Burnley v Mansfield Town

FA Cup · Round 4

BurnleyBurnley

1–2

Mansfield TownMAN

Momentum

– BurnleyMAN –

now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Stats

Loading statistics…

Season context

Burnley	at home	Stat	league	away	Mansfield Town
65.5 #7	–	Ball possession	38.3	–	39.2 #126
19.0 #10	–	Shots total	8.8	–	11.8 #74
5.5 #52	–	Shots on target	3.5	–	5.0 #63
6.5 #34	–	Corners	4.0	–	5.4 #71
11.5 #41	–	Fouls	9.1	–	12.6 #30
2.5 #28	–	Offsides	1.8	–	0.6 #109
14.0 #41	–	Tackles	13.6	–	11.2 #52
102.0 #48	–	Attacks	71.7	–	109.6 #34
50.0 #58	–	Dangerous attacks	37.4	–	51.0 #57
626.5 #6	–	Passes	343.8	–	151.0 #70
3.5 #12	–	Yellowcards	1.8	–	2.4 #31
2.0 #9	–	Assists	1.2	–	1.4 #29
– #1	–	Btts	57.6	–	– #1
– #286	–	Cleansheet	16.3	–	– #286
– #256	–	Draw	14.3	–	– #222
2.9 #5	–	Expected goals	1.3	–	0.8 #42
0.1 #48	–	Expected goals difference	0.6	–	1.6 #15
– #370	–	Failed to score	28.2	–	– #370
3.0 #20	3.0	Goals	1.4	2.7	2.4 #95
1.5 #402	1.5	Goals conceded	2.0	2.0	2.0 #205
0.5 #48	–	Injury time goals	0.5	–	0.2 #145
13.5 #9	–	Interceptions	7.4	–	8.2 #34
– #253	–	Lost	56.7	–	– #642
7.0 #6	–	Rating	6.6	–	6.7 #44
7.5 #4	–	Shots blocked	3.0	–	2.4 #61
15.5 #4	–	Shots insidebox	7.1	–	4.0 #59
6.0 #52	–	Shots off target	4.5	–	5.4 #83
3.5 #40	–	Shots outsidebox	3.5	–	3.6 #39
– #141	–	Win	29.1	–	– #112

Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 243.

League this season · 2025/2026

Played: 868 of 871
Goals / match: 3.3 (home 1.83 · away 1.47)
Home / draw / away: 47% · 18% · 35%
BTTS · over 2.5: 57% · 64%
Cards / match: 0.65 (reds 0.05)

Competition

Stage: Round 4

Venue

Stadium: Turf Moor, Burnley
Capacity: 22,546
Surface: grass
Attendance: 11,914

Teams

Coaches: Scott Parker · Nigel Clough
Position: 1 · 2
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Gavin Ward

Weather

Conditions: broken clouds
Temperature: 3.1° (feels 0.8°)
Wind: 2.4
Humidity: 100%

Where to watch · 78

Angola DStv Now
Argentina Disney+ Premium Argentina
Australia Stan Sport
Bangladesh Sony LIV
Bhutan Sony LIV
Bolivia Disney+ Premium Chile
Botswana DStv Now
Brazil Disney+ Premium Brazil
Burkina Faso DStv Now
Burundi DStv Now
Cambodia MONOMAX
Cameroon CRTV Sports · DStv Now
Chad DStv Now
Chile Disney+ Premium Chile
China Migu
Colombia Disney+ Premium Sur
Denmark Viaplay Denmark
Djibouti DStv Now
Ecuador Disney+ Premium Sur
Equatorial Guinea DStv Now
Eritrea DStv Now
Eswatini DStv Now
Ethiopia DStv Now
Finland Elisa Viihde Viaplay
Gabon DStv Now
Gambia DStv Now
Germany DAZN Germany
Ghana DStv Now
Guinea DStv Now
Guinea-Bissau DStv Now
Hong Kong M Plus Live
Iceland Viaplay Iceland
India JioTV · Sony LIV
Indonesia Vidio
International Bet365
Italy DAZN Italia
Kenya DStv Now
Laos MONOMAX
Lesotho DStv Now
Liberia DStv Now
Macau M Plus Live
Madagascar DStv Now
Malawi DStv Now
Maldives Sony LIV
Mali DStv Now
Mauritania DStv Now
Mauritius DStv Now
Mozambique DStv Now
Namibia DStv Now
Nepal Sony LIV
Netherlands Viaplay Netherlands
New Zealand beIN Sports Connect New Zealand
Niger DStv Now
Nigeria DStv Now
Norway TV 2 Play · Viaplay Norway
Pakistan Sony LIV
Paraguay Disney+ Premium Argentina
Peru Disney+ Premium Chile
Senegal DStv Now
Seychelles DStv Now
Sierra Leone DStv Now
Singapore StarHub TV+
South Africa DStv App
South Sudan DStv Now
Sri Lanka Sony LIV
Sudan DStv Now
Sweden Viaplay Sweden
Tanzania DStv Now
Thailand MONOMAX
Togo DStv Now
Uganda DStv Now
United States fuboTV
Uruguay Disney+ Premium Argentina
Venezuela Disney+ Premium Sur
Zimbabwe DStv Now

No table for this competition stage.

Burnley

DDLLW 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 10 · xG 4.19–10.21 · xPts 3.87

W A Crystal Palace 3–2 xG 0.54–2.18 UK PL
L H West Ham United 0–2 xG 1.92–0.58 UK PL
L A Sunderland 0–3 xG 0.1–1.99 UK PL
D H Tottenham Hotspur 2–2 xG 1.04–1.9 UK PL
D A Liverpool 1–1 xG 0.6–3.58 UK PL

Mansfield Town

WDW 2W 1D 0L · 7 pts (2.33 ppg) · GF 9 GA 7 · xG 0.99–3.04 · xPts 0.4

W A Sheffield United 4–3 xG 0.99–3.04 UK FA Cup
D A Accrington Stanley 2–2 won on pens None–None UK FA Cup
W H Harrogate Town 3–2 UK FA Cup

All meetings · 1 match since 2026

Burnley 00 draws1 Mansfield Town

Goals 1–2 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 1 match

Burnley 00 draws1 Mansfield Town

Goals 1–2 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 1 match

Burnley 00 draws1 Mansfield Town

Goals 1–2 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

L Burnley 1–2 Mansfield Town UK FA Cup · Round 4

Metric	Burnley all · 2	Burnley at home · 2	Mansfield Town all · 5	Mansfield Town away · 3
Results
Matches	–	–	5	–
Points per game	–	–	2.00	–
W / D / L	–	–	3 / 1 / 1	–
Goals for / match	–	–	2.40	–
Goals against / match	–	–	2.00	–
Clean sheets	–	–	0%	–
Failed to score	–	–	0%	–
Both teams scored	–	–	100%	–
Over 2.5	–	–	100%	–
Expected goals
xG for / match	–	–	1.34	–
xG against / match	–	–	2.67	–
xG difference	–	–	-1.33	–
Finishing vs xG	–	–	1.00	–
xPts / match	–	–	0.73	–
Points vs xPts	–	–	1.27	–
Game state
Scored first	–	–	40%	–
PPG when scoring first	–	–	3.00	–
PPG when conceding first	–	–	1.33	–
Came back from behind	–	–	67%	–
Leads held	–	–	100%	–
Minutes leading	–	–	28%	–
Minutes level	–	–	52%	–
Minutes trailing	–	–	20%	–
First goal (min)	–	–	35	–
First goal conceded (min)	–	–	33	–
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	–	–	73%	–
Goals conceded in 2nd half	–	–	56%	–
Late goals for (76'+)	–	–	0.60	–
Late goals against	–	–	0.40	–
Style
Possession	–	–	39%	–
Shots	–	–	11.8	–
On target	–	–	5.0	–
Shot conversion	–	–	20%	–
Shots inside box	–	–	53%	–
Big chances created	–	–	1.3	–
Corners	–	–	5.4	–
xG from set plays	–	–	40%	–
Goals from headers	–	–	12%	–
Pressure index	–	–	7.9	–
Dominant minutes	–	–	37.8	–
Pass accuracy	–	–	69%	–
Fouls	–	–	12.6	–
Cards	–	–	2.40	–

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Mansfield Town

0–15'20

16–30'03

31–45'11

46–60'51

61–75'13

76–90'21

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Burnley · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.06) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.40

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.067

Early press (0-15, level)-0.227

Late push (76+, level)-0.404

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.224

Game state

When ahead+0.123

When level-0.117

When behind-0.066

10 min after conceding-0.167

10 min after scoring+0.197

Situations

At home-0.213

Away+0.064

3 days rest or fewer-0.052

4+ days rest-0.075

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.045

Evenly matched-0.173

As underdog+0.103

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.167

Conceded when ahead+0.533

Conceded late (76+)+0.326

Congested vs rested +0.02 · Ahead vs level +0.23 · Behind vs level +0.05

Mansfield Town

No pressure profile yet.

Burnley

Current: winless 20 · scoring 8 · conceding 15

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	2 100%	1.5	3.0	1.5	2.91	0.89

Mansfield Town

Current: winless 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 6

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-5-2	1 20%	0.0	1.0	2.0	2.32	2.22
3-4-2-1	1 20%	3.0	2.0	1.0	0.71	2.75
4-2-3-1	1 20%	3.0	3.0	2.0	–	–
3-4-3	1 20%	3.0	4.0	3.0	0.99	3.04
4-3-3	1 20%	1.0	2.0	2.0	–	–

Metric	Burnley all · 10	Burnley at home · 10	Mansfield Town all · 9	Mansfield Town away · 5
Results
Matches	10	10	9	5
Points per game	0.50	0.50	1.78	2.60
W / D / L	0 / 5 / 5	0 / 5 / 5	5 / 1 / 3	4 / 1 / 0
Goals for / match	1.10	1.10	2.00	2.60
Goals against / match	2.00	1.70	1.56	1.20
Clean sheets	0%	10%	22%	40%
Failed to score	10%	30%	11%	0%
Both teams scored	90%	70%	67%	60%
Over 2.5	60%	50%	78%	80%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.25	1.42	1.34	0.85
xG against / match	1.62	1.83	2.67	2.90
xG difference	-0.37	-0.40	-1.33	-2.05
Finishing vs xG	-0.15	-0.32	1.00	2.15
xPts / match	1.10	1.15	0.73	0.37
Points vs xPts	-0.60	-0.65	1.27	2.63
Game state
Scored first	40%	30%	44%	60%
PPG when scoring first	0.50	0.33	3.00	3.00
PPG when conceding first	0.50	0.50	0.80	2.00
Came back from behind	44%	44%	40%	100%
Leads held	0%	0%	100%	100%
Minutes leading	11%	10%	30%	37%
Minutes level	43%	51%	46%	50%
Minutes trailing	46%	39%	24%	13%
First goal (min)	41	45	37	37
First goal conceded (min)	29	30	34	23
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	64%	73%	71%	67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	45%	47%	62%	40%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.20	0.20	0.44	0.60
Late goals against	0.20	0.50	0.22	0.20
Style
Possession	49%	47%	44%	40%
Shots	13.7	13.6	12.1	9.8
On target	4.2	4.0	5.1	5.2
Shot conversion	8%	8%	16%	26%
Shots inside box	54%	64%	48%	45%
Big chances created	2.1	2.1	2.0	1.5
Corners	4.7	5.3	5.0	5.8
xG from set plays	20%	30%	40%	23%
Goals from headers	0%	9%	10%	12%
Pressure index	9.1	9.3	8.2	8.1
Dominant minutes	42.2	42.9	41.9	38.0
Pass accuracy	82%	80%	77%	67%
Fouls	11.8	11.5	11.8	12.4
Cards	2.20	1.80	2.11	2.20

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Burnley

0–15'25

16–30'23

31–45'03

46–60'53

61–75'04

76–90'22

Mansfield Town

0–15'20

16–30'24

31–45'11

46–60'74

61–75'23

76–90'31

Burnley

Current: winless 20 · scoring 8 · conceding 15

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	9 90%	0.44	1.11	2.11	1.29	1.69
4-3-2-1	1 10%	1.0	1.0	1.0	0.9	1.01

Mansfield Town

Current: winless 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 6

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-5-2	3 33%	1.0	1.67	1.33	2.32	2.22
5-3-2	2 22%	1.5	1.0	1.0	–	–
4-2-3-1	1 11%	3.0	3.0	2.0	–	–
4-3-3	1 11%	1.0	2.0	2.0	–	–
3-4-2-1	1 11%	3.0	2.0	1.0	0.71	2.75

Metric	Burnley all · 43	Burnley at home · 22	Mansfield Town all · 5	Mansfield Town away · 3
Results
Matches	43	22	5	–
Points per game	0.58	0.68	2.00	–
W / D / L	4 / 13 / 26	2 / 9 / 11	3 / 1 / 1	–
Goals for / match	1.12	1.18	2.40	–
Goals against / match	2.02	1.64	2.00	–
Clean sheets	7%	14%	0%	–
Failed to score	28%	36%	0%	–
Both teams scored	70%	59%	100%	–
Over 2.5	56%	46%	100%	–
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.06	1.27	1.34	–
xG against / match	1.92	1.76	2.67	–
xG difference	-0.86	-0.49	-1.33	–
Finishing vs xG	0.05	-0.09	1.00	–
xPts / match	0.88	1.11	0.73	–
Points vs xPts	-0.30	-0.43	1.27	–
Game state
Scored first	28%	27%	40%	–
PPG when scoring first	1.00	1.33	3.00	–
PPG when conceding first	0.38	0.36	1.33	–
Came back from behind	30%	39%	67%	–
Leads held	29%	29%	100%	–
Minutes leading	11%	15%	28%	–
Minutes level	44%	45%	52%	–
Minutes trailing	45%	40%	20%	–
First goal (min)	45	33	35	–
First goal conceded (min)	32	30	33	–
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	52%	54%	73%	–
Goals conceded in 2nd half	49%	42%	56%	–
Late goals for (76'+)	0.28	0.23	0.60	–
Late goals against	0.44	0.41	0.40	–
Style
Possession	45%	47%	39%	–
Shots	10.8	12.3	11.8	–
On target	3.4	3.8	5.0	–
Shot conversion	10%	10%	20%	–
Shots inside box	62%	65%	53%	–
Big chances created	1.8	2.1	1.3	–
Corners	4.1	4.3	5.4	–
xG from set plays	29%	30%	40%	–
Goals from headers	13%	8%	12%	–
Pressure index	7.9	9.8	7.9	–
Dominant minutes	35.2	38.2	37.8	–
Pass accuracy	80%	80%	69%	–
Fouls	10.6	10.5	12.6	–
Cards	1.95	1.68	2.40	–

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Burnley

0–15'517

16–30'88

31–45'1019

46–60'811

61–75'513

76–90'1219

Mansfield Town

0–15'20

16–30'03

31–45'11

46–60'51

61–75'13

76–90'21

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Burnley · 43 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.25) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.47

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.2543

Early press (0-15, level)-0.2943

Late push (76+, level)-0.4719

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.3227

Game state

When ahead-0.2414

When level-0.2943

When behind-0.2037

10 min after conceding-0.2839

10 min after scoring+0.0731

Situations

With ten men-0.362

At home-0.2322

Away-0.2721

3 days rest or fewer-0.218

4+ days rest-0.2635

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.3425

v mid-tier opponents-0.0712

As favourite-0.023

Evenly matched-0.075

As underdog-0.2935

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.4443

Conceded when ahead+0.8014

Conceded late (76+)+0.3940

Congested vs rested +0.05 · Ahead vs level +0.05 · Behind vs level +0.09

Mansfield Town · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.10) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.94

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.105

Early press (0-15, level)-0.095

Late push (76+, level)+0.943

Game state

When ahead-0.423

When level+0.145

When behind-0.193

10 min after conceding-0.185

10 min after scoring-0.045

Situations

At home-0.192

Away-0.043

4+ days rest-0.105

Opposition

As underdog-0.303

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.535

Conceded when ahead+0.943

Conceded late (76+)+0.475

Ahead vs level -0.57 · Behind vs level -0.34

Burnley

Current: winless 20 · scoring 8 · conceding 15

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	19 44%	0.74	1.37	2.05	1.38	1.93
3-4-2-1	8 19%	0.88	1.5	2.13	0.67	2.29
5-4-1	7 16%	0.14	0.57	2.29	0.61	1.89
4-3-3	3 7%	0.0	1.0	2.33	1.22	2.02
3-4-3	2 5%	0.5	0.5	1.5	1.17	2.26

Mansfield Town

Current: winless 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 6

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-3	1 20%	3.0	4.0	3.0	0.99	3.04
3-5-2	1 20%	0.0	1.0	2.0	2.32	2.22
4-3-3	1 20%	1.0	2.0	2.0	–	–
4-2-3-1	1 20%	3.0	3.0	2.0	–	–
3-4-2-1	1 20%	3.0	2.0	1.0	0.71	2.75

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.5h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.44Home 66% P 66%4.5Draw 21% P 20%7.0Away 13% P 13%

Double Chance

1.07Burnley or Draw 44% P 43%1.18Burnley or Mansfield 40% P 40%3.0Draw or Mansfield 16% P 17%

Draw No Bet

1.11 86%7.02 14%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 47% P 49%1.75No 53% P 51%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 57% P 55%2.2Under 43% P 45%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

2.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%

3.52.1Over 44% P 34%1.66Under 56% P 66%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 65–67.5% · away 12.5–15% · 566 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Home	66%	66%	69%	+3.3
Draw	20%	20%	20%	-0.7
Away	13%	14%	11%	-2.7

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 58%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Yes	49%	49%	49%	+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,508 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Over 2.5	55%	56%	56%	-0.2

Gavin Ward

Career: 292 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match: 3.58 (3.43 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match: 21.6 · 4.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match: 0.2
Cards to home side: 43%

Style in FA Cup (5-year window · 7 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 4.0 cards, 19.6 fouls per match.

Recent matches

Date	Y	R	Fouls	Pens	1st card	+min
2026-02-09	5	1	25	0	65'	7
2026-01-24	2	0	21	1	26'	8
2026-01-11 · Mansfield Town	3	0	14	0	54'	7
2026-01-01	2	0	18	0	55'	6
2025-12-29	3	0	22	0	83'	11
2025-12-13	3	1	19	0	57'	9
2025-12-06	2	0	16	0	39'	13
2025-11-25	3	1	21	0	5'	5
2025-11-22	4	0	23	1	39'	13
2025-11-04	–	–	15	–	–	6

Momentum

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Events

Stats

Season context

League this season · 2025/2026

Trends

Lineups

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

Burnley · Last 365 days

Mansfield Town

Commentary

In-Play Odds

Competition

Venue

Teams

Referee

Weather

Where to watch · 78

Burnley

Mansfield Town

All meetings · 1 match since 2026

Last 10 · 1 match

Last 5 · 1 match

Recent meetings

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Mansfield Town

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Burnley · 7 matches

Mansfield Town

Burnley

Mansfield Town

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Burnley

Mansfield Town

Burnley

Mansfield Town

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Burnley

Mansfield Town

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Burnley · 43 matches

Mansfield Town · 5 matches

Burnley

Mansfield Town

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Latest prices

Fulltime Result

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Both Teams To Score

Goals Over/Under

Total Corners

Number of Cards

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Match result · home 65–67.5% · away 12.5–15% · 566 fixtures

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,508 fixtures

Gavin Ward

Style in FA Cup (5-year window · 7 matches)

Recent matches