KickoffDNA
0 live
Sign in
FA Cup · Round 4

Momentum

Aston VillaNEW
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Round 4

Venue

Stadium
Villa Park, Birmingham
Capacity
42,640
Surface
grass
Attendance
42,101

Teams

Coaches
Unai Emery · Eddie Howe
Position
1 · 2
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Chris Kavanagh

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
2.2° (feels -1.5°)
Wind
3.9
Humidity
83%

Where to watch · 312

  • Algeria beIN SPORTS CONNECT · TOD
  • Angola DStv Now · SuperSport MaXimo 1 · SuperSport MaXimo 2 · SuperSport Premier League ROA
  • Argentina Disney+ Premium Argentina
  • Australia Stan Sport
  • Bahrain beIN SPORTS CONNECT · TOD
  • Bangladesh Sony LIV · SONY TEN 2
  • Benin SuperSport MaXimo 1 · SuperSport MaXimo 2 · SuperSport Premier League ROA
  • Bhutan Sony LIV · SONY TEN 2
  • Bolivia Disney+ Premium Chile
  • Bosnia and Herzegovina Moja TV
  • Botswana DStv Now · SuperSport MaXimo 1 · SuperSport MaXimo 2 · SuperSport Premier League ROA
  • Brazil Claro TV+ · Disney+ Premium Brazil · Sky+ · Vivo Play · Zapping
  • Brunei Astro Go
  • Bulgaria Diema Sport 2 · Play Diema Xtra
  • Burkina Faso DStv Now · SuperSport MaXimo 1 · SuperSport MaXimo 2 · SuperSport Premier League ROA
  • Burundi DStv Now · SuperSport MaXimo 1 · SuperSport MaXimo 2 · SuperSport Premier League ROA
  • Cambodia MONOMAX
  • Cameroon DStv Now · SuperSport MaXimo 1 · SuperSport MaXimo 2 · SuperSport Premier League ROA
  • Central African Republic SuperSport MaXimo 1 · SuperSport MaXimo 2 · SuperSport Premier League ROA
  • Chad beIN SPORTS CONNECT · DStv Now · SuperSport MaXimo 1 · SuperSport MaXimo 2 · SuperSport Premier League ROA · TOD
  • Chile Disney+ Premium Chile
  • China Migu
  • Colombia Disney+ Premium Sur
  • Comoros SuperSport MaXimo 1 · SuperSport MaXimo 2 · SuperSport Premier League ROA
  • Cyprus Cytavision on the Go · Cytavision Sports 7
  • Denmark TV3 MAX · Viaplay Denmark
  • Djibouti beIN SPORTS CONNECT · DStv Now · SuperSport MaXimo 1 · SuperSport MaXimo 2 · SuperSport Premier League ROA · TOD
  • DR Congo SuperSport MaXimo 1 · SuperSport MaXimo 2 · SuperSport Premier League ROA
  • Ecuador Disney+ Premium Sur
  • Egypt beIN SPORTS CONNECT · TOD
  • England BBC iPlayer · BBC One · BBC Radio 5 Live · BBC Sport Web · Discover+ App · Discovery+ · TalkSport Radio UK · TNT Sports 3
  • Equatorial Guinea DStv Now · SuperSport MaXimo 1 · SuperSport MaXimo 2 · SuperSport Premier League ROA
  • Eritrea DStv Now · SuperSport MaXimo 1 · SuperSport MaXimo 2 · SuperSport Premier League ROA
  • Eswatini DStv Now · SuperSport MaXimo 1 · SuperSport MaXimo 2 · SuperSport Premier League ROA
  • Ethiopia DStv Now · SuperSport MaXimo 1 · SuperSport MaXimo 2 · SuperSport Premier League ROA
  • Faroe Islands TV3 MAX
  • Finland Elisa Viihde Viaplay
  • France beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports MAX 4 · Free
  • Gabon DStv Now · SuperSport MaXimo 1 · SuperSport MaXimo 2 · SuperSport Premier League ROA
  • Gambia DStv Now · SuperSport MaXimo 1 · SuperSport MaXimo 2 · SuperSport Premier League ROA
  • Germany DAZN Germany
  • Ghana DStv Now · SuperSport MaXimo 1 · SuperSport MaXimo 2 · SuperSport Premier League ROA
  • Guinea DStv Now · SuperSport MaXimo 1 · SuperSport MaXimo 2 · SuperSport Premier League ROA
  • Guinea-Bissau DStv Now · SuperSport MaXimo 1 · SuperSport MaXimo 2 · SuperSport Premier League ROA
  • Hong Kong M Plus Live
  • Iceland Viaplay Iceland
  • India JioTV · Sony LIV · SONY TEN 2
  • Indonesia Vidio
  • International Bet365
  • Iran beIN SPORTS CONNECT
  • Iraq beIN SPORTS CONNECT · TOD
  • Israel Sport 1
  • Italy DAZN Italia
  • Jordan beIN SPORTS CONNECT · TOD
  • Kenya DStv Now · SuperSport MaXimo 1 · SuperSport MaXimo 2 · SuperSport Premier League ROA
  • Kosovo ArtMotion
  • Kuwait beIN SPORTS CONNECT · TOD
  • Laos MONOMAX
  • Lebanon beIN SPORTS CONNECT · TOD
  • Lesotho DStv Now · SuperSport MaXimo 1 · SuperSport MaXimo 2 · SuperSport Premier League ROA
  • Liberia DStv Now · SuperSport MaXimo 1 · SuperSport MaXimo 2 · SuperSport Premier League ROA
  • Libya beIN SPORTS CONNECT · TOD
  • Macau M Plus Live
  • Madagascar DStv Now · SuperSport MaXimo 1 · SuperSport MaXimo 2 · SuperSport Premier League ROA
  • Malawi DStv Now · SuperSport MaXimo 1 · SuperSport MaXimo 2 · SuperSport Premier League ROA
  • Malaysia Astro Go · sooka
  • Maldives Sony LIV · SONY TEN 2
  • Mali DStv Now · SuperSport MaXimo 1 · SuperSport MaXimo 2 · SuperSport Premier League ROA
  • Malta GO TV Anywhere
  • Mauritania beIN SPORTS CONNECT · DStv Now · SuperSport MaXimo 1 · SuperSport MaXimo 2 · SuperSport Premier League ROA · TOD
  • Mauritius DStv Now · SuperSport MaXimo 1 · SuperSport MaXimo 2 · SuperSport Premier League ROA
  • Mayotte SuperSport MaXimo 1 · SuperSport MaXimo 2 · SuperSport Premier League ROA
  • Montenegro Arena 2 Premium
  • Morocco beIN SPORTS CONNECT · TOD
  • Mozambique DStv Now · SuperSport MaXimo 1 · SuperSport MaXimo 2 · SuperSport Premier League ROA
  • Namibia DStv Now · SuperSport MaXimo 1 · SuperSport MaXimo 2 · SuperSport Premier League ROA
  • Nepal Sony LIV · SONY TEN 2
  • Netherlands Viaplay Netherlands
  • New Zealand beIN Sports Connect New Zealand
  • Niger DStv Now · SuperSport MaXimo 1 · SuperSport MaXimo 2 · SuperSport Premier League ROA
  • Nigeria DStv Now · SuperSport MaXimo 1 · SuperSport MaXimo 2 · SuperSport Premier League Nigeria
  • North Macedonia Arena 2 Premium
  • Norway Viaplay Norway
  • Oman beIN SPORTS CONNECT · TOD
  • Pakistan Sony LIV · SONY TEN 2
  • Palestine beIN SPORTS CONNECT · TOD
  • Paraguay Disney+ Premium Argentina
  • Peru Disney+ Premium Chile
  • Poland sport.tvp.pl · TVP Sport · TVP Sport App
  • Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen
  • Qatar beIN SPORTS CONNECT · TOD
  • Republic of Ireland BBC iPlayer · BBC One · BBC Radio 5 Live · BBC Sport Web · TalkSport Radio UK
  • Rwanda SuperSport MaXimo 1 · SuperSport MaXimo 2 · SuperSport Premier League ROA
  • Réunion SuperSport MaXimo 1 · SuperSport MaXimo 2 · SuperSport Premier League ROA
  • Saudi Arabia beIN SPORTS CONNECT · TOD
  • Senegal DStv Now · SuperSport MaXimo 1 · SuperSport MaXimo 2 · SuperSport Premier League ROA
  • Serbia Arena 2 Premium
  • Seychelles DStv Now · SuperSport MaXimo 1 · SuperSport MaXimo 2 · SuperSport Premier League ROA
  • Sierra Leone DStv Now · SuperSport MaXimo 1 · SuperSport MaXimo 2 · SuperSport Premier League ROA
  • Singapore StarHub TV+
  • Slovakia Voyo
  • Somalia beIN SPORTS CONNECT · SuperSport MaXimo 1 · SuperSport MaXimo 2 · SuperSport Premier League ROA · TOD
  • South Africa DStv App · SuperSport MaXimo 1 · SuperSport MaXimo 2
  • South Sudan beIN SPORTS CONNECT · DStv Now · TOD
  • Sri Lanka Sony LIV · SONY TEN 2
  • Sudan beIN SPORTS CONNECT · DStv Now · SuperSport MaXimo 1 · SuperSport MaXimo 2 · SuperSport Premier League ROA · TOD
  • Sweden Viaplay Sweden
  • Syria beIN SPORTS CONNECT · TOD
  • São Tomé and Príncipe SuperSport MaXimo 1 · SuperSport MaXimo 2 · SuperSport Premier League ROA
  • Tanzania DStv Now · SuperSport MaXimo 1 · SuperSport MaXimo 2 · SuperSport Premier League ROA
  • Thailand MONOMAX
  • Togo DStv Now · SuperSport MaXimo 1 · SuperSport MaXimo 2 · SuperSport Premier League ROA
  • Tunisia beIN SPORTS CONNECT · TOD
  • Uganda DStv Now · SuperSport MaXimo 1 · SuperSport MaXimo 2 · SuperSport Premier League ROA
  • Ukraine Setanta Sports+
  • United Arab Emirates beIN SPORTS CONNECT · TOD
  • United States fuboTV
  • Uruguay Disney+ Premium Argentina
  • Venezuela Disney+ Premium Sur
  • Yemen beIN SPORTS CONNECT · TOD
  • Zambia SuperSport MaXimo 1 · SuperSport MaXimo 2 · SuperSport Premier League ROA
  • Zimbabwe DStv Now · SuperSport MaXimo 1 · SuperSport MaXimo 2 · SuperSport Premier League ROA

No table for this competition stage.

Aston Villa

WWLDW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 4 · xG 7.39–6.15 · xPts 7.47

  • W H Brighton & Hove Albion 1–0 xG 0.93–0.57 UK PL
  • D A AFC Bournemouth 1–1 xG 0.65–1.84 UK PL
  • L H Brentford 0–1 xG 2.78–0.42 UK PL
  • W H Salzburg 3–2 xG 1.87–1.75 UEFA EL
  • W A Newcastle United 2–0 xG 1.16–1.57 UK PL

Newcastle United

LDLLW 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 11 · xG 8.9–9.97 · xPts 6.36

  • W A Tottenham Hotspur 2–1 xG 2.83–1.92 UK PL
  • L H Brentford 2–3 xG 2.91–1.87 UK PL
  • L A Liverpool 1–4 xG 0.43–1.93 UK PL
  • D A Paris Saint Germain 1–1 xG 1.16–3.09 UEFA CL
  • L H Aston Villa 0–2 xG 1.57–1.16 UK PL

All meetings · 47 matches since 2000

Aston Villa 1216 draws19 Newcastle United

Goals 49–64 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 38%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Aston Villa 31 draws6 Newcastle United

Goals 12–20 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Aston Villa 21 draws2 Newcastle United

Goals 7–7 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Aston Villa 1–3 Newcastle United UK FA Cup · Round 4
  • W Newcastle United 0–2 Aston Villa UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Aston Villa 0–0 Newcastle United UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Aston Villa 4–1 Newcastle United UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Newcastle United 3–0 Aston Villa UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Aston Villa 1–3 Newcastle United UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Newcastle United 5–1 Aston Villa UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Aston Villa 3–0 Newcastle United UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Newcastle United 4–0 Aston Villa UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Newcastle United 1–0 Aston Villa UK PL · Regular Season
MetricAston Villa all · 2Aston Villa at home · 1Newcastle United all · 3Newcastle United away · 1

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Aston Villa · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.10) · stands out: when behind -0.62

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.105
Early press (0-15, level)+0.455
Late push (76+, level)+0.352
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.762

Game state

When level+0.125
When behind-0.623
10 min after conceding-0.484
10 min after scoring+0.382

Situations

At home-0.392
Away+0.163
4+ days rest-0.134

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.353
Evenly matched-0.133

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.175
Conceded late (76+)-0.064

Congested vs rested +0.11 · Ahead vs level -0.22 · Behind vs level -0.74

Newcastle United · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.19) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.28

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.194
Early press (0-15, level)+0.074
Late push (76+, level)-0.142

Game state

When ahead-0.342
When level-0.014
When behind-0.222
10 min after conceding-0.283
10 min after scoring-0.063

Situations

At home-0.372
Away+0.062
4+ days rest-0.194

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.372
Evenly matched+0.062

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.244
Conceded when ahead+0.442
Conceded late (76+)-0.133

Ahead vs level -0.33 · Behind vs level -0.21

Aston Villa

Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-12 100%1.51.52.01.260.99

Newcastle United

Current: winless 2 · scoring 4 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-13 100%1.332.332.332.012.2

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -1.4h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.37Home 40% P 36%3.6Draw 26% P 26%2.8Away 34% P 38%

Double Chance

1.4Aston Villa or Draw 33% P 31%1.28Aston Villa or Newcastle 36% P 37%1.53Draw or Newcastle 30% P 32%

Draw No Bet

1.721 54%2.02 46%

Both Teams To Score

1.53Yes 61% P 64%2.37No 39% P 36%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.61Over 59% P 61%2.3Under 41% P 39%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%7.0Over 14 13%

Number of Cards

4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 37.5–40% · 153 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home36%36%35%-1.3
Draw26%26%30%+4.3
Away38%38%35%-3.0

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 61% · over 2.5 53%

Both teams to score · yes 62.5–65% · 687 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes64%64%64%+0.4

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,027 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.561%61%63%+1.5

Chris Kavanagh

Career
340 matches · 16 seasons
Cards / match
3.95 (3.82 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
20.9 · 5.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.21
Cards to home side
45%

Style in FA Cup (5-year window · 8 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 2.88 cards, 19.2 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-11 10 180 24'8
2026-01-31 30 270 53'7
2026-01-21 10 200 87'5
2026-01-17 60 170 27'5
2026-01-10 20 181 5'10
2026-01-03 40 210 26'8
2026-01-01 20 180 61'8
2025-12-27 40 160 44'5
2025-12-20 20 220 38'7
2025-12-06 70 320 1'6