 |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 10% | 20% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 90% | 70% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 50% | 40% | 40% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.82 | 1.70 | 1.35 | 1.60 |
| xG against / match | 1.38 | 1.25 | 1.65 | 1.86 |
| xG difference | 0.44 | 0.45 | -0.30 | -0.26 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.32 | -0.30 | 0.05 | -0.60 |
| xPts / match | 1.67 | 1.66 | 1.24 | 1.23 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.03 | -0.06 | 0.36 | -0.03 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 30% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | 2.60 | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.17 | 0.60 | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| Came back from behind | 83% | 60% | 60% | 50% |
| Leads held | 100% | 80% | 80% | 40% |
| Minutes leading | 29% | 34% | 22% | 28% |
| Minutes level | 58% | 50% | 60% | 58% |
| Minutes trailing | 14% | 16% | 18% | 14% |
| First goal (min) | 31 | 29 | 57 | 44 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 35 | 39 | 59 | 65 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 33% | 36% | 64% | 50% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 25% | 33% | 82% | 92% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 48% | 54% | 44% | 42% |
| Shots | 13.3 | 14.6 | 11.7 | 12.5 |
| On target | 4.7 | 5.7 | 3.8 | 4.2 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 10% | 12% | 8% |
| Shots inside box | 72% | 67% | 64% | 71% |
| Big chances created | 3.3 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 2.6 |
| Corners | 6.1 | 6.5 | 4.1 | 3.3 |
| xG from set plays | 32% | 26% | 37% | 45% |
| Goals from headers | 40% | 15% | 8% | 0% |
| Pressure index | 12.4 | 13.2 | 9.8 | 9.3 |
| Dominant minutes | 56.2 | 61.2 | 42.2 | 40.3 |
| Pass accuracy | 69% | 75% | 75% | 74% |
| Fouls | 11.6 | 11.6 | 10.7 | 12.6 |
| Cards | 1.90 | 1.90 | 1.80 | 2.60 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Birmingham City
0–15'32
16–30'42
31–45'35
46–60'11
61–75'30
76–90'12
Leeds United
0–15'20
16–30'01
31–45'31
46–60'32
61–75'23
76–90'44
Birmingham City
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 6
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 100% | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.82 | 1.38 |
Leeds United
Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 6 60% | 1.83 | 1.67 | 1.17 | 1.6 | 1.85 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 40% | 1.25 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.97 | 1.34 |
| Metric | Birmingham City all · 50 | Birmingham City at home · 25 | Leeds United all · 43 | Leeds United away · 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 50 | 25 | 43 | 23 |
| Points per game | 1.42 | 1.76 | 1.37 | 1.04 |
| W / D / L | 18 / 17 / 15 | 11 / 11 / 3 | 14 / 17 / 12 | 4 / 12 / 7 |
| Goals for / match | 1.34 | 1.72 | 1.49 | 1.22 |
| Goals against / match | 1.26 | 1.08 | 1.35 | 1.52 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 24% | 19% | 13% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 8% | 23% | 26% |
| Both teams scored | 64% | 72% | 65% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 52% | 56% | 48% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.58 | 2.02 | 1.73 | 1.67 |
| xG against / match | 1.26 | 1.20 | 1.66 | 1.96 |
| xG difference | 0.32 | 0.82 | 0.07 | -0.30 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.24 | -0.30 | -0.24 | -0.45 |
| xPts / match | 1.55 | 1.87 | 1.46 | 1.25 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.13 | -0.11 | -0.08 | -0.20 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 46% | 64% | 49% | 39% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.43 | 2.38 | 2.00 | 1.22 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.52 | 0.63 | 0.74 | 0.92 |
| Came back from behind | 44% | 67% | 46% | 50% |
| Leads held | 75% | 69% | 58% | 36% |
| Minutes leading | 27% | 36% | 28% | 22% |
| Minutes level | 46% | 51% | 53% | 55% |
| Minutes trailing | 27% | 13% | 19% | 23% |
| First goal (min) | 38 | 32 | 42 | 45 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 36 | 41 | 51 | 46 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 48% | 44% | 52% | 57% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 38% | 44% | 71% | 69% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.24 | 0.24 | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| Late goals against | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.44 | 0.52 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 53% | 54% | 46% | 45% |
| Shots | 13.8 | 17.2 | 13.2 | 12.4 |
| On target | 4.4 | 5.8 | 4.4 | 4.2 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 65% | 68% | 68% |
| Big chances created | 2.5 | 3.0 | 2.6 | 2.4 |
| Corners | 6.0 | 7.1 | 4.7 | 3.9 |
| xG from set plays | 34% | 36% | 42% | 45% |
| Goals from headers | 26% | 24% | 12% | 7% |
| Pressure index | 14.0 | 17.6 | 12.3 | 11.7 |
| Dominant minutes | 53.0 | 62.5 | 46.2 | 42.7 |
| Pass accuracy | 76% | 76% | 78% | 77% |
| Fouls | 11.6 | 11.2 | 10.7 | 11.1 |
| Cards | 2.12 | 2.16 | 1.77 | 1.87 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Birmingham City
0–15'1110
16–30'1212
31–45'1217
46–60'99
61–75'117
76–90'128
Leeds United
0–15'84
16–30'78
31–45'165
46–60'119
61–75'1013
76–90'1219
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Birmingham City · 50 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.15) · stands out: with ten men +0.57
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1550
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1450
Late push (76+, level)+0.2020
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.4817
Game state
When ahead+0.0424
When level+0.2150
When behind+0.1427
10 min after conceding-0.0940
10 min after scoring+0.5340
Situations
With ten men+0.573
Against ten men-0.004
At home+0.1825
Away+0.1225
3 days rest or fewer+0.0715
4+ days rest+0.1835
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.0628
v bottom-tier opponents+0.2016
As favourite+0.2524
Evenly matched-0.0419
As underdog+0.297
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0050
Conceded when ahead+0.0624
Conceded late (76+)-0.2044
Congested vs rested -0.10 · Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.07
Leeds United · 43 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.93
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.0343
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2543
Late push (76+, level)-0.3220
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.2613
Game state
When ahead-0.0124
When level+0.0343
When behind+0.0921
10 min after conceding-0.2933
10 min after scoring+0.4633
Situations
With ten men+0.242
At home-0.0420
Away+0.0923
3 days rest or fewer-0.124
4+ days rest+0.0539
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.1128
v mid-tier opponents+0.1510
v bottom-tier opponents+0.933
As favourite+0.369
Evenly matched+0.0715
As underdog-0.1419
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1843
Conceded when ahead+0.2524
Conceded late (76+)+0.0740
Congested vs rested -0.17 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level +0.05
Birmingham City
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 6
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 48 96% | 1.42 | 1.38 | 1.29 | 1.62 | 1.25 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.25 | 1.91 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.83 | 1.5 |
Leeds United
Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 14 33% | 1.79 | 1.71 | 1.07 | 1.73 | 1.51 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 11 26% | 1.55 | 1.45 | 1.27 | 2.01 | 1.91 |
| 4-3-3 | 8 19% | 0.87 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.68 | 1.53 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 3 7% | 1.67 | 1.0 | 0.33 | 1.5 | 0.67 |
| 5-4-1 | 3 7% | 0.67 | 1.0 | 1.33 | 1.38 | 2.5 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
3.5Home 27% P 26%3.5Draw 27% P 26%2.05Away 46% P 48%
Double Chance
1.66Birmingham or Draw 28% P 26%1.28Birmingham or Leeds 37% P 37%1.33Draw or Leeds 35% P 37%
Draw No Bet
2.371 39%1.532 61%
Both Teams To Score
1.61Yes 58% P 57%2.2No 42% P 43%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.8Over 53% P 54%2.0Under 47% P 46%
Total Corners
10.0Under 6 9%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%10.0Over 14 9%
Number of Cards
3.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 25–27.5% · away 47.5–50% · 285 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 26% | 26% | 24% | -2.2 |
| Draw | 26% | 25% | 27% | +1.9 |
| Away | 48% | 49% | 49% | +0.2 |
In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 56%
Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 57% | 56% | 57% | +1.1 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 54% | 54% | +0.8 |
Paul Tierney
- Career
- 356 matches · 17 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.43 (3.32 yellow · 0.06 red)
- Fouls / match
- 19.7 · 5.0 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.19
- Cards to home side
- 46%
Style in FA Cup (5-year window · 10 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.3 | 3.73 | +1.42 | 94 |
| Fouls / match | 24.5 | 19.7 | +1.56 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.7 | 5.5 | -0.53 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.2 | 0.24 | -0.53 | 31 |
| Time added | 6.4 | 7.2 | -1.22 | 12 |
- First card
- 51' on average
- Card timing
- 7% in first 30' · 53% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 44% (league 45%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.0
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-11 | 4 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 30' | 5 |
| 2026-02-02 | 5 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 45' | 8 |
| 2026-01-19 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 56' | 13 |
| 2026-01-09 | 5 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 87' | 6 |
| 2026-01-04 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 34' | 7 |
| 2025-12-29 | 5 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 59' | 6 |
| 2025-12-20 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 28' | 7 |
| 2025-12-06 | 7 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 15' | 6 |
| 2025-11-21 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 90' | 8 |
| 2025-11-07 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 28' | 8 |